Please contact the list owner of subscription and unsubscription at: editorial@samarth.co.in
media watch with peoples input an organization of rastriya abhyudaya
Editorial
month april 30, edition 000495, collected & managed by durgesh kumar mishra, published by manish manjul
Editorial is syndication of all daily- published newspaper Editorial at one place.
For ENGLISH EDITORIAL http://editorialsamarth.blogspot.com
For TELUGU EDITORIAL http://editorial-telugu-samarth.blogspot.com
THE PIONEER
- NOW PUNISH THE GUILTY
- JOKER IN THE PACK
- WE'RE FIGHTING A GUERRILLA WAR - GAUTAM MUKHERJEE
- JUDGES ARE NOT ABOVE SCRUTINY - ONKAR CHOPRA
- ALLIANCE OF CONVENIENCE - KALYANI SHANKAR
- WIN-WIN POLITICS - SHIKHA MUKERJEE
- INDIA A GARBAGE DUMP FOR WORLD - ANURADHA DUTT
- IS EDUCATION SAFE IN PRIVATE HANDS? - SACHIN JAIN
MAIL TODAY
- CORRUPTION AS A WAY OF LIFE IN OUR DEMOCRACY
- MORE DIRT ON SPECTRUM SALE
- DESERVED TREATMENT
- BIG AND UGLY IS THE DESIGN DICTUM OF OUR TIMES - BY GAUTAM BHATIA
- THE LAHORE LOG - BY NAJAM SETHI
THE TIMES OF INDIA
- DEJA VU IN RANCHI
- BACK TO BASICS
- MAHARASHTRA TURNS FIFTY -
- 'ANY SIGNAL FROM SPACE WE CAN'T EXPLAIN IS EXCITING'
- KINDNESS OF STRANGERS - JUG SURAIYA
HINDUSTAN TIMES
- WORKING THE PHONES
- ASYLUM IN RANCHI
- LOOKS ARE DECEPTIVE - RAJDEEP SARDESAI
- FIGHT THE DARK FORCES - SRIJANA MITRA DAS
- THE OTHER IPL SCAM - PREETI SINGH
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
- LOST IN RANCHI
- MOVING ON, SLOWLY
- LAB ACCIDENT
- BACK TO COURT - EJAZ HAIDER
- UPSTAGING THEORIES - MK VENU
- THE INDIAN TAMASHA LEAGUE - SANJAY JHA
- EUROPE UNDER THE ASH
- WAITING FOR THE KING - ALIA ALLANA
- A NEW GROUND ZERO
FINANCIAL EXPRESS
- REGULATION AFTER GOLDMAN
- GETTING POWER TRADING RIGHT
- HOW WRONG IS GOLDMAN SACHS? - K VAIDYA NATHAN
- METHODS OF VALUING SHARE PRICES - SATVIK VARMA
- RAJA JUMPS THE GUN - ANANDITA SINGH MANKOTIA
THE HINDU
- UNLIKELY FRIENDS
- GREECE IS NOT ALONE
- TOWARDS A TRUE CONSTITUTIONAL COURT - K.K. VENUGOPAL
- THE LIFE AND DEATH OF SENDERO LUMINOSO - PRAVEEN SWAMI
- WHY THE U.S. WANTS TO SILENCE NORIEGA - SIMON TISDALL
- AT LONG LAST, A FIRM STEP FORWARD - SIDDHARTH VARADARAJAN
THE ASIAN AGE
- DHONI & CO SEEK WORLD CUP GLORY
- STEALING SEEDS
- THE ELEPHANT'S LAST STAND
- HOUSE OF SCANDALS
DNA
- SAARC REALITIES
- GREEK LESSONS
- ADVANTAGE CONGRESS - MAHESH RANGARAJAN
- BETTING'S LEGAL, AND I'M IN JAIL - FARRUKH DHONDY
THE TRIBUNE
- THE WATER CHALLENGE
- UPHOLDING FREE EXPRESSION
- ALL PHONE CALLS ARE VULNERABLE - BY INDER MALHOTRA
- GREEN FINGERS - BY I.M. SONI
- RAJASTHAN FACES HEAT - BY PERNEET SINGH
- DELHI: CAPITAL OF DIRT AND DEBRIS - BY ASHALI VARMA
- HYDERABAD DIARY - SURESH DHARUR
MUMBAI MERROR
- WHAT JAIHIND AND GLC SHARE
BUSINESS STANDARD
- HALF-EMPTY GLASS
- DOCTOR, HEAL THYSELF
- WHY GREECE WILL DEFAULT - MARTIN FELDSTEIN
- ENABLING BETTER PROFIT FOR SMALL EXPORTERS - JAMAL
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
- ET IS EVERYWHERE
- FOR A FEW INDICES MORE
- GETTING A REGION MOVING
- 'MFIS NEED TO INTROSPECT MORE' - ATMADIP RAY
- GLOBETROTTING ANEW - LUBNA KABLY
- PETROLEUM PRICE FIXATION - MUKESH KACKER
- OUR THRUST IS ON BUILDING BRANDS AT HOME: CHAND DAS, ITC CEO - ANURADHA HIMATSINGKA
DECCAN CHRONICAL
- DHONI AND CO SEEK WORLD CUP GLORY
- HOUSE OF SCANDALS - BY BALBIR K. PUNJ
- FOR TRUE DEMOCRACY, BRING BACK OSTRACISM - BY PAUL JOHNSON
- THE ELEPHANT'S LAST STAND - BY MAHESH RANGARAJAN
- STEALING SEEDS - BY SUMAN SAHAI
- LET'S BUILD GOD'S TEMPLE - BY FRANCIS GONSALVES
THE STATESMAN
- ANIL NAURIYA
- COUNTERING NAXALS
- RAIL ROKO
- PARLIAMENT, CUT-MOTION & MAOISTS
- WHAT IS THE POVERTY LEVEL?
- EXPLOSIVE RETURN OF THE ACTION HEROES
- 100 YEARS AGO TODAY
- OUR DEBATES, THEIR DEBATES
- STATE OF FLUX
- NO SUBSTANCE
- APPEALING ALTERNATIVE - SWAPAN DASGUPTA
- CRUDE GAMES - MALVIKA SINGH
DECCAN HERALD
- A PRAGMATIC VIEW
- CHANGING WORLD
- GENESIS OF INFLATION - BY DIPAK BASU
- DANGERS TO GLOBAL ECONOMY'S HEALTH - BY PASCAL LAMY, IPS
- INVITING TROUBLE - BY MAYA JAYAPAL
THE JERUSALEM POST
- FAYYAD'S 'PALESTINE'
HAARETZ
- ARAB MKS' LIBYA TRIP A PATH TO MIDEAST PEACE
- NETANYAHU AND BARAK KNOW THAT THE TIME FOR PEACE IS NOW - BY YOEL MARCUS
- ISRAEL'S CHOICE: MAKE PEACE OR DISAPPEAR - BY TZVIA GREENFIELD
- THE FRIENDS OF THIEVES - BY YOSSI SARID
- ONLY INSPECT! - BY EMANUELE OTTOLENGHI
- DIVEST - FOR ISRAEL'S SAKE - BY MATTHEW A. TAYLOR
- SHOULD CLEGG BECOME FOREIGN MINISTER - BY DAN KOSKY
- CHEAP THRILLS - BY JILL JACOBS
- AN EVIL WIND - BY SEFI RACHLEVSKY
THE NEW YORK TIMES
- THE COST OF DELAY
- STOPPING ARIZONA
- A TOXIC ANGER
- CROSS IN THE DESERT
- AMERICAN POWER ACT - BY DAVID BROOKS
- GUILT AND DEATH, NORTH AND SOUTH - BY PHAN THANH HAO
- SAIGON'S FALL, 35 YEARS LATER - BY LINH DINH
- THE EURO TRAP - BY PAUL KRUGMAN
USA TODAY
- Our view on money in politics: Make CEOs and union chiefs stand behind political spots
- OPPOSING VIEW ON MONEY IN POLITICS: 'A CYNICAL PARTISAN PLOY' - BY JOHN SAMPLES
- Goldman: Bad guys or just a scapegoat?
- ARIZONA'S PROBLEMS ONLY BEGINNING
- OPINIONLINE
- 40 years after Kent State, reassessing 2010 - By Chuck Raasch
TIMES FREE PRESS
- GOV. HUCKABEE'S 'BEST JOB' -- YET
- THE CROSS AND THE COURT
- INVASION OF UNITED STATES!
- CHRONIC HEALTH WOES IN U.S.
- ALEXANDER WARNS ON OBAMACARE
- GOVERNMENT'S 'PAY GUIDELINES'
TEHRAN TIMES
- A LACK OF DIPLOMATIC FINESSE - BY KOUROSH ZIABARI
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
- FROM THE BOSPHORUS: STRAIGHT - HALTING A THREAT TO EU VALUES
- THE DELICATE BALANCE - MİTHAT MELEN
- ARATO AND THE CONSTITUTION - NURAY MERT
- TURKS NOT GLOATING OVER GREEK DIFFICULTIES - SEMIH IDIZ
- PINK 'HASEMAS' VS BLACK, STONES VS DEATH - BURAK BEKDIL
- HONOR OF PERVARI - YUSUF KANLI
- JOURNALISTS CAN TAKE SIDES - MEHMET ALİ BİRAND
- CHANGE ISN'T EASY FOR ANYONE
I.THE NEWS
- GIVE AND TAKE
- IN COLDEST BLOOD
- ALIVE AGAIN!
- THE NEW TROIKA - AYAZ AMIR
- RIGHT TO THE CITY - AHMAD RAFAY ALAM
- THE LAST LINE OF DEFENCE - AMEER BHUTTO
- NO REVENGE ON ESTABLISHMENT - HARRIS KHALIQUE
- BALANCE BETWEEN INSTITUTIONS - SHAFQAT MAHMOOD
- BACK TO BASICS - KAMILA HAYAT
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
- SHARP AXE FALLS ON 54 BUREAUCRATS
- PRESERVATION OF ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES
- CASE OF THE HONEY TRAPPED HONEY - M D NALAPAT
- THE MADHURI GUPTA AFFAIR - SULTAN M HALI
- HOLY QUR'AN, GUIDANCE FOR ALL - MAHMOOD RIAZUDDIN
- TERRORISTS AND TERRORISM - AFSHAIN AFZAL
- DEEP THOUGHTS BEFORE ARMAGEDDON - ROBERT WRIGHT
THE INDEPENDENT
- SAARC STANDS FIRM
- RECONCILIATION IN SIGHT
- HELLO SHORTY..!
- CONTRACT FARMING FOR ENSURING FARM INPUTS - ASIF MAHFUZ
- OPINION: SILENCE OF THE CIVIL SOCIETY - SHIMUL CHAUDHURY
THE AUSTRALIAN
- DETERRENT OR SMOKESCREEN?
- WHY CHINA IS THE KEY TO EUROPE'S DEBT CRISIS
- A CRISIS OF LEADERSHIP
- POOR POLITICAL SKILLS DOOMED RUDD'S CLIMATE POLICY
- BEFORE POLICY.
- HEALTH SYSTEM IS STILL AILING
- EUROPE'S GREEK TRAGEDY HAS A LESSON FOR AUSSIES
- PLAIN PACKAGING PLOY LIKELY TO GO UP IN SMOKE
- NO BIGOT HERE: ANY CAUSE THAT SAVES HIM WILL DO
- HOW TO COOK UP A STORM: FIRST CATCH YOUR RAT, THEN NAIL HIM TO THE TABLE
- NOTHING NEW IN OLD 'CIGS UP' PLOY
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
- CIGS UP, NANNY OUT AND ABOUT
- THAILAND'S BEST WAY FORWARD
- CONFINING THE CREDIT CONTAGION IS NOT ENOUGH
- PLAIN PACKAGE, ELABORATE CONTENT
THE GUARDIAN
- EQUAL PAY: FAIR'S FAIR
- IN PRAISE OF
DANNY DORLING
- GULF OIL SPILL: CLEAN, BABY, CLEAN
DAILY EXPRESS
- GILLIAN DUFFY ASKED THE QUESTIONS WE ALL WANT ANSWERED - BY CHRIS ROYCROFT-DAVIS
- JOSE MOURINHO IS THE MAN TO KEEP GLAZERS AFLOAT
- A TRIUMPH FOR BRITISH AMATEUR NATURALISTS - BY JOHN INGHAM
- SECRET AGENDAS OF PARTIES ARE AN INSULT TO DEMOCRACY
- QUANGOS MUST GET THE BOOT - BY FREDERICK FORSYTH
- SECRET AGENDAS OF PARTIES ARE AN INSULT TO DEMOCRACY
- BRITAIN IS SUPPOSED TO BE A MATURE DEMOCRACY.
THE GAZETTE
- ALL THAT SALT IN OUR FOOD LEAVES A BAD TASTE
- BAD MEDICINE
- ÇA SENT LA COUPE?
THE KOREA TIMES
- EUROPEAN LESSON
- LET'S NOT FORGET
- ANOTHER FAILED BRITISH EXPERIMENT - BY HAROLD JAMES
- GETTING IN ON GREEK LIQUIDATION SALE - BY DALE MCFEATTERS
- ELITE COLLEGES SOFTEN ON ROTC BANS - BY DALE MCFEATTERS
THE JAPAN TIMES
- RUSSIA EXTENDS ITS REACH
- AMERICA'S STAR IS RISING IN WORLD OPINION - BY FRANK CHING
- A CLOUD OVER AIRPLANE SAFETY - BY PETER SINGER
THE JAKARTA POST
- ACCESSING PUBLIC INFORMATION
- THE ACT UPON INFORMATION - SHITA LAKSMI
- ANTI-CRISIS, GROWTH CONSENSUS - UMAR JUORO
- IGNORANCE, A DISASTER FOR LAW ENFORCEMENT - FRANS H. WINARTA
THE KOREA HERALD
- ILL-ADVISED ACTION
- REFORM? WHAT REFORM?
- GETTING HITCHED IN IOWA
- OFFSHORE OIL DRILLING: LESSONS FROM THE DISASTER
- WHATEVER HAPPENED TO LAST WORDS? - BY JOHN M. ROSENBERG
CHINA DAILY
- LAW REVISION FALLS SHORT
- A FIGHTING CHANCE
- PREVENTING TRAGEDIES
- WHY THE NOUVEAU RICHE IN CHINA STINK - BY WILLIAM DANIEL GARST (CHINA DAILY)
- RENEWING THE FRENCH CONNECTION - BY JOERGEN LINDGREN HANSEN (CHINA DAILY)
- BUILDING UP GOVT CAPACITY AT THE GRASSROOTS - BY CHAN CHOI HI (CHINA DAILY)
- BEHIND CHINA'S TRADE DEFICIT - BY FAN GANG (CHINA DAILY)
DAILY MIRROR
- DISMANTLE SAARC
- ENOUGH OF ELECTIONS! IT'S TIME TO GET TO WORK
- DEVELOPMENT WITHOUT HUMAN CAPITAL WILL BE STILLBORN OR DEFORMED
- SAARC: SILVER JUBILEE SHAM
THE MOSCOW TIMES
- CHEWING THE FAT - BY MICHELE A. BERDY
- THE DANGERS OF NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT - BY SERGEI KARAGANOV
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE PIONEER
EDITORIAL
NOW PUNISH THE GUILTY
CITING NEGLIGENCE BY CALLOUS STAFF WON'T DO
With investigations into the Cobalt-60 contamination in a busy marketplace in Delhi finally making a breakthrough it has been established that the radioactive material came from the Chemistry Department of Delhi University it would appear that the episode is coming to a close. However, this cannot be further from the truth. Even though the source of the deadly Cobalt-60 has been identified, there are several questions that remain unanswered. Shocking as it is that the radioactive waste came from a laboratory of a Central university, the way the material was handled while it was in the possession of the university and at the time of its sale to scrap dealers is no less a cause for concern. This is because it is quite apparent that safety norms were blatantly flouted by the proprietors of the radioactive substance all the way till it was sold as waste. Hence, the investigation into the case should now focus on finding out how the Cobalt-60 was stored, who was in charge of the radioactive material, and how was it auctioned without following the proper safety procedures. Inquiries have revealed that the radioactive substance had been purchased by the Chemistry Department of Delhi University from Canada in 1968. But it was lying unused since 1985. Thus, the investigators also need to find out who all were responsible for handling the Cobalt-60 in the 25 years since and what prompted its sale in February this year. For, accountability needs to be fixed if we are to prevent such a disaster from re-occurring. Already one person has lost his life and seven people have been taken critically ill due to the exposure to the radioactive substance. Those responsible for the lapses in handling the material at least those who had knowledge about what it was and their supervisors need to be identified and punished.
The other aspect of the issue that has not got enough attention is the possibility of such radioactive material falling into the hands of terrorists. This presents a significant security risk as such substances can be used to make 'dirty bombs'. The effect that such an improvised weapon would have if it were to be used in a major metropolitan city would be devastating. Therefore, from a security perspective, it is extremely dangerous to have unaccounted for radioactive material slipping from one person to another. There is no telling when it can land up in the possession of those with nefarious intentions. Having said that, the Government would do well to prepare for such a terrorist strike. It is welcome that the Delhi Government has decided to set up a 40-bed special isolation ward in one of the city hospitals to treat those who are exposed to lethal doses of radiation; other State Governments should emulate the measure. Doctors and paramedics also need to be trained to specifically deal with radiation victims. For, in the wake of the Cobalt-60 contamination, it has come to light that our hospitals, including the All-India Institute of Medical Sciences, are not adequately equipped to deal with such mishaps.
But all this will hardly matter if the root of the problem is not addressed. The Vice-Chancellor of Delhi University has apologised for the radiation mishap and admitted that the lapse was on the part of university officials. It is now for investigators to take the case forward and bring the guilty to book. Or else, promises of action will remain just that so many words and no more.
***************************************
THE PIONEER
EDITORIAL
JOKER IN THE PACK
KERALA CONGRESS FACTION QUITS LDF
The decision of Kerala's Public Works Minister PJ Joseph to merge his Kerala Congress(J), a minor constituent of the CPI(M)-led ruling LDF, with former Minister KM Mani's Kerala Congress(M), a partner in the Opposition UDF, is causing unrest in the Congress. Mr Joseph is expected to formally announce the merger move and leave the LDF on Friday. Despite his association with the LDF for almost three decades, the CPI(M) considers his decision to part ways with it as good riddance because of the huge embarrassments he and his party colleagues have caused to the front in the past four years. Problems involving Mr Joseph and his party MLAs had forced the LDF to change Kerala Congress Ministers thrice in four years. Also, the decision of Mr Joseph to leave the LDF has come exactly when the CPI(M) is planning to turn the front into an exclusive club of Left parties. But the merger move is indeed an embarrassment for the Congress for many reasons. Several of the serious allegations the Congress had levelled against Mr Joseph and his colleagues are still relevant issues and any association with him would tarnish the image of the Congress as well as the UDF. If long-time ally Mani demands more seats in the coming Assembly election claiming increased strength because of the merger, the Congress will have to agree to it. That Congress leader Oommen Chandy has already openly complained that Mr Mani had kept the merger move a secret from the front till the last moment says it all.
The Congress may have its objections to welcoming Mr Joseph into the front but it will eventually have to live with it because the force behind the merger move is none other than the powerful Catholic Church which wants a stronger party of its own in Kerala the various Kerala Congress groups, except one, are thriving on the support of plantation owners and workers belonging to the Christian community. The Congress cannot even think of causing displeasure to the Church and this is the trump card that Mr Mani would be playing. The Congress is already facing the prospect of losing some of its seats due to the induction of a faction of the Janata Dal (S) into the front some months back. The new situation will make the position of top Congress leaders difficult as the different factions within the party and feeder outfits have raised the flag of mutiny saying that the leadership cannot allow 'refugees' coming out of the LDF to walk freely into the UDF. Hence, it is the turn of the Left to feel ecstatic as the Congress is becoming the dumping ground for its waste, a term the CPI(M) leaders are fond of using while referring to deserters.
***************************************
THE PIONEER
EDITORIAL
WE'RE FIGHTING A GUERRILLA WAR
GAUTAM MUKHERJEE
While the Vietnam War was raging, with the Americans unable to subdue the Viet Cong, there was a little-known war being fought against Communist-inspired and trained mountain tribesmen in the Gulf. But fortunately for the 'free world' and its dependence on petroleum, this one was decisively won in the mist-shrouded mountains of Dhofar, bordering Socialist South Yemen.
The winning force was professional and multi-national, even as the wily enemy routinely inflicted heavy casualties on it. The Sandhurst-trained Sultan Qaboos bin Said of Oman wisely asked for help. And so there were Iranians from the Shah of Iran's Army, the largest contingent of British forces involved overseas since the Korean War, and Omani soldiers drawn from tough men of Zanzibari and Balochi extraction.
The key to victory, however, was the discipline that had been inculcated by British officers in the Sultan of Oman's armed forces, ably assisted by seconded officers and soldiers from the fabled British 22nd SAS Regiment of commandos. This war, largely off the world's radar, secured the Arabian Gulf from a determined takeover attempt by Communist forces from both China and the Soviet Union, working through 'Adoo' tribal irregulars.
Following the recent hardening of the conflict between the Indian state and the Maoists, the considerable similarities with that little-known war in Dhofar are remarkable. Hopefully we will be spared the fact that the war in Dhofar raged for two decades.
The Dhofar war is in mention again thanks to the appearance of a new book by British SAS officer Ian Gardiner who was there. It's called:In the Service of the Sultan, published in February. This book is relevant because it raises some of the very same issues at stake now in India, particularly when viewed from the perspective of a Chinese Communist-backed insurgency.
The Maoist insurgency has only nominally to do with tribal neglect and underdevelopment. It is more about a determined and well-planned attempt by the Maoists to take over the Indian state from within. The Maoists are dead serious. And their war on the Union of India is designed to ruthlessly debilitate, injure, thwart, bleed, encircle, corner, and destabilise a thriving, if far from perfect, democracy.
Yet, even as India stands bloodied, it remains complacent and does not call for external help from nations like Israel trained in counter-insurgency and battling guerrillas. You would think that we were being threatened by bow-and-arrow-wielding Adivasis, and not trained commandoes expert at jungle warfare and thoroughly conversant with their territory. They allegedly have access to training by military experts from China and the erstwhile Tamil Tigers, apart from many others.
Not only have the Maoists demonstrated their savage military prowess and the penetration of state agencies by their intelligencce-gathering squads, they have also managed to grab media space to publicise their so-called 'lofty motives' and whitewash their crimes through sympathisers among the NGO community and certain Left-leaning members of the intelligentsia.
The Government has underestimated this threat for far too long. The dilemma is about what level of force to use to deal with an internal challenge to the state. The Omanis, however, did not suffer from such semantic worries. They used helicopter gunships, fighters, the best and latest weaponry and training, intense patrolling, and a powerful hearts-and-minds campaign. Even then, it took two decades to finally win the war.
So, it is interesting to consider, as we fiddle around with debates on the choice of weapons, what kind of South Asia might obtain if we were to lose to the Maoists. Instead of becoming a counterpoint to Chinese ascendancy, India would all but lose its sovereignty to become a sort of Vichy State under Chinese over-lordship.
The Dhofar war had to be prosecuted not only in the mountains bordering Yemen but also far away in order to cut supply routes across the Indian Ocean. It was also to protect the arteries that connected Omani oil fields, pipelines and highways across the country. It forced the rapid modernisation of the sultanate from aoverlooked backwaters into a modern state and valued strategic ally of the West, perched as Oman is at the mouth of the Gulf of Hormuz.
There are lessons in this for India. The Maoists have already talked of taking the battle into the cities for example.
Coincidentally, I have lived in both Bastar and Muscat. I was a little boy in 1959 when we lived in Jagdalpur. My father was a Government civil engineer and had volunteered for the experimental Dandakaranya Project for the resettlement of East Bengali refugees.
I remember idyllic afternoons catching mud crabs on the banks of the river nearby and Mowgli-like trips to the deep forest replete with tented camps, jungle sounds, thunderous waterfalls and bare-bodied, bow-and-arrow-toting tribals. But even in 1960, the steel smelting furnaces of Bhilai were being lit. The propaganda of neglect which is treated as nearly axiomatic in the debate on causes of Maoism may actually be much exaggerated.
We lived in Oman also, through its scorching developmental years even as it fought off the Communists using the most modern means at its command. India too needs to modernise its armed response to the Maoist insurgency, even as its economy develops rapidly. We need to invest all the men, resources, planning, soft skills and technical expertise necessary to eliminate the Maoist threat in the shortest possible time. Given that we are confronted by hostile neighbours on more than one front, in addition to the depredations of Islamist terrorists and other insurrections in the North-East, we cannot afford the luxury of a long war of attrition.
Guerrilla war may indeed mean 'little war' in Spanish; but with its reliance on trickery, sabotage, ambushes and raids, its efficacy can be borne out by its disconcertingly successful track record. Witness the People's Liberation Army in Mao Tse-Tung's China, Fidel Castro's rebellion in Cuba, the Viet Cong in North Vietnam, the Irish Republican Army, the Kosovo War and so on.
In fact, guerrilla war, with its flexibility, relatively low cost, its undeclared ability to harass and weaken, could well become the preferred mode of future conflict between nations. There are indeed many advantages to its conduct, both stated and unstated. But as Henry Kissinger famously explained, "The conventional Army loses if it does not win. The guerrilla wins if he does not lose."
***************************************
THE PIONEER
EDITORIAL
JUDGES ARE NOT ABOVE SCRUTINY
ONKAR CHOPRA
It is exactly a fortnight after two national dailies reported that the Domestic Violence Act can apply to women accused as well that a Delhi High Court judge has refuted the same, reserving the matter for deliberation. Why cannot our judiciary make up its mind once for all? Why unsettle the settled issues and put up obstructions in the justice delivery system so that domestic violence victim are denied justice? It is unbelievable that judicial minds are still scratching their heads over he subject.
There is absolutely no ambiguity about the fact that women accused of domestic violence mothers-in-law, sisters-in-laws, etc can be booked under the Domestic Violence Act. The reason why questions are being repeated raised over this settled matter is because some judges who have been at the receiving end of martial woes are unable to see a woman victim come away with justice in domestic violence cases. Hence, it would be appropriate to detail the marital status of these judges before they are assigned to such cases. For, they cannot be expected to sit in judgement in domestic violence cases if they have/are going through a troubled phase in their married life.
After all judges too are human beings. A judge with a background of an unhappy married life because of matrimonial discord is not in a fit mental state to sit in judgement in cases of domestic abuse. A judge who has in his own personal life been ill-treating his own wife can hardly be expected to deliver a fair-minded judgement in a domestic violence case.
Chief Justices of our High Courts and district judges must carry out a detailed check of the background of a judge as far as state of his married life is concerned before he is allowed to sit in judgement in matrimonial cases.
Moreover, at this juncture when a national debate on corruption in the judiciary has been initiated, this cross-check of a judge's married life is a must. It is a measure of his sensitivity towards a suffering domestic violence victim. Hence, in the interest of justice, judges' marital life should be examined before they are assigned domestic violence cases.
***************************************
THE PIONEER
OPED
ALLIANCE OF CONVENIENCE
THE CONGRESS AND THE NCP HAVE A STRANGE LOVE-HATE RELATIONSHIP. THE GLUE OF POWER AT THE CENTRE AND IN MAHARASHTRA KEEPS THE TWO PARTIES TOGETHER, BUT EVER SO OFTEN THE ALLIANCE IS TESTED BY SOME ISSUE OR THE OTHER, AS IT HAPPENED RECENTLY OVER THE IPL STORM. YET, THEY DON'T FALL APART!
KALYANI SHANKAR
The present coalition politics at the Centre has made strange bedfellows and a classic example would be the NCP and its parent party, the Congress. They have always had a peculiar love-hate relationship. During the current IPL controversy it has come to surface once again that how even cricket could become an irritant between the two parties. However, both are compelled to remain together as coalition partners because of political compulsions. Power cements their ties more than anything else. Besides its share at the Centre, the NCP is an important partner in Maharashtra, Goa and Meghalaya.
Why do strains develop between the two? First, it is because of the inherent contradictions in the alliance. Despite 10 years of being coalition partners, there is no cohesion at the ground level as there is suspicion and mistrust. This becomes more evident at the time of elections.
Second, it seems that NCP chief Sharad Pawar has not forgotten his removal from the Congress in 1989 and Congress president Sonia Gandhi has not forgiven him for raising the 'foreigner' issue against her. This is one of the reasons why there is no assimilation between the NCP and the Congress.
Third, the Congress has not been able to digest that its offspring like the NCP and the Trinamool Congress have become dominant partners in Maharashtra and West Bengal respectively. The friction had been visible with senior Congress leaders from Maharashtra like Industry Minister Vilas Rao Deshmukh having a jibe at Mr Pawar. In the past six years, whenever there was a problem pertaining to his Ministry, the Congress leaders did not leave the chance to criticise him be it on the farmer's suicide or drought relief or now the IPL controversy. They even opposed alliance with the NCP before the 2009 Assembly elections. The result: Parent parties and splinter parties weaken each other. This is true for both the NCP and the Trinamool Congress.
Fourth, although the Congress would like the NCP's merger with it and there are many takers for this suggestion in the NCP, Maratha strongman Sharad Pawar is not in for the merger. Even recently the NCP working committee had rejected such an idea. There is fear of a succession war between Mr Pawar's daughter Supriya Sule, his nephew Ajit Pawar and some senior leaders like Mr Chagan Bhujwel and Mr RR Patil.
The IPL controversy has once again triggered a friction between the Congress and the NCP with fingers raised at the alleged involvement of some NCP leaders in the IPL scam. The IT raids and probing into the BCCI and IPL affairs have sent a political signal to the NCP leaders about their vulnerability. At one point of time, the controversy was moving from cricket to politics but the Congress quickly realised that it needed the NCP's nine votes for passing the Finance Bill in the Budget session. The Congress managers knew that the elbowroom for manoeuvrability is very limited in a coalition Government. After Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee and Home Minister P Chidambaram had a meeting with Mr Pawar, things were worked out to the satisfaction of both. The Congress has achieved what it wanted and got rid of Mr Lalit Modi as the IPL commissioner. The NCP had voted with the Government on the Finance Bill and will be spared from any more embarrassment from the Income Tax and the Enforcement Directorate. So all is well that ends well.
Interestingly, cricket seemed to have soured the Congress-NCP ties even earlier. In 2004, Mr Pawar lost the race to head the BCCI to Mr Ranbir Mahendra, backed by the Congress. The combined strength of the NCP and the BJP together could not get him elected as the BCCI chief. Again, in 2006, the friction between the two parties surfaced when the Congress backed Mr Jagmohan Dalmia against the candidature of a West Bengal police officer to snub Mr Pawar who was supporting him.
Now that the Finance Bill has been passed smoothly, the Congress is quite relieved. It is clear that nothing more can be expected on the IPL investigation. Even the Ministry of Corporate Affairs is going slow on the IPL affairs. Mr Lalit Modi has become the fall guy and the Congress has sacked junior Minister Shashi Tharoor. There are some who see the return of Mr Modi after six months or a year. In the case of Mr Tharoor also there are rumours in the Congress that he may be rehabilitated at the earliest after a respectable cooling off period. So where does that leave the public? Those who are watching the political scene become more cynical and predict 'business as usual' sooner than later.
The NCP chief is a mature politician and knows how to handle the Congress although he has gone wrong in his calculations sometimes. The Congress leaders also have come to have a working relationship with the NCP. The Congress leaders seem to have learnt to deal with the Maratha strongman. It is a game of give and take and it is also a game of power play. Who wins and who loses depend on the capacity of the players?
***************************************
THE PIONEER
OPED
WIN-WIN POLITICS
LEFT SHEDS A LOT OF ITS IDEOLOGICAL BAGGAGE
SHIKHA MUKERJEE
Consistency is the hallmark of the small-minded; therefore, the large-minded leaders of Indian politics have abandoned the convention of pursuing tense binary positions at all costs and adopted with enthusiasm and creativity more flexible strategies with the purpose of being permanently in win-win games.
Unsurprisingly, therefore, the cut motions moved by anti-Congress parties in the Lok Sabha produced an array of responses. Complicated as the dynamics of these alignments are, these reveal the shedding of a lot of baggage by the Left. To jump to the conclusion that a new politics is emerging that produces combines based on issues rather than ideology, history and principles would be hasty and possibly incorrect.
The Communist Party of India(Marxist) and the BJP are on the same side because they have a common foe the Congress. That is familiar history; but what is new is that increasingly they are willing to vote together, coordinating moves rather than contradicting and undermining each other. This does not amount to camaraderie; it does point to calculated complicity.
Thirty odd years ago, the Left would not have been caught in the uncomfortable position of voting on a motion moved by the BJP. Nor would it have agreed to allow the cut motions to be clubbed together and moved en bloc. Because it would not vote alongside the Jana Sangh, the CPI(M) pulled the rug on the Morarji Desai Government in 1979. In 1991, even though it rescued the minority Narasimha Rao Government by abstaining from the vote of confidence and bailed it out once more by staging a walkout on a Budget vote, it remained officially in denial about these moves.
In 2004, the CPI(M) shed more of its inhibitions and became less squeamish by extending outside support to a Congress-led UPA. It sat at the same table and negotiated over policy, taking credit, however hotly disputed by the Congress, for the National Rural Employment Guarantee Programme among other things.
Post 2008, the CPI(M) set out to establish new ties with regional parties and produced embarrassing failures. In Uttar Pradesh, the deal with the entirely whimsical Bahujan Samaj Party leader, Ms Mayawati unravelled. The Congress benefited. The realignment paid off on April 27; Ms Mayawati declared her principled opposition to the Congress's failure to curb price rise and then in a magnificent gesture extended support to keep the communal forces at bay. Fussier than Ms Mayawati, both Mr Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mr Lalu Prasad Yadav distanced themselves from the Congress as well as the BJP even as they promised to vote with the Left but were not given a chance to make good on it.
Even though these permutations and combinations mean the CPI(M) can and does willingly sup with its enemy, the BJP, because both are united in their anti-Congress politics, there is a remarkable absence of fuss. However, fastidious some may be in the CPI(M), the significant change is that it has abandoned its position that there are pariahs and there are others within the political space.
Untouchability, however, is not a practical guide to 21st century politics. Nursing grudges too is not practical any more. Even though the Congress and the Trinamool Congress have been at loggerheads over seat distribution in the forthcoming municipal elections, Ms Mamata Banerjee jumped into save the UPA on Tuesday. She did so without once registering her protest over the Congress failure to curb the rise in prices of food.
Her unconditional support is intriguing. She could have done what Ms Mayawati did; she chose not to. By voting without a fuss with the Congress on the cut motions, the Trinamool Congress has signalled that it needs the parent party to cement its victory run in West Bengal. Therefore the failure to arrive at a formula for seat-sharing, especially for the Kolkata Municipal Corporation, has been partly compensated by Ms Banerjee's support on April 27.
In Kolkata, the alliance between the Congress and the Trinamool Congress is elastic; it is stretched to accommodate Ms Banerjee's claims. To the extent the partnership is between two parties, there are few complexities, unlike the tortuous alignments that are unfolding between the Congress and its supporters on the one hand and the anti-Congress left and the anti-Congress right and communal parties on the other.
For, to win is all. The cost of faltering now would be the equivalent of sudden death in a tense tennis match.
**************************************
THE PIONEER
OPED
INDIA A GARBAGE DUMP FOR WORLD
DIRT-CHEAP LABOUR, A DISMAL HUMAN RIGHTS RECORD, CALLOUS AND VENAL GOVERNANCE AND SLOW JUDICIAL PROCESSES MAKE IT THE PREFERRED DESTINATION FOR TOXIC WASTE
ANURADHA DUTT
Following the death of a labourer as a result of multi-organ failure, after exposure to radiation in the capital's Mayapuri scrap market earlier in April, the Union Cabinet, Parliament and all responsible political parties need to take a hard look at India's lax monitoring of imports of foreign waste. Seven persons were severely burnt in the mishap, of whom one died. Experts from the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, National Disaster Management Authority, Defence Research and Development Organisation and Atomic Energy Regulatory Board had to be called in to isolate the radioactive substance Cobalt-60 and take it away.
According to BARC, the radioactive waste reached the scrap dealer's shop in West Delhi from the international scrap market. Global and local trade in waste transportation, disposal and recycling is estimated to run into billions of dollars. Reports from around the world suggest that enforcement of free trade laws over the past two decades have increasingly turned developing countries into dumping grounds for the most dangerous industrial and chemical wastes from other countries, especially the First World. Dirt-cheap labour; a dismal human rights record; civil society indifference; callous and venal governance; and extremely slow judicial processes account for India and its ilk becoming the preferred destination for ships that need to be broken up; computers and other discarded electronic items that require disposal; lethal industrial effluents; and god knows what else.
Anti-dumping activists, whose pleas have been ignored by policy-makers, now feel vindicated. Consequently, the land, where even the gods apparently yearn to take birth, is becoming a polluted, toxic terrain which, in the years to come, might become unfit for any species of healthy life. Much has already been written about the poisoning of groundwater and water bodies, and resultant maladies, as well as the state's colossal failure to counter this. Waste dumping is an issue that needs to be focussed upon with the same urgency, given the lethal repercussions. And it goes beyond the ambit of the environmental and commerce industries. Blame for the Mayapuri disaster must fall also on the local administrators, MLA and city Government, as too on the Centre for failing to ratify the amendment to the Basel Convention Basel Ban Amendment 1995 effectively prohibiting export (or import) of such waste.
The amendment came into being to give more teeth to the earlier international law, adopted in 1989, which monitored the movement and disposal of dangerous waste across boundaries. It forbids export of hazardous waste for final disposal and recycling from Annex VII countries (parties to the Convention that are members of the European Union, Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development) to non-Annex VII countries (other parties to the Convention). India has ratified the Basel Convention but not the amendment, reportedly under pressure from traders in such waste. ToxicsWatch Alliance, which is working to increase public awareness about the tragic fallout of India's imports of toxic waste, and trying to influence policy in this regard, claims that about 88 countries have banned such imports via their own laws or regional agreements. In times of war, apparently, such trade is common. But India, during peace time, has turned a blind eye to it. Perhaps it is the weak-kneed response of successive Governments to the Union Carbide pesticides' plant leak at Bhopal in December 1984 that has commercial buccaneers targeting India for quick gains and hazardous enterprises. An estimated 8,000 people died within days of the leak, and an equal number, reportedly, over the next few years. Many affected by the gas leak developed crippling disorders. But civil and criminal cases against the accused here and in the United States have failed to bring the culprits to book.
The UPA Government's National Environmental Policy is said to refer to strategies for cleanup of poisonous and hazardous waste dump legacies; doing a national inventory of such dumps; online monitoring of the movement of waste; taking legal recourse to solve related problems; and so on. But the most important question that arises is whether any safety mechanisms have been put in place. The Mayapuri disaster provides the answer: None. One also just needs to look at the shipyards in Alang on the Gujarat coast for further corroboration. Since the early-1980s, these have gradually captured about half the ship-breaking and recycling business in the world. The work is done manually for a fraction of the cost entailed, say, in Baltimore in the US. But while providing livelihood, it does great damage to human health and environment.
**************************************
THE PIONEER
OPED
IS EDUCATION SAFE IN PRIVATE HANDS?
THROUGH RIGHT TO EDUCATION, THE GOVERNMENT IS SHRUGGING OFF ITS RESPONSIBILITY, WRITES SACHIN JAIN
Right to Education has been a three-decade long struggle for those who believe that education should reach every child in this country. Finally, education is a constitutional right for every child between ages 6 to 14 years. It is a reflective of social and political ethos, a reiteration the nation's commitment to build its pool of human talent, skills and resources to take the leap into a promising future.
However, there remains a niggling doubt, that in spite of all the right sounding noises, something does not ring true. Why is the Government which needs to go all-out to implement this on the ground, not only in form but in spirit now seems to be lagging behind?
There is dimension at work, not fully explicit but it throws up the uncomfortable angle of co-opting the private sector into what is clearly a Government's mandate towards its people. Large areas and sections of its implementation will be left to private hands who may have little or no commitment to the underlying principles behind this Act. Is the Government trying to say that private educators are driven by the same motivation as the state in implementing this right?
The Act says that every private school should ensure a reservation of 25 per cent of its seats for underprivilged children. The burden of educating these children will lie with the Government, so nothing goes out of their own coffers. The Ministry of Human Resources is moving ahead on the presumption that private sectors will develop infrastructure in the beginning that the Government will repay them as fees in 20-30 years.
This means Government resources would be used to create private property. There is again a contradiction here. While the Government will spend its funds to pay the fees and bear the education expenses of underprivilged children in private schools, it will not allocate its funds to create structure for the coming five years. Why is public money being used to benefit private sector?
At another level, the role of the Panchayats in the education system in villages would naturally diminish. With private players in the fray, the responsiveness of the system at the ground-level to the needs of the community could also take a blow.
While private schools would proliferate in cities and towns, would they open schools in remote rural areas, for adivasis and backward sections in remote areas? Would they not turn out a child once he/she turns 14 years and the Government stop paying fees? How will the parents, from poor backgrounds cope?
The shedding off responsibilities by successive Governments in public welfare and basic rights sector in the name of public-private partnership has become a pattern. This has been happening, in different sectors, each with its own trajectory since 1991, the beginning of liberalisation as the era is referred to.
The Government has categorically said that it does not have the resources required to implement this Act. But this statement, rather than being taken at face value smacks of a ploy to bring in private players into this arena. In last financial year, the Government has given a benefit of Rs 4.18 lakh crore to corporate and private sectors. The tax benefit given to the middle and upper class has cost the government Rs 55,000 crore. Yet the Government is unwilling to give Rs 1.78 lakh crore over five years for education.
These private players are not going to carry the onus of the Right to Education as a social commitment but a way to expand markets. Business organisations could be looking at generating revenue of Rs 3.4 lakh crore in next 10 years through the implementation of the Act.
When all the arguments are stated and the cards laid on the table, it all comes together in perhaps one simple short statement. According to the Constitution, the Government not private sector is responsible to ensure the Right to Education for every child. If it reneges on it, then it has to answer to the people of this country.
**************************************
******************************************************************************************
MAIL TODAY
COMMENT
CORRUPTION AS A WAY OF LIFE IN OUR DEMOCRACY
IT WAS the Austrian writer Karl Kraus who said that corruption is worse than prostitution.
" The latter might endanger the morals of an individual," he wrote, " but the former invariably endangers the morals of the entire country." In the case of Indian bureaucrats, corruption has taken on far more sinister proportions.
The result of one bureaucrat's dishonesty was responsible perhaps for the death of some of the 75 CRPF jawans and a Chhattisgarh state police official, who were killed in an ambush by Maoists in the forests of Dantewada district on April 6.
Actually, since the home ministry has scrapped the trials and the re- trials of bulletproof jackets after allegations that Radhe Shyam Sharma now under CBI arrest was favouring a particular company for procuring them, India's paramilitary forces would have to wage war against internal security threats such as the Maoists without this potentially life- saving equipment for a year.
Bureaucratic corruption has become so rampant in India that it is getting difficult to separate the honest officers from the dishonest.
It is a sad irony that in a government headed by one of the most honest prime ministers India has ever had Manmohan Singh corruption has prospered like never before.
The same day as Sharma was arrested for his shady involvement in the Rs 200 crore worth deal, another senior bureaucrat a joint secretary in charge of the National Disaster Management Authority in the home ministry was found to have allegedly earned Rs 25 lakh as payback for helping six firms in Daman evade taxes worth Rs 340 crore. Our honest prime minister needs to ask himself whether he has done all he could to check the growing cancer of official corruption. If not, the consequences could be worse than a Dantewada.
**************************************
MAIL TODAY
COMMENT
MORE DIRT ON SPECTRUM SALE
EVERY round of fresh bidding in the ongoing auction of 3G spectrum has served to magnify the extent to which telecom minister A Raja's acts of omission and commission have robbed the government of revenue. The minister's explanations for why he chose to give away precious 2G spectrum resources to rank new entrants at 2001 prices without any bidding have failed to convince anyone.
Now, allegations have surfaced that the government has evidence in its possession, by way of tapped telephone conversations of a powerful lobbyist, of underhand dealings and kickbacks. Regardless of the veracity of these charges, the bloated bottomlines of some of the players, whose only ' achievement' was to bag the licences, was enough evidence to warrant some sort of action against Mr Raja.
The scandal also underscores the urgent need to review the way public resources and assets are defined by law. With technological advancement, resources are no longer simply uncut forests or un- mined mineral resources.
As the 3G auctions have shown, airwaves can turn out to be more precious than diamonds.
It is time the government brought the rules governing the control and use of resources into the 21st century. And it is high time that the Prime Minister, whose personal probity is unquestioned, ensured that his colleagues in government kept the same standards.
***************************************
MAIL TODAY
COMMENT
DESERVED TREATMENT
IT IS not just Khusboo and women rights activists who will welcome the Supreme Court quashing criminal cases against the actress for speaking in favour of pre- marital sex. Civil society which has bemoaned the recent trend of illiberal people using the legal means to harass prominent citizens will also be relieved. If Khusboo as an individual thinks that premarital sex is desirable and several arguments can be made backing this view it is her fundamental right to air her stand in the public domain.
The Supreme Court seems to have been unnecessarily patient with the complainants in the case, trying to explain to them that no crime was made out against the actress.
Courts in this country must send out the message that they have far more important matters to attend to than grievances that stem from obscurantist or skewed sensibilities.
It is surprising indeed that this basic fact was not appreciated by the Madras High Court when it refused to quash the cases against Khusboo.
***************************************
MAIL TODAY
COLUMN
BIG AND UGLY IS THE DESIGN DICTUM OF OUR TIMES
BY GAUTAM BHATIA
MY SON uses a Gillette Mach III Turbo Triple Edged Razor, recently upgraded from the Double Edged Gillette Sensor Series 2. In the half hour it takes him to shave, he also uses a range of beard softeners, gels, aerosol cans of foam and after shaves, finally emerging with a mild reduction of facial hair. By contrast, my father only used an old Bharat blade, which he carefully saves for the next day's shave. The transformation from Bharat blades to Gillette Mach III in a mere 30 years, spells a generational shift from an era of useful functional objects to one of mindless consumer frivolity.
From the 1960s to now, just look at the range of ordinary conveniences that have undergone this change. Before liberalisation, the primary car on the Indian roads was the Ambassador. It came in three striking colours: beige, cream and egg shell, and could be repaired by anyone at the roadside tea stall using strings and rubber bands. Luxury meant an Ambassador with a sun visor and a fan on the dashboard.
Contradiction
Today's car brands are known not just for their colour, size, make, engine, gadgets, upholstery and sun roofs, but for a variety of other indecipherable assets. At a bar, it isn't unusual to hear someone say, " Yaar, mine is a Luxury Ex3L and a 4.8 Overhead Cam with Power Disc Sonic brakes and 520 CL Automatic Cruise Control. ( But you will not hear the same inane trivia for a washing machine. " Yaar we got the Whirlpool Cool Wash 351 Dx with the Automatic Spin Cycle." In matters of social class, the car is at the top of the heap).
Sadly, the dissociation between function and appearance is a phenomenon of our time, and one of the primary contradictions of the many new objects flooding the market. The shoe store is now a Foot Accessory Studio. Hundreds of sport shoes back lit on a wall of plexiglass.
Shoes for tennis, football, running, walking shoes, trekking shoes, strollers, hikers all displayed with worryingly scientific tags: Triple Density All- purpose Fibre reinforced base with CVA Heel Support and Gel- pad Shock Absorbers. If you stand in front of the aerodynamic Apollo series with a guiding light in the heel, the salesman will tell you, " Notice that it's got a narrow footprint to reduce ground friction and air resistance". The all- purpose PT shoe is a museum relic.
I listen to about eight songs on my IPod.
Which is a real shame since it has a capacity to store 40,000, plus several full length films, office accounts and property tax data, and who knows what else? The Apple I- Phone 3G has video recording, voice control, GPS, maps, a compass, email, camera and many other non- phone features. Is this the new form of convenience living, to carry all your gadgets in a single object? When being so multipurpose overwhelms the original purpose, doesn't the implement in fact become less handy? Similarly, a wrist watch with multiple dials that provide the weather forecast, wind speeds, altitude, heart rate, blood pressure, skin temperature and humidity levels, can hardly be called a watch. That it is sold at watch and jewellery stores and not at a chemist is another matter.
But its wearer, proud of its link to Roger Federer and Tiger Woods, is hardly concerned with finding out the time. Nautilus, a watch that can take water pressure pressure up to a hundred metres below the ocean, is usually worn by teenagers who barely go near a swimming pool. Is this plain stupidity or just good marketing? If you think that adding new uses to old things is unique, then look at items that do away with the original object altogether.
Kindle, the electronic reader, has dispensed with the book. You hold an electronic page, barely a quarter inch thick, and pretend that there is a whole book in your hand.
Bloated
Can a 10 inch long, light- weight wireless screen, ever be a substitute for a heavy 300 page hardback, with curry stains and a torn book jacket? Will technology ever be a substitute for the sensory pleasure of a book's weight? Amazon, the promoters of Kindle, even promise, " We want to have every book ever printed in any language available within 60 seconds on Kindle". Downloading can hardly be a substitute for browsing in a musty bookshop.
More often than not, advancing technology needs serious scrutiny before application. Remember, when Windows 98 was given a shut down command, within seconds the computer had switched off. Try giving the same command to the more advanced Windows XP, you are offered a choice of Standby, Turn Off and Restart. If you choose Turn Off, the computer screen displays another sign indicating that it is logging off, but while doing so it asks you if you'd like to save your settings. Is this advancement or regression? Certainly, technology's ability to give greater access to a range of activities is a good thing, but there is always the danger of the abuse of technology. However, in a product culture everything gets designed, redesigned and over- designed to fit the changing demands of the era.
In the 1950s, furniture had spindly legs that splayed outwards.
The 60s and 70s returned to the straight line requirements of the age of chrome and steel. After the 1980s, objects began to bloat. CD players became fat and rounded with numerous dials and knobs; Cielo cars bulged as if they had consumed a few Marutis. Of late, the Mahindra Scorpio, baring its chromium teeth grille, is looking threatening enough to make its own road. Big and ugly and powerful is the design dictum of our times. And big and ugly will remain, till some Italian or Scandinavian designer says it's time to move on to things angular.
Advertising
Companies too will continue to rely on people's desire for conformity to ensure that their investment in new products is safe. Rolex watches, Gucci bags and Adidas shoes, instead of reflecting the individual personality of its users, are ironically given a mass produced image of individuality. This way everyone can display the same brand without the guilt of private choice. To have what you don't need, to buy what you can't afford, to display that which everyone has, is the real success of advertising.
By employing seduction, pictorial imagery, sci- fi aesthetics and other inessentials of design, marketing companies evoke a sense of newness with the product and ensure that you feel hopelessly outdated if you don't conform and buy. Consequently, design changes in objects are mostly cosmetic and pointless.
Products like car accessories are downright useless: wipers on headlights, indicator lights on side mirrors, sun roofs in the June heat, dimming light switches for dashboards, cup holders, foot lights, lights in the boot, foot level AC, spoilers uselessness upon uselessness, fripperies to astound the most excitable consumer.
There is probably a full Research and Development division where grown men sit around a table bouncing off ideas.
" Hey Prakash, why don't we put a light in the dicky." " But why?" " Just so the luggage can read on long journeys." " Let's at least carpet the dickey so the luggage is comfortable". " Great idea. Let's also carpet the road so the tyres can take it easy". The debate rages. As long as there is advertising, people's needs can only grow.
The writer is an architect
***************************************
MAIL TODAY
COLUMN
THE LAHORE LOG
THE FUTILITY OF AN INDICTMENT
BY NAJAM SETHI
THE Report of the UN Commission of Inquiry into the assassination of Benazir Bhutto is a significant indictment of the way Pakistan is ruled. Its conclusions are worth noting and require comment.
The Report shows a realistic understanding of how politics was played in Pakistan in the run- up to Benazir's assassination. The nature of the political " deal" between Benazir and President General Pervez Musharraf brokered by the UK and USA, how and why it soured closer to the general elections and the highly dubious role of the ubiquitous " establishment" are explained matter- offactly.
But it is extraordinary that the Report should have concluded that the federal government, Punjab provincial government and Rawalpindi police and administration of the time " deliberately" did not provide adequate security to Benazir and prevent the assassination.
Indeed, the dubious role of the " establishment" whose " permanent core" is defined by the Report as comprising the Pakistani military and intelligence agencies in subverting the original political " deal", then endangering Benazir's life, and finally pulling strings and obfuscating and obstructing the investigations, are underscored with great clarity and courage.
SUCH an approach is due in no small part to to the composition of the three- member commissio, which is headed by Chile's Permanent Representative to the UN, Heraldo Munoz, whose historical opposition to military rule in Chile is documented in his recent book on the Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet who overthrew the democratically elected regime of President Salvador Allende with the assistance of the United States in September 1973.
The Report also sheds indirect light on why the PPP government took a year after coming to power before asking the UN to lend a hand in investigating Benazir's murder. Mr. Zardari was privy to the rights and wrongs of the political " deal' and shared Benazir's aversion to, and apprehension of, the " establishment" which had twice earlier in 1990 and 1996 sent PPP governments packing.
Initially, therefore, he targeted the Pakistan Muslim League Quaid (" Qatil" League) instead of General Musharraf directly, because he didn't want to give the general any excuse to delay the elections further, but also because the PML( Q) was the PPP's " established" competitor. After forming the government with General Musharraf's concurrence, however, Mr. Zardari tried to seize control of the ISI while getting rid of General Musharraf. He failed abysmally in the former objective and was therefore chastened not to clash with the " establishment". Instead, he sought outside ( UN) assistance to investigate Ms. Bhutto's murder.
The UN Commission met with some officials from the USA, UK, Afghanistan and UAE. But it laments the fact that it was denied access by the US government to intelligence officials, including Michael Hayden, a director of the CIA who had alleged an Al- Qaeda- Baitullah Mehsud hand in Benazir's assassination. This is inexplicable, unless the US motive was simply not to embarrass the Pakistani " establishment", with which Washington is currently working closely in the " war on terror", by commenting on its not- soinvisible links with the Jihadis and Taliban who carried out Ms Bhutto's assassination! The Commission makes several major recommendations. ( 1) " The Pakistani authorities should consider conducting an independent review to determine responsibilities and hold accountable those individuals who seriously failed in their duties". How this can be done, with the powerful establishment very much in command, is not spelt out. In fact, the best that the Zardari government has been able to do to the guilty policemen named in the report, is to make them Officers on Special Duty! Equally, the DG- MI, Major- General Nadeem Taj, whose role is questioned in the report for authorising the hosing down of the scene of crime, has submitted a defiant four page denial to the Inquiry Commission constituted by the government after the UN Report. As far as the " establishment" is concerned, this is the final word on the subject and an end to the matter.
( 2) The UN Report wants the government " to undertake police reform consistent with the principles of democratic policing and operating in a structure of accountability for protecting the Rights if Individuals as set out in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights." Tombs have been written on this subject and are collecting dust. The police in Pakistan is deeply politicised and linked to the " establishment". Without redressing the original sin the civil- military imbalance it is futile to try to radically reform the police to become efficient and accountable.
( 3) " The autonomy, pervasive reach and clandestine role of the intelligence agencies in Pakistani life underlie many problems, omissions and commissions set out in the Report the actions of politicised intelligence agencies undermine democratic governance [ therefore] a thorough review of intelligence agencies based on international best practices" is required. This is easier said than done. All politicians, including the current crop of popular leaders like Nawaz Sharif and Asif Zardari, have concluded that discretion is the better part of valour in this matter of the " establishment". Indeed, even the newly independent media is in thrall to the " establishment" for " national security" reasons! ( 4) " The assassination of Benazir Bhutto occurred against the backdrop of a history of political violence that was carried out with impunity. To address this issue, Pakistan should consider establishing a transitory, fully independent Truth and Reconciliation Commission to investigate political killings, disappearances and terrorism in recent years." Hah! That is like asking the " establishment" to investigate itself, indict itself, punish itself and disband itself in pursuit of some lofty UN principles of human rights when the very life purpose of this " establishment" is to continue to do exactly the opposite with ruthless unaccountability and impunity in the national interest! Therefore it is no surprise that the " strategic dialogue" between Pakistan and the US is currently being conducted by the Pakistani Establishment rather than the democratically elected Government of Pakistan!
The writer is Editor of The Friday Times
JUGNU MOHSIN
CAN you imagine? The Hospital ( as in mum's place, the Shaukat Khanum Memorial Hospital) in Lahore has received a directive saying two portraits should be put up immediately in the lobby. One of Zardari as President and the other of Shahbaz Sharif as Chief Minister, Punjab. The directive says the Hospital can also put up my portrait if they like. Alright, I said, put up Zardari and Shahbaz's pictures with the caption: " Two reasons to feel sorry for Pakistan". And under my photo, the head doctor suggested we put the caption: " No danger of reason". What a great idea. I've also told them to put up a sign saying " Mum's Sums" on the door to the accounts department.
Zardari's finished. And Nawaz Sharif is also finished.
His problem is he doesn't want to upset the apple cart.
Once a tradesman, always a tradesman. I should write a book about Pakistan's unscrupulous and corrupt politicians. I know all about them. In case you've forgotten, I'm the one who unearthed Zardari's Surrey Worry. Jimmy Goldsmith was alive at that time and as my father- in- law, he very kindly offered to ferret out everything else on the Bhutto- Zardaris in Switzerland and France where he put Jacques Chirac, God rest his soul in peace, on the job. At that time, Asif Zardari accused me of using my in- laws. You should know, I told him, and if we don't use them, someone else will. So, I think I'll plan a book on Pakistan's corrupt politicians.
And then I'll get someone else to write it, as I always do.
Chapter 1 will be written by Mick Jagger, Chapter 2 by Prameshwar Godrej, Chapter 3 by Fruity Fitztightly and so on till Chapter 10, with internationally renowned has- beens and some never- weres doing the writing. My best friend Yusuf Salahuddin said, " go on. Why stop at Chapter 10?" I said, " because I've run out of fingers". Then Yusuf said, " You've called President Zardari and Chief Minister Shahbaz Sharif so many names. What are you going to call them when they're no longer President and CM?" I said, " Asif Zardari and Shahbaz Sharif." I took my latest squeeze out to dinner in a private club in Islamabad. Against my advice, she wore a dress. But it was down to her ankles so she had her legs covered.
I had everything else covered. The waiter asked her what she'd like. She said, " Grilled fish, please". He said, " what about the vegetable?" She said, " He'll have the same". Then the waiter asked me. I said, " I'll have ibex steak". He said, " Well done?" I said, " thank you so much". Then my latest squeeze kicked me under the table. We're so deeply in love. She with me and me with me.
Im the Dim
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE TIMES OF INDIA
COMMENT
BACK TO BASICS
A quarter-century after its establishment, SAARC continues to struggle in limbo. As so many of the previous summits of South Asian leaders under its aegis have been, the just-concluded conclave in Bhutan's capital, Thimphu, has revolved around the elephant in the room the fraught India-Pakistan relationship. And given that this is the 16th such meeting, one thing has become abundantly clear. SAARC will make no real headway while tensions between its two largest members remain.
Since South Asian cooperation is nevertheless a must, it therefore falls to India to build a web of such cooperation through bilateral ties with SAARC member states. The most effective way to do this is through boosting trade flows between SAARC member states. As it stands now, the concept of a South Asian free trade zone a SAARC initiative hasn't taken off. Smaller steps are needed first, and it is here that India can lead the way. It currently has a free trade agreement only with Sri Lanka and another one with Bangladesh in the works. New Delhi would do well to look at opening up its market to other South Asian neighbours as well.
This is not to say that SAARC does not have its functions. But expecting multilateral initiatives within its framework to ease bilateral tensions is putting the cart before the horse. The flaws of this policy have been thrown into stark relief by the various leaders at Thimphu this time around. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has admitted that declarations and meetings do not amount to much while Bhutanese Prime Minister Jigme Thinley has been even blunter, pointing out that SAARC has not been a success, waylaid too often by squabbles between member states.
Good atmospherics were reported when Singh met his Pakistani counterpart Yousuf Raza Gilani, the most positive outcome of which is that talks between India and Pakistan are back on track. Engagement needs to be kept up no matter what differences between New Delhi and Islamabad there might be. That's true even if a lot of energy is likely to be expended on what the structure of future talks or "modalities", that word beloved of bureaucrats on both sides is going to be. It, however, remains a moot question how much Pakistan's embattled civilian authorities are in charge of its foreign policy, particularly India policy. Talks, no matter how structured they are, are unlikely to succeed unless New Delhi also moves outside formal structures and engages Pakistan's military and security agencies.
***************************************
THE TIMES OF INDIA
COMMENT
DEJA VU IN RANCHI
Jharkhand has been here before. Four months after being sworn in, the coalition government in Ranchi has been reduced to a minority. Hectic parleys are on to salvage the JMM-BJP government, with a range of possibilities being discussed. Some of the options are bizarre since ideological common ground has ceased to matter in coalition building in Jharkhand. The deliberations are driven by self-interest and political parties are intent merely on capturing office. Shibu Soren's decision to vote for the UPA on the cut motion in Parliament was an act of self-destruction. A feeble attempt to blame Alzheimer's for Soren's faux paus didn't pass muster with the BJP. The party's sense of outrage is understandable since it broke convention to persuade the chief minister to attend Parliament. His action has left the BJP leadership looking silly.
Political uncertainty has dogged Jharkhand since its inception in 2000. The powerful tribal movement that led the struggle for a separate state has fragmented. The political churning in the state has spawned numerous outfits but there's been no sign of any ideologically coherent and stable coalition. The political instability has resulted in the formation of seven different governments, including one headed by an independent MLA, in the past nine years. The frequent change of governments has not helped governance in the state. This mineral-rich state continues to house some of India's poorest and vulnerable people because successive governments have failed to develop public institutions and make use of the state's resources. Maoists have exploited the crisis in the political system and built a base in the state. A stable government is sorely needed to improve administration and keep the Maoists under check.
***************************************
THE TIMES OF INDIA
EDITORIAL
MAHARASHTRA TURNS FIFTY
Enthusiasm will be in short supply tomorrow when Maharashtra's movers and shakers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the creation of the state. Most Maharashtrians are far too concerned about the problems assailing them from all sides to respond to the hype and hoopla. Indeed, the claims that the ruling establishment is bound to make about the strides the state has taken over the past five decades can only generate a torrent of cynical despair.
On the face of it, certain statistics that the rulers advance to bolster their claims might appear to be upbeat. Since 1960, the proportion of the literate population, for example, has more than doubled from around 35 per cent to a little more than 77 per cent. Only Kerala among the major states has a more impressive record on this score. The figures for infant mortality and life expectancy, too, give cause for satisfaction.
The bald statistics about the overall growth of the economy are, at first sight, also pretty impressive. The state's income has increased manifold as has per capita income. The latter stands at more than Rs 47,000, a figure that places Maharashtra way ahead of most states. But once you begin to go through the statistics with a fine toothcomb, the picture changes in a dramatic fashion. In Mumbai and its surroundings, the per capita income is close to Rs 74,000; in the Konkan, a little more than Rs 66,000; in Marathwada, it stands at some Rs 30,500; and in Vidarbha, it is Rs 29,000.
It is thus no surprise that about a third of Maharashtra's population lives below the poverty line. On this count, in the country as a whole, the state figures third from the bottom as far as the number of people is concerned and fifth from the bottom in terms of percentages. Part of the reason for this must be attributed to the mismanagement of agriculture. Over the past five decades, the output of wheat, jawar, bajra, cereals, pulses, cotton, oilseeds and sugarcane has decreased, in some instances quite drastically.
Add to this the state's failure to address the bleak situation in the drought-prone areas, notably of Vidarbha. Since 1995, over 40,000 indebted farmers have committed suicide, not least because they haven't been able to benefit in full measure from various government schemes. The latter have in fact been niggardly compared to the schemes of other state governments surrounding Maharashtra.
The low agricultural output accounts for the sharp rise in food prices. This burden would have been easier to bear had people been gainfully employed. However, despite the setting up of manufacturing units, IT software enterprises and growth in other service sectors, job losses have been mounting. From 1995 to 2008, as many as 1,800 people lost jobs everyday. This was before the recession struck. Indeed, according to official figures, jobs generated by various government schemes declined by 30 per cent.
All this would have been enough cause for Maharashtrians to bemoan their fate. What also galls them is that the creation of the state has not allowed them to control the levers of the state's economy. Before 1960, a bulk of commercial activity was in the hands of non-Maharashtrians: Gujaratis, Marwaris, Khojas, Bohras, Sindhis, Parsis and Punjabis. That is true today as well.
With the exception of the Kirloskars, no Marathi-owned company figures prominently in the country's corporate world. The Marathas, who dominate politics and therefore hold the bureaucracy in a tight grip, have done pretty well for themselves. Political clout has enabled them to operate in areas where the resources of the state can be manipulated for personal gain: real estate, agricultural cooperatives and educational institutions.
In national politics, too, there is no Maharashtrian with an all-India appeal. That requires a reputation for intellectual rigour, personal integrity and a steadfast commitment to a set of ideas and principles. The last politician with such a reputation was Y B Chavan. Much the same conspicuous absence can be found in areas of scientific and artistic endeavour. How many Marathi-speakers have emerged as national, let alone international, icons? In some fields notably classical music and cricket you can cite three or four names. Add to that a couple of scientists and writers. In the upper echelons of the armed forces and civil services, in think tanks and prestigious universities, in the national media and in the entertainment business too, Maharashtrians are few and far between.
Unable or unwilling to accept why things have come to this pass above all, an aversion to risk and adventure most Maharashtrians prefer to rail against the world. Those who exploit Marathi grievances for short-term political gains are content to promote vada-pao, force shop-owners to put up signs in Marathi and compel taxi drivers from outside the state to speak the language. Such swagger in an urban, increasingly cosmopolitan India invites ridicule. Maharashtrians need to regain their self-esteem. That is possible only when they discard their quintessentially mofussil mindset as, for instance, Lata Mangeshkar and Sachin Tendulkar, Kishori Amonkar and R A Mashelkar have done with such exemplary success.
Jai Maharashtra! all the same.
***************************************
THE TIMES OF INDIA
'ANY SIGNAL FROM SPACE WE CAN'T EXPLAIN IS EXCITING'
As we celebrate 20 years of the Hubble Space Telescope, NASA is readying its successor, the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), for launch in 2013. With physicist Stephen Hawking's reiteration that all math points to intelligent life elsewhere in the universe, the powerful JWST is key to detecting life-sustaining atmospheres of Earth-like planets. Lisa Kaltenegger of the Harvard-Smithsonian Centre for Astrophysics, who heads the team evaluating JWST's planet-hunting capabilities, spoke to Prakash Chandra:
While hunting for habitable planets, how do telescopes study their atmospheres?
Ground-based Radial Velocity Technique measurements enable us to observe the wobble of the star when tugged by its orbiting planet. This tells us the mass of planets. From this we calculate their density and analyse spectral fingerprints. Venus and Earth seem alike in terms of size and mass, but Venus's spectrum only shows absorption of carbon dioxide, while Earth, even in very low resolution, shows water, oxygen, ozone, carbon dioxide and methane.
How can we specifically detect oxygen?
By splitting white light into individual wavelengths or colours -- much like a rainbow -- we measure the intensity of individual colours. The planet's atmosphere absorbs some of the light, which we find 'missing' in its spectrum. Since each molecule absorbs at a characteristic position in the spectrum, we know what chemical is in the atmosphere when we see what flux is missing. Carbon dioxide, water, oxygen and ozone in Earth's atmosphere are relatively easy to measure, so they should be easy to detect in Earth-like planets.
Which is more effective: direct imaging -- studying light from the planet itself -- or the transit technique?
Right now, transits are our only means to study planets and their atmospheres. If we are lucky, the orbit of a planet will be aligned just right for it to transit, which would let us screen it with the Hubble or the JWST for habitability.
You have zeroed in on planets orbiting red dwarf stars as likely candidates bearing conditions suitable for life. Why?
The signal from a planet is usually drowned in the radio 'noise' from its star. If the star is smaller, the 'noise' is less. So it is easier to study planets around small stars like red dwarfs, and it takes less time too. The smaller -- and thus cooler -- the star, the closer the planet must orbit to be warm enough to have liquid water on its surface and be habitable. It also needs less time to orbit: in one Earth year we'll find the planet circling its star more than once, which lets us gather signals from more than one transit.
Isn't it conservative to look for carbon-based life in space?
Absolutely. But we do not know what else to look for that could indicate life based on other chemicals. As long as we cannot make life in the lab, we can only observe the telltale signs of life as we know it in a planet's atmosphere. Any signal we can't explain will be exciting, but we have no one-to-one reference of what they would mean. I am waiting for someone to generate 'life' from its building blocks. If that works we'll see if carbon is really the best material to base 'life' on. Or, if other chemicals also work, what gases such life would produce, which we could then detect remotely in a planet's atmosphere.
***************************************
THE TIMES OF INDIA
KINDNESS OF STRANGERS
JUG SURAIYA
As global aviation limps back to normal after being rudely interrupted by an erupting volcano, stories pour in about people who were stranded, far from home, by Eyjafjallajokull blowing its stack. While some of these stories are about travellers exploited by unscrupulous hoteliers and others who took advantage of the situation, many more are about the kindness that people often show to strangers. Having briefly been refugees ourselves, many years ago, Bunny and i can attest to this kindness of strangers.
In 1973, Bunny and i were on a six-week tour of western Europe. Our travel bible was Arthur Frommer's Europe on Five Dollars a Day, and we were going to stick to that budget, despite friends and family repeatedly telling us it couldn't be done. We were determined to prove them wrong. And we almost did.
We travelled by coach and train, through France, Italy, Switzerland, Austria. Our last destination in Europe was Munich, from where we were to take a Syrian Arab Airline flight to Delhi. The two one-way cut-price tickets had been bought in London.
To keep within our budget we often skipped meals: a missed lunch paid for admission to an art gallery or museum. Food could come later; Picasso, or Rembrandt, couldn't. By the time we reached Munich, both of us were half-starved. And in Munich a bombshell awaited us. Unknown to us on our travels, an Arab-Israeli war had taken place, as sudden, swift and fierce as a desert storm. Syrian Airlines' entire fleet of three planes had been damaged or was ferrying wounded Arab troops back from the front. As the airline was not an IATA member, no other carrier would fly us. In Munich we demanded a refund on our tickets. We were told we'd have to go to London for the refund. Our family in India wanted to pay our airfare home, but RBI rules wouldn't permit it.
Money fast running out, we were stuck in Munich, one of the most costly cities in the world. We lived on a diet of rejected supermarket chocolate, the cheapest food available. Eventually, all our money exhausted, we had to go to the Indian consulate and apply for repatriation. Declaring ourselves destitute we had our passports defaced in front of us and were issued one-time travel warrants, normally reserved for escorted criminals. Air India flew us to Delhi. At the airport i wanted to kneel and kiss the ground. We were home. But one memory of Munich we'll never forget.
Waking past a street fair one day, Bunny had stopped before a woman selling toffee apples. The woman had smiled and held out two apples. Bunny had shaken her head, held up one finger; we could afford only one apple. The woman seemed to intuit our plight. She accepted money for one apple. Then she'd held out the second apple, indicating it was free. Bunny had hesitated. Hunger is bitter; pride is even more bitter to swallow: Bitte, the woman had said. Please. Please? Why had she made a plea for us to accept her gift? Because, by accepting the kindness of strangers, the recipient gives back the greater gift of trust? Bunny had taken the apple. And by doing so, had perhaps given back something in exchange. A belief in our common humanness, a mutual recognition that the person who receives is also a giver.A simple thought to remember, particularly when we in India are -- at long last -- preparing to reach out to those of us who all their lives have known only hunger and poverty. Think of what they might be waiting to give us. Not gratitude, never that. But perhaps a mirror -- flat, hard and unsentimental -- in which we see ourselves, as we might have been, as we might be one day. The gift of ourselves for the price of a toffee apple? What better bargain in the world. But why does it take wars, or volcanoes, for us to find that out?
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
EDITORIAL
WORKING THE PHONES
Radio frequency sold for a song to telecom operators two years ago is making headlines yet again when auctions are on for spectrum that can provide Indians high-speed internet services on their cellphones. The highest bid for countrywide third-generation (3G) spectrum has already crossed Rs 9,000 crore in a month-long online auction with another week to go before the hammer comes down. Comparisons are being drawn to the first-come first-served process conducted by the Department of Telecommunications in 2008 when pan-India licences for slow-speed telephony were handed out at Rs 1,600-odd crore a pop. Subsequently, a couple of start-ups sold stakes to foreign telecom majors that valued them upwards of five times the fee they paid for the licences without having a single cell tower or subscriber to their name. Essentially, these companies were as valuable to their buyers as the licences they held. This underselling of scarce airwaves, argue auditors, courts and a section of our lawmakers, cost the exchequer anything between Rs 26,000 crore and Rs 100,000 crore.
The ongoing auctions could be a better proxy for the revenue forgone in doling out spectrum for second-generation (2G) telephony services at prices set in 2001. Especially since bids in the 3G auctions are being pushed higher by cities where mobile networks are choking up for lack of frequency and where analysts expect a big chunk of the new spectrum will be used to carry the regular voice traffic. Upgrading a 2G cellular network to 3G costs around a third of what it takes to set up a 2G network from scratch. Factor that into the final bids for 3G spectrum and we get a fix on the extent of markdown in 2008.
All this must be read with a caveat, though. India is adding 20 million cellphone users every month as the cost of calls dip to levels the countryside can afford. Huge upfront costs, like spectrum fees, must be passed on to customers and don't permit the bruising price war Indian telecommunications's been witnessing. Auctions at home in 1995 when the first bunch of companies bid for telecom licences and Europe's 3G spectrum sale show companies tend to bid themselves out of the market. The larger goal of universal telecom access may not be best served by setting the entry cost so high that subsequent investments get delayed or scrapped. Spectrum auctions might yield better price discovery for high-end niche services like streaming cricket matches on your cellphone. But a more statist approach may be needed for the spread of India's telecommunication revolution to its villages. Which is all the more reason this mechanism should be above board.
***************************************
HINDUSTAN TIMES
ASYLUM IN RANCHI
You'd have to be a heartless beast or the proverbial mad man from Ranchi not to feel for Shibu Soren. The man has been ticked off by the BJP for voting against the BJP-Left-sponsored cut motions against the UPA. The truth of the matter is that the poor man was confused. Voting against the UPA's economic policies meant voting for the cut motions. Mr Soren, his head brimming with just the word 'against', must have pressed the red button and then cast the 'wrong' paper vote thinking he was supporting his allies in the Jharkhand government, the BJP.
Which brings us to the second level of confusion. The JMM never walked out of the UPA at the Centre for the BJP in the state. So, taking a cue from those masters of bipolar behaviour, the Left, Mr Soren may have been under the belief that in Delhi he should support the central Judas government and in Ranchi, he should support the state BJP. And the man, on Tuesday was in Delhi. So...
But the heart really breaks for another man: BJP president Nitin Gadkari. After Mr Soren played Vibhishan with the BJP in Parliament, the BJP removed its support from the Soren-led Jharkhand government. Mr Gadkari, however, was supping with to switch metaphors Judas. Perhaps no one in the BJP leadership had told him of Mr Soren's momentary lapse of reason; perhaps they did and he was suffering from his very own condition that makes people forget. Poor Congress, now having to deal with a confused 'new old' friend. But hang on, weren't we supposed to spread the pity about Mr Soren? Sorry, our human error.
***************************************
HINDUSTAN TIMES
LOOKS ARE DECEPTIVE
RAJDEEP SARDESAI
Fourteen years ago, as a 13-day A.B. Vajpayee government fell, the BJP's man for all seasons, the late Pramod Mahajan, offered an interesting explanation for what had gone wrong. Speaking to a group of journalists, he said, "We were all so excited at having become the single largest group in Parliament and being invited to form the government that we forgot you need 272 MPs to win a confidence vote!"
Two hundred and seventy-two: that magical number that even Sonia Gandhi tripped over in 1999. Politics, as practised in a television studio may be about its vocabulary, in the heat and dust of a campaign about its chemistry, but in the forbidding corridors of Parliament it is about plain arithmetic. The 2009 general elections ensured that the maths was firmly in favour of the Congress-led UPA. The UPA won 265 seats, seven short of an outright majority, but still more than a 100 seats better than the NDA with 151 seats. The Left was virtually wiped out with 23 seats. The gap was simply too wide to allow a non-UPA combination to stage a democratic coup.
Which is why it's fanciful for some Opposition leaders to have actually believed that they could bring down the Manmohan Singh government through a cut motion in Parliament. That the Left and the Right were excited enough to shed ideological inhibitions and vote together against the government is no surprise. The Left's been itching to teach Singh a lesson since it was isolated on the Indo-US Nuclear Bill. The BJP still hasn't entirely got over its defeats in two successive Lok Sabha elections that it believes it should have won.
But what the Left and the Right seem to have forgotten is that the notion of a 'combined' Opposition is a misnomer in contemporary politics. In 1977, the excesses of the Emergency brought the entire non-Congress Opposition together against Indira Gandhi. In 1989, the Left and Right famously came together to support the Janata Dal government of V.P. Singh. Two decades later, any hope of repeating a 1989-like experiment is betrayed by the reality of a political climate where convenience, not conviction, matters. Anti-Congressism and anti-BJPism both powerful glues for previous experiments in oppositional politics have now been replaced by naked self-interest and, in some cases, sheer survival instinct.
A Mayawati may challenge a Rahul Gandhi on home turf in Uttar Pradesh. But she needs the Centre to bail her out in the Supreme Court. A Shibu Soren, a proven political bigamist, may have entered into a shotgun marriage with the BJP in Jharkhand. But his romance with the UPA in New Delhi will endure till such time as the fear exists of another jail sentence. And then, there're Lalu Prasad and Mulayam Singh Yadav, both of whom also face the prospect of a judicial knock on the door. Both are conscious of the Congress's attempts to invade their territory, but also cannot afford to be seen publicly siding with the BJP.
This disparate group of non-NDA, non-UPA, non-Left 'others' is a substantial 103 MPs in the 15th Lok Sabha. It includes parties like the Biju Janata Dal, which has seemingly committed itself to principled 'equidistance' but mainly comprises political outfits whose leaders are caught in the 'DA trap': not dearness allowance, but disproportionate assets. Their legal tangles make such political leaders acutely vulnerable to pressures from the State machinery, and the CBI now dismissively referred to as the Congress Bureau of Investigation in particular.
But while the UPA is clearly in the comfort zone, there is the danger of comfort turning to complacency. In 1984, Rajiv Gandhi's 400-plus majority withered away as the Opposition was treated with disdain. Singh is not Rajiv: if he does have an ego, he hides it well under his turban. And yet, there's a growing sense that in UPA-2 the Congress, as the dominant party, appears to be moving away from a coalition dharma towards a single-party rule mindset, sanguine in the belief that its position is unchallenged till 2014. The result is a gathering disquiet among some of its allies whose support is critical to the government's well-being.
The Nationalist Congress Party, for example, appears convinced that the Indian Premier League (IPL) 'leaks' have been engineered from within the government to embarrass its leadership. The Trinamool, numerically the largest ally, is worried that ahead of next year's West Bengal elections, the Congress may trip it up at the last moment. The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, too, sees next year's assembly elections as a test case: a surprise defeat could lead to another political realignment. Not to forget Lalu, once a staunch ally, now feeling sidelined after being kept out of the Cabinet. There is also a seething anger across parties at the way in which the Women's Reservation Bill was sought to be rammed through.
Yes, the numbers are still firmly with the UPA government, and there seems no immediate danger to the stability of the ruling coalition. But in politics appearances can be terribly deceptive, and the calm waters may only be masking a certain inner turbulence. To take the IPL analogy: just a month ago, it appeared that Lalit Modi and his team were here to stay forever. It took one tweet to bring down the entire edifice. Politics is far more slippery than cricket. This April has been open season in cricket. Next year, it could well be the case in politics.
Post-script: When asked of his father Shibu Soren's decision to vote with the UPA in Parliament, his son Hemant described it as 'human error'. He's not wrong. It's the frailties of human nature that make politics so unpredictable and exciting.
***************************************
HINDUSTAN TIMES
FIGHT THE DARK FORCES
SRIJANA MITRA DAS
Amid the frenzied welcomes recently greeting newly-married Sania Mirza and Shoaib Malik in Pakistan, there came an intriguing remark. Malik's brother-in-law reportedly stated, "If the government wants us to celebrate in the dark, we'll do so."
The comment illuminates an area of ire in Pakistan. The country is suffering from a severe power crisis that has hit governmental, social and private realms hard. Some regions are undergoing power outages up to 18 hours a day, with business slow-downs and angry protests.
Electricity generation in Pakistan currently equals 10,300 megawatts daily while national demand is 17,000 megawatts. A host of 'crisis measures' have been introduced to plug a gap of over 6,000 megawatts. These include load-shedding for homes and offices, a shortened five-day week, early closure of shops, curbed power supply to street lighting, agriculture and industries and restricting marriage activities to three hours a day.
Despite their aim of power-saving, the measures have not met with uniform popularity. The dissonances emerging shed light upon fissures that cut across Pakistan's polity. While Lahore traders agree to close shops by 8 pm, Karachi traders reject the proposal. They cite the authorities' failure to provide power during the day, pointing towards private generators that keep business going despite load-shedding. Power supply to Karachi from the national grid has been slashed by 300 megawatts. Additional generation using oil is being planned. However, traders in Pakistan's commercial capital are not happy to stand by in the dark meanwhile.
Things aren't peachy in Lahore either. In addition to the time-curbs on wedding venues, the Punjab government has imposed an 'austerity' measure of 'one-dish' to be served at marriage parties. For food-loving Lahoris, this is deeply troubling. Weddings in Lahore are cuisine events, dishes from around the world showcased alongside Punjabi favourites. Mountains of kebabs stand by fountains of chocolate and hills of fruit. Stalls feature spicy chaat, cooling sweets, Arabian, Oriental and European delicacies with rich biryanis, paya and nihari. There are even a few vegetarian offerings (like palak-gosht) amid the rivers of fish and tandoors of bread abounding at Lahore weddings.
Imagine Shoaib Malik's consternation then, having transported Sania and the in-laws from the feasts of Hyderabad, to be allowed only a simple chicken curry at his wedding function in Lahore. To be given no additional time or lighting either might have got Malik's goat.
Interestingly, lessons from Pakistan's power crisis can be learned by India too. Smarting from shared heat and power failures, Indians and Pakistanis should consider how desperately our region needs to develop power sources alternative to hydroelectricity. It is blazingly obvious we have enough solar energy to harness; if we could tear ourselves away from developing the latest in missiles, perhaps we could make something useful instead.
Another lesson lies in how we continue thinking of power as a predominantly middle-class experience. Both countries bemoan the pressure on inverters and diesel-run generators but few accounts explore the world of the poor who enjoy extraordinarily little power to begin or end with. Nationhood, more than a celebration of sameness or an exposition of ideals, is about empathising with difference. It might be refreshing for a middle-class householder to not obsess over her inverter during the next power cut but consider her rural equivalents.
For developing nations, sharing experiences and according dignity to those who have less rather than more are as essential as the enjoyment of resources. While India and Pakistan both negotiate this, there is one more lesson we might learn from them; how to do the bhangra in the dark.
Srijana Mitra Das is a social anthropologist. The views expressed by the author are personal.
***************************************
HINDUSTAN TIMES
THE OTHER IPL SCAM
PREETI SINGH
Little did Richard Nixon and his pals know that their wickedness (or stupidity, depending on how you wish to look at it) would be immortalised for generations (and rip-offs) to come. Watergate, it seems, was the Waterloo that closed the floodgates of creativity forever.
So, even as con men and crim- inals continue to dream up those ingenious schemes to keep authorities running around in circles, their laudable hard work is not being mirrored by that of us hacks. In direct contrast to your average media person's imaginative potential, taglines are lagging way behind head- lines. No sooner did a fresh scan- dal hit the airwaves, than we went scurrying off to add a rather stale, uninspired suffix to the lead character in the eye of the storm.
The jerky christening and re- christening of the current indig- nation that is keeping our par- liamentarians busy is a sad comment on a nation famous for inventive nicknames. From flirt- ing with `Tharoorgate' and `Twi- ttergate' to `Kochigate', the fran- tically-jumping roulette ball has stopped at `IPL gate' and stuck.
And bingo! We have our latest scam.
When will we finally unlock the rusted gates to our creative imagination and do what we do best: break the mould even as we break the news. And why, when it comes to homegrown rogues and their tales, must we be shackled by American folk- lore? Let's go local, I say. In fact, I quite like the sound of `IPLkala- fdaghapla'. What's more, this would get those western tongues rolling a bit, and even the scores a little for having to embarrass- ingly mumble `volcanic ash' every time that flight-grounding, smoke-spewing volcano with the sadistically unpronounceable name is mentioned.
While we're on the subject, don't you ever wonder how we celebrated India's sporting suc- cesses before `Chak De' came waltzing in and just refused to leave? Like Scamgate on loop is our country's victory song. Oh, and I'm sure Prime Minister Manmohan Singh must definitely be thinking twice about flashing a victory sign these days, shak- ing in his boots at the thought of having Snoop Doggy Dogg synch a hundred replays of `Singh is King' as he marches out of a gru- eling Parliament session. In fact, I wonder if BBC might get away with serenading Gordon Brown with `The Final Countdown' one of these days?
So I say, let those Yanks enjoy their 21st century reincarnations of Nixon's bumbles in the form of `Climate gate', `Trooper gate' and what not. Why must we be bound by their lack of imagin- ation? Come now, it's our scand- al. Why pay obeisance to some- one else's? And while we're at it, let's hear some new tunes, eh?
preetisingh@hindustantimes.com
***************************************
Man proposes; nature disposes. We are seldom more vulnerable than when we feel insulated. The miracle of modern flight protected us from gravity, atmosphere, culture, geography. It made everywhere feel local, interchangeable. Nature interjects, and we encounter -- tragically for many -- the reality of thousands of miles of sepa- ration. We discover that we have not escaped from the phys- ical world after all.
Complex, connected societies are more resilient than sim- ple ones -- up to a point. During the east African droughts of the early 1990s, I saw at first hand what anthropologists and economists have long predicted: those people who had the fewest trading partners were hit hardest. Connectivity provided people with insurance: the wider the geographical area they could draw food from, the less they were hurt by a regional famine.
But beyond a certain level, connectivity becomes a hazard.
The longer and more complex the lines of communication and the more dependent we become on production and business elsewhere, the greater the potential for disruption. This is one of the lessons of the banking crisis. Impoverished mortgage defaulters in the United States -- the butterfly's wing over the Atlantic -- almost broke the glob- al economy. If the Eyjafjallajökull volcano -- by no means a mon- ster -- keeps retching, it could, in these fragile times, produce the same effect.
We have several such vulner- abilities. The most catastrophic would be an unexpected solar storm -- which causes a surge of direct current down our elec- tricity grids, taking out the trans- formers. It could happen in sec- onds; the damage and collapse would take years to reverse, if we ever recovered.
As New Scientist points out, an event like this would knacker most of the systems which keep us alive. It would take out water treatment plants and pumping stations. It would paralyse oil pumping and delivery, which would quickly bring down food supplies. It would clobber hospitals, financial systems and just about every kind of business -- even the manufacturers of can- dles and paraffin lamps. Emergency generators would function only until the oil ran out. Burnt-out transformers cannot be repaired; they must be replaced. Over the past year I've sent freedom of information (FoI) requests to electricity transmit- ters and distributors, asking them what contingency plans they have made, and whether they have stockpiled transformers to replace any destroyed by a solar storm. I haven't got to the end of it yet, but the early results suggest that they haven't.
There's a similar lack of planning for the possibility that global supplies of oil might soon peak, then go into decline.
My FoI requests to the British government reveal that it has made no contingency plans. The issue remains the preserve of beardy lentil-eaters such as, er, the US joint forces com- mand. Its latest report on possible future conflicts maintains that "a severe energy crunch is inevitable without a massive expansion of production and refining capacity".
It suggests that "by 2012, surplus oil production capacity could entirely disappear, and as early as 2015, the shortfall in output could reach nearly 10m barrels per day". A global oil shortage would soon expose the weaknesses of our complex economic systems. As the cultural anthropologist Joseph Tainter has shown, their dependence on high energy use is one of the factors that makes complex societies vulnerable to collapse.
His work has helped to overturn the old assumption that social complexity is a response to surplus energy. Instead, he proposes, complexity drives higher energy production. While complexity solves many problems -- such as reliance on an exclusively local and therefore vulnerable food supply -- it's subject to diminishing returns. In extreme cases, the cost of maintaining such systems causes them to collapse.
Tainter gives the example of the western Roman empire.
In the 3rd and 4th centuries AD, the emperors Diocletian and Constantine sought to rebuild their diminished territories: "The strategy of the later Roman empire was to respond to a near-fatal challenge in the third century by increasing the size, complexity, power, and costliness of... the government and its army. ... The benefit/cost ratio of imperial government declined.
In the end the western Roman empire could no longer afford the problem of its own existence." The empire was ruined by the taxes and levies on manpower Diocletian and Constantine imposed to sustain their massive system. Tainter contrasts this with the strategies of the Byzantine empire from the 7th century onwards. Weakened by plague and re-invasion, the government responded with a programme of systematic sim- plification. Instead of maintaining and paying its army, it grant- ed soldiers land in return for hereditary military service: from then on they had to carry their own costs. It reduced the size and complexity of the administration and left people to fend for themselves. The empire survived and expanded.
A similar process is taking place in Britain today: a simplifi- cation of government in response to crisis. But while the pub- lic sector is being pared down, both government and private enterprise seek to increase the size and complexity of the rest of the economy. If the financial crisis were the only constraint we faced, this might be a sensible strategy. But the energy costs, environmental impacts and vulnerability to disruption of our super-specialised society have surely already reached the point at which they outweigh the benefits of increasing complexity.
For the third time in two years we've discovered that fly- ing is one of the weakest links in our overstretched system.
In 2008, the rising cost of fuel drove several airlines out of business. The recession compounded the damage; the volcano might ruin several more. Energy-hungry, weather-dependent, easily disrupted, a large aviation industry is one of the hard- est sectors for any society to sustain, especially one beginning to encounter a series of crises. The greater our dependence on flying, the more vulnerable we are likely to become.
The state of global oil supplies, the industry's social and environmental costs and its extreme vulnerability mean that current levels of flying -- let alone the growth the government anticipates -- cannot be maintained indefinitely. We have a choice. We can start decommissioning this industry while there is time and find ways of living happily with less of it. Or we can sit and wait for physical reality to simplify the system by more brutal means.
The Guardian
******************************************************************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
LOST IN RANCHI
The BJP may be inclined to blame it all on a Lok Sabha vote gone awry. Having staked political capital on rallying support to cut motions in an effort this week to find out the UPA's numbers in the Lok Sabha, its own tally was found to be one ally short. Shibu Soren, the chief minister of Jharkhand, who is still a member of the House (pending election to the state assembly, but that is another drama), had voted with the treasury benches. Even as the BJP cried betrayal, the comic situation it's found itself in yields from more than the vote.
Consider the entreaties from Soren's Jharkhand Mukti Morcha that BJP leaders have had to field. Soren's vote was a mistake, born of confusion and not intent to side with the UPA. And if Soren had indeed created bad faith, why not just abandon him and carry on the BJP's coalition with the JMM by anointing another chief minister? And however much the BJP clarifies it, the postponement of the meeting with Jharkhand Governor M.O.H. Farook to formally withdraw support only gave strength to speculation that it was considering the merit in these arguments by the JMM. If the BJP today finds itself caught in a trivialised politics, the reason goes beyond the cut motion. It draws from an alliance clearly of convenience that was put together in December 2009 and the lack of political coherence was made evident right at the beginning when Soren called off anti-Naxal operations without a strong response from the BJP. Of course, Jharkhand's record of statehood is one of alliances of pure convenience, without even the semblance of any common programme for governance and in this both national parties have been complicit, with Soren himself being in and out of alliance with the Congress in the recent past.
This entrenched culture of political expediency has, predictably, resulted in a governance deficit. But it has also fed the stereotype of government in the resource-rich state as a facilitator in deal-making. Jharkhand's sorrow is that Madhu Koda's case has become emblematic of governance in a state which was won as the flagship of tribal entitlement. To blame it on split verdicts would be a mistake. Blame it instead on a politics that's reduced itself to just a numbers game.
***************************************
INDIAN EXPRESS
MOVING ON, SLOWLY
On April 28, the Supreme Court of India upheld actor Khushboo's constitutional right to free speech and quashed 22 cases of criminal defamation filed against her. The apex court's decision comes almost five years after her comments on pre-marital sex. In those five years, Khushboo's life was made hell. Violent protests were staged; case after case was filed against her in different courts. During one of her many court appearances, she was pelted with eggs and tomatoes. Now that she has finally been found innocent, who is to blame for what she has suffered? Opportunistic politics and moral policing are, of course, the usual suspects. However, the incident also asks a big question of our legal system: given the delays, is not the process much too often a punishment?
As of 2009, there were around four million cases pending in the high courts and 27 million in the lower judiciary, as per one estimate. Apart from procedural hurdles like adjournments, there is a paucity of resources. A million Indians share, among them, a mere 10 judges. There is then the government problem, meaning that India's largest litigant clogs up the courts with unviable appeals. Law Minister Veerappa Moily has spoken of the need for an "internal mechanism" to reduce government litigation. Such a mechanism must disincentivise needless appeals while protecting civil servants from an archaic provision of law that links file closure with corruption. But the law ministry is still to flesh out its "internal mechanism". In a similar vein, Chief Justice of India K.G. Balakrishnan emphasised, on April 25, the need for more judges and courts to combat case pendencies. It is hoped that this too is followed by a time-bound action plan.
The costs of judicial delay are not just that the process becomes a punishment. Delay enables the guilty to push the verdict into the future, buying time while the grinding wheels of justice move ever so slowly. From their statements, it appears that both the higher judiciary and the law minister are seized of this problem. But, as with the legal process, time is of the essence.
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
LAB ACCIDENT
After the lethal cobalt-60 found in a scrapyard in Delhi's Mayapuri left seven people seriously ill from radiation exposure and killed one, India has been forced to confront its spotty record with radioactive waste. While fingers were first pointed abroad, the problem turned out to be home-grown from an imported gamma irradiator machine from Delhi University's chemistry department that had been stashed in a storeroom for 25 years, and then thoughtlessly auctioned off as scrap to dealers in Mayapuri. The dealers peeled off the lead covering, leading to the radiation exposure. Of course, Delhi University has failed to conform to the standards expected of any minimally responsible research unit but the incident has also highlighted how weak the regulatory shield around radioactive material is.
India has long been lax about the ways in which industrial equipment and medical scanners with radioactive content are disposed of. Our vast recycling market, which scavenges and smelts metal to recast and sell, is largely unmonitored at each link of the chain. Data is dated and incomplete and despite limits set by the Environment Protection Act (last amended in 2003), a city like Delhi is still dotted with illegal dumping sites. While India plans to install radioactive detectors at all ports to ensure that no toxic material slips in from abroad, there is no point of scrutiny at the foundries.
This legal framework is just as vague neither the Bio Medical Waste Rules 1998 nor the Hazardous Wastes (Management, Handling and Transboundary Movement) Rules cover norms for radioactive waste-management and disposal, though a comprehensive set of rules on electronic waste under the Environment Protection Act is being drafted. Indicating helplessness, the government has also pointed to the fact that no law exists for civil compensation for these victims of radioactive accidents. One can only hope that this incident, which has exposed our criminal carelessness about hazardous waste, will finally galvanise the government to put safeguards in place.
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
BACK TO COURT
EJAZ HAIDER
Social science has recorded, and tried to understand, the incidence of transformative processes, including revolutions; scholars have sought to nuance the idea and differentiate between political and social revolutions. If the current high tide of judicialisation of politics in Pakistan is anything to go by, we might have to add another category to the literature on transformative processes judicial revolution.
But let's start with some facts.
After the February 2008 elections, there was an overall demand from all political parties to revisit the Constitution and cleanse it of the toxics put in it by military dictators. A committee was formed with representatives from almost all political parties. The debate was intensive, spanned some nine months and reviewed over 100 clauses of the Constitution. The result: the Eighteenth Amendment.
The procedure is not as rigid as envisaged by the United States Constitution but difficult enough, requiring two-thirds majority of both Houses of Parliament, to push an amendment through. The reason: an amendment, as opposed to simple legislation, must reflect the broadest possible will of the people through their representatives.
End of the story? No. One of the changes, the new Article 175, which deals with the appointment of judges, has become the red rag for the judicial bull. Instead of the Chief Justice of Pakistan deciding in his infinite wisdom who to appoint as a judge of the superior courts, there shall henceforth be a two-tier process. A judicial commission shall nominate judges who shall be appointed, unless vetoed with a three-fourths majority by a parliamentary commission.
This new provision regarding the appointment of judges has now been challenged in the Supreme Court as a violation of the basic structure of the Constitution. Such challenges are now routine but what makes these particular ones worth noting is that they are filed not only by the usual legal flotsam but also by the Supreme Court Bar Association.
Reinforcements have come from one media group which has decided to headline and front-page warnings of an impending "judicial crisis" when there is none in sight. And the rest of the media, barring some exceptions, instead of checking the law, has blithely and blindly followed the trend.
The question: can the Pakistani Supreme Court strike down a constitutional amendment? The answer: yes, it can. The reference: the Indian Supreme Court's judgment in the Kesavananda Bharati case. Of course, the reference completely ignores the fact that this judgment was rejected, by name, by the Pakistan Supreme Court less than five years ago! The court's argument: "The position adopted by the Indian Supreme Court in Kesavananda Bharati case is not necessarily a doctrine which can be applied unthinkingly to Pakistan. Pakistan has its own unique political history and its own unique judicial history."
Despite the transparent attempts to whip up hysteria, the hope was that better sense would prevail and the judiciary would resist the calls to challenge Parliament's turf. This impression was reinforced by the fact that the bench announced by the chief justice to deal with the Eighteenth Amendment was composed of five members and hence bound by the 2005 judgment in which the Supreme Court had unequivocally stated that it did not have the power to strike down a constitutional amendment.
The impression was short-lived. On its very first meeting the five-member bench threw the gauntlet by requesting the chief justice to form a bigger bench, if not to convene the full court to deal with this issue. Whither now? One thing is clear. If the chief justice grants the bench its request, the court would be on a warpath with Parliament. One can say, somewhat indignantly, that Pakistan faces bigger problems than the method by which judges are to be appointed; or, even, that the Eighteenth Amendment represents the single biggest gain for parliamentary democracy since the promulgation of the 1973 Constitution.
But there are more cogent arguments against what the judiciary might be spoiling for. For one, framing the Constitution is the preserve of Parliament. The judiciary can judge and interpret, not frame. There are precedents in case law to that effect. But more than that, the important question is, where must the judiciary draw the line? If judges have to go beyond interpreting into the domain of framing the Constitution, then we might as well send the legislators home.
Some members of the bar and former judges have begun trotting the argument that legislators do not have the capacity to judge the judges or understand subtleties. We have heard this argument before, except, until now, it was made by the army to justify its coups. One jurist friend dryly remarked that this "deliberate creation of a crisis leaves one with the impression of a temperamental diva, unable to come to grips with the fact that the camera is no longer focused on her fading charms."
The writer is national affairs editor, 'Newsweek Pakistan'
express@expressindia.com
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
UPSTAGING THEORIES
MK VENU
One can sense a lot of creative tension within the Congress leadership over how to intellectually nuance the discussion over the growing Maoist threat in different parts of the country. This debate seems to have gathered fresh momentum after the ambush of over 70 CRPF personnel by Maoists in Dantewada. Many agree that by ignoring development in the tribal areas of Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Jharkhand and West Bengal, the Indian state created conditions over the decades for the Maoists to take control. So there is a growing consensus developing within the Congress that much more redistributive intervention may be needed in the backward regions of the country to give a renewed boost to the development agenda, and consequently blunt the edge of ultra left-wing movements that have taken roots in a third of India's districts.
In a way the growing Maoist presence appears to have further strengthened the section within the Congress which has always had a strong left-of-centre bias. Indeed, this section had very close relations with Left leaders and often acted as mediators between the Congress leadership and the CPM on critical issues during the UPA's first tenure. The left-of-centre group within the Congress would often fire from the CPM's shoulders, and vice versa, for greater socialist intervention.
Both Sonia Gandhi and the Nextgen Congress leadership led by Rahul Gandhi have a strong bias for redistributive intervention even while letting the government pursue its market-based economic reforms agenda. Now, there is bound to be creative tension between these two opposing ideological strains and that is part of a new dialectic that Indian politics is currently witnessing. Just note the manner in which the Planning Commission increased the population coverage for the proposed food security legislation. This was clearly done after pressure came from the left section of the Congress leadership! The revival of the National Advisory Council under Congress President Sonia Gandhi is clearly meant to institutionalise and give shape to this new dialectic of socialist intervention within the larger framework of capitalist growth agenda.
In a sense, this contradiction is most visible in the Maoist controlled areas of Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Orissa which are rich in iron ore and other minerals. Big companies want to pump in huge capital to exploit these resources in the midst of resistance from local communities. There cannot be a better social science laboratory to understand how the dialectic of capitalism's historical and unrelenting march will get finessed by socialist interventions. Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi are as much students of this laboratory as are those companies which want to create massive steel projects in these regions.
However, dealing with this Marxian contradiction is easier said than done. This requires an intuitive understanding of how to take society to a new social and material equilibrium without upsetting the applecart. Of course, Marx believed that an enlightened bourgeoisie would manage to take society to higher stages of material condition even as the owners of capital appropriate surplus value from labour. The bourgeoisie would also create a welfare framework, such as minimum wages, better work conditions and adequate pension, as seen in the West, in order to ensure a smooth functioning of capitalism. The question is, how will India's political class manage this fine balance as it comes under increasing pressure to move 60 per cent of its population from a feudal, pre-industrial condition of existence to a more modern capitalist framework. In some ways, the task for India is much harder as this transition process began in the West before democracy, with all its modern institutional attributes, was put in place. In India, this transition is occurring in the midst of a robust, often fractious, democratic political process.
Therefore, managing the contradiction between capitalism's march and simultaneous welfare interventions, both of which would appear necessary, will have to be thought through in a rigorous manner.
Off-the-cuff and random interventions, like the one made by Congress leader Digvijay Singh, will not necessarily help matters.
The Congress's dilemma is somewhat similar to that of the CPM's in West Bengal after it did badly in the Lok Sabha elections. The failure of the Left Front was analysed in a lucid article by Prabhat Patnaik, a professor of economics at Delhi's Jawaharlal Nehru University and a CPM ideologue, where he implied that the Left (read Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee) in West Bengal did not have enough theoretical clarity that socialist intervention must be a constant process, softening the inherently surplus-seeking tendency of capitalism. He also suggested that the Left perhaps got misled by the "stage theory" which implies socialist intervention is only possible after capitalism has somewhat matured and created enough surplus value that can be redistributed. Translated in plain terms, what Patnaik probably meant was Buddhadeb did not do enough in terms of assuring people of their long-term livelihood before launching the massive industrialisation programme in West Bengal.
This also seems to be the Congress's main dilemma today in the context of allowing massive capital infusion for exploiting India's rich mineral resources in the tribal areas. It is under pressure to clear the forests of Maoists so that businesses can smoothly implement big steel projects. For that the state also has to put in place proper rehabilitation programmes for the local, tribal populations and ensure they have a long-term stake in these projects.
Though Patnaik rejects the "stage theory", in advanced capitalist societies this seems to have worked quite well. For instance in America, substantial socialist interventions came after massive surplus value got created over the decades through the advance of capitalism. Take the case of just two icons of American capitalism, General Motors and Ford. In the '60s, the two companies committed substantial post-retirement pension benefits to their workers. This was subsequently derived from the surplus value created by the companies. At one stage, the cost of pension benefits amounted to nearly a fifth of the price of a car. This was the cause of GM and Ford's near bankruptcy in 2008 when the US government intervened with a big bailout packages to sustain the pension benefits of workers. The lesson here is that more substantive state intervention can come after adequate surpluses are created by capital accumulation. It is to be seen whether this model works in a fractious polity such as India's.
The writer is Managing Editor, 'The Financial Express'
mk.venu@expressindia.com
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
THE INDIAN TAMASHA LEAGUE
SANJAY JHA
Dad, I know who is going to win the finals today, said my daughter. No you don't, I said, dismissing her with the same casual flourish with which the IPL commissioner promised to swat away Shashi Tharoor. She was as adamant as teenagers usually are: I know. Everyone is saying it.
Yes, really? Who and how did you figure that one out?
It's fixed, Dad. You should know.
Those are just silly rumours, I said, feigning indifference. I moved on but I am compelled to revisit the mood and the moments of just a few weeks ago.
I have never been the IPL sort, so had stubbornly resisted the occasional urge to go and see the circus. It helped that the 2008 matches were held at that collapsing monstrosity, the Wankhede, where if you left your precious seat for even a moment, by the time you returned a different posterior would claim to be its legitimate title holder. IPL 2 was abruptly transported to South Africa, and it wasn't worth flying eight hours to watch a three-hour gig. IPL 3 was back in familiar territory; better still, it was being held in the Cricket Club of India, of which I am fortunately a member. But I still resisted.
However, IPL's marketing mantra clearly worked. My tennis-playing, football-watching daughter said: can I go for the IPL match this weekend? For a cricketing purist that was sacrilege, but she was going with a whole bunch of equally excited chums so the blasphemy angle was promptly discarded a convenient excuse for me too.
At first, what hit me in the CCI was the maddening noise, sustained efficiently at high decibel levels throughout the match. Every time there was a dull session (meaning not a single six) the DJs would punctuate the "terrible boredom" with a typical ear-splitting truck horn, and, like in Pavlov's famous experiment, the crowd would respond with an equally loud, incoherent cheer.
The advertising sideboards flashed brightly, shuffling between sponsors. The giant scoreboard flashed ads even during the over; during the action replay one could see players check their acrobatics on it with a satisfied smugness. Intermittently, giant lights flashed on and off for no perceptible reason, as if to remind us that electric power supply was a national priority. When the match got over, it was like a Diwali firecracker display that nobody really cared for.
The Mexican wave usually started from the vociferous east stands, after a few aborted attempts. When it reached the more stuffed-up pavilions of the glitterati it fizzled out. My daughter enjoyed it; she and I exchanged SMSs, as she was in the family stand.
The DJs would periodically announce: Mumbai, do you want a six? The crowd yelled "Yes!", in a brilliantly coordinated chorus. I kept suspecting bowlers patiently awaited the DJ's cues before running in to bowl.
Cricket is not just innocuous entertainment in the IPL. It is like Roman gladiators on a giant 70 mm screen. To satisfy the bloodthirsty urges of its watchers, the demands for ruthless destruction from the willow, only sixes will do. As Kieron Pollard hammered one hapless soul into abject submission, the stadium burst into wild celebrations and paroxysms of derisive laughter.
The IPL also has an ingenious device to keep everyone on tenterhooks, awaiting fleeting fame, as anyone could, via TV cameras, appear on the giant screen at any time. Almost everyone secretly hopes to be there, briefly overshadowing Sachin Tendulkar. The lottery element is clearly central to the IPL, involving even the spectators.
In the distinguished members' enclosure, the aroma of fresh vegetables, blue cheese and garlic mayonnaise in Subway sandwiches dominated French perfume. People moved gingerly, balancing cans of beer in their forearms. Middle-aged couples bounced to the latest hits; the demographic dividend crowd exchanged SMSs as they sat next to each other in the din. Others blew franchise-branded horns, waved flags and had several curse them from behind for blocking the view.
Everyone looked everywhere but at the cricket pitch, where attention was diverted only when the bowler ran in to bowl. Everyone had presumably concluded that field placements in the IPL are superfluous. In fact, most seemed more glued to TV sets, strategically placed to ensure that they did not miss out if Shah Rukh Khan decided to drop casually in. Usually, all dismissals were first spotted there, rather than on the field right in front.
After the first few games, I felt a sense of ennui and forced exhilaration , but I may have been a solitary figure out here. I couldn't care less, though. I had conceded partial defeat to the oversold commercial logic that the IPL reflected genuine consumer demand being professionally satiated by franchise owners. If IPL was indeed a reality of our times, so be it, and frankly, how did my opinion matter?
But then, just as suddenly, chaos. Modi tweeted. A minister resigned, million-dollar kick-backs were discussed, IT raids followed; slush money trails, conflicts of interest, shameless profiteering, and political involvement became the new evening distraction. Then someone talked of betting syndicates, and before long the dreaded shadow of match-fixing made its appearance after a decade in hibernation.
My daughter watched all seven of the Mumbai Indians' local matches at CCI over the past few weeks, bunking tuitions, missing play practice, sleeping late at night, following Tiwary's heroics. But, on the Monday morning that followed the IPL final late Sunday night, she went to school not even wanting to know if they won the final.
Jha is the author of '11 Triumphs,Trials and Turbulence: Indian Cricket 2003-2010', to be published soon
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
EUROPE UNDER THE ASH
Eyjafjallajokull, that unpronounceable volcano, prompted inevitable chatter about nature's awesome fury and the inadequacy of human invention to deal with it. Few Europeans had even heard of the volcano before, and they marveled at, but mostly grumbled about, how such widespread havoc could be caused by such teensy particles of ash, adrift from Iceland. On the whole, Europeans tend to forget about Iceland until some fresh calamity compels their attention. The last was the banking implosion, and a line making the rounds in Europe has it that Iceland's final wish after its economy kicked the bucket was to spread its ashes across Europe.
Other jokes were even worse. Unforeseen though the event with Eyjafjallajokull was, it seems to have liberated Europeans to traffic in some predictable, hoary, but affectionately intended stereotypes about one another. Globalisation notwithstanding, supposed national traits prove to be surprisingly resilient, and on one level today they're also instructive.
So, initially there were the Italian authorities lingering over a second espresso during what they hoped was a crisis only for northern Europeans which, predictably, it wasn't. And then it was like a Zeffirelli opera production. The Italian Civil Protection Agency had to set up hundreds of cots and air beds at Leonardo da Vinci Airport in Rome. Railway stations, meanwhile, became mob scenes, endless lines forming before ticket machines that took forever to work or too frequently didn't.
Fortunately, Italians are compassionate people, and the national public transport unions (trains, buses and subways) postponed a planned strike unlike those in France. True to form, French workers declined to pause a strike that had begun before the ash arrived, volcano be damned. Thus, it was theoretically possible to travel by train from, say, Paris to Geneva, but not Paris to Bordeaux, exacerbating the general level of chaos and grief. When air travel resumed, the strike ended.
Not to be outdone, the Greeks, in a defensive lather owing to their self-inflicted economic meltdown, seized the moment to stage a strike or two of their own. Greek civil servants struck, and so did a communist-backed union, disrupting ferry service.
Meanwhile, the British dispatched (what else?) the fleet, including the aptly named HMS Ark Royal, rescuing British tourists marooned in Calais and trouble spots like Ibiza, along with soldiers returning from Afghanistan. This allowed the beleaguered prime minister, Gordon Brown, behind in the polls but kind of rallying, briefly to play Lord Nelson.
And in Russia, as The New York Times reported, a sudden black market in transportation tickets, not all of them authentic, sprang up. Huge lines at Belorussky station made Soviet nostalgists misty eyed.
As for the Germans, at first they said don't blame anybody. Nobody was to blame. But once the German airlines started moaning about lost revenue and the German news media began to fume about how the German government, forever playing the oldest brother anxious to please its father, had once again rolled over, by acquiescing to the broad European flight ban without sending up its own test balloons, the issue became a business matter, and an economic scandal.
Treacherous though they can be, different responses to Eyjafjallajokull nonetheless underscore, if nothing else, just how diverse Europe remains, culturally speaking, and how occasionally fractious is the unity of the European Union that ostensibly binds much of the continent together. Based on economic cooperation, the union has increasingly and as it were after the fact had to confront a barrage of moral, cultural and ethical issues like immigration and human rights. These are inextricable from economic welfare but pose a challenge to national sovereignty the sort of issues the United States has grappled with from its founding.
In a nondescript building not far from the historic centre of Rome there is a sleek 24-hour command centre straight out of a James Bond villain's lair (minus the television screens playing Italian game shows), where military officials, meteorologists and emergency workers track all manner of potential natural calamities. From the center, aid to L'Aquila was swiftly coordinated after the earthquake struck last year.
At the heart of the centre is a cramped room devoted to the Big One: activity from hot spots like Mounts Vesuvius and Etna. Streaming videos deliver inky views inside the steaming volcanoes. The proud official in charge, the head of civil protection, Guido Bertolaso, explained on a late-night tour last year that this room was the ultimate reason the centre existed, a volcanic explosion posing a cataclysmic threat to Italy, and requiring perhaps the most coordinated planning and help.
The volcano. Nature has devised the perfect metaphor for the burden of unionhood, forcing Europeans to recognise, like it or not, that they are bound together, a family of nations, albeit with Iceland as the exceptional and slightly alarming cousin at the end of the dining room table who still believes in elves. According to Interfax, the Russian news agency, an organisation called the Association of Orthodox Experts piped up during the Eyjafjallajokull crisis in an attempt to link the volcanic ash to Iceland's role as a "centre of European neo-paganism of an Aryan occult kind." It turns out that, in addition to all its genuine woes, Iceland is headquarters to the Association of European Ethnic Religions, which brokered a merger between the World Pagan Assembly and the International Pagan Alliance.
Whatever. The point is that families have to pull together when there's trouble, as did those Italians stuck in Victoria Station in London. They found each other, bonded, hired a van and drove back home.
It's another Italian stereotype: only notionally a nation much of the time, a family in a pinch.
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
WAITING FOR THE KING
ALIA ALLANA
The Thai armed forces opened fire, but the Red Shirts refused to budge. Farmers still sat outside the Louis Vuitton and Prada stores; the stores remained shut. Bangkok's elite stayed holed up in their homes; government officials jumped out of windows as the Reds broke into government buildings. Streets normally, famously jam-packed with cars now held human traffic jams, the sound of engines replaced by chants of "down with dictatorship". What started seven weeks ago as a movement to unseat current Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva lingers on today with the prospect of further escalation.
The Red Shirts called for fresh elections, they questioned the constitution and marched through the streets of Bangkok. Rallies were held, financial districts became camp sites. When the Reds broke into government buildings, the riot police were called in and yet the Reds soldiered on for they believed that what they had failed to achieve over the past five years could be a possibility now. After all, this time it was not just the farmers, peasants and rural folk dissenting: lower middle class Bangkok had joined in too. The support base was growing, slowly.
Vejjajiva's request for military intervention, and the decision by the armed forces to open fire on protestors, has made the situation in Thailand more complex. For one, over the past five years the streets have been dominated by two political colours: red and yellow. March 10, however saw men in black; their faces hidden behind balaclavas, toting guns. The Reds claim to have nothing to do with them, but both are fighting on the same side. An executive order is in place to hunt down the terrorists, interrogate any suspects, to imprison them if there's any doubt.
Few things remain constant in the Thai political landscape. But primary amongst them is the power of the army. Thailand underwent a political restructuring in the 1930s absolute monarchy was replaced with constitutional monarchy, but the new constitution was much too weak. Political institutions too were underdeveloped, the legislature given limited power. Thus in the absence of a fully functioning civilian regime a politicised military grew in power, scope and importance.
In 1997, finally, a progressive constitution was written; it was after the drafting of this constitution that Thaksin Shinawatra came to power. Yet Thaksin is something of the villain in the Bangkok plot. How? Through his manipulation of the 1997 constitution. The new constitution allowed for increased power for political parties: Thaksin banked on this and used it to strengthen his party, Thai Rak Thai. It was this power that allowed him to control the legislature and ensure that key bodies the Auditor General's Office and National Counter Corruption Commission remained under his control. Simply put, his control was so far-reaching it silenced the opposition. But he angered the elite, and the elite and military have a close kinship. Thus the coup that overthrew the wildly popular PM.
The current protests, though pitted between the rural and urban (the north and the south) also need to be viewed through a post-Thaksin prism. Thaksin created anger at the traditional wealthy of Bangkok. One scholar at the Council for Foreign Relations in New York puts it thus: "the struggle is a battle between elites. Thaksin, a hard-driving telecommunications billionaire, symbolised new wealth in Thailand, which has developed an antagonistic relationship with the scions of older power, who tended to look down on the nouveau riche like Thaksin and his close associates."
Thus the on-going chaos. In the past five years, the two governments that were elected following Thaksin's self-imposed exile were affiliated to him. This further irked both the military and the elite.
Experts expect military involvement to only increase. James Ockey, the scholar of Southeast Asia, has written that the military have traditionally had a sense of entitlement in Thailand's political affairs that stems from their very first intervention, the 1932 coup that led to the overthrow of the monarchy. Military involvement is always an option.
But the matter gets murkier. Factions within the military are divided on the sort of response to the current crisis. Thai specialist Surachart Bumrungsuk says there is a division in tactics: on the one hand General Anupong the current armed forces commander, on his way out prefers a softer response, and political dialogue. Second in line General Prayuth Chan-ocha "would have liked a harder crackdown."
Ultimately there is only one real mediator in Thailand: King Bhumibol Adulyadej, to whom both factions claim allegiance. Thus far he has spoken very briefly asking for "restraint." It was he who mediated during the 1973 student uprising and in the 1992 anti-military protests. As the situation on the street unfolds, spectators can only wait for the king.
alia.allana@expressindia.com
***************************************
THE INDIAN EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
A NEW GROUND ZERO
A few weeks ago, traveling in Kazakhstan, I had the sobering experience of standing at Ground Zero. This was the notorious test site at Semipalatinsk, where the USSR detonated 456 nuclear weapons. There was little on the vast and featureless steppe to distinguish this place. Yet for decades it was an epicentre of the Cold War like similar sites in the US, a threat to life on our planet. Its dark legacy endures: poisoned rivers and lakes, children suffering from cancer and birth defects.
Today, Semipalatinsk has become a powerful symbol of hope. On August 29, 1991, shortly after Kazakh independence, President Nursultan Nazarbayev, closed it and abolished nuclear weapons. It was a tangible expression of a dream that has long eluded us a world free of nuclear weapons.
Now, for the first time in a generation, we can be optimistic. On the day I visited Semipalatinsk, President Obama announced a review of the US' nuclear posture. It renounced the development of new nuclear weapons and foreswore their first use against nations in compliance with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, or NPT. Two days later, President Obama and Russian President Medvedev, signed a new START treaty in Prague a fresh start on a truly noble aspiration.
Momentum is building around the world. Governments and civil society groups, often at odds, have begun working in common cause. At the recent nuclear security summit in Washington, 47 world leaders agreed to do whatever is necessary to keep such weapons and materials safe. Their shared sense of urgency reflects an accepted reality. Nuclear terrorism is not a Hollywood fantasy. It can happen.
The United Nations is destined to be at the centre of these efforts. I proposed a five-point nuclear action plan in late 2008, as well as a historic summit meeting of the Security Council last September. On Monday, leaders come together at the UN for the periodic NPT review conference. Their last gathering, five years ago, was a failure. This year we can look for advances on a range of issues.
We should not be unrealistic in our expectations. But neither can we afford to lose this opportunity for progress: on disarmament; on compliance with non-proliferation commitments; on the peaceful use of nuclear energy.
Looking ahead, I have proposed a UN conference later this year to review the implementation of the International Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism. We will host a ministerial-level meeting to push the pace on bringing the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty into force, and I have urged leaders to begin negotiations for a binding treaty on fissile materials. In October, the General Assembly will consider more than 50 resolutions on various nuclear issues. Our aim: to take the many small steps, today, that will set the stage for a larger breakthrough tomorrow.
All this work reflects the priorities of our member states, shaped in turn by public opinion. Everyone recognises the catastrophic danger of nuclear weapons. Just as clearly, we know the threat will last as long as these weapons exist. The earth's very future leaves us no alternative but to pursue disarmament. And there is little prospect of that without global cooperation.
Where, if not at the United Nations, could we look for such cooperation? Bilateral and regional negotiation can accomplish much, but long-lasting and effective cooperation on a global scale requires more. The UN is the world's sole universally accepted arena for debate and concord, among nations as well as broader society. It serves not only as a repository of treaties but also of information documenting their implementation. It is a source of independent expertise.
The United Nations stands today at a new Ground Zero a "ground zero" for global disarmament, no longer a place of dread but of hope. Those who stand with us share the vision of a nuclear-free world. If ever there were a time for the world's people to demand change, to demand action beyond the cautious half measures of the past, it is now.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
REGULATION AFTER GOLDMAN
There is suddenly a renewed momentum to overhauling financial regulation in the US, following the SEC's charge of fraud against what is arguably the world's most reputed investment bankGoldman Sachs. The accusation against Goldman is that it knowingly sold investment products certain to fail to unwitting clients. The charge will, of course, have to be proved in a court of law. But in the court of public opinion, the shadow of suspicion is itself very damaging, coming right after widespread anger over huge profits and massive bonus packages being reported at America's leading banks, the very ones that the wider public holds responsible for precipitating the financial crisis in the first place. The political class has little choice but to do something substantive to overhaul regulations. Of course, some of the elements of the overhaul proposed earlier this year in January are likely to be less contentious, like new regulations for credit card lenders and mortgage lenders. Reckless lending (and borrowing) was after all at the base of the financial crisis. There is also likely to be some new regulationthe details will, of course, be debatedon limiting the size of large financial institutions to prevent another 'too big to fail' event. There is still little agreement on how a bailout, if necessary, will be fundedthe IMF proposals may not cut much ice with the US Congress.
However, the most contentious proposal is likely to be the one known as the Volcker Rule, which will ban proprietary trading by all deposit-taking institutions that in the post-crisis phase include the likes of Goldman Sachs. The logic is simple enough. Banks get excessively leveraged to engage in trading for their own profit, whereas they ought only to be trading their clients' money. If restricted to the latter, leverage in banks will obviously come down automatically. Combined with another proposal on making the trading of derivatives completely transparent (no OTCs), there will also be less likelihood of banks peddling fraudulent/'likely to fail' products. Wall Street will obviously oppose such stringent regulations. After all, most of their profits in recent times, before and after the crisis, have come from the very proprietary trading that is now proposed to be banned. Wall Street will inevitably be able to drum up some political support to nix these regulations, but in the aftermath of the exposure of Goldman's dubious practices, it is becoming harder to argue that such stringent regulations are not necessary. Free enterprise is a good thing but reckless practices by a select few cannot be allowed to hold the whole system hostage.
***************************************
THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
GETTING POWER TRADING RIGHT
The reported move of the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) to discourage power trading through unscheduled interchange (UI) and encourage greater use of power exchanges by imposing an additional charge of 40% on UI trading is a welcome step. The UI mechanism, an indigenously developed innovative model that had successfully enforced greater grid discipline, is now creating distortions in the market as many potential buyers preferred to use the UI mechanism for trading instead of the exchanges. In fact, numbers for 2009 show that although the volume of the short-term power trade through UI transactions was comparable to transactions using trading licences and much higher than that through even the two power exchanges. The UI mechanism originally evolved in response to the chaotic conditions in an earlier era, where grid operators were faced with the challenge of relentlessly enforcing some semblance of order, as power producers and distribution utilities pumped in or withdrew power from the grid with impunity, thereby threatening the very reliability of the network. The UI mechanism replaced this command and control system with a contractual approach under which a schedule of supply and demand for power was worked out and priced as per the agreement between buyers and sellers. Any deviations from meeting this previously agreed demand-supply schedule are termed unscheduled interchanges or UIs and the suppliers or purchasers have to pay for their errant behaviour at a real-time market determined rate. This not only encouraged greater grid discipline but also ensured some flexibility in operations. The UI prices also served as an indicative ceiling for traders in bulk electricity as the utility had the option to overdraw from the grid instead of buying from other sources in the short-term markets if the real-time prices were lower than those of the traders or in the power exchanges.
But over time, the UI mechanism has slowly evolved to become an alternative mechanism to formal trading as the potential buyers preferred to use this mechanism wherein the cost of transactions was lower as were power prices. In 2009, the average price of electricity transacted through traders was Rs 6.41/kWh, while it was Rs 5.73/kWh in the power exchanges and just Rs 4.99 for UI transactions. This has also created new problems for the transmission networks as the UI electricity transactions are very uncertain, forcing them to keep, as reserves, a relatively larger proportion of transmission capacity. The result is a distortion of the markets, which suggests that the UI system has outlived its utility. It is time to move ahead and work out new models for enforcing grid discipline.
***************************************
THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
COLUMN
HOW WRONG IS GOLDMAN SACHS?
K VAIDYA NATHAN
The US Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) job is to regulate the securities industry and investigate wrongdoing, if any. However, it has managed to sleep through every bubble and bust in recent memory and has done virtually nothing by way of enforcement for years. It woke up from a long slumber this month and announced a civil fraud lawsuit against Goldman Sachs. The entire business world, including the stock markets, has gone hammer and tongs about Goldman because it is a done thing to call names, when the mighty falls. Its stock price has come down from $185 on April 14 to $153 as of April 28. It is not as if Goldman hasn't done anything wrong. It has. However, it isn't a blood-sucking greedy Dracula that it is being made out to be. Before we get on with Goldman bashing, let's understand the facts of the case that the SEC has filed against the investment bank.
The SEC on April 16 brought securities fraud action against Goldman and a Goldman employee, Fabrice Tourre, a 31-year-old vice-president working at the structured product correlation trading desk. This desk was created in early 2005. One of the services it provided was the structuring and marketing of a series of CDOs called Abacus whose performance was tied to residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS), which are the collateral used in Abacus. The RMBS does well if house owners are paying their EMIs. If the homeowners default on their home loans, the RMBS's price goes down. If the collateral value goes down, the CDO price, too, goes downhill. Let's say, I bought a house for Rs 90 lakh by taking a loan for Rs 80 lakh from a bank. If my house is worth only Rs 30 lakh now, I would rather want that the bank takes possession of the house and suffer the loss, than me suffering the loss by repaying the loan of Rs 80 lakh.
In the case filed by SEC, Goldman is supposed to have misled their clients into buying CDOs linked to subprime RMBS. The reason they purportedly did it was that another client of Goldmana hedge fundwanted to sell those CDOs. This hedge fund called 'Paulson Credit Opportunity Fund' was run by John Paulson (not to be confused with Henry Paulson, the former treasury secretary and CEO of Goldman). Paulson wanted to take a bearish view of subprime mortgage loans. He was betting that the subprime loans would go bad. He needed somebody with whom he could play this bet, so that if his view turned out to be right, he could make money. It was a zero sum game like any other bet. And he got Goldman to get the other party who would bet the other way round by taking a view in 2007 that subprime assets were good. He got the bet bang onthe consequent subprime meltdown, as they say, is history. And did he make some money! He became a multi-billionaire by getting his bets right and is now the 45th richest man on earth with a net worth of $12 billion.
Although the jury is out and Goldman, for its part, is trying to say all the right things, I think that Goldman did intentionally mislead its investors by not disclosing that they were structuring this transaction because another client wanted to bet against the subprime loans. Is it a normal market practice among investment banks? Surprise: yes it is. Were these investors to whom they were peddling this stuff naïve. No, they were not. It wasn't as if Goldman was selling this to grandpas and grandmas who had no clue about CDOs. The investors were financial institutions, albeit not as smart and sophisticated as a Goldman or a John Paulson. True, it is unlikely that the investors would have bought CDOs had Goldman disclosed the information that another hedge fund was shorting it. If investment banks were as squeaky clean and honest, they would not be able to do a very large portion of the business they do right now. This is not to suggest that such behaviour should be condoned. Just that, that's how the financial markets are, or for that matter all markets are. It is similar to a vegetable vendor palming off rotten stuff to you because somebody else wants to sell it and the vendor is getting paid well to do the selling. Paulson paid Goldman about $15 million to structure and market Abacus. As an investor, it does hurt that you bought financial instruments from the market leader with an enviable reputation and the stuff turned out to be rotten. It is unethical for sure, but I suppose Goldman would be upbeat about defending itself.
The SEC had been sleeping all this while, impervious to such practices. Now that it has woken up, it might be a good idea to focus on regulations that would help clean the stables. The easy thing to do, however, would be to investigate this case and then put the blame for everything on Goldman and go back to sleep again.
The author, formerly with JPMorganChase, is CEO, Quantum Phinance
***************************************
THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
COLUMN
METHODS OF VALUING SHARE PRICES
SATVIK VARMA
On April 7, 2010, RBI issued a notification to amend the Foreign Exchange Management (Transfer or Issue of Security by a Person Resident outside India) Regulations. The amendments, published in the Official Gazette on April 21, 2010, came into force from the date of their publication and amend inter alia the method of calculating the price at which shares are issued to non-residents.
Prior to the above stated amendments, a person residing outside India, or an entity outside India, whether incorporated or not, could purchase shares of Indian companies in keeping with the FDI guidelines and the FDI scheme, which forms a part of the regulations. For the shares of an unlisted company, the scheme stipulates that the price of shares issued to non-residents shall not be less than the fair valuation of shares done by a chartered accountant as per the guidelines issued by the erstwhile Controller of Capital Issues (CCI guidelines).
Under the CCI guidelines, if the consideration payable for the transfer does not exceed Rs 20 lakh per seller per company, then the price may be mutually agreed upon between the seller and the buyer. It should be based on any valuation method currently in vogue and must be substantiated by a certificate issued by the statutory auditors of the unlisted company whose shares are being transacted. Where the consideration exceeds Rs 20 lakh, the price taken is the lower of the two independent valuations of shares, one by the statutory auditors of the company, and the other by a chartered accountant or by a merchant banker registered with Sebi. These valuations could be based either on the net-asset value method or the profit earning capacity value method.
With the April amendment, the pricing of shares issued should not be less than the fair valuation of shares carried out by a Sebi-registered merchant banker or a chartered accountant as per the discounted cash flow method (DCF method). Although not defined under the regulations or the Foreign Exchange Management Act, the DCF method relates the value of an asset to the current value of expected future cash flows of the asset. Notably, the method has previously been used by the department of disinvestment since it found favour in the disinvestment commission's recommendations for valuations of public sector undertakings. Considered fairly popular, the DCF method takes into account all the free cash flows available in the company by taking into account the cost of capital, the cost of debt, the cost of equity and market returns. It also takes into account the risk to which a corporation is exposed and attributes value to the non-core assets that may otherwise not be reflected in the cash flow of the company. The DCF method further takes into consideration the intangibles of a company like the brand, goodwill and market share, all of which have a significant bearing on a company's valuation.
Reflecting on the amendments to the share price valuation methodology, one can't help but note that while valuation methods use quantitative models to arrive at a determination, as the disinvestment commission observed, the input leaves plenty of room for subjective judgments. It is exactly for this reason that experts have for long argued that valuation must be differentiated from the price of the company. It is necessary to recognise that application of valuation methods depends on the intrinsic structure of the company being evaluated, the nature of the industry in which such a company operates and inherent strengths and weaknesses of the company. Since these factors are subject to constant change, so must the valuation. Interestingly, the above stated amendments, in so far as they relate to the issue of shares on a preferential allotment, are slightly unclear on the valuation process to be followed. It remains to be seen whether the erstwhile CCI guidelines will continue to apply to such preferential allotment or whether the regulator expects these valuations to be also based on the DCF method. Eventually, the process of price discovery needs to be transparent so that the seller is satisfied that the price paid by the buyer helps him realise the true value of the transaction.
The author is an advocate based in New Delhi. These are his personal views
***************************************
THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
COLUMN
RAJA JUMPS THE GUN
ANANDITA SINGH MANKOTIA
In the midst of the exuberance over ever-rising bids for the auctions of the 3G spectrum, the government seems to have once again lost sight of the misdemeanours of telecom minister A Raja. While it is common knowledge that the auctions took place despite him, the minister has left no stone unturned to spoil the government's party. He chose to speak to the media about 4G auctions, while the 3G auctions are still going on. Such remarks coming from the minister have the propensity to dampen the bids.
Perhaps that was an innocent act of folly, but what does one make of the minister's frequent remarks in the media over the last few days on the subject of how long the auctions would last, the point of price discovery, etc? Surely the minister should not speak on such sensitive matters as it could amount to dishing out insider information. In any case, even the minister should not be aware of such information.
So it was most off-putting to hear the minister tell the Rajya Sabha on Thursday that the auctions are expected to end in the next two days. Does this not send a hint to interested parties?
Such statements by A Raja convey to the operators that the government might increase the level of activity from the current 80% to 90% the next day. That can easily be taken as a cue to shift out from the category-A circles to the next rung of B and C. According to the auction guidelines, there are three parties involved, namely the DoT, which represents the owner of the spectrum to be auctioned; the auctioneerNM Rothschild; and the bidders, the private operators.
In order to have a free and fair auction the rules allow all three parties to have the same level of information. All the bidders have been refrained from giving out any information regarding their plans and strategies during the auction and the only information available is the bid amounts at the end of a day and the number of operators bidding in each circle.
To prevent any leakage of information the government has even forbidden itself to act as proxy for bidding for operators in case of a technical hitch. Is it right then for Raja to speak on such matters while the process is on? Can he not wait for the auctions to end if he has to give his views on the entire process?
anandita.mankotia@expressindia.com
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE HINDU
EDITORIAL
UNLIKELY FRIENDS
The euphoria in the United Progressive Alliance camp over the defeat of the Opposition-sponsored cut motions in the Lok Sabha is belied by the numbers: 289 for the government and 201 against. Exclude the Bahujan Samaj Party's 21 MPs and it is immediately apparent that the Manmohan Singh government is a minority regime surviving on divisions within the Opposition, and leveraging its position to exploit the vulnerability of some of its rivals. That the dramatic rescue act by the BSP owes to some deft back-room understanding is plain enough. The larger question is the impact of this quid pro quo agreement on BSP-Congress relations in Uttar Pradesh. The BSP and the Congress have formally aligned just once, in 1996 when neither could have foreseen a situation where they would emerge as principal rivals in U.P. With 83 of 85 Lok Sabha seats from the State in 1984 and 269 of 425 Assembly seats in 1985, the Congress was master of all it surveyed in India's most populous State. Yet by 1991, the party was out of the reckoning in U.P. with only five seats in the Lok Sabha and 46 seats in the Assembly. While the Congress' marginalisation in U.P. was politically humiliating, it allowed the party the freedom to throw its weight behind whoever it perceived as a friend the BSP in 1996 and the Samajwadi Party in later years, with a fair amount of cross-wooing thrown in.
Once Ms Mayawati wrested power from Mulayam Singh, the Congress's equation with the BSP changed from on-again, off-again friendship to bitter rivalry accentuated by the deep personal animosity between the U.P. Chief Minister and Rahul Gandhi. The BSP chief and the Congress general secretary tend to bring out the worst in each other. The two fought bitter public battles much before the 2009 Lok Sabha election. The feud intensified after the Congress staged a surprise victory over the BSP. Not only has the Congress' rising star set himself the task of winning the 2012 U.P. Assembly election, he has left no one in doubt that he means to achieve this by weaning away Ms Mayawati's phenomenal Dalit following. But the BSP chief did not earn her formidable reputation for nothing. She has not deviated from the strategy of building an independent base and repeatedly testing its strength. Following her Lok Sabha setback, she has assiduously targeted her core constituency, placing Dalits in key positions of power and directing resources to Dalit-specific programmes. Against this background, it is difficult to see either party giving effect to the new 'friendship' forged at the Centre. It is a cardinal principle in politics that principal rivals cannot be friends. And that is how it looks, at least in U.P.
***************************************
THE HINDU
EDITORIAL
GREECE IS NOT ALONE
Greece has confirmed its expected request to the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a bailout of 45 billion as initial assistance in its economic crisis. Athens will have to pay out on bonds worth about 8.5bn which mature in May and also has to pay 54bn this year as debt-servicing on 300bn. In addition, the country's budget deficit for 2009-10 was 13.6 per cent of GDP, or about 300 billion; the eurozone rules allow member states only three per cent. As for the bailout itself, the EU as a whole cannot provide such. Individual member states will contribute 30 billion for three years at five per cent, with Germany and France providing half that sum; the IMF is due to contribute 15 billion. Conditions will most probably focus on public-sector cuts and substantial changes to the state-pension system. Early public reactions in Greece have been hostile, with demonstrators particularly resentful of IMF involvement. Financial markets have responded selectively, despite Standard and Poor's downgrading of Greece's debt rating to junk.
Kenneth Rogoff, a former IMF chief economist, points out that national debt defaults and restructurings usually follow banking crises. He concludes that Greece must do all it can now to maintain international financial credibility so as to avoid IMF-imposed restructuring in future. But the matter is more complex than this assessment suggests. First, Greece is hardly alone; the U.S. budget deficit for 2008-9 was 9.9 per cent and the U.K.'s was 10.9 per cent for 2009-10. Sweden has also survived a comparable crisis. Secondly, Ms. Merkel's party, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), faces a hard reelection battle in the province of North Rhine-Westphalia and needs to talk tough on Greece. Thirdly, the preceding Greek government, a conservative one, hugely expanded public spending and the budget deficit, by increasing public-service employment and failing to tackle widespread tax fraud. Meanwhile, the EU's regulatory bodies did nothing about the country's rising budget deficit, and Greece colluded with an investment bank to falsify the figures. Finally, Prime Minister George Papandreou has announced measures to crack down on tax evasion, to raise taxes, and to cut the budget deficit by four percentage points in the current financial year. The EU is also likely to adopt tougher regulations, which will reduce the capacity of private players to attack member states through financial markets. The Greek crisis, though serious, gives the EU an opportunity to help a member state, curb predatory financiers, and improve its own institutions and procedures.
***************************************
THE HINDU
LEADER PAGE ARTICLES
TOWARDS A TRUE CONSTITUTIONAL COURT
THE CREATION OF FOUR REGIONAL COURTS OF APPEAL AS FINAL APPELLATE COURTS, WHILE RESTRICTING THE SUPREME COURT OF INDIA TO ITS TRUE FUNCTION AS A CONSTITUTIONAL COURT, HAS BECOME IMPERATIVE.
K.K. VENUGOPAL
The importance of decentralisation of the administration of justice as a means of realising access to judicial institutions has been argued strongly by no less a distinguished jurist than V.R. Krishna Iyer, a former Judge of the Supreme Court of India ("Questions of Judicial Access," The Hindu, February 3, 2010). Although Justice Krishna Iyer has advocated the setting up of four regional benches of the Supreme Court, I believe that the establishment, instead, of four regional Courts of Appeal (along the lines I suggested in the recent R.K. Jain Memorial Lecture) would be a more effective means to ensure that the poorest litigant from the farthest corner of India has inexpensive and ready access to justice. My proposal to create four regional Courts of Appeal as final appellate courts, while restricting the Supreme Court of India to its true function as a Constitutional Court, appeared to be acceptable to Chief Justice of India K.G. Balakrishnan, who was the Chief Guest at the Lecture ("I Can't Let Apex Court Split: Chief Justice," DN A, January 31, 2010).
Over the last six decades, the Supreme Court's extraordinary power has manifested itself in the form of judgments encompassing every sphere of the nation's activity. No grievance has been too insignificant to attract the court's palliative and curative jurisdiction. Inspired by the desire to give true meaning to the Constitution's promise of justice, liberty and equality for all, no litigant has been turned away by the Supreme Court, and there is virtually no area of human endeavour in regard to which it has not exercised its jurisdiction, original or appellate.
There is, however, a price to be paid for the court's metamorphosis into a powerhouse of judicial activism: the problem of mounting arrears. As of September 2009, there were no less than 53,221 cases pending before the Supreme Court. Many would say that the writing was on the wall as early as in the 1970s. Arrears in the Supreme Court had leaped from 680 cases in 1950 to over 100,000 by 1989. The pendency of cases came down to 19,000 in 1997 due, in large part, to the manner in which petitions and interlocutory applications came to be numbered together. There has, however, been a worrying 150 per cent increase in total pendency between 1997 and 2009. In my view, this calls for a reassessment of the normative and constitutionally mandated role of the Apex Court. I am not convinced that merely augmenting the number of judges in the Supreme Court will solve the problem of arrears. On the contrary, there is good reason to believe that expanding the capacity of the court may aggravate rather than alleviate the inefficiencies in the current system.
A cursory glance at the Supreme Court's Practice and Procedure Handbook will reveal how far the court has strayed from its original character as a Constitutional Court and gradually converted itself into a mere court of appeal which has sought to correct every error it finds in the decisions of the 21 High Courts and numerous Tribunals from which appeals lie to it. The jurisdiction of the Supreme Court may now be invoked in relation to matters falling within any of 45 categories listed in the Practice and Procedure Handbook. These include the entire gamut of routine cases involving labour law, the rent act, direct and indirect taxes, acquisition of land, service law, criminal law, family law, and so on. These 45 heads further have 140 sub-categories under which the court may be called upon to exercise its appellate jurisdiction. For example, there are 22 sub-categories under service matters alone and 35 sub-categories under indirect tax matters. Under family law matters, the court may be called upon to decide cases involving divorce by mutual consent, restitution of conjugal rights, child custody, adoption, minority and guardianship, alimony cases, and so on.
Surely, however generous one may be in seeking to render justice to all, it will be obvious to anyone that if an Apex Court attempts to adjudicate all such cases, it will defeat the great purpose for which the court was established under our constitutional system. In such a scenario, it necessarily has to accumulate vast arrears over a period of time, which will be impossible for it to clear in any foreseeable future. According to me, this is a self-inflicted injury and the cause of the malaise which has gradually eroded the confidence of litigants in the Apex Court, mainly because of its failure to hear and dispose of cases within a reasonable time-frame.
The effort, then, in the words of Justice K.K. Mathew, a former Judge of the Supreme Court, must be to voluntarily cut the coat of jurisdiction according to the cloth of the importance of the question, and not to expand the same with a view to satisfying every litigant who has the means to pursue his cause. I do not mean to imply that the Supreme Court should be the sole preserve of the wealthy or well-connected. Rather, it is my view that the cause of justice and the interests of the litigant public would be best served if the court entertains only those cases which measure up to the significance of national or public importance. It will be my thesis, for reasons to be stated presently, that cases which do not raise questions of national or public significance should be finally decided by intermediate courts which are to be created by an amendment to the Constitution.
Previous attempts to tackle arrears by making additions to the Bench have proven to be unsuccessful. The original strength of eight judges in 1950 has progressively been increased by amendments to the Supreme Court (Number of Judges) Act of 1956, to 11 in 1956, 14 in 1960, 18 in 1977, 26 in 1986 and 31, today. It is against this backdrop that I would suggest the creation of four regional or zonal Courts of Appeal that would absorb the 140 categories of cases spanning matrimonial, rent control, labour, service, land acquisition and other matters entertained by the Supreme Court today. These cases would belong to the exclusive jurisdiction of the Courts of Appeal that would be established in the four regions of the country. The chartered High Courts of Bombay, Calcutta and Madras, and additionally, the High Court of Delhi, could themselves well be the seats of these Courts of Appeal which would be manned by judges of the same calibre as the judges who would otherwise be elevated from the High Courts to the Supreme Court. The age of retirement of the Judges of the Courts of Appeal would be 65 as, logically, they would need to have a higher retirement age than Judges of the High Court. Correspondingly, the age of retirement of Supreme Court Judges may have to be enhanced to 68 or even 70 years as is common in countries like Australia and Canada. The Supreme Court would then be left with only those cases which would fall within the jurisdiction vested in it by the framers of the Constitution and covering essentially the following matters:
1. All matters involving substantial questions of law relating to the interpretation of the Constitution of India or matters of national or public importance;
2. Settling differences of opinion on important issues of law between High Courts or between Courts of Appeal;
3. Validity of laws, Central and State;
4. After the Kesavananda Bharati case, (1973) 4 SCC 217, the judicial review of Constitutional Amendments;
5. Resolving conflicts between States and the Centre or between two States, as well as the original jurisdiction to dispose of suits in this regard; and
6. Presidential References under Article 143 of the Constitution.
I would conceive that the Constitution would be amended by adding Article 136A, whereby the regional Courts of Appeal would exercise the powers which were hitherto being exercised by the Supreme Court under Article 136 of the Constitution. This means that the Courts of Appeal would finally decide all cases arising from the High Courts relating to the 140 sub-categories mentioned earlier, without any further appeal lying to the Supreme Court. If, however, any question arises before a Court of Appeal which would fall within the newly carved-out jurisdiction of the Supreme Court as elaborated above, it would refer the same to the Supreme Court for decision. Similarly, I would omit Article 32 from the original jurisdiction of the Supreme Court. This means that actions alleging breaches of fundamental rights would be brought before any of the Courts of Appeal instead of the Supreme Court which would only exercise its appellate jurisdiction in such cases if questions are presented whose resolution will have immediate importance far beyond the particular facts and parties involved.
( K.K. Venugopal is a Senior Advocate, Supreme Court of India. This is the first part of a two-part article.)
***************************************
THE HINDU
THE LIFE AND DEATH OF SENDERO LUMINOSO
INDIA NEEDS TO REFLECT ON THE LESSONS FROM PERU'S MURDEROUS MAOIST WAR, WHICH CLAIMED 70,000 LIVES.
PRAVEEN SWAMI
"When the shooting began", wrote the Peruvian writer Mario Vargas Llosa, "he thought it was thunder, another storm approaching. But he saw the sheer terror in the eyes of the creatures closest to him, and he saw how they went mad, running into each other, falling, getting into each others' way, blinded and stupefied by panic, unable to decide whether they should flee to open country or return to the caves and he saw the first ones whimper and fall, bleeding, their haunches opened, their bones splintered, their muzzles eyes ears torn apart by bullets."
Graceful vicuña, prized for their wool, lay dead all around. "In their world strategy", the young guerrilla who had led the killing explained to their caretaker Pedro Tinoco, "this is the role they've assigned us: Peruvians raise vicuñas. So their scientists can study them, so their tourists can take pictures of them. As far as they're concerned, you're worth less than these animals."
Four decades ago, Peru's Sendero Luminoso, or "the Shining Path", launched an insurgency almost unparalleled in its savagery the inspiration for Mr. Llosa's masterpiece, Death in the Andes. Before it was eventually crushed by a brutal military campaign, seventy thousand lives were lost; half, Peru's Comisión de la Verdad y Reconciliación (Truth and Reconciliation Commission) estimates, at the hands of the Maoists and a third to government bullets. Sendero began to fall apart after the 1992 arrest of its leader Manuel Rubén Abimael Guzmán Reynoso, but small numbers of insurgents continue to operate in Peru's jungles. The story of the Maoist group's life and death and fears of its possible rebirth hold lessons for India.
Peru first saw an insurgent movement in 1965, inspired by the uprising in Cuba. Less than six months on, they suffered a crushing defeat. The country's military, which deposed President Fernando Belaúnde Terry in 1968, learned some lessons from the experience and instituted land reforms.
During the tumult that preceded the 1965 uprising, Peru's communist party the Partido Comunista del Peru, or PCP split. In January 1964, a faction led by Saturnino Paredes set up the PCP- Bandera Roja, or "Red Flag". In 1970, Guzmán led a split within the PCP- Bandera Roja. From the small provincial University of Huamanga, where Guzmán taught philosophy, the Frente Estudiantil Revolucionario por el Sendero Luminoso de Mariátegui (Revolutionary Student Front for the Shining Path of Mariátegui) slowly spread out.
Sendero launched military operations a decade later, targeting the police with considerable success. In the
summer of 1982, groups of guerrillas launched simultaneous attacks on police stations at Vilcashuaman and Luricocha, over a hundred kilometres apart. The police were forced to withdraw from rural areas of Ayacucho, leaving Sendero in de-facto control of the countryside. Maoist courts began to settle disputes and enforce justice often in a brutal fashion. Like India, the Maoist ascendency was founded on the state's anaemic presence in the heartlands. The police, in particular, were poorly trained, under-resourced and had little usable intelligence.
Many analysts believe the underlying objective of Sendero's strategy during this period was to precipitate a military coup against the Belaúnde regime, which held power between 1980 and 1985. Sendero hoped to precipitate a crisis which would compel the military to depose Belaúnde leading to increased repression and an upsurge in peasant and proletarian militancy. Belaúnde was obliged to declare an emergency in some of Ayacucho's provinces in October 1981. Hundreds of federal police were pumped into the area, but with little success. Later that year, troops were finally flown in to the central sierra setting off a decade-long war of attrition.
A Defeat Destined
In a 1982 party document, Desarrollamos la guerra de guerrillas, Sendero claimed the Peruvian state was "bureaucratic and landlord, dominated by a dictatorship of feudal landowners and the big bourgeoisie under the control of imperialism". Much of Sendero's conception of Peruvian society drew on Mao Zedong's 1926 Analysis of the Classes in Chinese Society and Left-wing author Jose Carlos Mariátegui's popular Seven Interpretative Essays on Peruvian Reality published two years later.
Mao's simply-written tracts were profoundly attractive to a new generation of Maoist leaders emerging from Peru's desperately poor highlands: first-generation university students from artisan, peasant and petty-bourgeois backgrounds who were seeking an explanation for the backwardness and poverty of their people. Peru's complex hierarchy of race with white Peruvians at the top and native Andean people at the bottom coloured their Marxism. Slogans like necesitamos un gobierno de Indios (we need a government of Indians) or hay que matar a los blancos y destruir las ciudades que siempre nos han explotado (we have to kill the whites and destroy the towns, that have always exploited us) were just as popular as the work of Ernesto Guevara.
But, as the Cambridge University scholar Lewis Taylor noted in a perceptive 1983 essay, Sendero's characterisation of Peru as a rural, pre-industrial society dominated by feudal landlords was "hopelessly mistaken". "Feudal landlords", Mr. Taylor noted, "play no role in today's Peru, while large-scale landlordism, feudal or otherwise, as an economic force was decimated by a thorough-going agrarian reform between 1969 and 1976". Post-reform Peruvian society, he argued, "was characterised by an expansion in the ranks of medium-scale farmers and comparatively well-to-do kulaks, who co-exist alongside vast numbers of semi-proletarianised minifundists [small farmers] and landless labourers, 'feudal' landlords being conspicuous by their absence".
Even in the backward Ayacucho zone where Sendero flourished, Mr. Taylor pointed out, "the only people who even remotely merit the title of large-scale landowners are in no way feudal, being involved in that most capitalistic of businesses, the cocaine trade. Neither has nearby Hauncavelica been a zone of great landlord influence, being a predominantly mining region".
Put simply, Sendero sought to bring about a peasant revolution in a country that had ceased to be a peasant society. In 1980, agriculture contributed just 10 per cent of the Gross National Product and 20 per cent of the country's exports; some 70 per cent of Peru's citizens lived in its cities.
Peru's Maoists often adopted tactics that alienated their core constituency. In August 1982, Sendero destroyed
the University of Huamanga's agricultural experimentation farm and slaughtered livestock that had been painstakingly acclimatised to the region's harsh environment. Workers at the farm were told it was an example of "imperialist domination", since it was part-funded by western aid. Electricity generation and transmission systems were frequently destroyed, telephone networks disrupted and shops and schools burned down. Factories run by major multinationals such as Bayer and Nestlé were also targeted. In one bizarre operation, television stations relaying the finals of the 1982 football World Cup were destroyed an action Sendero claimed it took because the sport was exercising a narcotic effect on the population.
Many groups of the Left had long understood that Sendero was headed towards a dead end. Between 1977 and 1980, Peru's working class mounted successful struggles for better working conditions and brought about a widening of democratic space. Key communist factions participated in the June 1980 general elections that Sendero had chosen as an occasion to launch its armed struggle. Even Peru's peasants increasingly turned against Sendero. In 1983, the organisation felt obliged to massacre 69 children, women and men in the village of Lucanamarca in the face of assaults by rural militia set up to support the military.
By 1992, when a Sendero car-bomb killed 24 and injured 200 in Lima, the organisation had lost much of its popular base. President Alberto Fujimori, who had staged a coup that April and dissolved Congress, was able to unleash the army and private death squads against the group, capitalising on the outrage.
Regrouping
Despite Sendero's death, there are well-founded concerns that conditions exist for the organisation to take root again. Ever since 1999 there have been credible reports that the group has tapped the cocaine trade in the valleys of the Apurimac and Ene rivers a jungle region close to its birthplace. Sendero guerrillas have succeeded in mounting a series of murderous raids against Peru's security forces despite their numerical weakness. In next-door Colombia, the Maoist Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia) has also used narcotics revenue to recruit new cadre and build resources.
Peru is not India; but the key narrative elements of Sendero's story will be depressingly familiar to anyone who
has followed the rise of Maoist power in recent years. Both the government and the Maoists need to reflect on the horrors that seem, with increasing inevitability, to lie ahead.
***************************************
THE HINDU
WHY THE U.S. WANTS TO SILENCE NORIEGA
THE FORMER PANAMANIAN DICTATOR IS A REMINDER OF U.S. INTERVENTIONISM IN CENTRAL AMERICA.
SIMON TISDALL
the headquarters of the Panamanian defence force. Inside the compound, shattered masonry and bullet holes in the walls bore witness to a coup attempt by junior officers. The putsch had failed. Now the people outside were waiting for the General. They wanted to see him, to know for certain he was still alive.
Further down the pavement on Calle 23, a woman sobbed. People said her Army officer husband had not
returned home, that she feared he was among the 50 mutineers reportedly killed in the U.S.-backed coup. As the crowd grew and the sun came up, an old man sold lottery tickets and on a balcony overlooking the street, a woman hung out her smalls to dry.
Then, suddenly, the doors of the comandancia flew open and out came the man they were waiting for. Here, in crude good health, was President George Bush Snr.'s pet hate figure, America's most wanted, and Panama's answer to Colonel Gaddafi: General Manuel Antonio Noriega himself an indicted drug trafficker and at that time perhaps the world's most infamous dictator.
Acknowledging the cheers of the crowd, Noriega, small and burly in crisp green combat fatigues and a red baseball cap, wore a triumphant smile. "Who did this?" a journalist shouted at him in reference to the attack on the comandancia. "The Americans did this. The Americans, the piranhas did this. They want to finish Panama," Noriega replied.
Though he had no inkling of it that morning, Noriega's days in the sun were numbered. Two months later, Mr. Bush sent the American Army to finish what the coup leaders began. After causing a large and still disputed number of civilian deaths in the El Chorrillo neighbourhood around the comandancia, U.S. forces hunted down Noriega, arrested him, put him on trial in Miami, and sentenced him to 40 years.
The stated reasons for the U.S. intervention were many: anger at the harassment of military personnel based in Panama, worries over the safety of American nationals, the failure of diplomacy and sanctions, the security of the Panama canal, the city's position as a leading entrepot and money-laundering centre for illegal narcotics, and the importance attached to Mr. Bush's top domestic political priority winning his self-declared "war on drugs".
But Noriega's extradition to France this week, where he faces more drug-related charges, has refocused attention on the unspoken reasons why the "Maximum Leader", also known as "Pineapple Face", became such a threat to the then U.S. government and why such extreme measures were taken to silence him. His case also serves as a reminder of the U.S. policy of direct and indirect interventionism in Central America that bedevilled the region for decades.
America's thug
Noriega was a thug. But for many years, he was America's thug until he turned on his mentors. Trained in military and intelligence matters at the School of the Americas, he became for a time a valued CIA "asset" working for the agency and the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration.
Government documents submitted to the Miami court in 1991-92 confirmed that Noriega was paid (at least) $320,000 by the U.S. government for services rendered.
Simply put, Noriega knew too much. He acted as a Cold War listening post for the U.S. during turbulent times in Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras, according to William Buckley's book, Panama: the Whole Story.
The jury in Noriega's trial on 10 narrowly defined drug-related counts heard none of this. Nor did it hear about Noriega's contacts with Oliver North, John Poindexter, CIA chief William Casey and other key figures in the Ronald Reagan and Bush administrations who, allegedly, connived in the supply of arms to Nicaragua's Contra rebels paid for with Medellin cartel drug cash.
Proof of connivance
There were many other such allegations, and Noriega claimed to have proof of senior U.S. politicians' connivance in drug trafficking for political purposes. But none was allowed in evidence. Nor was the new Panamanian government's demand that Noriega be returned there for trial accepted.
In Panama, Noriega would have been free to tell all he knew. And for many powerful men in Washington, some of whom are still alive, that prospect was potentially dangerous.
The outcome of the Miami trial, like the 1989 invasion, was never in doubt. It was a show trial, a warning to others. It was pure vengeance. It was a cover-up of decades of illicit regional meddling. But it was also a demonstration of raw American power, of which the world was soon to have more frightening examples. © Guardian Newspapers Limited, 2010
***************************************
THE HINDU
AT LONG LAST, A FIRM STEP FORWARD
THE MEETING IN BHUTAN BETWEEN THE TWO PRIME MINISTERS HAS OPENED A PATH, BUT INDIA AND PAKISTAN ARE NOT OUT OF THE WOODS YET.
SIDDHARTH VARADARAJAN
- India and Pakistan wisely decided to transcend the confines of nomenclature and form in the dialogue
- The talks will not work if the leaders succumb to the temptation of playing to domestic galleries
The history of India-Pakistan relations is full of examples of leaders from both countries travelling to distant points on the globe from Tashkent and New York to Sharm el-Sheikh and Havana to meet each other only to end up standing still. Meetings held in the subcontinent, on the other hand, have invariably led to breakthroughs, big and small. Think Simla and Lahore, Islamabad and Delhi. Each of these encounters produced conceptual breakthroughs that briefly carried some promise of momentum before being swamped by the forces of inertia, dead habit, treachery or bad faith that are the constants in this cursed relationship.
To the list of promising South Asian summits can now be added the name of Thimphu, where Manmohan Singh and Yusuf Raza Gilani met on Thursday. Defying naysayers within their respective establishments and wider strategic communities, the two Prime Ministers crafted a simple but elegant formula for breaking the current impasse, thereby ensuring that the process of engagement stuck for several months now has some chance of moving ahead. The Foreign Secretaries and Foreign Ministers have been tasked with meeting each other to assess the current state of the relationship and identify the reasons for the trust deficit. This is to be the first step in what will eventually lead to a dialogue process aimed at discussing and resolving all outstanding issues and disputes.
With the "composite" nature of the dialogue becoming a political stumbling block, India and Pakistan wisely decided to transcend the confines of nomenclature. The process they engage in may eventually take the form of the composite dialogue or, more likely, improve upon it. But that will depend on two factors, both equally important: the results of the review the two sides conduct, and their ability to reduce the trust deficit.
For India, the restoration of trust depends on very simple metrics. New Delhi's overarching priority is to get Islamabad to honour its commitment to prevent terrorists from using Pakistani territory to launch attacks on India. Mr. Gilani reiterated this promise in Bhutan but the Manmohan Singh government will need more than mere words in order to convince sceptics at home. It needs the seven Lashkar-e-Taiba men currently on trial in Rawalpindi for their involvement in the November 2008 terrorist attacks in Mumbai punished. And it needs credible evidence that anti-India terrorist organisations like the LeT and their leadership no longer have the freedom to operate. Infiltration levels in the valley, which have been rising over the past few months, also need to fall.
Even within the constraints of what Pakistan's increasingly independent judicial system is prepared to accept, there is a lot more that the Pakistani government can and must do to address Indian concerns. The current thaw assumes the absence of engagement is making it easier for the military establishment in Pakistan to justify the continuation of its links with anti-Indian extremists. Prime Minister Singh's decision to agree to the resumption of dialogue is based on the principle of trust but verify. If terrorist groups continue to speak and operate with impunity, chances are any substantive talks the two sides begin on issues like Kashmir or Siachen will flounder. After all, the oxygen of trust is needed to scale those daunting heights, which no leader has managed to ascend so far. As for water, it is hard to imagine India agreeing to surrender rights given to it by the Indus Water Treaty or shouldering obligations not enumerated there which is essentially what Pakistan would like it to do in the absence of trust and normality. Putting the terrorists out of business is, therefore, very much in Pakistan's interest.
As the two sides review the relationship, they will try and come up with a framework that can build on what the composite dialogue has accomplished so far while transcending its limitations. It is clear, for example, that bureaucrats and officials have done all they could to resolve Sir Creek and Siachen and that those discussions have reached the stage where a dialogue between politically-empowered envoys is the only way a settlement can be produced. Similarly on the "core issue" of Jammu and Kashmir, the back channel has proved to be a more effective platform for serious negotiation than the front channel operated by the two Foreign Secretaries. Should the Kashmir dialogue, too, be made political?
An obstacle here, of course, is that the Pakistani side appears to have repudiated the understandings reached between 2004-2007 on maintaining the territorial status quo, making borders irrelevant, demilitarising the area and crafting administrative links between the two parts of Kashmir. But even that is not the biggest problem since either party is well within its right to walk away from the back channel. Today, however, the real challenge in reviving and working the back channel is the lack of clarity in Islamabad about who Riaz Mohammed Khan the designated counterpart of Satinder Lambah will report to.
Political circumstances allowed General Musharraf to work within the dictum of l'etat c'est moi and India dealt with him as such. But today there is no clarity. Depending on how the wider internal politics in Pakistan plays out over the next year, some clarity may emerge. It is in India's long-term interest that democracy in Pakistan gets stabilised and empowered. This means, every effort must be made to work with Prime Minister Gilani and his government, while keeping lines of communication open with other political parties and leaders. There have also been suggestions in several high-level Track-II meetings that a dialogue between the intelligence chiefs of both countries could serve a useful purpose. These are issues that need to be discussed and evaluated when the Foreign Secretaries and Ministers take stock of where the relationship stands.
Alongside this evolving process, forward movement on trade, investment and energy sector cooperation would produce mutual gains that could enlarge the constituency for peace in both countries. None of this will work, however, if the leadership in India and Pakistan succumbs to the temptation of playing to domestic galleries. Going by the record of the past few years, terrorists will attempt to destroy this latest attempt to restart the dialogue. Acting with maturity and restraint in the face of provocation will pay more dividends in the long run. In Thimphu, both Foreign Secretary Nirupama Rao and Pakistani Foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi struck the right tone even when "nationalist" questions were thrown at them. If the dialogue process is to survive the critical early months, leaders and officials up and down the food chain in India and Pakistan need to exercise great caution.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE ASIAN AGE
EDITORIAL
DHONI & CO SEEK WORLD CUP GLORY
April.30 : India's campaign in the third edition of the ICC World T20 Championship which begins in the West Indies on Friday will be closely watched. Three years ago the Indians, then led by Rahul Dravid, were among the favourites for the World Cup title they had last won in 1983 under Kapil Dev, but a poorly-managed campaign was cut short early on and the Men in Blue eliminated in the very first round. That event was also marked more for its off-field controversies that culminated with the death of Pakistan's coach Bob Woolmer in Kingston, Jamaica. A world-level tournament returns to the Caribbean under the sceptical gaze of the cricketing world. Having said that, India champions in the inaugural edition of the T20 Worlds in South Africa will once again go into the tournament as one of the better-favoured teams based equally on the diehard optimism of their fans as much on the solid preparation almost every member of Mahendra Singh Dhoni's squad has had at the recently-concluded IPL-3. Other than Ravindra Jadeja, who sat out the domestic extravaganza after he was banned for the season having sought to renegotiate his contract midway through its validity, all the other 15 have been in the thick of the action that culminated in the Chennai Super Kings walking away with the title they had first come agonisingly close to at the first IPL final in 2008. At the same time, a host of players from around the world too start the T20 Worlds battle fit for the same reason. Given what happened in 2007 and more recently during the business end of IPL-3 with off-field battles elbowing the cricket off centrestage cricket's bosses around the world will be hoping that the quality of the sport on display at St. Lucia, Guyana and Barbados will bring the spotlight back where it belongs.
As far as the tournament itself is concerned, there are at least four teams that look equally good at this stage for the title. Other than India, defending champions Pakistan must be counted as being among the teams that matter. They may not have had the best of preparation and have been torn apart by infighting, but Pakistan have the best record at the T20 Worlds, having been finalists twice, winning it once and with an enviable 22-7 win-loss record in 30 matches, with one no result. South Africa are always a dangerous team and the core of their team Jacques Kallis, Dale Steyn, the Morkel brothers, J.P. Duminy and Ab de Villiers are all match-fit after IPL-3. The West Indies too have to be reckoned with both as hosts and as a side bursting with talent in the form of skipper Chris Gayle, the big-hitting Keiron Pollard, Dwayne Bravo, the super-quick Kemar Roach and the ever-dependable Shivnaraine Chanderpaul and Ramnaresh Sarwan to drive their campaign. England will be the other team to watch out for, and that does not in the least discount the ever-dangerous Australia and even Bangladesh who have some serious ability in the shorter formats of the game, as Dravid discovered in 2007 in Trinidad. Still and all, the calm presence of Dhoni at the helm as much as his title win with CSK is a huge plus for India, as is the form of some of his key players. With the organisers at pains to avoid the pitfalls that ensnared the 2007 World Cup, it is to be hoped the calypso flavour of the Caribbean that was so badly missed three years ago will counterpoint some memorable cricket this time.
***************************************
THE ASIAN AGE
EDITORIAL
STEALING SEEDS
There is a draft Seeds Bill in Parliament which could be enacted any day now. The new Seeds Bill, drafted originally in 2004, will replace the old Seed Act of 1966 which was meant to set standards for trading in seed. The conditions of seed production have undergone a sea change in the last 25 years, with a growing presence of the seed industry. Earlier, seed production was largely in the hands of the public sector. So a new Seeds Act is needed to respond to the altered conditions. A law regulating the seed trade is necessary to ensure that farmers are protected against spurious seeds and that seed producers are obliged to put into the market only seeds of good and reliable quality. But the current Seeds Bill is not the new law that this country requires. It favours the seed industry and is against the interests of farmers.
The Seeds Bill is structurally flawed and bad in principle. This is because it has strayed from its original mandate of setting standards for the seed that will be traded and has attempted to meddle in affairs which belong in Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) legislation. The seed industry, which has been angry over the pro-farmer provisions of the Protection of Plant Variety and Farmers Rights Act (PPVFR), has attempted to reclaim ground by getting the PPVFR provisions overtaken by the provisions of the Seeds Bill. The draft Seeds Bill undoes many of the pro-farmer provisions of the PPVFR .
The Seeds Bill requires mandatory registration of the varieties/seeds which the PPVFR does not. In the PPVFR, the breeder applies for registration for a Plant Breeders Right. This right is valid for a period of 15 years for crop varieties and 18 years for trees. The Seeds Bill allows the period of protection to be doubled so that the seed variety can be protected by the seed producer for 30 years and 36 years respectively. This extension of the seed owner's right will allow monopolies to be established.
A serious shortcoming of the bill is the failure to include a provision that would make it mandatory to declare the parentage (passport data) of the new seed that is developed and for which registration is sought under the law. This is not only shoddy science, it is also unethical because it would allow the seed industry breeders to use crop varieties developed by farmers and public sector scientists without acknowledging the source. This amounts to theft. It also means that no opportunities for benefit sharing are in place post commercialisation and profit making. Not declaring passport data will make the new variety a black box. This will facilitate unrestricted commercialisation of varieties in the public domain, including farmer varieties, by private parties. It also will permit the industry to use farmer varieties without paying the mandated fee for such use into a National Gene Fund designated for the purpose, under the PPVFR.
In the case of the Seeds Bill, the registered varieties will be made known to the public only through periodic publications. The public has no opportunity to object to a new variety for any reason. This lack of transparency could mean that varieties of dubious performance could get registered without giving people a chance to oppose such grants.
Unlike the PPVFR which allows legitimate opposition to the grant of a registration for a new variety before registration is granted, the Seeds Bill has, despite several appeals from civil society, refused to accommodate a provision for pre-grant opposition. Enlightened law-making in many parts of the world, including our own, now allows the public an opportunity to record its objections to the grant of certain legal rights like patents. Gene Campaign has been pushing for a pre-grant provision in the Seeds Bill so that if a seed company was wanting to register a seed which had used material from other, unauthorised sources, objections could be raised. But the government, anxious to please the seed industry, refuses to include a provision for pre-grant opposition.
Because the bill does not require the parentage of a variety to be declared, it allows misappropriation of materials belonging to others. The seed industry breeders could in principle have free access to all available genetic diversity of crop plants without having to go through prior informed consent or engaging in benefit sharing. All this amounts to legalising the piracy of valuable genetic materials like elite breeding lines.
Further cause for alarm are the provisions of the Seeds Bill that deal with price control. In the PPVFR, regulation of seed supply and seed price is to be managed through a process of compulsory licensing. This safeguards the interests of the farming community since it places the responsibility of ensuring an adequate seed supply at reasonable price, on the government. The Seeds Bill fails to provide any such protection to the farmer.
There is no mechanism to regulate seed supply or seed price. This could result in a high cost of seeds fixed arbitrarily by the seed companies, leaving the government with no means to control the price. It could also mean that seed providers are under no obligation to ensure a reasonable seed supply to farmers. This will defeat the very rationale that had kept seed production in the public sector so far. The government's new mantra of allowing market forces to "rationalise" seed production could strike at the foundation of national food security and farmer livelihoods. Seed producers, whether in the public or private sector, must be compelled to ensure that seed is available to every farmer in every agro-ecological zone in the country.
The liability and compensation provisions of the PPVFR that allowed farmers to be compensated for spurious or poor quality seeds, has been dispensed with in the Seeds Bill. Instead a compensation committee has been constituted. A straightforward insurance package linked to the seed would be a system that would work far better for farmers. If the seeds did not perform, the insurance claim would become automatic.
The stringent punishment and large penalties for violating the law that was put in as a deterrent against bad seeds in the PPVFR, have been reduced to a token.The penalties for violation under the Seeds Bill are so low (Rs 5,000) that even if someone is caught stealing public sector material or that belonging to farmers, the punishment is practically non-existent. The current Seeds Bill, rather than protecting the farmers, opens up avenues allowing the seed industry to steal their material.
Dr Suman Sahai, a genetic scientist who has served on the faculty of the Universities of Chicago and Heidelberg, is convenor of the Gene Campaign
Suman Sahai
***************************************
THE ASIAN AGE
EDITORIAL
THE ELEPHANT'S LAST STAND
"The further east one goes", wrote the chronicler, "the more elephants there are". Given how central the great beasts have been to warfare in this continent for two-and-a-half millennia, this was, to put it simply, an observation that mattered. That elephants thin out in numbers and dwindle down to nothing as the rainfall declines with the path of the monsoon in north India is widely known.
But its consequences are less apparent at first glance. The writer of the quote above was a prince in search of fame, territory and fortune. The lands east of the Indus gave him all and more. His name was one to reckon with, not only as conqueror but also as a naturalist: Zia ud din Muhammad Babar.
Elephants fascinated him: their power and prowess in fields of battle had to be seen to be believed. Villagers near Kalpi and Manikpur earned a living by catching and taming them. Here, Babur had revenues that would not be taken in cash or grain, but in captive elephants. Thirty-odd villages gained from this.
The India of Babur or for that matter his successors had room for elephants and much more. Recent estimates of populations of the Mughal Empire reckon about 114 million people in India. This meant less than one in four acres was permanently tilled or cultivated. Vast stretches of forest, savannah and scrub dominated much of central and north India. The central region was Gondwana and large areas were known to harbour elephants.
Jahangir in the 17th century's first two decades had as many as seven drives to catch elephants in Gujarat, in its southern reaches, where tigers were still extant till a few decades ago. The Timurid rulers (as they called themselves) were much enamoured of elephants. As many as five men looked after one and favourites like the magnificent tusker Gajraj were portrayed by ateliers.
No one needs reminding of the huge changes in the land in the last two centuries. Not only have forests shrunk in size, the animals have vanished from regions and places where they were well known as parts of the landscape. Yet, though so much is taken, much still abides.
India is among the few Asian countries where elephants might still have a chance of survival, provided enough habitat stays intact. Babur would have sympathised with its plight. "An elephant", he sagely observed, "eats as much as two strings of camels".
He may not have known its fate was worse in a country as rich and significant as India in the pre-modern era: China. The premier historian of that country's rich ecological pasts, Mark Elvin set out to write a millennium long account of change. He did what anyone with such a rich record of written sources would do. He covered not one but 4,000 years. The title is a giveaway: The Retreat of Elephants (Yale University press, 2004).
Whereas in India, the Mughals and their successors were heirs to a centuries-old tradition of elephant craft, the last instance of the use of the animals in warfare in China was in 1662. Classical texts speak of the delicacy of an elephant's trunk and describe how best to cook it, something unknown in mainland India (though not in the Northeast).
But the retreat had less to do with courtly gastronomy and more to do with the larger economic changes. Writing as early as 1087, a poet wrote of Jiangsu province, "In the southern hills, rest and return to life, wait the forests of chestnuts/Yet iron, stubborn ore from the hills to the north, will be no trouble to smelt". Iron ore mining versus forest ecologies: this could be a manual from our own century.
But more than that there was the growth of Han peasant agriculture. There has been a 3,000-year war of humans versus the animals. The latter's retreat is inversely proportional to the advance of the rice-based Han peasant agriculture. Chinese farmers and elephants do not mix.
Of course, trapping vast numbers for captive use was a drain on the herds in India. India too has seen a great expansion of cultivated arable at the expense of forest.
Human struggles in the past were a matter of life and death. China's riches rested on the extinction of wild lands, while Indian rulers saw such lands as a source of strategically valuable assets: war elephants. This even influenced the British who in the 1870s enacted laws to protect them in British India for sound imperial reasons.
These dilemmas are not only from yesteryears. Nearly half-a-millennium after Babur, how and whether Asia reconciles human existence with nature's survival is a question that stares us in the face.
Peasant agriculture at the forest's margins in much of India and some times well beyond has to contend with the mobile mega-herbivores. Elephants in China are a "ghost species", so few are left that the memory of them is wider than their actual presence. Zhou Se in 3rd century Sichuan wrote of "rhinoceros striving with elephant to determine who canters more swiftly", but the animals are gone. Only verse remains.
India fared better than China in this respect in the past, but will it continue to do so? The world's eyes may be on Asia for its phenomenal rise in economic terms, but much of the challenge is on how we reconcile this vast creation of wealth with a new and stable peace with nature.
What better place to begin than with the continent's largest land mammal so "huge and intelligent" that its fate might well mirror our own?
Mahesh Rangarajan is an environmental historian and co-editor of the book Making Conservation Work
Mahesh Rangarajan
***************************************
THE ASIAN AGE
EDITORIAL
THE ELEPHANT'S LAST STAND
"The further east one goes", wrote the chronicler, "the more elephants there are". Given how central the great beasts have been to warfare in this continent for two-and-a-half millennia, this was, to put it simply, an observation that mattered. That elephants thin out in numbers and dwindle down to nothing as the rainfall declines with the path of the monsoon in north India is widely known.
But its consequences are less apparent at first glance. The writer of the quote above was a prince in search of fame, territory and fortune. The lands east of the Indus gave him all and more. His name was one to reckon with, not only as conqueror but also as a naturalist: Zia ud din Muhammad Babar.
Elephants fascinated him: their power and prowess in fields of battle had to be seen to be believed. Villagers near Kalpi and Manikpur earned a living by catching and taming them. Here, Babur had revenues that would not be taken in cash or grain, but in captive elephants. Thirty-odd villages gained from this.
The India of Babur or for that matter his successors had room for elephants and much more. Recent estimates of populations of the Mughal Empire reckon about 114 million people in India. This meant less than one in four acres was permanently tilled or cultivated. Vast stretches of forest, savannah and scrub dominated much of central and north India. The central region was Gondwana and large areas were known to harbour elephants.
Jahangir in the 17th century's first two decades had as many as seven drives to catch elephants in Gujarat, in its southern reaches, where tigers were still extant till a few decades ago. The Timurid rulers (as they called themselves) were much enamoured of elephants. As many as five men looked after one and favourites like the magnificent tusker Gajraj were portrayed by ateliers.
No one needs reminding of the huge changes in the land in the last two centuries. Not only have forests shrunk in size, the animals have vanished from regions and places where they were well known as parts of the landscape. Yet, though so much is taken, much still abides.
India is among the few Asian countries where elephants might still have a chance of survival, provided enough habitat stays intact. Babur would have sympathised with its plight. "An elephant", he sagely observed, "eats as much as two strings of camels".
He may not have known its fate was worse in a country as rich and significant as India in the pre-modern era: China. The premier historian of that country's rich ecological pasts, Mark Elvin set out to write a millennium long account of change. He did what anyone with such a rich record of written sources would do. He covered not one but 4,000 years. The title is a giveaway: The Retreat of Elephants (Yale University press, 2004).
Whereas in India, the Mughals and their successors were heirs to a centuries-old tradition of elephant craft, the last instance of the use of the animals in warfare in China was in 1662. Classical texts speak of the delicacy of an elephant's trunk and describe how best to cook it, something unknown in mainland India (though not in the Northeast).
But the retreat had less to do with courtly gastronomy and more to do with the larger economic changes. Writing as early as 1087, a poet wrote of Jiangsu province, "In the southern hills, rest and return to life, wait the forests of chestnuts/Yet iron, stubborn ore from the hills to the north, will be no trouble to smelt". Iron ore mining versus forest ecologies: this could be a manual from our own century.
But more than that there was the growth of Han peasant agriculture. There has been a 3,000-year war of humans versus the animals. The latter's retreat is inversely proportional to the advance of the rice-based Han peasant agriculture. Chinese farmers and elephants do not mix.
Of course, trapping vast numbers for captive use was a drain on the herds in India. India too has seen a great expansion of cultivated arable at the expense of forest.
Human struggles in the past were a matter of life and death. China's riches rested on the extinction of wild lands, while Indian rulers saw such lands as a source of strategically valuable assets: war elephants. This even influenced the British who in the 1870s enacted laws to protect them in British India for sound imperial reasons.
These dilemmas are not only from yesteryears. Nearly half-a-millennium after Babur, how and whether Asia reconciles human existence with nature's survival is a question that stares us in the face.
Peasant agriculture at the forest's margins in much of India and some times well beyond has to contend with the mobile mega-herbivores. Elephants in China are a "ghost species", so few are left that the memory of them is wider than their actual presence. Zhou Se in 3rd century Sichuan wrote of "rhinoceros striving with elephant to determine who canters more swiftly", but the animals are gone. Only verse remains.
India fared better than China in this respect in the past, but will it continue to do so? The world's eyes may be on Asia for its phenomenal rise in economic terms, but much of the challenge is on how we reconcile this vast creation of wealth with a new and stable peace with nature.
What better place to begin than with the continent's largest land mammal so "huge and intelligent" that its fate might well mirror our own?
Mahesh Rangarajan is an environmental historian and co-editor of the book Making Conservation Work
Mahesh Rangarajan
***************************************
THE ASIAN AGE
EDITORIAL
HOUSE OF SCANDALS
It looks like India is turning into a house of scandals. Last week, several skeletons tumbled out of the country's closet as allegations were being made of how in the Indian Premier League (IPL) money-laundering took place in the name of cricket and under the garb of "global entertainment". The question today is not who all were involved, but who among the celebrities are not involved. As the curtain rose on the financiers behind the painted faces, we got a sneak peek at some dubious (Dubai-based) personalities. The drama is just beginning to unfold. But the IPL is not alone. Huge scams break out with every changing season. Last year we had the Satyam scandal. Its chairman B. Ramalinga Raju, who had received many awards for best entrepreneur, best management practitioner etc, turned out to be a crook who had defrauded the government and public of several thousand crores of rupees.
With the Satyam founder in jail, the focus turned to the very institution of auditors. The institution has taken action against the auditors who were alleged to have colluded in the fraud, but what about the institution itself? The shadow of suspicion falls on it too when several cases of auditors not revealing the truth about corporate accounts surface.
Media reports say that other regulatory institutions have also been exposed. During the reign of senior Congress leader Arjun Singh as Union human resources development minister, over 33 private institutions were recognised as "deemed universities". Now the curtain on this series of recognitions has been removed and the resulting exposure of muck has resulted in the University Grants Commission itself coming under the scanner. The regulator for technology institutions, the All-India Council of Technical Education, has already seen chairman Ram Avtar Yadav and secretary Narayan Rao guillotined for their role in awarding recognition to suspect or sub-standard institutions and departments. Rao was caught demanding money to give recognition to an engineering college in Hyderabad.
Every day new fraudsters and scamsters are exposed by the media. The most recent one is the architectural regulator, the Council of Architecture. According to news reports, as many as 28 architects working with the world-famous Charles Correa have petitioned the government against this regulator of architectural education and practice. Apparently, the rot is far more widespread than we thought. The trail of sleaze and subterfuge is widening and reaches the government's altar. The government was revealed to be misusing the recently-installed technology for security agencies to tap the telephone lines of various politicians, including some United Progressive Alliance (UPA) members.
One newspaper reported that the role of telecom minister A. Raja in the high bids for 3G spectrum puts the focus on him once again. Last year he was accused of selling fresh telecom licenses at prices that were determined in 2001 when the mobile phone network was just expanding. The allegation against Mr Raja was that by deciding to sell 2G spectrum at a paltry Rs 1,651 crores to eight operators, he caused a loss of Rs 60,000 crores to the exchequer. But Mr Raja, who comes from the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, a coalition partner of the UPA-2, is stated to have used his political clout to sit pretty and safe in his chair despite the scandal.
The Congress-led UPA-2 government has let loose the income-tax sleuths on the IPL promoters. But this display of virtue is marred by the fact that all these IPL auctions had been going on for quite some months but the I-T authorities ignored the mystery Who are they? From where do they bring so much money? Only when the Congress' blue-eyed minister was touched by the dispute were the I-T sleuths unleashed. This leads us to the core of the rot. It is a part of the economic policy that is a wholesale adoption of the American model of growth.
Look at the current controversies in the US involving financial companies like Goldman Sachs and Wall Street stock manipulators and the biggest fraudsters of them all, GM, who is said to have swallowed up to $52 billion of investors' money. US President Barack Obama is fighting Wall Street operators to bring some probity to the American financial markets. Goldman Sachs chief, India-born Rajat Gupta, is alleged to have been accused by US investigators of using insider information to benefit certain people. Financial scandals, sexual shenanigans and corporate rape surface day after day in the US, some even touching the US Congress.
It is significant that from the day the Congress' Bofors scandal hit the headlines, successive Congress or Congress-led governments have all been blackened by scandals. Bofors, Harshad Mehta's market operations, the Bharat Shah scandal, the Sukh Ram residence-turned-treasure house of ill-gotten money, the bribing of some tribal MPs for votes under the Rao government, the deal of its senior leader Natwar Singh's relatives with the Iraqi dictator in the oil-for-dollar scheme and now revelations about favouritism during the days of Arjun Singh as HRD minister and the rot that festered in the educational regulators under him the list seems endless.
During Jawaharlal Nehru's regime, the first instance of misuse of office occurred with then finance minister T.T. Krishnamachari. This led the Prime Minister to demand Krishnamachari's resignation. But his daughter Indira Gandhi promoted corruption in the name of socialism and secularism. We recall how the Pondicherry licence scandal report implicating the then money-spinner of the Congress government, L.N. Mishra, was kept under wraps despite Opposition pressure to let people know the truth.
The Congress fought tooth and nail to buy time on the Bofors scandal but even the joint parliamentary committee farce did not save it from the people's wrath. However, the time gained enabled some of the accused to transfer their money from one account to another, from one country to another, and finally when after a decade the account was zeroed in on, strange things started emanating from the government in New Delhi that helped the chief accused to cock a snook at the government. The Congress' saga of scams and sleaze is endless. By the time this column appears, the country may have moved on to yet another scam.
Balbir K. Punj can be contacted at punjbalbir@gmail.com This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
Balbir K. Punj
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
DNA
EDITORIAL
SAARC REALITIES
The request by Maldives president Mohammed Nasheed, that India and Pakistan sort out their differences, provides some points for the two countries to ponder. The remarks were made at the opening of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation summit in Bhutan on Wednesday, where bilateral issues are not normally discussed. But evidently other member countries feel that the big two and their endless problems are detrimental to the progress of the neighbourhood economy. It was enough for them to speak out.
Certainly, the development of South Asia and its search for a stronger voice on the world stage rests on the India-Pakistan dynamic. And since the terror attacks of November, 2008, the relationship has stalled, if not suffered. But when several regions in the rest of the world are working towards setting aside their regional differences so that they can grow together, it is perhaps time for India and Pakistan to at least attempt greater regional cooperation, as implied by Saarc.
On India's part, while its neighbours are dependent on it, its sheer size creates a mental block for them. Even without actually behaving like the neighbourhood bully, India is seen as one. Perhaps, India has to work on its appearances. As for Pakistan, this may be a wake-up call. Its obsession with India, due to which it foments and supports terrorist activities on our soil, is a danger to the entire region. Thanks to the Afghan conflict, and the US efforts to enlist Pakistan in its larger war against the Taliban and the al Qaeda, all the nations in the region feel vulnerable.
No one would be naïveenough to suggest that India-Pakistan problems will be sorted out just because this suits the smaller members of Saarc. But the fact that our neighbours have spoken out shows that the concern about safety and security in the region is paramount. If Saarc is to achieve its full potential, it has to become a serious contender with significant bargaining powers like Asean. That is unachievable as long as its two largest members are involved in internecine warfare.
While the core Indo-Pak relationship will take some time to mend, it may not be a bad idea for India to offer its neighbours a greater share of the Indian market by preferential tariffs. If nothing else, it will create a larger constituency for economic cooperation which is what Saarc is about anyway.
***************************************
DNA
EDITORIAL
GREEK LESSONS
The debt crisis that has engulfed Greece, and which is now spreading to Spain and Portugal, has been confirmed officially by the downgrade of the sovereign bonds of these countries by credit rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P). It's been a year in the making, but the downgrade is evidence that the financial squall that hit the US markets in the autumn of 2008 is now gathering momentum across the Atlantic.
The difference between the two crises is this: the US meltdown occurred because of irresponsible risk-taking by private sector banks and financial institutions.
In southern Europe, it is the governments which have been caught in the whirlpool of public debt. In the US, once Lehman Brothers went under, the American government acted quickly and brought the situation under control. Will Europe have to do the same with Greece?
The $41 billion loan offered by European leaders and the $20 billion expected from the IMF will see Greece through 2010. But an estimate by The Economist suggests that another $90 billion of long-term official loans will be required over the next few years to help it get over the debt hump in 2014. That's a lot of money, but just as some banks are too big to fail, countries have no option but to be rescued. The money will have to be found.
The crisis could lead to a larger debate on the effectiveness of the European Union and its common currency, the euro. But that is not the immediate issue. The European crisis will weaken the economic recovery that seemed to flicker on the horizon towards the end of 2009 and the beginning of 2010. The sluggishness in the European markets would mean that global economic woes will persist longer.
There are lessons in this for governments elsewhere, including India and the US. Unfettered public spending, whether it is for saving private players, as in the US, or to prop up social spending in India, leads to serious problems unless it is seen as a temporary, emergency measure.
Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee is acutely aware of this. What is needed is real economic growth in terms of a rise in industrial and agricultural production, creation of jobs and increase in earnings at the corporate and individual levels. The other major warning from Greece is that fudging deficit figures will lead to a catastrophe.
***************************************
DNA
ADVANTAGE CONGRESS
MAHESH RANGARAJAN
The ability of the Manmohan Singh government to survive the cut motion in the Lok Sabha this budget session was never in doubt. What is significant is the dynamics behind the scale of the margin when it came to a vote.
This is both a measure of the strengths and limitations of the government and, as the summer unfolds, it will become clearer which of these the apparent advantages or the deeper infirmities will prevail.
There is little doubt that it was the Women's Bill and its passage in the Rajya Sabha that was the catalyst for the attempt of north India centered parties to exert their muscle. Even after the government assured all that the Bill would not be brought before the Lok Sabha in this session, the Yadav duo decided to try exerting pressure on it.
Yet, they are now a shadow of their presence from, say, a decade-and-a-half ago. Then, they had the social justice platform and also the advantage of the support of minorities disenchanted with the Congress. The picture is radically different now and neither is in control of a state government.
They also proved more amenable to pressure on the various tax and disproportionate asset cases lodged against them. These gave Congress party managers just the leeway they needed to prise apart the Mandal-based parties from their rekindled relationship with the Left.
The Yadav duo's dilemma is shared by other political formations, most of which had never been in power at the Centre till just over 30 years ago. Since then all major parties have either been integral to government formation or support and, in the process, many have picked up what were earlier seen as traits of the Congress alone.
But the spotlight has not been on the Mandal-based forces as much as the premier Dalit-led party, the BSP. Mayawati's 21 MPs were crucial to the survival of the government. As in the other cases, the Union government going soft on her cases in court may well have had a role in softening her up.
But there is a second major factor at work here. Rahul Gandhi's campaign launched with some fanfare on Ambedkar Divas on April 14 has not had the kind of response that had been hoped for.
Mayawati, in turn, has shrewdly exploited the Congress' inability to mount an offensive on all fronts. The alliance has only a wafer-thin majority in the Lok Sabha in contrast to the Bahujan Samaj Party's majority in the state assembly in Uttar Pradesh. Further, successive by-elections have shown her continued hold on the popular vote even though the kind of cross-class appeal she once had may well have got diluted.
Her situation is also unusual in more than one sense. She has a certain aura that makes specific tactical moves that she or her party makes irrelevant to the base on the ground. So attacking her for letting down the anti-Congress camp makes little headway. The BSP after all is the only major national party that was formed after the Emergency of 1975-77 and has no specific view on this critical watershed in Indian politics.
Further, on the issue of the Women's Bill, which many ruling party managers had seen as a game changer, Mayawati, as much as other opponents, has fought the government to a crawl, if not a standstill. The idea that gender-based mobilisation would unleash fresh forces the way caste-based reservation once did has not died down. But it needs to be attuned better to other divides in society and the body politic.
In turn, the BSP too has been shown up to lack the kind of appeal outside Uttar Pradesh and pockets of neighbouring states that it has in the heartland. In common with many regional parties, it loses its political antennae once it moves outside its core region of support. The inability to cultivate regional leaders or define a larger programme have made its strategy centered on one state, which however populous, is not synonymous with India.
For the Congress and the ruling alliance, what has been the great blessing is the inability of the premier opposition party to find its feet. Despite impressive mobilisation on the issue of prices, the BJP did not choose its ground carefully on the floor of the house. Its direct attack on the prime minister has shown that it has not outgrown the strategy it followed, with unhappy consequences in the last general elections.
Where does that leave the polity at large? The ruling alliance has its challenges cut out. Rising prices will undercut the mass appeal it has and pose a continuing challenge. But unless there is a clear and sustained Opposition mobilisation, this discontent will not amount to a direct challenge. It showed that the dice for now is still loaded in Congress' favour
***************************************
DNA
BETTING'S LEGAL, AND I'M IN JAIL
FARRUKH DHONDY
Cell No. 743
Cyber-offenders Wing
Her Majesty's Prison
The Isle of Wight,
UK
Dear Friends, I was to go to Germany last week to speak at a University but, with millions of others, was prevented from travelling by the twin disasters of the explosion of volcanic ash over Europe's airspace and a French railway strike which prevented one travelling beyond Calais if of course, one could get to that place across a very booked up English Channel.
One takes these little hitches in life with equanimity. I personally console myself that the plight of others, stuck in Rawalpindi, for instance and unable to take any flight except one to Lagos and take one's chances by boat, after paying twenty thousand pounds to the non-existent shipping company... is infinitely worse than mine. One counts one's blessings or remembers the parable my great grandmother taught me at her knee:
"I cried because I had no shoes
Then I saw a man with Jimmy Choos.... "
Apart from this mantra, I found that the best way to ward off the blues occasioned by the forced postponements in my professional timetable was to run a lucrative competition, related to the volcanic disaster, on the Internet. With the help of an Icelandic friend I devised a web page which challenged anyone stranded by the volcanic eruption anywhere in the world to enter the competition for a small fee and take away a huge prize if they won.
The competition couldn't have been simpler. Contestants, using their computer microphones and Skype cameras had to correctly pronounce the name of the volcano that had erupted in Iceland and caused the closure of European and African airports.
The word, the elusive name of this mischievous volcano, as the world knows, but hasn't yet successfully pronounced is Eyjafjallajoekull. The competition, my website announced, would be judged by a scientific voice-comparison of each competitor's offering with the authentic Icelandic pronunciation of the word. Winners were promised huge rewards for a small stake.
What my website didn't reveal to potential competitors was that just as Eskimos have a thousand words for snow and each of these has its own unique pronunciation, and just as there are a thousand-and-one names for God and no human can authoritatively say that 'Yaveh' or 'Allah' is a better way to address the almighty than 'Ahura Mazda', 'Jehova', 'Our Father' or 'Ishwar', so Eyjafjallajoekull has as many pronunciations as there are people in Iceland. There is no one unique pronunciation and there's the rub!
I was not to know that under British law, while it is completely accepted that bookies deprive punters of millions of pounds a week through betting on horse races, dog races and the results of football matches; and while the government itself runs a number lottery with a billion-to-one odds stacked against entrants, it is illegal to formulate an unwinnable competition. So, for instance, I can with complete freedom, ensured by the constitutional right to free speech, ask the next man, "which came first, the chicken or the egg?" or "How much wood would a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?" but I can't charge them money to attempt to solve these riddles.
The food is not bad here. But, my friends, UK lawyers are very expensive and so if any reader can see his or her way to contribute to the legal expenses entailed in proving my innocence they should send contributions to: PO Box number 420, Lagos, Nigeria.
God bless you,
Farrukh Dhondy
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE TRIBUNE
EDITORIAL
TOWARDS INDO-PAK TALKS
BUT KEEP PRESSURE ON TO PUNISH 26/11 PLOTTERS
That India is not averse to holding talks with Pakistan for resolving the issues plaguing their relations has been highlighted again by New Delhi despite no credible action by Islamabad so far to punish all those behind the 2008 Mumbai terrorist attack. As Prime Minister Manmohan Singh told his Pakistani counterpart, Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani, during their one-on-talks on the sidelines of the SAARC Summit at Thimpu on Thursday, India-Pakistan cooperation in different areas was essential for faster socio-economic growth in South Asia. Nothing can be allowed to come in the way of progress in the region, home to a large chunk of the world's poor. It is, therefore, encouraging that the two sides have decided to hold talks at the levels of Foreign Ministers and Foreign Secretaries as soon as possible. As Foreign Secretary Nirupama Rao pointed out during her Press briefing after the Manmohan Singh-Gilani meeting, the two countries will not shy away from discussing all issues of concern despite their differences in approach and perception. Dialogue, after all, is the key to promoting peace in region.
The stand taken at Thimpu is no different from the one announced at Sharm-al-Sheikh (Egypt) on July 16, 2009, though there was no mention of delinking the fight against terrorism and the cause of dialogue. But India cannot afford to allow those behind the Mumbai terrorist strike to go scot-free in Pakistan. That is why Dr Manmohan Singh urged Mr Gilani to ensure that these culprits got adequate punishment for the heinous crime they committed on November 26, 2008. India wants to be updated on the proceedings in Pakistan to bring these culprits to justice.
If the Thimpu talks between the two Prime Ministers appear to have paved the way for the resumption of the stalled India-Pakistan dialogue process, this does not mean that India will reduce its pressure on Pakistan to abandon the policy of using terrorism as an instrument of state policy. Islamabad will have to change its approach towards the anti-India terrorist outfits based on the other side of the border. With a view to creating an atmosphere congenial to the success of any dialogue process, Pakistan will have to honour its past commitment that it will not allow any territory under its control to be used by terrorists of any persuasion.
***************************************
EDITORIAL
THE WATER CHALLENGE
SOLUTIONS ARE THERE, BUT NOT THE WILL
The deepening water shortage in Punjab and Haryana and in some areas residents getting dirty water should be a cause for concern to governments in both states. A growing population, consumption-driven growth, climate change, increased cultivation of paddy, over-exploitation of groundwater, non-recycling of used water and poor conservation habits are widening the gap between demand and supply. The water woes of Shimla, Chennai and Bangalore are well known. Delhi-ites will soon be forced to consume treated sewage water as they do in Singapore. In Rajasthan water resources are guarded and even animals are denied free access. A McKinsey report warns that Indian cities could turn into "dry, stinking holes" by 2030.
It is a matter of regret that in Punjab and Haryana the crisis is partly self-created. Farmers have abandoned traditional crops that consumed less water and switched to paddy, a water guzzler, lured by frequent Central hikes in the minimum support prices. If the cost of a sharp decline in the water table and installation of submersible pumps to extract water from deeper levels is factored in the MSPs, the paddy grown here will carry a prohibitive price tag. Farmers of Punjab and Haryana are actually subsidising rice consumed in other states. Free power has only helped them use and waste more water than required. No wonder, experts suggest either denying the land-owners the ownership rights of groundwater or levying a cess on its extraction.
Gujarat's Jyotigram scheme is widely appreciated for separating agricultural and non-agricultural feeders for supplying power in villages to cut water misuse. Check dams have been raised to harvest rainwater. Sprinklers are replacing flood irrigation. Village ponds have been levelled in this region. All such water bodies will have to be revived with community effort to ensure that groundwater gets replenished. Climate change, given its serious effect on water resources and agriculture, has to be contained before it is too late. Better water management at the individual, state and national levels is the need of the hour.
***************************************
EDITORIAL
UPHOLDING FREE EXPRESSION
SC DEFENDS ACTOR KHUSHBOO'S COMMENT
Wednesday's ruling by the Supreme Court quashing all cases filed against Tamil actor Khushboo for her views on pre-marital sex in metropolitan cities will come as a much-needed relief to her. The fact that 22 cases of defamation were slapped on her for her comments to an English fortnightly not only added to the courts' burden but also subjected her to avoidable harassment. The Madras High Court, instead of rejecting the complaints against Khushboo in April 2008, consolidated them and ordered a joint trial.
The ruling does not come as a surprise because the apex court held last month that no law prohibited pre-marital sex or live-in relationships. Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan aptly questioned, "when two adults live together, what is the offence and under which section of Indian law?" Apart from violating Khushboo's constitutional right to freedom of speech, the complainants have confused a pompous moralism with the law, leading the apex court judges to say that what was seen as unethical and indecent by certain sections of society could not be termed an offence.
Significantly, Justice Balakrishnan has now ruled that Khushboo's remarks amounted to "fair comment", protected by her fundamental right to freedom of speech and expression. The Tamil actor had claimed in an interview that women who indulged in sex before their marriage should take care to protect themselves against sexually transmitted diseases and pregnancy, but her words were taken out of context to suggest that she had urged women to be "immoral". The complaints of defamation by vested interests were frivolous and mala fide with the sole motive of getting political mileage and publicity, she contended. The apex court has at last quashed all cases filed against Khushboo, but who will compensate her for the mental torture she had to undergo for long?
***************************************
THE TRIBUNE
COLUMN
ALL PHONE CALLS ARE VULNERABLE
BUT STATE MUST ACT RESPONSIBLY
BY INDER MALHOTRA
AS was only to be expected, Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram, barely audible in the midst of the Opposition's loud protests, has emphatically denied that the United Progressive Alliance government authorised the tapping of mobile phone calls of its political opponents as well as of a Congress leader. He has also stated that there was "no substance" in the cover story of the newsmagazine Outlook alleging large-scale misuse of its phone-tapping capacity by the National Technical Research Organisation (NTRO). However, the Home Minister kept an escape hatch open. If there were any proof of unauthorized "eavesdropping on political leaders", he said, appropriate agencies would investigate it thoroughly.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh should normally have made the statement on this delicate matter, if only because the NTRO is under him, not the Home Minister. But he was busy receiving Afghan President Hamid Karzai, and by the time he was ready to come to the House, it had been adjourned for the day because of bedlam. Unfortunately, he chose to speak on the subject outside the House though only to declare that there was no need for a Joint Parliamentary Committee to investigate the matter. But the BJP is now accusing him of breach of parliamentary privilege.
As for the Home Minister's statement, it absolves the UPA government of all blame. But by implication it does concede that the NTRO may have listened to the conversations of political leaders and other citizens without being asked to do so. As Stalin once said famously, secret agencies of all countries, including his own, were a law unto themselves. Even so, it is doubtful that Indian intelligence agencies can afford to be brazenly defiant of the political authority. Therefore, Mr Chidambaram would have been well advised frankly to tell the country that because of the highly advanced technology at its disposal, the NTRO sometimes overhears conversations it doesn't intend to. Rotating interceptors, called "Eagles", targeting areas in need of careful watch, pick up every phone call, fax or other communication within its range. What the agency does with the information thus gathered is a different matter.
Let me hasten to add that what the NTRO - formed around the communications intelligence apparatus of the foreign intelligence agency, Research & Analysis Wing (RAW), after the Kargil War - is doing is nothing miraculous. America's National Security Agency (NSA) has been in a position to monitor all communications across the world since soon after World War II. Britain's GCHQ, Government Communications Headquarters, and similar agencies of Canada, Australia and New Zealand have the same capability. Moreover, these five agencies work in tandem. It should, therefore, be obvious that almost every conversation over a mobile phone or any other communication channel is vulnerable, not only to agencies in this country but also foreign ones.
From the foregoing it does not follow that the citizens of India have no defence for their privacy or the powers that be can eavesdrop on their political opponents with impunity. On the other hand, in a country facing terrorism, both cross-border and indigenous, Maoist menace, other insurgencies, smuggling, organized crime and money laundering, intelligence agencies cannot be so bound down as to be made dysfunctional. There has to be a proper balance between the nation's need for security and stability and the privacy of the innocent citizen and propriety in politics. Regrettably, neither this country's politico-administrative system nor its civic society is such as to be able to sustain the requisite balance the way the mature democracies manage to do.
Yet, it must be added that despite our relatively limited resources, the relevant agencies have given an excellent account of themselves. During the Kargil War, RAW tapped the phone call between General Musharraf in Beijing and his chief of general staff, General Aziz, in Islamabad. This exposed the Pakistan Army's role in what Pakistani propaganda was making out to be the handiwork "entirely of the Mujahideen". Even more valuable was the recording by the NTRO during 26/11 of the conversations between the terrorists attacking Mumbai's five-star hotels and their handlers in Pakistan. This gave the lie to the initial Pakistani claim that it had nothing to do with the savage onslaught.
Organizations like the NTRO, RAW and the Intelligence Bureau have a lot more to do to become more effective and cohesive. Similarly, the heavily criminalised political order has to cleanse itself. Otherwise, someone will have to monitor the phone calls of even "prominent" politicians.
What follows is not intended to justify any wrongdoing by any intelligence agency with or without the government's approval. The idea is to underscore that complaints being voiced so angrily today are not new. Allegations of political opponents and even colleagues being under surveillance have been endemic in this country under all regimes over the last six decades. Nor are Western democracies wholly immune from this malaise.
Even in the time of the most liberal and democratic ruler of this country, Jawaharlal Nehru, a Cabinet colleague he liked, T. T. Krishnamachari, publicly complained that his phone was being tapped and he named the then Intelligence Czar, B. N. Mullik, as the culprit. Twelve years earlier, when bugging devices were rudimentary and scarce, Rafi Ahmed Kidwai, a Cabinet colleague totally trusted by Nehru and, therefore, entrusted with a delicate security mission, was confident, for good reason, that the formidable Sardar Patel would get his telephone tapped. He made no fuss. As Communications Minister he simply got the general telephone at the AICC office shifted to his residence. On the phone that Rafi Sahib normally used the IB only heard grocery orders, dinner menus and family chatter.
There are many other such instances. But let me skip them and get to the era when the nadir was reached. Sadly, this happened when Rajiv Gandhi as Prime Minister got all the phones of President Giani Zail Singh tapped. Of course, Gianiji, a past master in political intrigue, was then busy plotting Rajiv's dismissal despite the Prime Minister's four-fifths majority in the Lok Sabha.
In V. P. Singh's time his rival, Chandra Shekhar, claimed that his phone was being tapped and VP's short-lived government stoutly denied this. So did another Prime Minister with a brief tenure, H. D. Deve Gowda, who was accused of snooping on several leaders, including former Prime Minister P. V. Narasimha Rao. There is no need to go on and on.
***************************************
THE TRIBUNE
COLUMN
GREEN FINGERS
BY I.M. SONI
Many in Chandigarh, with hoe in hand, are finding joy in their home kitchen garden. Gardening gives them satisfaction of creating something. One may not give birth to a rose but one can grow one.
Many glad gardeners of Chandigarh have won applause and reward in flower shows. Their products and pictures have adorned newspapers pages. The "oxygen" of publicity generates in them a new vitality to hoe better. May their buds bloom!
This bud-brigade has a considerable strength. They hail from all walks of life. There are doctors, engineers, lawyers, university and college teachers, contractors, and other engaged in the hoe hobby. The most notable are senior citizens. Many often grow grapes in their backyard to make wine at their house. One I know has grown up a sort of hanging garden for his heady hobby.
When these green fingers cluster, they discuss their prize possessions, and promise to swap saplings. They talk about roots and stems, leaves and branches, petals and pollen. Questions like, why are leaves becoming yellow, why are petals falling are floated and flouted.
Ladies' fingers, brinjals (not the Bt variety), green chillies, mint, coriander are fondly sown, manured and lovingly harvested.
The very mention of their green crops swells their chest. Late Prof. R.C. Paul, Vice-Chancellor, Panjab University, once showed me a home-grown cabbage the size of a big water melon.
One gets emotionally attached to plants. When a fully blooming lime plant in our backyard was uprooted by labour during re-construction, I cried. The sad scene still haunts me. The tree fallen like a wounded soldier, refuses to be rubbed off my mental screen.
There are other plus points. When you are plucking roots, dead twigs or leaves, no fine fingers pluck at your nerves. You tame your tensions.
One is far from the cares of the world when one digs the earth, inhaling its musty flavour. There is a kick in it as typical as the one you get from opening a book after long years.
Small, green gardens grown and tended with loving care, lend nature's balming effect to the house, and in a small way, offset the menacing effect of jungles of concrete.
Soil your fingers, grow mini forests and green your home. You will have a wonderful feeling of peace and harmony.
***************************************
THE TRIBUNE
OPED
RAJASTHAN FACES HEAT
AGITATING GUJJARS INSIST ON QUOTA
BY PERNEET SINGH
Legal hurdles notwithstanding, the Gujjars are once again up in arms in Rajasthan, seeking a 5 per cent quota in government jobs. With the memories of violent Gujjar agitations still fresh, the government doesn't want any bloodshed and would like to redress the issue amicably.
However, unlike previous occasions, the present Congress regime has limited options in view of the legal hurdles the Bill providing 5 per cent reservation to the Gujjars is facing. Interestingly, the Gujjars too have no choice but to hold dialogue with the government, which is very much clear from their approach till now. In fact, having learnt their lessons from the past, both sides are cautious.
The state government is committed to providing a 5 per cent quota in government jobs to the Gujjars, but is wary of promising anything which it cannot deliver in future. Similarly, the Gujjars, after having lost over 80 lives in the previous agitations, are making sure that their agitation is peaceful and respond positively to offers for talks.
At the root of the legal tangle is the Bill, which was introduced in the Rajasthan Assembly on July 14, 2008, by the previous BJP regime. The Bill provided a 5 per cent reservation to the Gujjar, Banjara, Gadia Lohar and Raika communities under the Special Backward Class (SBC) category, besides a 14 per cent quota to the poor among the upper castes under the Economically Backward Classes (EBCs) category.
Though the House passed the Bill, the then Governor SK Singh sat on it for a year before signing it on July 31, 2009. However, the Rajasthan High Court stayed the Bill on October 13, 2009, on the ground that it exceeded the 50 per cent cap on reservations set by the Supreme Court. The state already has a 21 per cent quota for the OBCs, 16 per cent for the SCs and 12 per cent for the STs, making it a total of 49 per cent. After the Bill the total reservations went up to 68 per cent.
The legal options the government has are: (1) separating the 5 per cent quota for the Gujjars under the SBC category from the 14 per cent reservation for the EBCs and (2) providing the community a 5 per cent quota within the limit of 50 per cent reservations. The state government is mulling a new Bill to end the stir. There is a proposal to rework the quota Bill without reservations to the Economically Backward Classes (EBCs).
The proposal suggests that the 14 per cent reservation to the EBCs clubbed with the 5 per cent quota to the Gujjars be separated from the existing law. This would bring the total reservations down to 54 per cent. The Gujjar leaders now insist that they be given the reservation under the 50 per cent cap so that it cannot be challenged in court. They feel that the government can achieve this by extending them the reservation through a sub-category within the existing quota for either the STs or the OBCs.
However, with the strong Meena community (ST), which is always at loggerheads with the Gujjars, making it amply clear that they would not share their reservation pie with anyone, the government is left with the only option of carving out a sub-category in the OBC quota. The government can take a 4 per cent share out of the 21 per cent for the OBC and add another 1 per cent to it, to give a 5 per cent quota to the SBCs within the upper limit of the 50 per cent reservation, but the move may prove to be politically tricky to the Congress government.
A section of the Congress leaders allege that the Gujjar agitation is remote-controlled by the BJP. Bainsla had joined the BJP on the insistence of former CM Vasundhara Raje and unsuccessfully contested the Lok Sabha elections from Sawai Madhopur last year. He is also a special invitee to the National Executive of the BJP.
Interestingly, the Gujjars have found support from an unexpected quarter this time the Meena community, which was at daggers drawn with the former during the previous stir. This is because the Gujjars are no more stressing on their inclusion in the ST category under which the Meena community falls. The Gujjars are currently focussing on the 5 per cent reservation, irrespective of the category. In the last agitation, the Gujjars were seeking ST status. However, the Meena community, which has ST status, was against the Gujjars being granted the same status.
***************************************
DELHI: CAPITAL OF DIRT AND DEBRIS
BY ASHALI VARMA
The citizens of Delhi are worried and there is a reason the city is fast being swallowed by debris and garbage. Even where there is no construction there has been a sharp increase in rubble bricks and mortar plastic bags, empty snack bags and other such stuff on roads and even high-end markets like Basant Lok.
It is as if the MCD (Mother of All Corporations) its highly paid sweepers and malis (getting Rs 18,000 per month), who I am told sign attendance ledgers in the morning and skip to other lucrative jobs for the day has totally abandoned its tax-paying citizens.
Perhaps, the biggest bane of our collective existence is this blighted institution that is known to leave huge unguarded pits, which swallow poor children. It declares there is no waterlogging on roads when newspaper photos show flooded roads, it charges its citizens huge bribes for "completion certificates" and subsequently seals and destroys the property with aplomb because it is now considered illegal.
An institution that has ghost workers on the pay rolls and is now agitating for more junior engineers an organisation, in short, that is completely unaccountable to the people it is supposed to serve. And we, the people, are forced to pay taxes to sustain such bureaucratic behemoths riddled with corruption. Is this democracy?
Even where the Metro and other such excavations are not going on, it seems like the MCD, Jal Board, PWD and other such public works have combined all their resources to dig up Delhi. I am almost sure that if all the debris in Delhi were to be collected it could build a whole new city!
The city government would no doubt declare this is all being done for the beautification of our capital for the Commonwealth Games. But we who are living here know one thing for sure that when any agency digs up a road, the dividers or even the pavements, these are seldom covered neatly. Near every excavation there is invariably a pile of rubble to be picked up by someone else and heads of the various public works are quick to point fingers at one another, while doing absolutely nothing to resolve the problem.
To make things worse, next to each mound of debris pedestrians feel it is fine to throw their own little packets of gutka, plastic bags and whatever they want to discard as someone else will pick them up. And while we are all waiting for that someone else, filth is literally burying us alive.
I do think the foreigners about to visit our much-excavated city would prefer cleanliness to new pavements. They will definitely notice the dirt. As for beautification, as they say beauty lies in the eyes of the beholder. I put my bet on visitors noticing debris and trash more than a fancy divider or a pavement. Even our Environment Minister has declared that Indian cities could get a Nobel Prize for being the world's dirtiest if such a prize existed.
I can honestly say most Delhi-ites (except those working for the above mentioned organisations) would agree that we should get rid of these government organisations and outsource garbage collection and waste management and even the beautification to good accountable companies in a fair and transparent manner so that money doesn't change hands and go to the favoured contractors. Is this too much to ask?
***************************************
THE TRIBUNE
OPED
HYDERABAD DIARY
RETURN OF THE NATIVE?
SURESH DHARUR
Popular actress of yesteryear and Samajwadi Party MP Jayaprada is likely to return to her home state and join the Telugu Desam Party from where she began her political odyssey 16 years ago.
The internal developments in the SP, leading to the exit of her political mentor Amar Singh, have left Jayaprada with no option but to look for greener pastures elsewhere. Ever since she quit the SP in solidarity with Amar Singh, the actress has been mulling her political options.
The buzz in Andhra Pradesh political circles is that she is in touch with the TDP supremo N. Chandrababu Naidu and bargaining for a key position in the regional party. She is likely to head the party's women's wing, a post she had held in the past before migrating to the Samajwadi Party.
Out of power, the TDP is also keen on adding a touch of glamour to the party and infuse new enthusiasm among the cadre.
Trial by fire
The fallen IT icon B. Ramalinga Raju may well go down in the Indian corporate history as the longest-serving under-trial prisoner. The founder chairman of Satyam Computers has been in judicial custody for the last 15 months. The fraud he had scripted in the software company was also the biggest in the country's corporate history.
The trial is yet to commence as Raju is undergoing treatment at a city hospital and the doctors have ruled out his appearance in court. Though a special fast-track court was set up six months ago, not a single person has been questioned so far as the court has been adjourning the case every week because of Raju's ill-health.
The CBI has listed 800 witnesses and submitted 1.60 lakh pages of documents pertaining to the case. Besides, over 100 material objects were filed. The trial is going to be a long and grueling process.
Non-stop work
The software industry, an important contributor to Hyderabad's brand image, has reasons to cheer. The state government recently issued an order bringing IT and IT enabled services under the purview of the Essential Services Maintenance Act (ESMA) to insulate them from disruptions due to agitations and shutdowns.
This means that employees cannot resort to strike nor can they cite shutdowns or curfew as an excuse for their absence. The IT industry representatives have been demanding the application of ESMA to ensure uninterrupted development. The demand became more vociferous in the wake of the recent turmoil over Telangana.
AP has 1,300 IT companies employing about 2.50 lakh professionals.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
MUMBAI MERROR
EDITORIAL
WHAT JAIHIND AND GLC SHARE
INITIAL CLASSES OF BOTH COLLEGES WERE HELD AT ELPHINSTONE COLLEGE, A HERITAGE STRUCTURE
Continuing with the next part of a series of historical landmarks around the BSE, there is an absolutely awe-inspiring building of the bygone era located right opposite the hugely popular Jehangir Art Gallery The Elphinstone College (which has arts, science and commerce subjects).
The college is one of the oldest in the city even precedes the formation of Mumbai University (set up in 1857).
Named in honour of the outgoing governor of Bombay at the time, Lord Mountstuart Elphinstone (1819 to 1827), the history regarding the formation of the Elphinstone College is extremely interesting.
By the 1820s, Bombay was a commercial nerve centre, and though the British were not in favour of educating the natives (i.e. Indians) an English School was set up in 1824 by the Bombay Native Education Society. A resolution was passed in 1827 to set up an institution for the promotion of education under the auspices of the aforesaid society, which would be called Elphinstone College, thereby emphasising the difference between high school and college. A princely sum of Rs 2,29,636 was collected by forward-thinking citizens of Bombay to fund and finance teaching professorships, not only in the English language but also literature, science and arts of Europe. The college was finally constituted in 1835 while formal education began to be imparted in 1836 at the Town Hall by two professors - Arthur Bedford Orlebar (who taught natural philosophy) and John Harkness (who taught general literature).
These classes were amalgamated in 1840 with the high school of the society to form the Elphinstone Native Education Institution while this name was curtailed in 1845 as the Elphinstone Institution. The actual formation of the college, as we know it now, was formalised on April 1, 1856, when it was separated from the high school.
The college was finally affiliated to the University of Bombay in 1860 but it was temporarily shifted to a building in Parel on February 20, 1871, while the current building located at Mahatma Gandhi Road (earlier known as Esplanade Road) was occupied in April 1888.
This building, which reeks of royalty and magnificence, was designed by Trubshaw and Khan Bahadur Muncherjee Murzban in the 1880s. It was initially meant to host the Government Central Press but was finally completed by John Adams (Executive Engineer of the Bombay Government) at a cost of Rs 7.5 lakh, which would not have been possible without the benevolence of Sir Cowasjee Jehangir after whom the college building has been named.
Coincidentally, this college has spawned quite a few other educational institutions indirectly. Initial classes of the Bombay University were held at Elphinstone College. In 1855, legal education was born in Elphinstone College in the form of Perry Professorship (a chair of jurisprudence) when Dr R T Reid was appointed the first professor of jurisprudence at the Government Law School (GLS) which has metamorphosed into the Government Law College (GLC). Initial classes for Jaihind College (during morning) were also held at Elphinstone College while the Sir J J School of Arts, which as formed in 1857 also held initial classes at lphinstone College.
A glorious past has seen luminous alumni being added to the diaspora, some of which are: Dadabhai Naoraji, Jamshedji Tata, Bal Gangadhar Tilak, Dr B R Ambedkar, Sonal Mansingh, Kishori Amonkar, Madhav Apte, Bhulabhai Desai, Homi Bhabha, P L Deshpande, Sanjay Dutt, Vijay Merchant, Ajit Wadekar, Manish Malhotra, Mahesh Manjrekar and Bharat Dabholkar.
A grade I heritage structure, Elphinstone College was awarded the Asia-Pacific Heritage Award for Cultural Heritage Conservation in 2004 by UNESCO and has recently been rated "A" grade by the NAAC (National Assessment and Accreditation Council). It has a hostel facility for boys and girls, a brilliant library with more than one lakh books, wellequipped computer and science laboratories and a state-of-the-art fitness centre.
Nearly half the area of the college is shared with the Maharashtra Archives Department.
Next Week The sixth part of a close look at some of the historical landmarks near the BSE
***************************************
******************************************************************************************BUSINESS STANDARD
EDITORIAL
HALF-EMPTY GLASS
SAARC IS A BODY IN SEARCH OF A SOUL
It is a sad commentary on an organisation that at its silver jubilee it should be reminded that the glass is still half full as far as its stated aims and actual achievements are concerned. That is what Prime Minister Manmohan Singh very correctly told the sixteenth summit of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (Saarc) in Bhutan this week. The challenge before Saarc, Dr Singh said, is to "translate institutions into activities, conventions into programmes, official statements into popular sentiments". No one will disagree with Dr Singh that summit declarations cannot substitute for regional cooperation and integration on the ground of which there is still very little evidence in South Asia. The Indian prime minister's view that regional cooperation should enable freer movement of people, goods, services and ideas and that, in the specific South Asian context, would have to be based on a shared view of the future, if not the past, is well taken. If Saarc's glass remains half empty, or half full depending on how one would like to see it, it is because the process of regional cooperation has not yet found an emotional connect among the people of the region. Saarc is a body in search of a soul. Official-level meetings and government-sponsored events and organisations alone do not create a regional association.
Any successful regional group needs a shared security concern or increased people-to-people (P2P) and business-to-business (B2B) linkages. These generate the required emotional connect. Organisations like Asean and the EU came out of shared security concerns during the Cold War era and then moved on to create strong P2P and B2B links. Saarc began as a trade union of India's mid-sized neighbours and has been in perpetual search of a region-wide cause for existence. In recent years, a regional free trade agreement, a regional development fund and a South Asian university have been created. Some infrastructure projects have come up to create links. But bilateral disputes and the growing influence of China haunt the organisation.
One way out of this low-level equilibrium would be for India to be more proactive in promoting regional integration and India is trying to do that, despite all its domestic economic and political constraints. But the real answers lie beyond economics. Unless India has better political relations with key neighbours like Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka, Saarc's glass will remain half empty. What India needs is more out-of-the-box thinking on how to improve relations with its neighbours. Getting Saarc out of South Asia, making it a "Southern Asia" grouping, with China, Iran, Myanmar and whoever else wants to join it, could be one way out. It is a path that a G-20 power like India should feel confident to take. India has gained little from a purely "South Asian" association, it can loose little from an open-ended "Southern Asian" association. In the end, India's challenge is at home. Consistent high growth, increased share of regional and global trade and investment flows, and a more open India will by themselves fill the glass.
***************************************
BUSINESS STANDARD
EDITORIAL
DOCTOR, HEAL THYSELF
SOME MEDICINE FOR THE MEDICAL COUNCIL OF INDIA
As a statutory body regulating medical colleges, their affiliation, new colleges, and doctors' registration, the Medical Council of India (MCI) is the guardian of ethical practices in the medical profession. It is mandated with maintaining the highest standards of integrity and answerability to consumers and the nation. Its very own code of ethical conduct for the medical profession prevents the realisation of any personal benefit in cash or kind from entities that may benefit from recommendations and practices of the profession. But Ketan Parekh, its own president, stands accused of accepting bribes from a medical college. Personal propriety aside, there are a host of accusations against the MCI of not carrying out its responsibilities in a manner desired. Consequently, quality of many colleges is suspect; protection against poor practices of doctors is more or less absent; and the list of registered practising doctors has errors of omission and commission. The MCI is a professional body consisting of membership from within the profession. But interest groups and lobbies have taken it over and that has impacted transparency, un-biasedness and professionalism. It is quite apparent that the MCI needs to be reformed if India is to meet its health goals in the near future.
Who will regulate this regulator? The ability of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare is itself suspect, otherwise things would not have come to this pass. Creating a new public health entity that oversees the whole sector is not necessarily the solution; for the same regulatory takeover by established interest groups and lobbies is possible there as well. While we grapple with practical solutions to this problem, there are a range of actions that can reduce its scale and scope. Each of these lies in the realm of greater transparency. First, the list of registered doctors needs to be made up-to-date. Other professional regulatory bodies, such as the Dental Council of India, are already conducting such an exercise. Second, such a list needs to be made easily accessible via the Internet, where details of every single registered practitioner are available to the public. Third, up-to-date status of every single medical college where it has met the norms, where it has not, where improvements are required, the quality of its output etcetera is put in the public domain. Fourth, the status of complaints against registered practitioners and the action taken on past complaints also needs to be made transparent. Last, within the profession itself, there are many voices calling for better functioning of the MCI, and these voices need to be provided a public forum.
Greater transparency cannot solve all the problems of the MCI, and ultimately it would require the profession and the government to work hand in hand. They will need to identify and implement the right set of checks and balances within the structure of professional self-regulation as has been outlined in India's Constitution. Greater transparency, a higher degree of professionalism and commitment to professional values on the part of doctors and health care institutions would help and by themselves promote reform.
***************************************
BUSINESS STANDARD
EDITORIAL
MARTIN FELDSTEIN: WHY GREECE WILL DEFAULT
TO NOT DEFAULT, ITS CURRENT DEFICIT OF 14% OF GDP WILL HAVE TO FALL TO 5% WHICH IS UNLIKELY
MARTIN FELDSTEIN
Greece will default on its national debt. That default will be due, in large part, to its membership of the European Monetary Union. If it were not part of the euro system, Greece might not have gotten into its current predicament and, even if it had gotten into its current predicament, it could have avoided the need to default.
Greece's default on its national debt need not mean an explicit refusal to make principal and interest payments when they come due. More likely would be an IMF-organised restructuring of the existing debt, swapping new bonds with lower principal and interest for existing bonds. Or, it could be a "soft default" in which Greece unilaterally services its existing debt with new debt rather than paying in cash. But, whatever form the default takes, the current owners of Greek debt will get less than the full amount that they are now owed.
The only way that Greece could avoid a default would be by cutting its future annual budget deficits to a level that foreign and domestic investors would be willing to finance on a voluntary basis. At a minimum, that would mean reducing the deficit to a level that stops the rise in the debt-to-GDP ratio.
To achieve that, the current deficit of 14 per cent of GDP would have to fall to 5 per cent of GDP or less. But to bring the debt-to-GDP ratio to the 60 per cent level prescribed by the Maastricht Treaty would require reducing the annual budget deficit to just 3 per cent of GDP the goal that the eurozone's finance ministers have said Greece must achieve by 2012.
Reducing the budget deficit by 10 per cent of GDP would mean an enormous cut in government spending, or a dramatic rise in tax revenue or, more likely, both. Quite apart from the political difficulty of achieving this would be the very serious adverse effect on aggregate domestic demand and, therefore, on production and employment. Greece's unemployment rate is already 10 per cent, and its GDP is already expected to fall at an annual rate of more than 4 per cent, pushing joblessness even higher.
Depressing economic activity further through higher taxes and reduced government spending would cause offsetting reductions in tax revenue and offsetting increases in transfer payments to the unemployed. So, every planned euro of deficit reduction delivers less than a euro of actual deficit reduction. That means that planned tax increases and cuts in basic government spending would have to be even larger than 10 per cent of GDP in order to achieve a 3 per cent-of-GDP budget deficit.
There simply is no way around the arithmetic implied by the scale of deficit reduction and the accompanying economic decline: Greece's default on its debt is inevitable.
Greece might have been able to avoid that outcome if it were not in the eurozone. If Greece still had its own currency, the authorities could devalue it while tightening fiscal policy. A devalued currency would increase exports and cause Greek households and firms to substitute domestic products for imported goods. The increased demand for Greek goods and services would raise Greece's GDP, increasing tax revenue and reducing transfer payments. In short, fiscal consolidation would be both easier and less painful if Greece had its own monetary policy.
Greece's membership in the eurozone was also a principal cause of its current large budget deficit. Because Greece has not had its own currency for more than a decade now, there has been no market signal to warn Greece that its debt was growing unacceptably large.
If Greece had remained outside the eurozone and retained the drachma, the large increased supply of Greek bonds would cause the drachma to decline and the interest rate on the bonds to rise. But, because Greek euro bonds were regarded as a close substitute for other countries' euro bonds, the interest rate on Greek bonds did not rise as Greece increased its borrowing until the market began to fear a possible default.
The substantial surge in the interest rate on Greek bonds relative to German bonds in the past few weeks shows that the market now regards such a default as increasingly likely. The combination of credits from the other eurozone countries and lending by the IMF may provide enough liquidity to stave off default for a while. In exchange for this liquidity support, Greece will be forced to accept painful fiscal tightening and falling GDP.
In the end, Greece, the eurozone's other members, and Greece's creditors will have to accept that the country is insolvent and cannot service its existing debt. At that point, Greece will default.
The author is a professor of economics at Harvard, was chairman of President Ronald Reagan's Council of Economic Advisors and president of the National Bureau for Economic Research © Project Syndicate, 2010
***************************************
BUSINESS STANDARD
EDITORIAL
ENABLING BETTER PROFIT FOR SMALL EXPORTERS
MOST INDIAN EXPORTERS NOT ONLY GET HIT WITH THE RISK THAT THE CURRENCY MAY MOVE UNFAVOURABLY, BUT ALSO END UP PAYING A SIGNIFICANT CHARGE AT THE BANK
JAMAL MECKLAI
Around 40 per cent of India's exports about $70-75 billion a year are made by small- and mid-sized companies. Most of them usually simply convert their inward remittances at spot, paying a spread of at least 50 paise over the inter-bank rate, particularly in the smaller cities and towns. In some cases, they may be using their Exchange Earners' Foreign Currency (EEFC) accounts, but I would imagine that cash flow being crucial in most small companies, they mostly opt for conversion at whatever rate they can get.
Again, very few of these companies know very much about hedging and, in any case, most would not have forward limits in place. Thus, they not only get hit with the risk that the currency may move unfavourably, but also end up paying a significant charge at the bank interface. This doubtless renders them less competitive and, in many cases, brings them under constant threat of collapse.
The currency futures market, if properly reconfigured, could address at least one of these critical business problems.
Consider a small handicrafts exporter from Moradabad. Say, he has a $30,000 export order, which he has concluded when the dollar/rupee is at 46. After packing and shipment, he expects to receive the payment in a month. Say further, that he understands how to use futures markets and has the capability of managing the cash flow risk; so, he sells his dollars in the futures market at, say, 46.25. Assume the rupee starts to strengthen after this and rises to 45 at the maturity of the contract. Since the current structure of the market doesn't permit delivery, he squares off his contract (at 45 rupees) at settlement, and collects Rs 37,500 (46.25 minus 45.00 = 1.25 mark-to-market gain per dollar) from his margin account.
In parallel, he sells his dollars to his bank, but here, since he is a small player with little or no leverage, he has to settle for the card rate, which is, say, 44.25 per dollar. Thus, his final realisation is 45.50 (44.25 for his spot sale to the bank plus 1.25 on his futures hedge) not only lower than his hedged price but also than the rate that prevailed when he concluded the export order.
This is the hard reality.
To alleviate this problem, RBI and Sebi should modify the structure of the currency futures market to permit settlement by delivery of dollars ONLY from an EEFC account. Then, rather than squaring off his futures contract, our friend in Moradabad would simply settle the contract by delivering his EEFC dollars to the clearing house. The clearing house would give him 45 rupees per dollar (less perhaps 1 or 2 paise to cover its own costs); adding his 1.25 gain on the futures hedge, he would end up with 46.23 or 46.24, a rate almost exactly at his hedged rate.
If use of currency in EEFC accounts were expanded to include settlement of futures contracts, and the receipt of dollars by the clearing house were recognised as a current account transaction, the clearing house would simply have to sell the delivered dollars in the market, without any further regulatory ado. Given that the clearing house would be a large, well-capitalised company, it would not pay more than ¼ or ½ paise as transaction spread when it sold dollars to the bankers. In effect, this model would enable the small exporter to leverage the credit quality and market access of a large organisation, enabling him to realise much better value for his exports.
Domestic currency futures were doubtless permitted to fulfil the needs of the small exporter community. While the regulators have never come out and said it this clearly, I can't imagine any other reason for allowing this instrument. Markets should not be created to provide an arena for speculation, although speculators are necessary for a successful market. Markets should be created to enable price discovery and risk management for actual users.
So, while the initiative was well-founded, and while the start-up has been successful insofar as the market has been reasonably liquid, to my mind the currency futures market has not yet addressed a real need. The modification suggested here is, in my view, a necessary condition for making this market more relevant.
Of course, a lot more would have to be done in terms of educating small exporters in the nuances of risk management and in effective utilisation of their EEFC accounts. Perhaps intermediaries could be permitted, although we would have to guard against price gouging there as well. In any event, the regulators should, at least, take the first step and permit settlement of currency futures contracts by delivery from EEFC accounts.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
ET IS EVERYWHERE
So we have it from Stephen Hawking (and not just Steven Spielberg) that ET isn't merely a pink newspaper that exists on Planet Earth it's got a universal presence. In fact, though we thought we just had avatars in Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chandigarh, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kochi, Kolkata, Lucknow, Mumbai, New Delhi and Pune, but apparently Hawking also firmly believes that ET certainly exists in many other parts of the universe's 100 billion galaxies in planets, stars or simply floating in the vacuum of deep space. The crucial difference between us and other ETs is that they are not likely to be as friendly and open to communication as we are. Indeed, the most famous authority on space and theoretical physics says in a new documentary that Earthlings should not be too keen to make contact with those critters. Professor Hawking avers that the more insidious ETs from elsewhere might be merely interested in raiding the Earth for its resources, in the best tradition of Martian Invasion movies. Unlike the pink ET you all look forward to every morning, we may add.
Nasa naturally begs to disagree with the scientist-seer, as trying to communicate with other worlds is part of its mission, even if it has not been as lucky as Hrithik Roshan in Koi Mil Gaya. Aliens have additional backing, for example from Britain's Astronomer Royal, Lord Rees. He says that ETs may exist in forms that the human brain cannot even conceive of, let alone comprehend. Luckily, the ET you know has nothing unintelligible about it; it's easy to see, easy to understand and isn't looking to gobble you up either. Not that there is any danger of vast numbers of humans tempting sundry life-forms billions of light years away to come Earthwards, as making contact with those ET variants is not as easy as sending an email to editet@timesgroup.com.
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
FOR A FEW INDICES MORE
The latest estimates show that output in the core sectors consisting of crude oil, petroleum refining, coal, electricity, cement and finished steel grew 7.2% in March (over the like period last year). It should suggest buoyant overall growth in the offing. But strong correlation cannot be taken for granted, given the tertiary sector skew in value-added growth. In any case, the six infrastructure industries have just about 26.7% weightage in the index of industrial production. Note that core sector growth was a lacklustre 4.7% for February (year-on-year), yet the overall industrial output was up by a strong 15.1% for the month. March's credible show is also statistical optics; it comes on top of a weak 3.3% growth in core sector output last March. Besides, the fact remains that core sector growth is but a coincident indicator of current output, sales, etc. In an increasingly complex economy, we need more indicators.
India needs an official leading indicators index, to better gauge early growth trends, even as we have some such indices developed by non-government agencies. The objective ought to be to better monitor the Indian economy, detect early warning signals and firm up proactive policy in response. Leading indicators can include placement of new orders, intention to build and changes in profitability, etc. In tandem, what's called for is a suitable lagging index, encompassing levels of stocks, utilisation of sanctioned loans, the going rates of interest, etc., to clarify and confirm the emerging pattern in economic activity. Leading indicators come up before coincident indicators, which in turn are tabulated before lagging indicators. A composite index of the three indices would represent the broad industrial economy, able to iron out measurement errors due to statistical biases, cyclical trends and the like. Note that the indicator approach to macroeconomic measurement has a long and successful track record abroad. In the US, for instance, the National Bureau of Economic Research was formed back in 1920 to address issues of measurement.
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
GETTING A REGION MOVING
The 16th summit of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (Saarc), which has reached an agreement on services at Thimpu, could be a milestone. The forum can either shed some of its aura of inefficacy or continue to be seen as an underachiever. Much of the reason for that is Saarc being stuck within the India-Pakistan equation. Even now, the meeting between the Indian PM and his Pakistani counterpart, which took place yesterday, has been the centre of much attention, almost to the exclusion of other things on the agenda. The forum has thus been painfully slow to get down to the business of implementation.
India must proactively set about changing that state of affairs. As PM Manmohan Singh said in his address on the first day of the summit, the problem is that while institutions for regional cooperation have been created, they haven't yet been adequately empowered. Saarc must not only be a forum for active regional cooperation but should be envisaged as the vehicle that can enable the region's economies, policies and people to integrate better. And while the relationship with Pakistan may continue to cast a shadow, India should seek to push forward on issues like better connectivity with other member countries like Nepal and Bangladesh the latter, for example, offers a better route of access to the northeast.
Despite the South Asian Free Trade Agreement (Safta) becoming operational in 2006, progress has been extremely slow, and Saarc lags behind all other regional trading blocs. India has expressed its intent for an agreement to bring down non-tariff barriers. But in this round, there are expected to be two pacts on environment and trade in services. Other issues like anti-terrorism and education have been discussed, but talks have been stalled due to the Indo-Pak tensions. Even an innovative idea like the South Asian University, which India has shown rapidity in setting up, has been affected with Islamabad expressing concerns over the visa restrictions on its students and scholars. The issues might not be resolved easily, but while seeking a global presence via groups like Bric and Ibsa, India must also take a lead in enabling Saarc's efficacy.
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
'MFIS NEED TO INTROSPECT MORE'
ATMADIP RAY
The country's microfinance sector is growing rapidly, has outstanding loan portfolio of Rs 18,000-19,000 crore. Even the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has appreciated the micro lenders' ability to reach out to the poor with doorstep facilities. Yet, it has time and again drawn criticism for its corporate governance practices. Their rapid growth has also been cause for concern for many, as unbridled loan growth could lead to a degradation of asset quality. Microfinance practitioners too understand the need to improve governance issues to avoid a possibility of distress in future. Their latest self-regulation drive by putting a code of conduct in place is seen as a move towards this pursuit. Chandra Shekhar Ghosh, founder and managing director of Bandhan Financial Services, one of the leading microfinance institutions (MFIs), gives his perspective on the code of conduct and the way forward.
"All of us have agreed to the code of conduct to strike a balance between our social and commercial goals," says Mr Ghosh, who is also a board member of the new industry organisation MicroFinance Institutions Network and the existing Sa-Dhan. A majority of the MFIs started their journey with a social motive but have eventually turned into more commercially-oriented entities to support the substantial growth that the sector has witnessed so far, he notes, adding that the market was huge and offered plenty of opportunities for new entrants. That's why new investors are coming in a big way with their capital support. Social investors such as the Small Industries Development Bank of India, National Bank for Agriculture & Rural Development and multilateral funding agencies like IFC and KfW are ready to invest in the MFI sector. Commercial investors like private equity funds too are exploring every possibility to make quick returns. That's why a fine balance between social and commercial aspects of the MFI business is the order of the day, he adds.
"We need to introspect more. Without playing down the need to take a commercial approach to make our business viable, we have to find out whether we are completely shifting away from our social orientation. That is why, we are now stressing upon the concept of responsible credit."
What does it precisely mean? "It means being responsible in credit delivery and that we do not lend more than what borrowers desire or more than their repaying capability. We are telling all MFI members to lend only after proper examination of cash flow of borrowers." Overexposure of loans to a borrower can lead her into a debt trap and the lender would suffer as a result. The MFI code stipulates that not more than three microlenders can lend to a single borrower and their cumulative loan offer should not surpass Rs 50,000 at any point in time. This ceiling is applicable to unsecured loans. MFIs typically offer unsecured loans of small-ticket size to poor women and that's how they make a difference when compared to bank lending.
The code also specifies the need to follow fairness in recovery and it is imperative that MFIs do not use abusive or unethical tactics to collect their dues. "We understand that if any of our practices convey a bad message, then all microfinance players will be in trouble." He admits to gaps in the disclosure mechanism and that, henceforth, MFIs will mention all features of the loan including interest rate, processing fee, security money and insurance premium in the passbook or in the application form.
"But the problem is that the poor do not understand the nitty-gritty of interest rate calculations. They are more interested in knowing their weekly payout. Many of them can't read or write or calculate interest rates, but they can compare and choose their lender. So, it is difficult to con them. But lenders still try to confuse them. We have now stressed on bringing in more transparency in our operation to avoid any misdeed," clarifies Ghosh. The MFI code has also proposed to encourage a grievance redressal system. Their umbrella network will appoint Ombudsmen in each of the six broad regions.
"The microfinance sector is fairly new and is going through an evolution of sorts. The code of conduct aims to improve the life of a small borrower and the way lenders treat their customers. But if anything, it will streamline our practices for the better so that we manage the future challenges well."
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
GLOBETROTTING ANEW
LUBNA KABLY
Travel writer, Pico Iyer is known to have said: "... Travel for me is an act of discovery and of responsibility as well a grand adventure and a constant liberation." India Inc which is once again confidently striding overseas and engaging not only in setting up shop overseas but boldly acquiring companies overseas would no doubt agree.
After all, in a flat world and one which is only getting flatter, inorganic growth, especially cross-border growth is essential to emerge as a leader or at least find a firm footing on the global map. We do have astute business leaders who are willing to embark on the overseas expansion road trip, keeping in view their stakeholder's interests. However, the much-desired change in regulations to spur outbound growth remains largely elusive.
Indian companies are expanding their operations worldwide - either through acquisitions or by setting up new companies. A corresponding trend that has emerged is that more and more Indian companies use their overseas subsidiaries to hold offshore investments. One of the principal reasons in doing so is that repatriating funds to India is extremely inefficient from a taxation point of view - foreign dividends when received by the Indian investor company in India are taxed at the normal corporate rate (current of 30%) plus applicable surcharge and cess.
In addition there is economic double taxation, because Indian companies are taxed on dividends received from its overseas subsidiaries without receiving any credit for foreign taxes that were paid by the dividend-paying subsidiary (only a few tax treaties entered into by India, such as those with Mauritius and Singapore provide for underlying tax credit). Developed tax regimes avoid this issue through either providing a tax credit for foreign taxes or by totally exempting the dividend from tax in the recipient jurisdiction. For instance, the UK and Japan last year, introduced legislative changes whereby dividend income received from an overseas subsidiary is not taxed.
In fact, globally there are constant developments in the realm of taxation, to encourage outbound growth. Zenobia Aunt's Singapore attorney friend provided some interesting details. He dropped in last weekend to meet Zenobia Aunty, who is currently recuperating and is housebound.
While he was sipping a cup of Darjeeling tea, he happened to look at this paper and the headlines relating to an overseas acquisition. This sparked off a debate on whether India was really friendly to its overseas investors (domestic companies investing overseas). Our friend, the Singapore attorney, felt India still had a lot to do to catch up.
Jet lagged, he wasn't at this diplomatic best. "The Bandra-Worli sea link, isn't enough", he quipped. This invited glares from all of us and a growl from Spot. Zenobia Aunty was more realistic. While she acknowledges the liberalisation reforms carried out, she still thinks that there is a lot more we can do, or rather must do.
Singapore recently announced its budget proposals which contain some interesting features. A merger and acquisition (M&A ) allowance will be available in respect of transactions that qualify during the five-year period commencing from April 1, 2010. The quantum of the M&A allowance is 5% of the value of the acquisition subject to a cap of Singapore$5 million. This M&A allowance is to be written off by the Singapore company equally over a five-year period. Further stamp duties on transfer of unlisted shares in respect of such qualified M&As will also be remitted subject to the stipulated caps.
The Singapore government has recognised that M&As are a necessary tool for strategic growth and globalisation. The M&A allowance, in the form of a tax writeoff helps defray a portion of the costs of acquisitions. It is simple, because it does not distinguish between interest costs and other costs and hence is
Zenobia Aunty is quick to point out that the RBI has over the years liberalised the provisions relating to outbound investments. The overall limit for outbound investments by Indian companies now stands at 400% of its net worth. However, our tax laws have not been as progressive.
While anti-avoidance provisions are sure to be introduced when the direct taxes code (DTC) comes into play, progressive tax laws must not be ignored. Perhaps a cue can be taken from Singapore, and also from Japan and the UK, which have now exempt foreign dividends repatriated back to the home country. And if we could introduce an M&A write-off, nothing like it.
Recent statistics released by 'Business Monitor International' show that the outbound foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP in developed countries is 33%. In the BRIC countries it is as follows: Russia (20%); Brazil (10%), China (3%) and India (2.6%). For India to catch up, supportive domestic legislations, especially on the tax front hold the key.
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
PETROLEUM PRICE FIXATION
MUKESH KACKER
Much has already been written about how competition and regulation of competition, or more correctly, regulation of anti-competitive behaviour, leads to increased allocative efficiencies and consumer welfare. Less, however, seems to have been written on whether the structures of regulation put in place secure these desirable ends. This is particularly true in case of India where independent regulation is of relatively recent origin and is still evolving. It is, therefore, of immense importance that the structures of regulation put in place in different sectors be put under both intellectual as well as public scrutiny to see whether they are truly independent and empowered to regulate anti-competitive behaviour. It will be worthwhile to take a close look at the state of regulation in the petroleum and natural gas (PNG) sector, which has been consistently in the news of late.
The PNG sector consists of four sub-sectors: exploration and production of PNG, oil refining and marketing, natural gas transportation and marketing, and crude oil and petroleum products pipelines. Of these four, the first, referred to as upstream, is supposed to be regulated by the directorate general of hydrocarbons (DGH) while the remaining three downstream sectors fall under the domain of the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board of India (PNGRB).
The DGH was created by a government resolution in 1993 and was posited as the regulator of the upstream sector. Nothing could be farther from truth. It is neither independent nor a regulator. When the instrument of creation, an order of the ministry of petroleum and natural gas (MoPNG), derives its genesis from a mere resolution rather than a statute, then independence would remain an illusory concept. The DGH operates under direct and complete administrative control of the ministry. It functions with the assistance of an advisory council and members of the council and staff of the DGH are appointed on deputation/tenure basis by the ministry in consultation with the DGH. In terms of its mandate, the DGH is predominantly an advisory, rather than a regulatory body.
As per the MoPNG order, the DGH has been mandated to regulate only one area -the preservation, upkeep and storage of data and samples pertaining to petroleum exploration, drilling, production of reservoirs, etc. - and to cause the preparation of data packages for acreages on offer to companies. In all other areas relating to various aspects of exploration and production, it is only supposed to advise the MoPNG. In reality, therefore, it is the ministry that regulates the upstream sector, with the DGH virtually functioning as an advisory wing of the ministry.
Competition in the market place is strengthened when firms derive psychological comfort from the twin securities of clear policies (on pricing, sale etc) and independent regulation. Unfortunately, in the upstream sector, there is complete void on these two fronts. Amidst the claims and counter-claims of failure and success of the Nelp-VIII, the fact remains that the void referred to above will be considered by firms as a major deterrent both to placing of bids as well as to post-bid dispute resolutions. The RIL-RNRL and RILNTPC dispute is merely a manifestation of this void.
The scenario in the downstream sector is vastly different from that in the upstream sector at least in respect of the structure of regulation. But is the end result any different? Here we have a genuine regulator, owing its existence to a statute and not to a mere resolution. In 2006, the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board Act, 2006, was passed and the PNGRB was notified on October 1, 2006. The PNGRB has been invested with tangible regulatory powers and the statutory nature of its genesis gives it its independence. But despite its powers and independence, it is the MoPNG that seems to call the shots in the regulatory space. Nothing illustrates this better than the strange situation in the fixation of prices of transportation fuels.
Before March 28, 2002, the marketing and pricing of petroleum products including transportation fuels, namely, motor spirit (MS) and high-speed diesel (HSD), were controlled by the government under a mechanism known as administered price mechanism (APM). The APM was dismantled by a notification dated March 28, 2002, under Section 3 of the Essential Commodities Act, 1955. Then, in 2006, the PNGRB came into existence. As a result of these two events, the theoretical position obtaining since October 1, 2006, is that all entities are free to price their products and the PNGRB is to regulate anti-competitive behaviour like predatory pricing. However, strangely, the government (read: MoPNG) still fixes the prices of MS and HSD and the PNGRB appears to be either powerless or disinterested in doing anything about it. How can the government fix these prices now? What is the role of PNGRB?
The above issues have been examined brilliantly in a landmark judgment, dated October 5, 2009, by the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity, in Appeal No. 50 of 2009. The judgment, either directly or indirectly, establishes the following positions:
Sections 11(a), 12 and 25 of the PNGRB Act, 2006, together give a wide amplitude to its duties and powers to foster fair trade and fair competition among the entities.
The dismantling of the APM by the notification dated March 28, 2002, was a policy decision that has not been reversed by another policy decision. The government, therefore, cannot fix prices under the garb of policy.
Section 2(x) of the Act specifically provides that it is only the entities that can fix the price and not the government.
The above power given to the entities to fix the price cannot be usurped by the government.
If the prices are to be fixed by the government as a sovereign, then it has to be declared as a public policy after observing formalities as provided under the Constitution.
The PNGRB has so far been a mute spectator and has hardly lived up to the expectations of the firms and the nation at large. And this brings into focus another important observation: that independence may be a necessary condition but is certainly not a sufficient condition for a regulator to be effective.
(The author is director-general of CUTS Institute for Regulation & Competition)
***************************************
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
EDITORIAL
OUR THRUST IS ON BUILDING BRANDS AT HOME: CHAND DAS, ITC CEO
ANURADHA HIMATSINGKA
ITC's education & stationery products business continues its impressive growth trajectory, emerging as one of the biggest players in the exercise book segment with a market share of over 12%. The company is now evolving brands both for the home turf and export markets. The business has leveraged the ITC's environment-friendly paper, high-end knowledge of printing and its trade marketing expertise to successfully attain leadership. It has recently signed on stylish lefthander Yuvraj Singh and actor Soha Ali Khan as brand ambassadors. ITC's CEO (education and stationery products), Chand Das, shares insights with ET 's Anuradha Himatsingka about how the business is poised to grow in the coming years. Excerpts:
Does the education & stationery industry invest in serious brand-building? Is it one of the least advertised segments?
Education is a hugely advertised segment, whether it's IIPM or NIIT. The education stationery space is definitely awaking to the importance of brand-building. For instance, the pen industry spends nearly Rs 100 crore on advertising and celebrity endorsements represent 5% of industry turnover. All players are slowly expanding product baskets and distribution footprint.
ITC recently roped in Soha Ali and Yuvraj Singh as brand ambassadors. Is it the first instance of an education stationery player looking to make a serious brand-building effort? What's the rationale behind the move for a non-involvement category?
Not really, Sachin endorses Reynolds while Shahrukh is associated with Linc; Dhoni with Cello and Anil Kapoor & Sonam with Mont Blanc. Since the target audience comprises students and young adults, they tend to be easily influenced by youth icons. One in every two consumers enters a stationery store with a brand in mind! Brand ambassadors help in drawing attention in a media cluttered market and in making a brand aspirational. Which is why, the presence of brand ambassadors in this segment has surged.
What's the positioning of ITC's education and stationery brands? What will be the company's advertising strategy in this light?
The 'Classmate' portfolio comprises notebooks, pens, pencils, geometry boxes with more to come. The 'Paperkraft' portfolio consists of copier and printer paper, notebooks, notepads, markers and highlighters. While 'Classmate' is targeted at students, 'Paperkraft' is targeted at executives. The former is positioned as a brand that brings to life the big ideas in you and the latter, as a premium and green offering that empowers you to make a smart choice. Although our products pricing are marginally higher, but the value it offers far outweighs the price premium. We use a combination of ATL (above the line) and BTL (below the line) communication to engage with consumers.
How does ITC arrive at the right kind of look `n' feel for products, especially in a crowded market?
The challenge lies in building a differentiated and superior product in every category at every price-point. This requires consumer insight, product benchmarking & building drivers of differentiation on product, packaging, communication etc. Apart from our in-house team, international market research companies like IMRB International as well as AC Nielsen to get an understanding of consumer insight.
How serious is the challenge of selling premium items in a price-conscious domestic market? How do you take care of regional variations? Is it also a challenge to cater to global needs with the same offerings?
We need a wide assortment to cater to regional preferences. As our footprint expands, we discover new consumer needs. While our thrust is on building brands at home, we will explore opportunities for branded exports this year.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
DHONI AND CO SEEK WORLD CUP GLORY
India's campaign in the third edition of the ICC World T20 Championship which begins in the West Indies on Friday will be closely watched. Three years ago the Indians, then led by Rahul Dravid, were among the favourites for the World Cup title they had last won in 1983 under Kapil Dev, but a poorly-managed campaign was cut short early on and the Men in Blue eliminated in the very first round. That event was also marked more for its off-field controversies that culminated with the death of Pakistan's coach Bob Woolmer in Kingston, Jamaica. A world-level tournament returns to the Caribbean under the sceptical gaze of the cricketing world. Having said that, India champions in the inaugural edition of the T20 Worlds in South Africa will once again go into the tournament as one of the better-favoured teams based equally on the diehard optimism of their fans as much on the solid preparation almost every member of Mahendra Singh Dhoni's squad has had at the recently-concluded IPL-3. Other than Ravindra Jadeja, who sat out the domestic extravaganza after he was banned for the season having sought to renegotiate his contract midway through its validity, all the other 15 have been in the thick of the action that culminated in the Chennai Super Kings walking away with the title they had first come agonisingly close to at the first IPL final in 2008. At the same time, a host of players from around the world too start the T20 Worlds battle fit for the same reason. Given what happened in 2007 and more recently during the business end of IPL-3 with off-field battles elbowing the cricket off centrestage cricket's bosses around the world will be hoping that the quality of the sport on display at St. Lucia, Guyana and Barbados will bring the spotlight back where it belongs. Other than India, defending champions Pakistan must be counted as being among the teams that matter. They may not have had the best of preparation and have been torn apart by infighting, but Pakistan have the best record at the T20 Worlds, having been finalists twice, winning it once and with an enviable 22-7 win-loss record in 30 matches, with one no result. South Africa are always a dangerous team and the core of their team Jacques Kallis, Dale Steyn, the Morkel brothers, J.P. Duminy and Ab de Villiers are all match-fit after IPL-3. The West Indies too have to be reckoned with both as hosts and as a side bursting with talent in the form of skipper Chris Gayle, the big-hitting Keiron Pollard, Dwayne Bravo, the super-quick Kemar Roach and the ever-dependable Shivnaraine Chanderpaul and Ramnaresh Sarwan to drive their campaign. England will be the other team to watch out for, and that does not in the least discount the ever-dangerous Australia and even Bangladesh who have some serious ability in the shorter formats of the game, as Dravid discovered in 2007 in Trinidad. Still and all, the calm presence of Dhoni at the helm as much as his title win with CSK is a huge plus for India, as is the form of some of his key players. With the organisers at pains to avoid the pitfalls that ensnared the 2007 World Cup, it is to be hoped the calypso flavour of the Caribbean that was so badly missed three years ago will counterpoint some memorable cricket this time.
***************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
HOUSE OF SCANDALS
BY BALBIR K. PUNJ
It looks like India is turning into a house of scandals. Last week, several skeletons tumbled out of the country's closet as allegations were being made of how in the Indian Premier League (IPL) money-laundering took place in the name of cricket and under the garb of "global entertainment".
The question today is not who all were involved, but who among the celebrities are not involved. As the curtain rose on the financiers behind the painted faces, we got a sneak peek at some dubious (Dubai-based) personalities. The drama is just beginning to unfold. But the IPL is not alone. Huge scams break out with every changing season. Last year we had the Satyam scandal. Its chairman B. Ramalinga Raju, who had received many awards for best entrepreneur, best management practitioner etc, turned out to be a crook who had defrauded the government and public of several thousand crores of rupees.
With the Satyam founder in jail, the focus turned to the very institution of auditors. The institution has taken action against the auditors who were alleged to have colluded in the fraud, but what about the institution itself? The shadow of suspicion falls on it too when several cases of auditors not revealing the truth about corporate accounts surface.
Media reports say that other regulatory institutions have also been exposed. During the reign of senior Congress leader Mr Arjun Singh as Union human resources development minister, over 33 private institutions were recognised as "deemed universities". Now the curtain on this series of recognitions has been removed and the resulting exposure of muck has resulted in the University Grants Commission itself coming under the scanner. The regulator for technology institutions, the All-India Council of Technical Education, has already seen chairman Ram Avtar Yadav and secretary Narayan Rao guillotined for their role in awarding recognition to suspect or sub-standard institutions and departments. Mr Rao was caught demanding money to give recognition to an engineering college in Hyderabad.
Every day new fraudsters and scamsters are exposed by the media. The most recent one is the architectural regulator, the Council of Architecture. According to news reports, as many as 28 architects working with the world-famous Charles Correa have petitioned the government against this regulator of architectural education and practice. Apparently, the rot is far more widespread than we thought. The trail of sleaze and subterfuge is widening and reaches the government's altar. The government was revealed to be misusing the recently-installed technology for security agencies to tap the telephone lines of various politicians, including some United Progressive Alliance (UPA) members.
One newspaper reported that the role of the telecom minister, Mr A. Raja, in the high bids for 3G spectrum puts the focus on him once again. Last year he was accused of selling fresh telecom licenses at prices that were determined in 2001 when the mobile phone network was just expanding. The allegation against Mr Raja was that by deciding to sell 2G spectrum at a paltry Rs 1,651 crores to eight operators, he caused a loss of Rs 60,000 crores to the exchequer. But Mr Raja, who comes from the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, a coalition partner of the UPA-2, is stated to have used his political clout to sit pretty and safe in his chair despite the scandal.
The Congress-led UPA-2 government has let loose the income-tax sleuths on the IPL promoters. But this display of virtue is marred by the fact that all these IPL auctions had been going on for quite some months but the I-T authorities ignored the mystery Who are they? From where do they bring so much money? Only when the Congress' blue-eyed minister was touched by the dispute were the I-T sleuths unleashed. This leads us to the core of the rot. It is a part of the economic policy that is a wholesale adoption of the American model of growth.
Look at the current controversies in the US involving financial companies like Goldman Sachs and Wall Street stock manipulators and the biggest fraudsters of them all, GM, who is said to have swallowed up to $52 billion of investors' money. US President Barack Obama is fighting Wall Street operators to bring some probity to the American financial markets. Goldman Sachs chief, India-born Rajat Gupta, is alleged to have been accused by US investigators of using insider information to benefit certain people. Financial scandals, sexual shenanigans and corporate rape surface day after day in the US, some even touching the US Congress.
It is significant that from the day the Congress' Bofors scandal hit the headlines, successive Congress or Congress-led governments have all been blackened by scandals. Bofors, Harshad Mehta's market operations, the Bharat Shah scandal, the Sukh Ram residence-turned-treasure house of ill-gotten money, the bribing of some tribal MPs for votes under the Rao government, the deal of its senior leader Natwar Singh's relatives with the Iraqi dictator in the oil-for-dollar scheme and now revelations about favouritism during the days of Mr Arjun Singh as HRD minister and the rot that festered in the educational regulators under him the list seems endless.
During Jawaharlal Nehru's regime, the first instance of misuse of office occurred with then finance minister T.T. Krishnamachari. This led the Prime Minister to demand Kishnamachari's resignation. But his daughter Indira Gandhi promoted corruption in the name of socialism and secularism. We recall how the Pondicherry licence scandal report implicating the then money-spinner of the Congress government, L.N. Mishra, was kept under wraps despite Opposition pressure to let people know the truth.
The Congress fought tooth and nail to buy time on the Bofors scandal but even the joint parliamentary committee farce did not save it from the people's wrath. However, the time gained enabled some of the accused to transfer their money from one account to another, from one country to another, and finally when after a decade the account was zeroed in on, strange things started emanating from the government in New Delhi that helped the chief accused to cock a snook at the government. The Congress' saga of scams and sleaze is endless. By the time this column appears, the country may have moved on to yet another scam.
* Balbir K. Punj can be contacted at punjbalbir@gmail.com [1]
***************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
FOR TRUE DEMOCRACY, BRING BACK OSTRACISM
BY PAUL JOHNSON
Among the many complaints I have heard about this unsatisfactory UK election is this one: it is impossible for the general public to get rid of a thoroughly unpleasant, or corrupt, or dangerous politician if he (or she) sits in a safe party seat or in the Lords. Such people can thumb their noses at us, and do. But there could be a thoroughly satisfying way of meeting this need, and one with wider applications than mere politics. The new Parliament, which we all trust will be more responsive than the last one, might consider going back 2,500 years in time and copying from the resourceful ancient Greeks the admirable institution of ostracism.
Most people understand the word but are unfamiliar with the process. I have been going into it while writing my present book, on Socrates and his world. Ostraka, a kind of rubbish, were broken potsherds, just big enough to make a cheap and convenient writing surface. They were used by schoolchildren for their exercises, officials for tax receipts, and the malevolent for casting spells and for many other purposes. The Greeks used them too, but only in particular circumstances, as voting tablets.
Ostracism was probably introduced in 507 bc by Cleisthenes, the inventor of Athenian democracy, for precisely the reason it could be used to supplement our faltering democracy now. Under his law, the ecclesia or Assembly, the sovereign body of all Athenian citizens, could decide each year whether to hold a vote to ostracise anyone regarded as a public menace. If the vote was positive, the ostraka were piled up outside the entrance to the Assembly, and each citizen was allowed to write on the ostrakon the name of the person he wanted ostracised. These were deposited in a marked-off space in the Agora and counted.
The rule of the institution was that at least 6,000 citizens must vote for the process to be valid. This was a significant percentage of the total male citizen population, perhaps one tenth, and was a valid test of public opinion. The man with the highest number of ostraka against him was then sentenced. The penalty was exile from Athens for 10 years. He did not lose his citizenship or his property, and after 10 years could return with full rights restored. But for a decade he was effectively excluded from Athenian public life. Evidently some felt at times that the period of exile was too long, and it was reduced to five years.
We know the names of most of the people who were ostracised. The first (487 bc) was Hipparchus, believed to support tyranny. In 484 it was the turn of Xanthippus, father of Pericles, and a well-known general. But he was amnestied when Xerxes and his Persian horde invaded. In 482 bc Aristeides, another general-statesman, was ostracised. This showed that no one was beyond the reach of public disapproval, for he was famous for his rectitude and patriotism, and was known as "Aristeides the Just".
A pile of 191 ostraka, dating from the time when Themistocles was ostracised in 471 bc, has been found and investigated carefully. All bear his name but the writing, mysteriously, is in only a few different hands. It may well be that a systematic campaign against Themistocles was organised by his enemies, and that citizens, especially illiterates, were handed potsherds already inscribed with his name as they arrived at the Assembly. Other recovered voting-potsherds show totally unknown names, singly. Evidently some citizens took the opportunity to work off a private grudge, albeit to no purpose. But I suppose it was a stigma of sorts if even a single vote was cast against you, and it was known. Evidently there were frivolous votes too. Plutarch reports that at the time of Aristeides's ostracism, as he was hovering nervously at the entrance to the Assembly, a citizen came up to him, said he could not write, and asked him to put "Aristeides" on his voting-potsherd. Much hurt, Aristeides asked, "Why, what harm has he ever done you?" The man said, "None at all. I don't even know him. But I am sick and tired of always hearing him called 'the Just'".
The last ostracism we know of was in 417 bc, when a demagogue called Hyperbolus, a lampmaker by trade much disliked by the comic playwright Aristophanes who was trying to organise the ostracism of Nicias or Alcibiades, found himself voted out. After that we hear no more of such votes, though the law was never repealed, I think.
If we adopted the institution here, there would be no need to see politicians as the only potential victims. Nor would exile necessarily be the most suitable punishment. Obviously a successfully ostracised man or woman would lose the right to sit in either House of Parliament for a fixed period, or to vote, or to occupy an office of profit under the crown, such as a quango job. To this I would add the right to sit on the board of a public company or to represent Britain in sport or perhaps the biggest punishment of all to appear on TV or in other mass-media.
Obstracism could be directed not merely against politicians but against horrible sportsmen, foul-mouthed entertainers, greedy businessmen and bankers, nasty writers (including militant atheists), objectionable members of the royal family or indeed any of those tiresome celebrities and busybodies who grin at us safely from the newspapers.
***************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
THE ELEPHANT'S LAST STAND
BY MAHESH RANGARAJAN
"The further east one goes", wrote the chronicler, "the more elephants there are". Given how central the great beasts have been to warfare in this continent for two-and-a-half millennia, this was, to put it simply, an observation that mattered. That elephants thin out in numbers and dwindle down to nothing as the rainfall declines with the path of the monsoon in north India is widely known.
But its consequences are less apparent at first glance. The writer of the quote above was a prince in search of fame, territory and fortune. The lands east of the Indus gave him all and more. His name was one to reckon with, not only as conqueror but also as a naturalist: Zia ud din Muhammad Babar.
Elephants fascinated him: their power and prowess in fields of battle had to be seen to be believed. Villagers near Kalpi and Manikpur earned a living by catching and taming them. Here, Babur had revenues that would not be taken in cash or grain, but in captive elephants. Thirty-odd villages gained from this.
The India of Babur or for that matter his successors had room for elephants and much more. Recent estimates of populations of the Mughal Empire reckon about 114 million people in India. This meant less than one in four acres was permanently tilled or cultivated. Vast stretches of forest, savannah and scrub dominated much of central and north India. The central region was Gondwana and large areas were known to harbour elephants.
Jahangir in the 17th century's first two decades had as many as seven drives to catch elephants in Gujarat, in its southern reaches, where tigers were still extant till a few decades ago. The Timurid rulers (as they called themselves) were much enamoured of elephants. As many as five men looked after one and favourites like the magnificent tusker Gajraj were portrayed by ateliers.
No one needs reminding of the huge changes in the land in the last two centuries. Not only have forests shrunk in size, the animals have vanished from regions and places where they were well known as parts of the landscape. Yet, though so much is taken, much still abides.
India is among the few Asian countries where elephants might still have a chance of survival, provided enough habitat stays intact. Babur would have sympathised with its plight. "An elephant", he sagely observed, "eats as much as two strings of camels".
He may not have known its fate was worse in a country as rich and significant as India in the pre-modern era: China. The premier historian of that country's rich ecological pasts, Mark Elvin set out to write a millennium long account of change. He did what anyone with such a rich record of written sources would do. He covered not one but 4,000 years. The title is a giveaway: The Retreat of Elephants (Yale University press, 2004).
Whereas in India, the Mughals and their successors were heirs to a centuries-old tradition of elephant craft, the last instance of the use of the animals in warfare in China was in 1662. Classical texts speak of the delicacy of an elephant's trunk and describe how best to cook it, something unknown in mainland India (though not in the Northeast).
But the retreat had less to do with courtly gastronomy and more to do with the larger economic changes. Writing as early as 1087, a poet wrote of Jiangsu province, "In the southern hills, rest and return to life, wait the forests of chestnuts/Yet iron, stubborn ore from the hills to the north, will be no trouble to smelt". Iron ore mining versus forest ecologies: this could be a manual from our own century.
But more than that there was the growth of Han peasant agriculture. There has been a 3,000-year war of humans versus the animals. The latter's retreat is inversely proportional to the advance of the rice-based Han peasant agriculture. Chinese farmers and elephants do not mix.
Of course, trapping vast numbers for captive use was a drain on the herds in India. India too has seen a great expansion of cultivated arable at the expense of forest.
Human struggles in the past were a matter of life and death. China's riches rested on the extinction of wild lands, while Indian rulers saw such lands as a source of strategically valuable assets: war elephants. This even influenced the British who in the 1870s enacted laws to protect them in British India for sound imperial reasons.
These dilemmas are not only from yesteryears. Nearly half-a-millennium after Babur, how and whether Asia reconciles human existence with nature's survival is a question that stares us in the face.
Peasant agriculture at the forest's margins in much of India and some times well beyond has to contend with the mobile mega-herbivores. Elephants in China are a "ghost species", so few are left that the memory of them is wider than their actual presence. Zhou Se in 3rd century Sichuan wrote of "rhinoceros striving with elephant to determine who canters more swiftly", but the animals are gone. Only verse remains.
India fared better than China in this respect in the past, but will it continue to do so? The world's eyes may be on Asia for its phenomenal rise in economic terms, but much of the challenge is on how we reconcile this vast creation of wealth with a new and stable peace with nature.
What better place to begin than with the continent's largest land mammal so "huge and intelligent" that its fate might well mirror our own?
* Mahesh Rangarajan is an environmental historian and co-editor of the book Making Conservation Work
***************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
STEALING SEEDS
BY SUMAN SAHAI
There is a draft Seeds Bill in Parliament which could be enacted any day now. The new Seeds Bill, drafted originally in 2004, will replace the old Seed Act of 1966 which was meant to set standards for trading in seed. The conditions of seed production have undergone a sea change in the last 25 years, with a growing presence of the seed industry. Earlier, seed production was largely in the hands of the public sector. So a new Seeds Act is needed to respond to the altered conditions. A law regulating the seed trade is necessary to ensure that farmers are protected against spurious seeds and that seed producers are obliged to put into the market only seeds of good and reliable quality. But the current Seeds Bill is not the new law that this country requires. It favours the seed industry and is against the interests of farmers.
The Seeds Bill is structurally flawed and bad in principle. This is because it has strayed from its original mandate of setting standards for the seed that will be traded and has attempted to meddle in affairs which belong in Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) legislation. The seed industry, which has been angry over the pro-farmer provisions of the Protection of Plant Variety and Farmers Rights Act (PPVFR), has attempted to reclaim ground by getting the PPVFR provisions overtaken by the provisions of the Seeds Bill. The draft Seeds Bill undoes many of the pro-farmer provisions of the PPVFR .
The Seeds Bill requires mandatory registration of the varieties/seeds which the PPVFR does not. In the PPVFR, the breeder applies for registration for a Plant Breeders Right. This right is valid for a period of 15 years for crop varieties and 18 years for trees. The Seeds Bill allows the period of protection to be doubled so that the seed variety can be protected by the seed producer for 30 years and 36 years respectively. This extension of the seed owner's right will allow monopolies to be established.
A serious shortcoming of the bill is the failure to include a provision that would make it mandatory to declare the parentage (passport data) of the new seed that is developed and for which registration is sought under the law. This is not only shoddy science, it is also unethical because it would allow the seed industry breeders to use crop varieties developed by farmers and public sector scientists without acknowledging the source. This amounts to theft. It also means that no opportunities for benefit sharing are in place post commercialisation and profit making. Not declaring passport data will make the new variety a black box. This will facilitate unrestricted commercialisation of varieties in the public domain, including farmer varieties, by private parties. It also will permit the industry to use farmer varieties without paying the mandated fee for such use into a National Gene Fund designated for the purpose, under the PPVFR.
In the case of the Seeds Bill, the registered varieties will be made known to the public only through periodic publications. The public has no opportunity to object to a new variety for any reason. This lack of transparency could mean that varieties of dubious performance could get registered without giving people a chance to oppose such grants.
Unlike the PPVFR which allows legitimate opposition to the grant of a registration for a new variety before registration is granted, the Seeds Bill has, despite several appeals from civil society, refused to accommodate a provision for pre-grant opposition. Enlightened law-making in many parts of the world, including our own, now allows the public an opportunity to record its objections to the grant of certain legal rights like patents. Gene Campaign has been pushing for a pre-grant provision in the Seeds Bill so that if a seed company was wanting to register a seed which had used material from other, unauthorised sources, objections could be raised. But the government, anxious to please the seed industry, refuses to include a provision for pre-grant opposition.
Because the bill does not require the parentage of a variety to be declared, it allows misappropriation of materials belonging to others. The seed industry breeders could in principle have free access to all available genetic diversity of crop plants without having to go through prior informed consent or engaging in benefit sharing. All this amounts to legalising the piracy of valuable genetic materials like elite breeding lines.
Further cause for alarm are the provisions of the Seeds Bill that deal with price control. In the PPVFR, regulation of seed supply and seed price is to be managed through a process of compulsory licensing. This safeguards the interests of the farming community since it places the responsibility of ensuring an adequate seed supply at reasonable price, on the government. The Seeds Bill fails to provide any such protection to the farmer.
There is no mechanism to regulate seed supply or seed price. This could result in a high cost of seeds fixed arbitrarily by the seed companies, leaving the government with no means to control the price. It could also mean that seed providers are under no obligation to ensure a reasonable seed supply to farmers. This will defeat the very rationale that had kept seed production in the public sector so far. The government's new mantra of allowing market forces to "rationalise" seed production could strike at the foundation of national food security and farmer livelihoods. Seed producers, whether in the public or private sector, must be compelled to ensure that seed is available to every farmer in every agro-ecological zone in the country.
The liability and compensation provisions of the PPVFR that allowed farmers to be compensated for spurious or poor quality seeds, has been dispensed with in the Seeds Bill. Instead a compensation committee has been constituted. A straightforward insurance package linked to the seed would be a system that would work far better for farmers. If the seeds did not perform, the insurance claim would become automatic.
The stringent punishment and large penalties for violating the law that was put in as a deterrent against bad seeds in the PPVFR, have been reduced to a token.The penalties for violation under the Seeds Bill are so low (Rs 5,000) that even if someone is caught stealing public sector material or that belonging to farmers, the punishment is practically non-existent. The current Seeds Bill, rather than protecting the farmers, opens up avenues allowing the seed industry to steal their material.
* Dr Suman Sahai, a genetic scientist who has served on thefaculty of the Universities
of Chicago and Heidelberg, is convenor of the Gene Campaign
***************************************
DECCAN CHRONICAL
EDITORIAL
LET'S BUILD GOD'S TEMPLE
BY FRANCIS GONSALVES
Three stonecutters were breaking stones for building a temple. When asked what they were doing, one said, "I'm breaking stones". Said the second, "I'm working for wages to support my family". Singing as he sweated, the third said, "I'm building God's temple!" While all three were doing the same work, only one enjoyed it, working for the sheer joy of creating something for God, with God. The Bible not only stresses that human beings ought to work, but that God also works and we must cooperate with God to build a beautiful world.
Ancient Greco-Roman thinkers considered labour demeaning. Aristotle's "perfect man" would not soil his hands with work. Xenophon advised people to alternate blows with food to extract work from slaves. Cicero and Virgil preferred a life of honourable indolence to manual work. Seneca held that nature supplied life's necessities; therefore, the trades were unnatural and despicable. He said: "Non desiderabis artifices, sequere naturam!" meaning, "Don't depend on craftsmen, follow nature!" By contrast, the Bible considers work as being natural and willed by God.
The Book of Genesis tells us that God worked to create the world; and, like a potter, moulded man with his own hands (Genesis 2:7). God then placed man in the Garden of Eden "to till it and keep it" (2:15). Man and woman are created to care for all creatures, toiling and tilling the earth, making it bear fruit. The lazy man is advised "to observe the ways of the ant and learn wisdom from her" (Proverbs 6:6) and the industrious housewife is praised for "she works with willing hands
cares well for her household and does not eat the bread of idleness" (Proverbs 31:13, 27).
Watching ants work is absorbing, much as being as busy as bees could be rewarding. But, busy bees and enterprising ants are neither aware that they're working nor will they ever build better beehives and anthills simply because they're incapable of self-reflection. You and I, however, are free to work or to rest, to reflect upon our work and to rejoice in its recompense, to create and to innovate. And when we labour with love, we gift to society not merely some product, but our deepest selves.
International Workers' Day is celebrated on May 1 to commemorate the toil of millions of workers, worldwide, whose work sustains and sanctifies society. Be it in Parliaments or on pavements, the worth of one's work is neither judged by the influence it exerts nor the income it earns, but by one's disposition of being selfless and joyful. How sweet the sweat of one who tills the land as if every grain of rice were to be eaten by one's beloved! And how wonderful if one could see one's work rise up as worship!
Although some Christians do not venerate saints, Catholics celebrate the feast of Saint Joseph, the foster-father of Jesus on May 1. Joseph was a diligent worker a carpenter, to be precise. In times when trades were passed on from father to son, Jesus was publicly recognised as being "the carpenter's son" (Matthew 13:55). Joseph and Jesus must've worked very hard as any craftsman in their day would. The Gospels hardly mention anything about their "worldly work", and emphasise rather the "religious work" that Jesus did: his teachings on God, his life of service, his sacrificial death and resurrection.
Christian communitarian prayer is called "liturgy", from the Greek leitourgein, which primarily means "public service". Indeed, one simply cannot divorce "prayer service" from "public service". Work and worship are wedded: true work is worship, and true worship engenders work.
Love and service are two pillars upon which Christianity stands. Jesus proclaimed that he came "not to be served but to serve" (Mark 10:45). And selflessly serve, he did, throughout his life. Religions refer to work as seva and selfless servers as karsevaks. But, it is not uncommon to meet evaders of work the proverbial kamchor who brags about earning lots for working little. Kamchors are, at best, beggars; at worst, thieves. So let's celebrate Workers' Day with a resolve to work hard. Realising that our work is worship, like that stonecutter, while working we could say: "I'm building God's temple!"
Francis Gonsalves is the principal of theVidyajyoti College of Theology, Delhi. He is involved in interfaith dialogue and peoples' initiatives for fostering justice, harmony and peace. He can
be contacted at fragons@gmail.com [1]
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
ANIL NAURIYA
THE Gram Nyayalayas Act, 2008, which came into effect on 2 October 2009, is gradually being implemented across the states. It provides for courts at the level of panchayats or a cluster of panchayats. These courts will deal with specified categories of civil and criminal cases.
This legislative enactment comes at a time when rural mobs in north-western India, operating as "pretender panchayats", have been defining certain crimes, even awarding summary punishment. These irregular organisations, now widely known in Rajasthan, Haryana and adjoining areas as khap panchayats have for some years been pronouncing punishments on the medieval pattern. They are targeting couples who marry within the same gotra (comprising individuals related through the paternal agnatic lineage up to any degree). The Hindu Marriage Act, 1955, limits the prohibition to three generations through the mother's line and five generations through the father's line. This is disregarded by the khap. In its reckoning, a couple belonging to a common gotra are as good as "brother and sister" even if the lineage-relation is not such as to be barred under the Hindu Marriage Act.
These so-called panchayats have also targeted marriage outside caste groups, an attitude that fuels the anti-Dalit violence as witnessed recently in Hissar. The problem is rooted in the fear of the village elders that they are losing control over society. They feel that the young are more assertive thanks to new opportunities and the freedom of choice.
Extra-legal fiat
A recent khap panchayat meeting raised the demand that the law be amended to bar marriages within a gotra. This is an admission, if only implicit, that what the khaps have been seeking to enforce is an extra-legal fiat. They ignore the fact that while the existing law bars all marriages within a gotra, it doesn't give the khaps criminal jurisdiction to enforce the "death sentence" that they have been pronouncing from time to time.
Mahatma Gandhi's writings on irregular panchayats call for reflection. In the aftermath of the boycott of British institutions as part of the non-cooperation movement in the 1920s, attempts were made by certain quarters to confer civil and criminal powers upon village elders. Gandhi condemned the move though he favoured panchayats and spoke of village republics. In Haryana and parts of western Uttar Pradesh, the ostracism of non-conformist families is fairly frequent even now. To sections of these communities, this is one of the mildest punishments. When some panchayats had resorted to social ostracism of political opponents as part of the non-cooperation movement, Gandhi had warned: "Ostracism of a violent character such as the denial of the use of public wells is a species of barbarism
". (Young India, 8 December 1920).
"Social boycott in villages", Gandhi iterated 11 years later, "has been found to be a dangerous weapon in the hands of ignorant or unscrupulous men". According to him, the imposition of fines by panchayats was also undesirable as it "may lead to mischief". On a visit to Nainital, Gandhi discovered "that in certain places in UP even criminal cases like rape were tried by the so-called panchayats". He wrote: "I heard of some fantastic judgments pronounced by ignorant or interested panchayats". He received a report from Chaparmukh in Assam that some Congressmen had set up a parallel administrative machinery which was imposing fines in criminal cases and passing decrees in civil suits. "This is bad if it is true. Irregular panchayats are bound to fall to pieces under their own unsupportable weight". (Young India, 28 May 1931). Of course, this would apply to all kangaroo courts, whether of the reactionary Right or of the extreme Left.
Gandhi had closely observed the functioning of panchayats, including the irregular ones. He had laid down certain guidelines regarding the powers and duties of panchayats that were formed in the course of the freedom movement. It was stipulated that they would have no criminal jurisdiction; even their civil jurisdiction should be heavily circumscribed. No one would be compelled to refer any matter to the panchayats. And no panchayat would have any authority to impose fines, "the only sanction behind its civil decrees being its moral authority, strict impartiality and the willing obedience of the parties concerned".
Gandhi also outlined the duties and constructive work to be performed by such panchayats. These included the education of boys and girls in the village, sanitation, medical needs, cleanliness of wells and ponds and the uplift of the so-called Untouchables. Discussing the sanction behind the orders made by such panchayats, Gandhi raised an issue that political theorists would call the question of legitimacy: "Where a panchayat is really popular and increases its popularity by the constructive work of the kind suggested, it will find its judgments and authority respected by reason of its moral prestige. And that surely is the greatest sanction anyone can possess and of which one cannot be deprived". (Young India, 28 May 1931).
The Mahatma appealed to the panchayats, whether regular or irregular, not to overreach themselves and instead focus on their own duties relating to the basic needs of the people in their area. This has some bearing not only upon the activities of khap leaders but also on their Left radical counterparts in eastern India.
Rural courts
THE Gram Nyayalayas Act, 2008, has been promulgated in the current khap-dominant scenario. The subjects under the purview of the Gram Nyayalayas may not bring them into direct conflict with khap leaders in the north-western parts of the country. The introduction of rural courts with some statutory authority should provide a positive counter-weight to the irresponsibility and high-handedness of khap panchayats.
The Gram Nyayalayas will not be able to try cases involving offences punishable with death, life imprisonment or imprisonment for a term exceeding two years. However, certain features of the Gram Nyayalayas Act will give rise to concern. Having conferred both civil and criminal jurisdiction upon the Gram Nyayalayas, the enactment provides for plea-bargaining in criminal cases. This is plainly dangerous, especially if social pressure forces an innocent suspect to plead guilty to a lesser offence and thereby incriminate himself. For similar reasons, the provision made in civil cases that no appeal would lie from a Gram Nyayalaya's order if it is passed with the "consent" of parties, seems too sweeping. An appellate court ought not to be prevented from inquiring into the question whether the consent of the parties was freely obtained or if it was the result of undue social pressure and whether the final order is fair to all concerned. How the statutory institutions set up under the Act, are able to function in the eastern parts of the country remains an open question.
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
COUNTERING NAXALS
DID NORTH BLOCK JUMP THE GUN?
EVEN as details of the findings/recommendations of the Rammohan inquiry into Dantewada are awaited ~ some might not be disclosed for operational reasons ~ initial indications of flawed leadership and inadequate coordination suffice to confirm apprehensions that the home ministry has been reluctant to accept: the force was under-prepared. True the particular CRPF unit had anti-Maoist experience in Bihar, but on the ground it proved itself "raw", ignoring even the basics. It would be fair to assume the same holds true of other CRPF units deployed along the Red Corridor. The largest paramilitary organisation is, as the saying goes, a "jack of all trades, master of none". Confirmation of it having come up short in these operations is found in plans to develop a dedicated anti-Naxal force by carving out units from the present paramilitary, imparting specialised training (inducting young men from the conflict zone would help, both in providing valuable local inputs as well as offering employment). Given the now proven "military" prowess of the insurgents, it is apparent that only highly focused forces, a blend of state and central, will deliver. The government will deny an Operation Greenhunt, it cannot back off from having attempted a counter-offensive. In the absence of any dramatic success that negates the reverse at Dantewada, one conclusion is that the offensive was launched in haste.
History educates. Even no-nonsense Indira Gandhi took the advice of Manekshaw-Jacob (or was it the other way around?) and abandoned proposals for politically-preferable military action in March 1971 till the forces geared themselves to script a "classic" that December.
Chidambaram talks in terms of years, so he must give his forces time to prepare. Time, admittedly, is precious when the Maoists are holding sway. Hence the immediate tactical doctrine must be to contain them, put a multi-state cordon of sorts in place across the affected zone, choke supplies. Then, as quality forces become available, move gradually forward with their escape routes plugged. With development task forces working just behind the frontline, and political action by way of back-up. That calls for patience, coordination, determination. If the situation is as grave as the Prime Minister depicts, it is vital to put pride and prestige aside and get hands dirty. This one won't be won by being "smart", or articulate in Parliament!
POLITICAL COUNTER-SPIN IN BENGAL
THE disruptive negativism is uniquely Bengal where any development project can be hamstrung by inter-party rivalry. The East-West Metro, a Centre-State joint venture with Japanese funding, entails no acquisition of land or displacement of people, let alone the payment of compensation. And yet the railway minister's overriding anxiety to secure brownie points alone explains why Eastern Railway has been dragging its feet over the handing over of sites for the construction of underground stations at Sealdah and Howrah. Not that the state has defaulted in making the payments to the Railways; work orders have been issued at a value of Rs 937 crore for Howrah and Rs 909 crore for Sealdah. Even the shifting of utilities, a prerequisite for the construction of underground stations, has not been carried out despite a total payment of Rs 5 crore on this account. There is no explanation yet as to why the sites have not been handed over. Is Miss Banerjee buying time till her prospects of becoming chief minister materialise? A not dissimilar attempt at procrastination was manifest in the Trinamul's second thoughts on the Presidency University Bill. Happily, the Chief Minister had his way. The Opposition's tactical line to stall development may well be unacceptable to the Japan International Cooperation Agency, which is providing the funds.
The political cold-shouldering would be anathema no less to parties in any other state, including the BJP's Gujarat. Political enmity can be bad economics. The Railway ministry ought to realise that any delay will entail the payment of compensation to the foreign lender.
And the net result can be deleterious. It will lead to an inevitable hike in the total cost outlay, make nonsense of the 2014 deadline and drive an urban transportation project almost literally off the rails. In the net, the impact of the delay may necessitate another Planning Commission review of the outlay. Not that there exist critical issues that need to be sorted out. The deadlock is contrived. The Japanese sponsors must be shaking their heads in disbelief over what is essentially a clash of political egos. Once again, one must add, uniquely Bengal.
Get talking Centre, Ulfa must change tack
AFTER the exchange of useful and extensive views by prominent Assamese citizens at a state-level convention in Guwahati on 24 April, it was concluded that the preconditions set by both the Centre and the Ulfa stood in the way of any direct contact and needed to be done away with. This is a very relevant suggestion, what with both sides continuing to justify their respective stands. While Ufla self-styled commander-in-chief Paresh Barua ~ the only "big fish" not in the net ~ and his colleagues now in jail stick to their demand for sovereignty, the Centre insists on negotiations only within constitutional parameters. It has even sought a formal letter from Ulfa leaders committing themselves to talks. It is clear that unless a neutral team steps in to get the two sides together there is little possibility of any direct contact. The recent formation of the citizens' forum in this respect deserves support and encouragement if it is to achieve its objective. But even as the forum's peace initiative was being circulated, Barua tried to pre-empt it by saying there would be no talks unless the core issue of sovereignty was taken up. If Ulfa chairman Arabinda Rajkhowa's reaction ~ "let there be no personal views on the question of sovereignty" ~ is anything to go by, the last word on this issue has not been said yet and the final decision rests with the outfit's central committee.
Barua's belligerence and rejection of realistic courses suggests he is not ready for any constructive dialogue. But his colleagues in jail are far too uncomfortable in their present set-up and the least the Centre can do now is free them. If two of them faced with serious charges could be granted bail, why not the others? Safe passage for Barua is justified and only after this gesture is spurned can the top leaders decide a future course. One man alone cannot stop the restoration of peace in Assam.
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
PARLIAMENT, CUT-MOTION & MAOISTS
SIR, ~ After the outrages in Silda and Dantewada, I was amazed at the manner in which the security forces were outflanked by the Maoists. The home minister, P Chidambaram, spelt out the government's plans to tackle the extremists. The Maoists, we were told, had scant regard for democracy. To substantiate his argument, he quoted Maoist literature in which Parliament has been referred to as a pig's sty.
Yesterday, I watched the Lok Sabha proceedings on television. The Opposition had brought a cut-motion on the price rise. It was defeated ostensibly because of the excellent floor management by the Congress. One was amazed at the behaviour of Lalu Prasad and Mulayam Singh Yadav. Both had vehemently opposed the price rise. Yet at the crucial juncture, they stepped out of the House and abstained from voting. So who actually helped the government defeat the cut-motion? They are Mayawati, Mulayam, Lalu and Sibu Soren. And what is the common strand that binds these politicians? The CBI is enquiring into corruption cases against them.
For the first time in my life, I am having doubts about the functioning of our democracy. When the Maoists describe Parliament as a pig's sty, I guess they have a point.
;Yours, etc., RR Singh,
Durgapur, 28 April.
Doomed to fail
SIR, ~ It was a foregone conclusion that the cut-motion would fail. Even before the introduction, the position would have been clear if one had assessed the numerical strength of all the major parties in the Lok Sabha. The combined strength of all the Opposition members would have fallen short by at least 30 votes. The indirect support extended to the government by the RJD, the SP, the JD(U) and the BSP was obviously in return for the Congress willingness to defer the discussion on the Women's Reservation Bill.
;Yours, etc., Arun Malankar,
Mumbai, 28 April.
Disgraceful
SIR, ~ This is with reference to the report, "Woman diplomat held, charged with spying for Pak" (28 April). One used to be proud of Nirupama Rao and other lady diplomats in the MEA. But that a Second Secretary in the Indian High Commission in Islamabad had been spying for Pakistan for the past two years is as disgraceful as it is distressing. In independent India, Madhuri Gupta's case is probably the first instance of a woman being involved in espionage. It is a crime that cuts across gender. She may have had an axe to grind against the IFS lobby which she claims treats B-category officers shabbily. But that is no provocation to send e-mail messages to Intelligence operatives in Pakistan. She spied for filthy lucre.
;Yours, etc., Bidyut Kumar Chatterjee, Faridabad, 28 April.
Presidency range
SIR, ~ Your editorial "Presidency University" (21 March) compares and contrasts well with your previous comment on 6 December 2009. Both are equally forthright, but subtle. The former gets its message laced with welcome caution, while the latter seems more assertive and sounds prophetic: "The transformation of Presidency from college to university shall hinge hugely on the content of the Bill. Chief among the provisions must be the imperative that aside from matters fiscal, the university is unshackled from the stranglehold of the party or/and government." The second editorial is more assertive in its praise for the Bill.
However, it has missed out on certain clauses and sub-clauses of the legislation. For instance, Articles 45, 55 and 56 bear unmistakable evidence of what your first editorial warns against ~ in short, the scope and provision for wanton interference of the government or the ruling caucus into the internal affairs of the so-called autonomous Presidency University.
You have rightly hinted at the real motive of "crass self-interest" of the pro-CPM West Bengal Government College Teachers' Association. Their primary interest is a posting in Presidency. You have also correctly examined the Opposition tactic of one-upmanship during the passage of the Bill in the Assembly. That said, you have overlooked our Chief Minister's pioneering one-upmanship while announcing at a public meeting in November 2009 his recommendation for Presidency University. This was in response to "the famous lady of Bengal's" crying foul in public in September 2009 over the state government's abject failure in granting autonomy to Presidency College. You have correctly gauged the Opposition gameplan of "delaying" the process of the Bill to become an Act.
;Yours, etc., Rabindranath Banerjee, (Retired Professor and Head, Department of Philosophy, Presidency College),
Kolkata, 25 March. (0)
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
WHAT IS THE POVERTY LEVEL?
'Poverty cannot increase in our country and it can only decrease," Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said emphatically a few days before the Lok Sabha elections in 2009. Less than a year later, his government has accepted the Tendulakar Committee report and pushed up the Below Poverty Line to 37.2 per cent from 27.5 per cent. Although this upward revision is specifically for food security purposes, it can be described as very timely. With this decision over 100 million families will come the under food security net.
There has been, as usual, initial dithering in the Planning Commission with regard to the poverty level. The mandarins in Yojna Bhavan negated earlier reports of commissions and committees formed at the behest of various ministries besides the judiciary. For example the National Commission on Enterprises in Unorganised Sector found that 77 per cent of the people lived on less than Rs 20 a day. The NC Saxena Committee, the Wadhwa Committee and other such exercises put the poverty line much above the Planning Commission's official figure of 27.5 per cent.
Two years ago when the Global Hunger Index made the startling revelation that India figured at 66 rank among 88 countries in the hunger index and was in "alarming category" and that Madhya Pradesh was in the "extremely alarming" category, it did not unnerve planners. They rather adopted an ostrich-like approach. They were oblivious of the fact that in many countries which were even in the "moderate" category like Egypt, Malaysia and Tunisia had winessed food riots. Several other countries which were in the "alarming" category also faced violent protests. If India did not have the same experience, it was because of its docile "praja" and the habit of relying on fate under the so-called "benevolent" government.
At a time of excruciating hunger, this myth can be exploded. The history of mass movements suggests that public outbursts have small beginnings. Madhya Pradesh and states like the Naxalite-infested Jharkhand, Bihar and Odissa are sitting on a powder keg.
What adds to the misery is food inflation that has touched all-time high of 19.9, putting even the lower middle class in the vulnerable category. This segment is politically active and can erupt any moment.
"Food prices undermine political security which has a strong two-way linkage with food security", according to the International Food Policy Research Institute in a recent report. Food riots occur even in otherwise tame societies like Cameroon, Kenya, Senegal, Haiti and Pakistan. The government is also oblivious of growing rich-poor divide which can be the main reason for social tensions.
The decision to raise the BPL level to 37.2 would mean nearly more than 10 crore families will have access to food under the new Food Security Act. In simple terms, more than one of the three persons will have such an access to food. A great task ahead! And it all depends on how effectively the state agencies perform the task. At a time when foodgrain reserves have touched an uneconomic 60 million tons and a large portion of it is rotting because of mismanagement, there is hardly any faith in the efficacy of government agencies.
A recent government report suggested that if foodgrain damage caused by the faulty storage system by the FCI and other government agencies is stopped, every family can get 45 kg of rations every month. The biggest problem of hunger would then be solved.
It is not without reason that the Ifpri report has linked food security to political security. Lopsided development has intensified dissatisfaction among the have-nots. In a country where more people use mobile than toilets, this has to be set right before it is too late.
Though the Group of Ministers at the behest of the Congress president Sonia Gandhi has accepted the Tendulkar Committee recommendations, there are still problems since the Planning Commission is not inclined to accept the BPL at the 37.2 per cent level. Thus there may be two sets of BPL figures one for development schemes and the other for food security. It will make the process of development planning a mockery.
The writer is a freelance
contributor based in Ghaziabad
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
EXPLOSIVE RETURN OF THE ACTION HEROES
Eighties action hero movies were the Reagan era's answer to the cowboy films in old Hollywood, albeit often with a bit of martial arts Eastern mysticism thrown into the mix. The popularity of Arnold Schwarzenegger, Chuck Norris, Steven Seagal, Sylvester Stallone, Jean-Claude Van Damme and their cohorts was regarded by many as evidence of a backlash against wimpy New Man politics of the 1970s.
This raises the question as to why action heroes are again now flourishing in the early days of the Obama era. The action movie is back, bigger than ever before. This summer, we'll see Stallone, Bruce Willis and Schwarzenegger together on screen in The Expendables. Remakes of Conan the Barbarian, Red Sonja and even a big-screen version of TV's The A-Team are in the works. Meanwhile, Stallone has already successfully re-branded Rambo and Rocky.
So what is behind the revival of high-testosterone yarns about sweaty men with big muscles? Is it to do with compensating for the waning of US influence as a superpower? Is it a belated reaction to Bush's war on terror? Is this celebration of lawless individualism cinema's answer to the Tea Party protest movement? The answer is much simpler. Audiences are still looking for the same adrenalin-filled escapism that the best action movies have always provided.
One of the ironies about the return of the action-man movie is that the same stars are still being press-ganged into service. When the news filtered out last year that Stallone had broken his neck while filming The Expendables, sceptics couldn't help but think that Stallone had brought his misfortune on himself. After all, Sly is 63 going on 64. That is really not the age to be wrestling with a hulk like former WWF stalwart Stone Cold Steve Austin, as Stallone was when he hurt his neck.
Stallone's broken neck was presented to the media as the sort of everyday scrape that action stars suffer all the time. Stallone was keen to point out that The Expendables featured real, old-fashioned stunts and fighting not the computer-generated mayhem that passes for action today and the odd broken vertebrae simply came with the territory. In case anyone doubted the fact, the star posted X-rays of his injury on the internet.
There were both commercial and ideological reasons why action heroes flourished in the 1980s. One explanation for their popularity is that the US was still smarting from the indignities of the (lost) Vietnam war, Watergate and the Iranian hostage crisis of the Carter era. Audiences wanted strong crusading, red-meat-eating heroes who could avenge (at least in symbolic fashion) the humiliations that the Americans had suffered in the 1970s. They were sick of all those earnest, liberal character-driven-movies like All the President's Men.
This was certainly the theory espoused by karate champion-turned-flag-waving movie star Chuck Norris, whose younger brother had been killed in the Vietnam war. "I think a lot of people are tired of depressing, boring films. I think they like to feel good at the end of a film", he told The New York Times in a 1985 interview. Norris was a big Reagan fan. "I want a strong leader and he is a strong leader. And ever since he has been in office, there has been a more positive, patriotic feeling in this country," the star explained.
By the late 1980s and early 1990s, the Western genre itself had become increasingly complicated and self-referential. Clint Eastwood's Unforgiven (1992) was a magisterial film but one that shot holes through the simple-minded myths of the John Wayne era. It showed killing for what it was and mocked the vainglory of cowboys aspiring to gallantry. Lines between heroes and villains were blurred. In '80s action movies, though, filmmakers could still get away with the simple minded good vs evil morality that had sustained the Western in its earlier, less complicated days. Instead of a fast-shooter like Shane slaying the bad guys and riding off into the sunset, action movies offered heroes like Colonel John Matrix (Schwarzenegger), in Commando (1985) or Van Damme as the heroic everyman in John Woo's frenetic Hard Target (1993). These films may have been violent and explosive but they were also straightforward folk tales, unburdened by moral complexity.
There was an economic imperative behind the action genre. In the video age, action movies were hugely lucrative, relatively inexpensive to make and easy to market. All you needed was a poster, a catchy title and a semi-familiar star with big biceps and a menacing stare. Die Hard 2 director Renny Harlin likes to tell the story of how his career was launched in 1982 when he travelled from his native Finland to Los Angeles to attend the American Film Market. He couldn't help but notice how easy it was to sell action movies and with a friend decided to make one themselves. Back home in Finland, they wrote a screenplay, which they called Wild Force, designed a poster and slapped the name Chuck Norris on it. At the American Film Market the following year, they were able to sell the movie all over the world... even though they hadn't actually made it. In the event, Norris didn't appear in the film, which was rechristened Arctic Heat and then finally made as Born American with Norris' son, Mike. It was a roaring success but the film-makers had made such bad deals that they made no money from it.
Enterprising producers were ready to cut corners to get their action movies made. Former Cannon boss Menahem Golan famously drew up a contract with Stallone on a napkin for him to play an arm-wrestling lorry driver in Over the Top. It was Golan who discovered Jean-Claude Van Damme -- or Van Damme who discovered Golan. The Belgian gave an impromptu kick-boxing demonstration in an LA restaurant to Golan who at least action-movie legend has it promptly hired him to star in Kickboxer (1989.)
Gradually, the wheel turned and action movies fell out of fashion. The collapse in the video market was an important factor in their loss of popularity. It didn't help, either, that there were few new stars who were able to match the movies warriors of the '80s: Norris, Seagal, Stallone, Schwarzenegger and Van Damme.
You can tell that a genre is struggling when it resorts to self-parody and self-reflexiveness. Mabrouk El Mechri's JCVD (2008) was widely praised by the critics, always a suspicious sign when it comes to action movies. In the film, Van Damme plays a version of himself. He is a washed-up movie star in the midst of a bitter custody battle with his ex-wife. The film comes laden with references to other action films as well as ramblings about how much they cost and how much Van Damme thinks he should be paid.
After JCVD, it was a struggle to see how the action movie could reinvent itself. Stallone seemed to be swimming desperately against the tide by bringing back all his old action-movie mates to star in The Expendables.
Of course, in all the best action movies, the heroes find a way of winning. This is what Stallone and his team are now managing in real life too. This isn't just a case of eighties nostalgia running rampant with middle-aged executives in Hollywood. The studios are convinced there is still money to be made through a genre that, a few years ago, looked downright arthritic.
The Independent
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
100 YEARS AGO TODAY
The Sri Bharat Mahamandal (the All-India Religious Association of the Hindus) has addressed a memorial to His Excellency the Viceroy in which they say that they "have noticed with feelings of the deepest shame and disgust the anarchical tendency of the criminal acts committed by some young men within the last few months and deeply regret that such tendencies should be found in the members of a community which is naturally law-abiding and loyal". As they have reason to apprehend that such criminal tendencies and acts owe their origin to defective education and absence of proper religious training in youth, they submit that to ameliorate the moral and mental conditions of Hindu youths and to make them loyal and law-abiding subjects, it is necessary that religious education on proper lines should be regularly imparted through (a) the various schools, colleges and Sanskrit and Vernacular pathasalas; (b) tracts freely distributed in all important places and among deserving persons; and (c) trained preachers sent all over Indian to preach loyalty to God and King side by side. In conclusion the memorialists pray that Government aid for the purpose may be given in any form that it pleases, and that steps be taken that the Mahamandal may receive the support and co-operation of all Government officials, such as the Director-General of Education, Director of Public Instruction, and the District officers.
A conference of the Principals of various Colleges affiliated to the Punjab University met a short time ago and revised the inter-collegiate rules relating to admission and study in various colleges. The revised draft, which aims at strengthening discipline, has been approved by the Syndicate and Senate, and the new rules come into force with effect from 1st May.
***************************************
THE STATESMAN
EDITORIAL
OUR DEBATES, THEIR DEBATES
The general election in the UK is built around TV debates most importantly between the three party leaders, Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg. For the public, the attraction of live debates is that they force politicians to explain themselves and what they believe so that we can compare them.
The trappings of office are stripped away. The spin doctors are locked away. It isn't possible to hide behind party propaganda, sympathetic newspapers or friendly interviewers. You are out there on your own. The debates are a sign that democracy, despite the scandals, does work.
The debates are civilised. There is enough spontaneity to show serious concern for the issues with none of the squabbling we see among politicians in India. There is sharp criticism, but no abuse or name-calling. I am a first-time voter in the UK and I enjoy listening to the debates. I wonder if Indian politicians would be willing to take a cue from their British counterparts.
In India, disruption of the proceedings of the two Houses of Parliament and state assemblies has become a norm. When the elected representatives are so disorderly, is it any surprise that the bureaucracy is equally amiss in the discharge of its duties? When MPs do not obey rules, it is futile to complain that drivers on the roads do not do so.
The electorate has become habituated to the unruly behaviour of MPs. When an important report is tabled, it is usually done amid turmoil, slogan shouting and scuffles. Members start shouting, urging that they should be heard first and that their demand should take precedence over everything else though the day's business has been fixed earlier and there are prescribed rules for drawing the Speaker's attention to a matter of importance.
I read in a news report on the internet that more than 20 per cent of the 14th Lok Sabha's time was lost because of the unruly behaviour of parliamentarians and disruptions. The lack of accountability among legislators on their boisterous behaviour in Parliament translates into lack of accountability with regard to maintaining law and order on the streets. Interestingly, politicians continue to shed tears for the aam aadmi while the bandhs that they call prevent daily wagers from earning their livelihood and disrupt the functioning of hospitals and educational institutions. Is it any wonder that 62 years after independence, India has not been able to eradicate poverty and illiteracy?
The writer is a freelance contributor
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE TELEGRAPH
STATE OF FLUX
Everyone in Indian politics loves a crisis. It is the time to make and break deals. And, in Jharkhand, which has seen seven governments during 10 years of its statehood, the opportunities for politicians during a crisis can be endless. The Bharatiya Janata Party's threat to withdraw its support to Shibu Soren's government has opened up fresh possibilities of deal-making. The defence that Mr Soren's son, Hemant, has put up for his father's "mistake" during the voting on this week's cut motions in Parliament is simply laughable. But the BJP's moral posturings over the chief minister's action too look rather suspect. Despite several corruption scandals involving him, the sangh parivar had no problems in joining a government headed by him. It is no surprise, therefore, that the BJP now sees in Mr Soren's "betrayal" an opportunity for the party to take over the chief ministership. But the transition can hardly be as smooth as the BJP might wish. For all its disclaimers, the Congress is almost certain to try and make its own deals with Mr Soren and his party, the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha. After all, before he became the BJP's ally, Mr Soren had been an ally of the Congress.
All this may be good news for the deal-making sections of Jharkhand's politicians, but another spell of political crisis is a recipe for more disaster for the state's poor people. It is one of the poorest states in the country with some of the worst human development indicators. Many of its politicians may have profited from unstable governments over the past 10 years. But political instability, corruption and an administrative collapse have together made things very difficult for the common people. This is a dangerous vacuum in a state where the Maoist rebels have long threatened the rule of law. And it is no secret that the Maoists draw their cadre mostly from the impoverished tribal communities. The absence of a credible administration is just what the rebels need in order to recruit more tribal people to their ranks and to spread to wider areas. Unfortunately, endless political uncertainty keeps Jharkhand's politicians too busy with power games to fight either poverty or the Maoists. It is a great betrayal of the hopes that the tribal people had over the creation of the new state. The rise and the fall of governments in Ranchi are only a footnote to this bigger tragedy.
***************************************
THE TELEGRAPH
EDITORIAL
NO SUBSTANCE
India is full of silly people. That might have been dismissed as India's special misfortune if they had not been taken seriously. Their presence looms so large that those with respectable IQs cannot express their opinions without being forced to contend with them at some point in their lives. The Tamil actress, Khushboo, suddenly achieved national fame by having remarked in the course of a talk on AIDS awareness that women who have sex before marriage should protect themselves from sexually transmitted diseases and from pregnancy. Silly people, together with other silly people motivated by business competition Ms Khushboo was an anchor on a television channel immediately kicked up a rumpus, claiming that she had defamed Tamil women. Then they went to court. The Supreme Court has at last quashed 22 cases filed against the actress in 2005.
That the silliest people should have a say is certainly part of democratic culture, just as the free expression of opinion is also a very significant part of the same culture as long as it does not incite one group against another. That is one of the arguments given by the court in quashing the cases, but the question is, why should the court have to say this at all? The substance of the cases against Ms Khushboo, bringing charges of licentiousness, evil influence and opposition to that strange creature called 'Indian culture', did not seem to deserve the courts' attention. This is not the first time that the higher judiciary has had to say that there is nothing wrong with live-in relationships or sex between consenting adults. And that people are meant to have different opinions. Where does law come into all this? With its enormous backlog of cases, the justice system is strained to its utmost. The court's time is precious; the court itself should screen out cases that waste it. Or get them over with in a couple of days. Instead, it has taken years to quash these cases, which is all the more amazing because there is virtually nothing to be said except a few platitudes. The court takes on many issues that should be the responsibility of the administration, such as the environment or the distribution of food. There it might be argued that the administration is not doing its job, so the court has stepped in. But that is not the situation in Ms Khushboo's case. Giving silliness so much importance would merely encourage the rest of India to be sillier.
***************************************
THE TELEGRAPH
EDITORIAL
APPEALING ALTERNATIVE
TOO MUCH OF BRITAIN HAS CHANGED UNRECOGNIZABLY
SWAPAN DASGUPTA
Of all the politicians thrown up by the New Labour dispensation in Britain, few can match Lord Mandelson's reputation for cleverness. Blessed with an impeccable political pedigree (he is the grandson of Herbert Morrison, a cabinet colleague of Clement Atlee and the first head of the London County Council), natural erudition and a mastery of committee politics, Mandelson has often been regarded as the brain behind the reinvention of the Labour Party by Tony Blair in the mid-1990s. Despite two resignations from the cabinet for dodgy personal conduct, the former member of parliament for Hartlepool has been such an adroit political manager that neither Blair nor his dour successor could afford to keep him away from the cabinet room for long. This time, as Labour faces its most difficult election since 1983, Lord Mandelson is back as the party's principal strategist, fielding hostile questions from the media and putting his spin on the campaign.
Yet, so awesome is Mandelson's reputation for cleverness that not even the noble act of waging a rearguard battle for Labour is free from speculation over his hidden agenda. It is whispered, in the rarefied circle of hacks with expense accounts, that 'Mandy' knows that Gordon Brown is a lost cause and that he is in the game to manage the post-defeat wave of recriminations: ensure a relatively hassle-free leadership transition from Brown to either one of the two baby-faced Miliband brothers, sons of the redoubtable Ralph Miliband of the London School of Economics and Socialist Register fame, or to someone less cerebral but more charismatic.
Curiously, the belief that Mandelson is in the game to ensure another orderly management of decline isn't shared by his opponents. The perception of Mandelson as a reincarnation of John le Carré's Karla is so strong that even the possibility of a hung parliament is being attributed to him. The spin doctor, it is said, couldn't ensure a Labour victory, but at least he will prevent an outright Conservative victory by boosting the prospects of Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democratic Party.
Here's what the London mayor, Boris Johnson, had to say about Mandelson's 'devilish' plot to induce Britons to vote for another election: "I have it on good authority , that the puffing of Clegg all that ostentatious 'I agree with Nick' stuff from Gordon Brown in the first debate was entirely deliberate. In agreeing to the debates, Labour thought it had spotted what the Tory high command had missed: that if you put Clegg and (David) Cameron simultaneously before the nation, and the electorate saw two vaguely similar products telegenic 43-year-old public schoolboys with an air of deep reasonableness then all at once the Tories would lose their Unique Selling Point." Even the diabolical Karla couldn't have done it better.
If British elections have truly been reduced to an elaborate chess game involving Grandmaster Mandelson and two spirited amateurs, it would have signalled a remarkable counter-revolution. If the voters are indeed so gullible and so easily prone to clever manipulation, politics would have become a simple extension of advertising, leaving no role for ideas, policies and social organization.
The remarkable Liberal Democratic surge some pollsters suggest, particularly after the prime minister's 'bigoted woman' gaffe, that Labour could slip to third place in vote share may be unappetizing to the Conservatives, and the resulting political impasse may leave Britain more vulnerable to an impending economic crisis of Greek and Icelandic proportions. But the reason for Clegg's rise in popularity has little to do with the fact that he mirrors Cameron, as Johnson has suggested. A more persuasive clue to the rise of the third party may be located in the social changes that have scarred Britain.
In the past, British voting behaviour was governed by social certitudes: the working class, immigrants and public sector employees voted Labour, the middle classes and the countryside were Conservative bastions and Liberals picked up seats in the Celtic fringe and on the strength of individual candidates. The outcome of an election was settled on the votes of some five per cent floating voters. Occasionally there were major shifts: Margaret Thatcher picked up a large chunk of working-class votes and Tony Blair's New Labour ate into the Tory share of the middle-class vote.
The most remarkable feature of the 2010 election is the erosion of the core strength of both Labour and Conservative. The cloth-cap socialism of Labour centred on the manufacturing centres has become an anachronism, but so has the robust patriotism and culture of deference that defined the Conservatism of Winston Churchill and Harold Macmillan. The epicentre of New Labour wasn't the East End of London; it was better reflected in the partly gentrified Islington and Ealing. Likewise, Cameron consciously took the heart of the Conservative Party out of the 'Shires and tried to transplant it into London's gentrified Notting Hill. It's not that Cameron necessarily believed that this shift was desirable. Like many Conservatives frustrated at being in opposition since 1997, the shift was electorally expedient.
Unfortunately, both parties cannot afford to abandon their old constituencies entirely. Brown can talk about his 'middle-class values', a departure from the language of the Red Flag, but he cannot jettison the party's faith in high taxes to pay for an expensive, expansive and unaffordable public sector.
Cameron, on his part, has forced constituency parties to select more women, blacks and individuals with 'alternative' sexual proclivities. He has shied away from addressing the widespread concern over unchecked immigration and he has tried his utmost to reassure voters that the Tories aren't pathologically hostile to the elaborate social sector. In particular, he has tried to remove the stigma of the Conservatives as a 'nasty' party. In a bid to underplay accusations of personifying privilege, he has frequently appeared without a tie, tried to live down his membership of the Bullingdon Club in Oxford, and made the silly decision to send his children to state schools.
Sadly, these gestures have often been seen as too contrived by an emerging class that is more European than British in its social outlook. In the second television debate, an earnest member of the audience actually asked the leaders what they had 'personally' contributed to lowering carbon emission. It resulted in Brown having to say that he is using trains rather than taking flights; and it compelled Cameron to proclaim the virtues of some solar panelling in his Notting Hill house. I can't recall what Clegg waffled but the question was precisely the type of concern that defines the Liberal Democrats irreverently described as the 'yellow peril' on account of their party colour.
The Liberal Democrats are the proverbial 'nice' guys who believe in community action, recycled garbage, unilateral nuclear disarmament, human rights, amnesty for illegal immigrants and the euro. Not too many people know what they stand for but they like Clegg for his polished preachiness. In the past, those who felt both the main parties were useless either stayed at home or experimented with the loony far-Right or even the Green Party. Today, the growing ranks of the exasperated who neither like the incumbent nor care much for the decisive belt-tightening that will invariably accompany Tory rule, have an appealing alternative: the unsullied piousness of Clegg.
If the Liberal Democratic bubble doesn't burst before May 6 and Britain is landed with political uncertainty, it will be a reflection of the fact that too much of Britain has changed unrecognizably, and not necessarily for the better. It is beyond even Mandelson to manage this awkward reality.
***************************************
THE TELEGRAPH
EDITORIAL
CRUDE GAMES
BONA FIDE - MALVIKA SINGH
The cut motion in Parliament was a display of the worst elements of Indian politics. The opposition benches were unruly, and many of the leaders had a strange smirk on their faces that gave one the sense that they were merely poking and pinching the ruling dispensation with no real purpose, thereby wasting time and money at the cost of the people of India. Parliamentary proceedings, now shown live on the Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha channels, allow India to participate in the democratic process of decision-making through debate in both the Houses. The medium is salutary but, unfortunately, the message is very disturbing.
To see elected representatives of national parties make a constant mockery of everything that is important for India and its people is demeaning and embarrassing, to say the least. It is as though they have been coached in certain unchanging behavioural patterns. If in the Opposition, be raucous, undignified, prevent discussion, adjourn the House, live off the land, take home the allowances and perks, and disregard the mandate. This is the sad truth.
It was disgusting to witness the uncouth shouting and disobedience shown towards the exalted chair of the Speaker, who happens to be a woman this time. One wondered how a quiet new generation was responding to this hugely unsavoury tamasha on issues of concern that plague the nation. Is this the idea of the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Left Front of a 'symbolic' protest against spiralling prices? Is this how they alleviate the misery of the electorate? Did they genuinely believe that they would win the vote, or was this charade a crude game of 'time-pass'?
New Gandhi
We have taken the horror to a level from where it cannot descend further. Respect for the political class has dipped to an all-time low. Its racketeering across a diverse range of areas from real estate to benami shareholdings in dodgy companies has made the profession unclean.
We are akin to small, struggling nations where the rule of law is a mirage and where those at the top of the pile exploit rapaciously. It must be very depressing for an honourable prime minister such as Manmohan Singh to have to preside over this truth. His pensive patience laced with deep distress, as he watches the scene in the House being replayed over and over again, is palpable.
The horse-trading for lucrative deals and positions is a sideshow that Indians are witnessing through innuendoes and references in the media, and through exposures. Whispers in the traditionally oral transmission system that is our medium of communication make us voyeurs on the outside, abreast with all the irregularities happening within the corridors of the government, ranging from lobbyists on the payrolls of large corporations wanting particular persons to be placed as ministers to fiddling with middle-level administrators to make them do their bidding.
Rahul Gandhi seems to be the only politician working diligently to fight the malaise his generation has inherited. His intention is clearly not just to have an office in government that will co-opt him into a moribund reality, but to be out there on the field, leading a Gandhian overhaul of a corroded reality. He is on his way to becoming the Mahatma Gandhi of this period of our turbulent political history.
Were he to announce that he would contest elections to become the chief minister of Uttar Pradesh, and blow the lid off the superficial chatter about the prime minister's chair being kept warm for him, chances are that he would win over the electorate across class, caste, creed and faith. There is the underlying anger against the presiding political class that is ripe for being addressed to bring about real change.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************DECCAN HERALD
EDITORIAL
A PRAGMATIC VIEW
''THE APEX COURT HAS COME TO RAPE VICTIMS' RESCUE.''
Victims of rape could find their quest for justice becoming a bit easier. The supreme court has ruled that in rape cases, especially when the victims are illiterate, the oral testimony of the victim alone is enough to convict the accused. This means that a victim's statement when it is "cogent, reliable, convincing and trustworthy" will not need corroborative evidence. The apex court has taken a sympathetic view of rape victims. Often the victims fail to undergo a medical test immediately after being raped. This is because they are unaware of the legal procedure involved or the importance of medical evidence.
Often they are in a state of shock and badly traumatised. Besides, victims of rape are unwilling to make public their ordeal as they want to avoid the social stigma attached to being raped. This makes them reluctant to be examined by a doctor. There have been several instances where the private parts of victims of rape have not been injured. That does not make the sexual act consensual. But scores of rapists have been able to get away with their terrible crime as courts have hitherto insisted on evidence of injury to the victim to show that sex was forced and not consensual. By doing away with the need for corroborative evidence, the supreme court has sent out a clear signal of support to rape victims.
Misuse of the law to frame someone for rape is possible and it needs to be guarded against, but such instances are few compared with the number of rapes that occur in our society. Proper investigation by police can sniff out false cases that might be filed.
For most rape victims, court trials feel like they are being raped all over again. The way society looks upon them and the manner in which they are questioned during the trial often deters victims from going to the police or the courts.
The defence often engages in character assassination of a rape victim to undermine the credibility of her statement. What is more, rarely do victims get justice. The figures speak for themselves. Just 27 per cent of rape cases in India end in conviction, showing how biased against victims the law and order and justice mechanisms in the country have been hitherto. That is now changing. The supreme court ruling will provide victims with a supportive environment to pursue justice.
***************************************
DECCAN HERALD
EDITORIAL
CHANGING WORLD
''OLD DESCRIPTIONS DON'T MATCH WITH NEW REALITIES.''
International politics and relations are graveyards of words, and as the world moves on reorganising itself in political and economic terms, individual countries and groups define themselves in newer and newer ways. Old descriptions that do not match with new realities are discarded and dumped into the dictionary of history. This has happened with expressions like the Third World and NAM which were once potent carriers of political meaning. The recent declaration of World Bank president Robert Zoellik that the coinage Third World is dead, may not be as cataclysmic as philosopher Nietzche's dictum that God is dead, but is a useful reminder of how the old world order changes, yielding place to the new.
If the Third World gave a conceptual framework for the developing countries' bloc in the second half of the last century, distinguishing them from the capitalist and rich First World, led by the US, and the socialist Second World, led by the then USSR, the distinction has blurred now with the rise of countries like China, India and Brazil. It is a reflection of the changing balance in the world, and new names like BRIC, which denote combinations of countries based on new interests, are emerging.
Even on the other side of the divide, groupings have gone through a nomenclatural evolution, like the movement of G-somethings, which transformed themselves from G-10 through G-5, G-6, G-7 and G-8 to G-20, shows. G-20 may now represent the best of all the three old worlds, but the weighted balance may slowly shift in favour of the old wretched of the earth. It will take a long time, but the growing irrelevance of the old frames of reference is a pointer to the emerging perceptions about the future world.
Political thinkers and economists have tried to explain the world in various ways. But a history of the world through acronyms would be interesting. They may not always describe the world correctly, but catch popular imagination by combining reality with perception and possibility. Words are only approximations of reality and no country should feel flattered or disheartened by its place in the matrix of words in which it is placed. In the beginning was only the world, which became many a world, which the moving mind writes, and having writ, moves on from.
***************************************
DECCAN HERALD
EDITORIAL
GENESIS OF INFLATION
BY DIPAK BASU
A significant factor in the spiralling of prices in sectors like real estate and the hoarding of commodities, is the parallel economy.
Recent increase in the interest rate by the Reserve Bank of India to reduce the money supply should provide a lesson to the pundits who are blaming the neglect of agriculture, a long-term factor, for the rising prices in recent months, which is a short-term phenomenon. Inflation in India, including food and energy, or other volatile components, is still rising, while the farmers are leaving their potato and tomato harvests on the fields due to the low prices of their products. Inflation in India is mainly due to the wrong monetary policy of the Indian government, when too much money is fuelling speculative drive.
The source of money that is fuelling inflation has three main sources: (a) money from the parallel economy; (b) money from abroad through short-term borrowing and investments; (c) foreign multinational companies. The parallel economy is just as big as the visible economy. According to some estimates, the government could not collect Rs 1,20,000 crore of taxes. The banks could not collect Rs 1,50,000 crore of unpaid loans from the defaulters. A significant factor in the spiralling of prices in sectors like real estate and the hoarding of commodities for speculative gain, can be attributed to this parallel economy.
India is experiencing an unprecedented surge in short-term capital inflows. Net capital flows into the country rose from an already high $23.4 billion in 2006 to $44.9 billion in 2007, whereas during 2003 to 2006 only $8.8 billion a year came on an average.
Indian companies have been exploiting the liberalised external commercial borrowing policy of the RBI and borrowing massively abroad. Figures for the January to May period indicate that borrowing totalled $15.3 billion in 2007, with $10.8 billion and $3.4 billion during the corresponding periods in 2006 and 2005 respectively.
As a result the RBI has lost control over the supply of money. The RBI initiated a programme to sell government bonds to take out some money from the system, but it was too late and too little. There is no crisis on the food production front. As the government is not interested to maintain the public distribution system, it is not willing to give proper prices to the domestic farmers. That has created the shortfall in procurement and increased imports to a country where enough is available if the government is prepared to raise the procurement prices for the Indian farmers.
The government's decision to allow private multinational firms to speculate in the Indian 'Futures Market' has created havoc in the Indian food prices. These private companies like ITC, Cargill, AWB India, Britannia, Agricore, Delhi Flour Mills and Adani Enterprises, procured about 20 lakh tonnes of wheat during the rabi marketing season (April-July) in 2007.
Speculation in food
The 'Futures Market' intensified the speculative activity in the food market in India, which is novel for India. Speculators see much gain in betting for the future prices of various commodities, including rice and wheat. Abundance of liquidity has, paved the way for massive amounts of cash becoming available for investment (by equity investors, funds, etc) in markets that use financial instruments linked to the functioning of agricultural commodity markets.
Portfolio flows
India has witnessed over a decade of portfolio flows and with each passing year, portfolio flows have gained in their significance and have played a key role in the overall Indian economy. The Union Budget 2003 announced that dividends would be exempt from tax in the hands of a shareholder. Further, long term capital gains arising on transfer of equity shares (held at least for one year) in a listed company, acquired between March 1, 2003, and February 28, 2004, would be exempt from tax. These initiatives were specifically targeted at attracting portfolio investments into India. Foreign Direct Investment in real estate is now possible without the need for permission by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board.
So, the liberalised FDI regime, coupled with the strong potential of the industry is going to help pump money into the sector. Sustained flows of foreign money, thanks to the excessive global liquidity in the world, has fuelled the rise of the stock markets and real estate prices in India to unprecedented levels.
Thus inflation in India is the direct results of flows of money through short-term borrowings and speculative activity. Introduction of multinational companies in the commodities market has increased the speculative activity and reduced the ability of the government to procure enough essential food grain to sustain the public distribution system.
Short-term borrowings are highly volatile elements in the financial system and normally create a speculative bubble, which can be burst soon creating serious recession in the economy even bankruptcy. The experience of Thailand and South Korea in 1978 showed the damage these short term flows of foreign money can cause. It normally push up domestic prices so that exports prices will go up causing increased balance of payments deficits.
As a result the rupee would start falling causing an outflow of these short-term money. That will lead to further fall of rupee and very soon the government will be unable to repay the foreign debt. A situation like this has ruined Thailand and South Korea for many years. India may be heading for such a catastrophe.
***************************************
DECCAN HERALD
EDITORIAL
DANGERS TO GLOBAL ECONOMY'S HEALTH
BY PASCAL LAMY, IPS
Conventional trade statistics gives us a distorted picture of the trade imbalances between countries.
Economists have long analysed trade, why nations need it to prosper, and what governments do to reap the gains while managing the costs. But if the economics of trade policy are clear, the politics of trade are highly complex. Trade policy, like so many other areas of policy, has ramifications on how resources are distributed, and this inevitably creates competing interest groups within society.
The public debate that inevitably accompanies the formulation of contested trade policy challenges the notion that open trade brings overall societal benefits. At the same time, contested policy provides fertile ground for the incubation of urban legends and misconceptions with popular appeal. One such widespread fallacy is that it is unhealthy for trade to grow faster than output.
After the World War II, international trade grew much faster than world production. The ratio of international trade to world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has risen from 5.5 per cent in 1950 to over 20 per cent today. Some argue that this development poses a danger to the health of the global economy. However, in reality it is simply a reflection of the international fragmentation of production and the rise of trade in intermediate products.
Literally global
Reductions in transport costs, the information technology revolution, and more open economic policies have made it easier to distribute production across a range of countries. The parts and components that make up a final product are manufactured in different countries around the globe.
These intermediate goods may cross national borders several times before they are assembled as a final product. Thus some of what passes for international trade is in reality intra-firm trade, exchanges of intermediate inputs and goods for processing between establishments that belong to the same company. By allowing each country in the supply chain to specialise in the part or component, the internationalisation of supply chains creates enormous economic benefits.
This growth in the trade of parts and components means that statistics on imports overstate the degree of competition that comes from one's trading partners. In international trade theory, trade in goods is seen as a substitute for the movement of factors of production.
Thus, a country's imports of goods from a trading partner are seen as additional supplies of the partner country's labour and capital, which compete with the importing country's own workers and entrepreneurs. But the share of value added by the country originating a product is considerably lower than in the past.
Take the example of an iPod assembled in China by Apple. According to a recent study, it has an export value of $150 per unit in Chinese trade statistics, yet the value added attributable to processing in China is only $4.
Consequently, the degree to which a given volume of imports implies competition between the factors of production in the country of origin and those in the importing country is overstated.
Focusing on gross values of trade or imports from a particular country also understates the degree to which the importing country's own firms benefit from trade because part of their output is incorporated in the imported good.
Conventional trade statistics gives us a distorted picture of trade imbalances between countries. What counts is not the imbalances as measured by gross values of exports and imports, but how much value added is embedded in these flows. Let us take again the bilateral trade between China and the US.
According to data from the Institute of Developing Economies and WTO estimates, in 2008 the domestic content comprised 80 per cent of the value of the goods exported by the US. The comparable figure was 77 per cent in the case of Japan, 56 per cent for Korea, and 42 per cent for Malaysia and Chinese Taipei, meaning that about half the exported value originated from other countries.
Conventional trade statistics would overestimate the US bilateral deficit vis-a-vis China by around 30 per cent as compared to measuring in value-added content. This figure would reach more than 50 per cent when the activity of export processing zones is fully taken into account. It makes sense for us to start measuring trade in value added rather than in gross value, as is the case today. Debunking fallacies about trade is not enough. We need debate and make informed choices, because trade has an impact on our lives, whether as workers or as consumers.
(The writer is director-general of the World Trade Organisation)
***************************************
DECCAN HERALD
EDITORIAL
INVITING TROUBLE
LIKE MOST DISEASES, THIS ONE COULD HAVE BEEN AVOIDED, BUT IT WAS DIRECTLY INVITED.
BY MAYA JAYAPAL
I suffer periodically from this disease painteritis maybe once every six years. The symptoms are allergies bringing on red eyes, incessant sneezing and headaches. Also prevalent are IBS (Irritable Behaviour Syndrome) and CTT (Compulsive Temper Tantrums). The suffix 'itis' denotes disease, deriving from Greek, caused by the first part of the word in this case the specific genus of house painters.
Like most diseases, this one could have been avoided. Unlike most diseases this one was directly invited in. I could not bear the state of the bedroom, the kitchen and the balconies any longer. Thus the onset of the disease. They trooped in six of them plus the supervisor, all rough looking, in paint splashed trousers and tattered tee shirts, with bandana like cloths around their foreheads, looking for all the world like Mexican bandidos about to launch guerrilla warfare. But appearances are deceptive, for they were really extremely polite, even if being inconsiderate on certain issues. And they set to work, talking all the time, scraping, putting prime coats with steady brush strokes, carrying around their own two dilapidated wooden ladders and my own sleek aluminium ones.
Swathes of paint dazzled my eyes. It was difficult to distinguish between oyster pink and oyster beige, rose beige, grey tinted rose and rose tinted grey, mushroom pink and mushroom rose, or oatmeal pink and oatmeal beige. This one, I said, jabbing at one small rectangle among so many equal sized rectangles, whereupon the supervisor said: "Are you sure you want this, madam, and not this?" And I would seethe in a cauldron of indecision. My husband of course, was all for stopping everything on the second morning itself and said: "I think my blood pressure is rising. You make the decision."
Of course, they came with just their clothes and two ladders. They needed from me buckets, brooms, cloths, glasses for their endless supply of water and tea, etc. When I asked my top-work woman, Mary, why the chairs had not been dusted, she went into a sulk and said she had no duster cloth as they had appropriated all of them. One advantage was, that in all the moving, I found some treasures my father's walking stick collection (under the bed), a stack of old photos ( behind the books) an old stamp album (under the sofa), etc.
To give credit where it's due, they finished in five days and I am left with a very dusty house and clean walls and ceilings. And my IBS and CTT have disappeared. So have my sneezing, red eyes and headaches. In fact, suddenly the world looks wonderfully rosy.
.
***************************************
*****************************************************************************************
THE JERUSALEM POST
EDITORIAL
FAYYAD'S 'PALESTINE'
PA PRIME MINISTER'S DOWNFALL WOULD BE NEGATIVE DEVELOPMENT FOR ISRAEL.
A standoff between Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Salam Fayyad and Fatah has been brewing for some time. It was not too surprising, therefore, that at the end of a four-day meeting of the Fatah Revolutionary Council in Ramallah this week, Fatah officials called on PA President Mahmoud Abbas to strip Fayyad of three key portfolios: Foreign Affairs, Interior and Finance effectively disempowering him.
Fatah leaders see Fayyad, an independent politician who does not belong to the movement, as a major threat to their power. The US-trained former World Bank and International Monetary Fund economist has been "accused" of cutting off funds to Fatah figures and institutions by insisting on government transparency.
Fatah's opposition to Fayyad's ambitious two-year plan for the creation of a Palestinian state by August 2011 is another source of tension. In "Palestine: Ending the Occupation, Establishing the State," the 54-page document outlining Fayyad's Palestinian state-building mission, Fatah, an organization so central in the formulation of the Palestinian narrative, does not even appear in the first pages of the document, though the PLO does. Fayyad's approach also contradicts the Fatah Congress's reaffirmation of a one-state solution in the event that negotiations over a two-state solution fail.
Fayyad's downfall, were it to come about, would appear to be a negative development for Israel. A pragmatic "bottom up" strategy of building roads, a judicial system, health institutions and the infrastructure needed for a thriving economy is in Israel's interests. The more Palestinians invest in their own welfare, the more they have to lose from the destructive effects of terrorism.
Much of Fayyad's approach represents a refreshing departure from Yasser Arafat's blend of violence, terror and duplicitous politics. Consequently, Israel has responded favorably to Fayyad's success in restoring order with the help of Palestinian forces, trained under the auspices of US Lt.-Gen. Keith Dayton. This has enabled the IDF to remove dozens of security checkpoints, easing movement restrictions and invigorating the Palestinian economy. Placing its faith in Fayyad's government transparency, the US Congress could felt it could trust the PA with $200 million of American money.
IT WOULD be misleading, however, to confidently portray Fayyad as a harbinger of peace. Peace with Israel is not a dominant feature of his 54-page blue-print, and peace with Israel the Jewish state finds no reflection there at all.
Some of Fayyad's actions, too, raise doubts over the sincerity of his calls for a nonviolent struggle for Palestinian independence. According to Palestinian Media Watch, Fayyad paid condolence calls to the mourning families of three terrorists who murdered Rabbi Meir Avshalom Hai and were later killed by the IDF, as well as to other families of dead terrorists. Just two weeks ago, on Palestinian Prisoners Day, Fayyad sponsored a fencing championship named after Abu Jihad, who planned many major Fatah terror attacks, including the worst in Israel's history, in which 37 civilians were murdered in a bus hijacking led by Dalal Mughrabi in 1978.
It should be noted in this context that Fayyad's plan calls for massive Palestinian development in Area C, which is currently under Israeli civil and security control. If Fayyad succeeds in building a semi-viable state by next summer, the PA could seek to unilaterally force a highly problematic arrangement on Israel by going to the UN Security Council and demanding recognition of a Palestinian state and the immediate evacuation of settlements located in "Palestine."
Given the present state of relations between the Obama administration and Israel, there is less confidence today than once there would have been as to how the US might respond to such a move. Israel would need to thwart some of the potential consequences, including the exposure of Israel to rocket and missile threats not only from Gaza and Lebanon but from within the West Bank, at all costs.
That is not to say that Fayyad's institution-building work should be opposed. The Netanyahu government has plainly reached the same conclusion. A peace agreement reached through direct negotiations based on mutual trust has the best chance of succeeding if the Palestinians have taken the pains to prepare themselves for independence. After investing resources, energies and hopes in the construction of a future Palestinian state and tasting the fruits of a growing economy, personal security and increased freedom, the Palestinian people would have a vested interest in ensuring that proximity talks lead to direct negotiations that lead in turn to a sustainable accord.
That, at least, is the current Israeli government's hope on the eve of proximity talks. It would be wrong, however, to suggest that it is the government's expectation.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
ARAB MKS' LIBYA TRIP A PATH TO MIDEAST PEACE
Hysteria gripped the right wing in the Knesset after an Arab delegation of MKs and dignitaries visited Libya. The chairman of the Knesset House Committee, Yariv Levin (Likud), hastened to adopt MK Michael Ben Ari's (National Union) request to consider denying the MKs parliamentary immunity. MK Zevulun Orlev (Habayit Hayehudi) suggested that the law be enacted preventing people who have visited an enemy state over the past seven years from becoming candidates. In other words, he wants to prevent these MKs from running for the next Knesset.
The tongues of Habayit Hayehudi and National Union, two parties that could unite under the name "the Racist Union," were abruptly unleashed as though they were dealing with an unparalleled act of treason. "This is a historic opportunity to deny once and for all the immunity and rights of the MKs who hate Israel and degrade the state," raved Ben Ari. Orlev's proposed amendment stipulates that anyone who visits an enemy state "unlawfully" will be seen as a supporter of an armed struggle against Israel. No less.
Libya is not on the list of enemy states and the MKs did not need the interior minister's permission for the trip. Libya signed the Arab League's peace initiative, holds the League's rotating presidency, and its ruler Muammar Gadhafi maintains excellent relations with the U.S. administration.
So it's hard to guess what members of the Knesset's racist bloc were more horrified at - the fear that the Arab MKs will launch an armed struggle against Israel with Gadhafi's help, or that they might serve as a bridge to acquaintance and perhaps Libyan recognition of Israel.
Israel does not enjoy abundant diplomatic ties, either with Arab states like Egypt and Jordan, which signed peace agreements with it, or Libya, which still sees it as an enemy. So every chance to invite Israeli Arab representatives, especially those in official Israeli institutions, must be seen as the opening of another window, or at least as curiosity to hear about the way things are in Israel.
Such an invitation from an Arab leader would certainly have been received with great excitement had it been addressed to Jewish officials. After all, this is what Israel's government, which is demanding gestures of normalization from the Arab states, is longing for.
The Arab MKs did not go to Libya as Israeli public relations agents or ambassadors charged with vindicating Israel's policy in the territories. That's a mission even many Jewish MKs find difficult to carry out. Their trip to Libya - or to any other Arab state - is an inseparable part of their cultural and ethnic background and their desire to explain their views and position about the Israeli reality, even if these views weren't forged in the right wing's school.
Instead of tarring and feathering the Arab MKs, Israel would do well to make them partners in molding its policy and encourage them to build more bridges between Israel and Arab states. This would at least show a readiness to make peace with the Arab population.
**************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
NETANYAHU AND BARAK KNOW THAT THE TIME FOR PEACE IS NOW
BY YOEL MARCUS
Neil Simon's play "The Odd Couple" was first successfully staged on Broadway, and later broadcast for many years as a television series. The subject of the play is two men - one an elegantly dressed pedant who plays the piano, and the other an intolerable slob. These contrasts were funny, but the two got along very well in their shared apartment.
Why am I recalling this play? Because this week, our own odd couple starred on the world stage. While French President Nicholas Sarkozy was telling President Shimon President that he is tired of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak was being received with warmth and respect in Washington.
Barak was honored a second time when, during a White House conversation with the national security adviser, the president dropped in "to say hello." On one hand, it's an excellent photo-op, and on the other, an expression of the president's personal confidence in the Israeli minister.
Did Bibi Netanyahu burst with envy? Not necessarily. Indeed, the opposite is true. Barak traveled to the United States as Bibi's envoy, not only to talk about Israel's security problems, but also in order to examine ways of beginning negotiations with the Palestinians. Barak gives a quasi-leftist stamp of approval to Bibi's Likud party.
Barak is a story in himself, a tyro politician who came to power without the help of his party, because he was elected at a time when there were direct elections for prime minister. He did not perspire in order to climb the party stairs. He had the luxury of being parachuted in from above. He still does not understand the significance of parties in the government system. That is why he is a good defense minister but a poor party leader.
"The party is being run like a closed ward in a hospital," says Labor MK Daniel Ben Simon. "Barak is in effect Bibi's foreign minister to America. They have a secret understanding between them that will determine our future. We have not had the privilege of hearing from him where he is heading. He simply ignores us."
Barak does not seem to represent his faction or speak in its name. The upholstered leather armchair in his luxurious office is his main source of political support. Nobody will move him from there. He is not working to disband the government, for fear that he will be left with two Knesset seats.
But his importance in the cabinet far outweighs his political power. He provides Bibi with legitimacy in the center, on the left and with wealthy businessmen. He brought Bibi the media and the people who dwell in luxury apartment towers.
Barak has taken control of Bibi's right ear, where he fuels the premier's fears. Then he immediately turns to the left ear and tells him: Don't worry, I'm here, I'm behind you. Barak also gives him the army, which the Americans and European admire.
The fact that his party is dying does not cause him to lose any sleep. B. and B. are giving each other political life. They share a hatred of Kadima and a reluctance to let it join the government, and they are both interested in keeping Shas in the government. After all, Shas contributed to Kadima chairwoman Tzipi Livni's failure to assume the premiership without elections.
Ehud and Bibi share both the advantages and the shortcomings of veterans of the elite Sayeret Matkal commando unit. Both are native sons, both are excellent salesmen, both were elected as political meteors to head their parties, both failed in a big way and were ousted in a big way, and both left political life in order to eventually return to it. Bibi left behind a supportive public, and Ehud did not. But both Siamese twins were given a second chance in their parties, and both have failed so far to take advantage of it.
Unfortunately for them, the stew cooking in the pot is about to boil over on their watch. In the face of a bizarre political "septet" of top cabinet ministers, an unconventional foreign minister and a deputy foreign minister who ignites fires, Barak gives Bibi a sense of security, while Bibi gives Barak support against his party.
Bibi needs someone who gives the Palestinians hope. At one time, Barak offered heaven and earth to then Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Yasser Arafat, including an arrangement in Jerusalem. Former U.S. president Bill Clinton was sure the plan would be accepted.
Instead, we got the second intifada. Arafat explained that a leader who had founded a national movement cannot go down in history as the one who gave up part of Palestine. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas says similar things.
Until the midterm elections in November, U.S. President Barack Obama cannot permit himself a rift with Israel. Eighty percent of Jews vote for Democrats. The Jews of New York, California and Florida alone contribute 40 percent of campaign expenses. A clandestine battle is now being waged between Bibi and Obama as to when American Jews will tell Obama, who is putting on the pressure: "We've had it." But for all the covert contempt of our leftists, the Pentagon has no interest in weakening Israel.
The absurdity is that Israel's most inflated cabinet ever is dominated by two people. And the two of them are now secretly concocting a formula with the U.S. administration that will enable a renewal of negotiations with the Palestinian leadership.
Netanyahu and Barak, who have to hang together, know the time has come to act. Because if not, they will hang separately.
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
ISRAEL'S CHOICE: MAKE PEACE OR DISAPPEAR
BY TZVIA GREENFIELD
The student senate at Berkeley University in California recently passed a resolution calling for divestment from Israel. Prof. Judith Butler, the feminist theoretician, expounded to the enthusiastic audience on her new "Jewish" vision, which calls for renouncing the State of Israel. In this way, the intellectual elites once again expressed their strong belief in the theological principle whose basis is opposition to Western culture.
For these intellectuals, the Palestinians' struggle against Israel symbolizes the heroic uprising of the rejected and oppressed against the conquerors who have deprived them of their humanity and delegitimized their local narratives. And in this mythological and theological arena, there is no chance whatsoever of holding a sane debate based on facts and common sense.
Treating Israel as the worst representative of Western colonialism is particularly ironic given the Jewish people's minuscule size and Europe's virulent anti-Jewish history. Neither Russia's control of the Chechens, Irish grievances against the British or Basque grievances against the Spanish evoke the harsh criticism that Israel does. Perhaps because it does not pay to confront the Russians, while Britain and Spain really do offer their minorities democratic equality and full civil rights.
Israel, on the other hand, continues to control the Palestinians and the territories by force. And in order to maintain its Jewish identity, it also has no intention whatsoever of granting them equal civil rights. One does not have to be a critical intellectual to understand that this internal contradiction, in a state that considers itself advanced, Western and democratic, is untenable.
There is thus no way to avoid a solution that chooses one of two options - either withdrawing from all of the West Bank and establishing an independent state for the Palestinians, or granting full rights to everyone who lives under Israeli control, Palestinians as well as Jews. In that case, of course, Israel would lose its Zionist identity as the state of the Jewish people - and if it is even possible for Palestinians and Jews to live together after 100 years of hatred, the Jewish residents of Palestine would immediately turn into an insignificant minority that is at the mercy of the millions of Muslim Arabs round about.
A development of this kind, which would destroy the Zionist project, would cause most Jewish residents of the former Israel to abandon their country and try to find new solutions for themselves on an individual basis - assuming, of course, that what happened before the Holocaust would not repeat itself, and that the millions of new Jewish refugees would be able to find safe havens for themselves in the democratic countries of the West. A horrific scenario like this would take the entire Jewish people back to its historic situation of weakness and victimization, and it is hard to imagine it could take place without a tremendous upheaval.
Yet another terrifying possibility, of course, is that Israel would consciously renounce its own self-definition as a Western democracy. It would then gradually turn into a dictatorship that defines itself as Jewish. It would use armed force to continue to control all the territory west of the Jordan River, and would continue to deny the Palestinians' right to either freedom or equality. A choice of that kind would destroy Israel as a modern state, and accordingly also its ability to defend itself and to develop as a secure, flourishing, 21st-century society.
In this case as well, it is clear that most of the country's intelligentsia, and indeed anyone with initiative, would leave Israel. Israel would remain with its religious population and its rightists - some of whom are capable of defending it, but most of whom are devoid of high-level development and management skills. The Israeli-Jewish dictatorship would thus suffer from a substantive weakness that would eventually lead to its defeat at the hands of its Muslim enemies.
It is sad to think that this process has apparently already started: The collapse of education and higher learning, together with the political corruption and the tremendous growth of those sectors that are not prepared to share the social, economic and military burden, is encouraging the more talented and diligent Israelis to leave the sinking Jewish ship.
Even if treating Israel as the country that embodies the ultimate evil in fact expresses a new and ugly incarnation of traditional anti-Semitism, which always viewed the Jews as the representative of all the world's ills, the truth is still simple, but difficult to face: An Israel that does not allow the Palestinian situation to be resolved has effectively announced its own inexorable death, via the gradual destruction of the resources of knowledge and talent that have enabled it to develop and defend itself until now. In order to save Israel, we must immediately separate from the territories and their inhabitants.
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIA
THE FRIENDS OF THIEVES
BY YOSSI SARID
You can be right but not smart, or smart and not right. Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz has not considered the third option - both wrong and stupid.
He was even quoted this week as saying that "large companies are threatening to leave the country if the law capping top executives' salaries passes." False. Why leave when it pays to stay? As far as its master America is concerned, Israel is overseas. And there's no need to be impressed by a tycoon's tears.
In Israel they have the best of both worlds: Life in the East and a living standard of the distant West - the upper thousandth percentile. And any connection to the realities of life is a connected person's connections.
They have no reason to leave and nowhere to go. A managerial bargain like Eli Yones, the CEO of Bank Mizrahi-Tefahot, holds our salary record - NIS 1.5 million per month. The likes of him can be found in other places, where it costs them less. It's not worthwhile for a wealthy Israeli to try his luck abroad and give up hothouse conditions. London isn't waiting for him either, and he's liable to find himself on a straw mat in the City playing a flute to snakes like an Indian fakir.
Overseas is here, and much more. Recently the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development published data about salary gaps in our country. Once again it turns out that no gaps are as great as Israel's, and the inequality index here is the most despicable and disgraceful of them all - we have no rivals. So why should the Steinitzes and the plutocrats complain? It's good to live in this country, it's pleasant for the small-fry sharks to splash around in our water.
Ever since some copywriter scribbled the road safety slogan: "Don't be right, be smart," the foolish insight that justice and wisdom are opposites has become entrenched here. We recommend trying to use them in the correct proportions to discover that distributive justice is a useful principle. Countries that are satisfied with fivefold gaps are far more successful than Israel with its 50-fold gaps. Research proves that the more egalitarian a country, the more achievement-oriented and progressive it is. The less egalitarian, the more backward, ignorant and corrupt.
Israel is committed to a particularly large amount of egalitarianism and solidarity. Not only does it educate, it also has a military draft. Not for long will young people agree to spill their blood for the country, in which the bloodsuckers are multiplying. It simply can't go on like this.
This week a ministerial committee was formed, and I'll already take a gamble: If in two months the government agrees to limit top executives' salaries by law or in any other effective manner, I hereby promise to read the collected writings of billionaire businesswoman Shari Arison, beginning with the philosophical chapters.
But there's no chance: Ariel Sharon and Ehud Olmert, Benjamin Netanyahu and Yuval Steinitz, Ehud Barak and Benjamin Ben-Eliezer, Avigdor Lieberman and Eli Yishai have not done anything to cap the salaries of good and helpful friends and will not. On the contrary, they will remove any restrictions. What doesn't one do for donors? Everything one doesn't do for his country.
Anyone who wants to sever the triple thread - wealth, government and corruption - must dry up the well of dirty laundry in which politicians and tycoons swim. We have already discovered who your friends are, we know who you are.
Not all of them are outlaws, lovers of bribery and pursuers of payoffs. But many - too many - are friends of thieves.
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
ONLY INSPECT!
BY EMANUELE OTTOLENGHI
U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates' secret memo on Iran to the White House, which was recently leaked to the press, has once more exposed policy differences inside the Obama administration regarding Tehran.
U.S. President Barack Obama is confident that the international community will soon reach a consensus on a fourth UN Security Council resolution imposing additional sanctions on Iran. The result is likely to be a set of weak measures - followed by many more months of diplomacy before further pressure is applied on Tehran.
Regardless of American resolve to impose crippling sanctions, it could take until at least early 2011 before further substantive measures are adopted - and even then, China and Russia may not support them.
Thus, while discussions continue on sanctions, Gates' memo offers an opportunity not just to solicit military contingency plans but also to call for an overall reassessment of the international community's approach to Iran's nuclear aspirations.
By insisting only on a suspension of uranium enrichment, the international community is wasting its time. Backed by diplomatic overtures, economic incentives and (mostly just threats of) sanctions, this key demand has been the centerpiece of the international strategy ever since Iran's clandestine nuclear program was first exposed in 2002.
The problem is that more is needed if Iran is to be stopped from getting the bomb.
Enrichment suspension assumes, plausibly, that upon obtaining a critical quantity of low-enriched uranium, Iran could quickly convert it into weapons-grade material. The recent proposal to transfer Iran's low-enriched uranium to Russia and France for further, safeguarded enrichment stems from the same logic: It sought to reduce Iran's uranium stockpile below the minimum quantity required to produce a bomb.
International diplomacy has thus insisted more on enrichment suspension and less on more stringent and intrusive inspections.
So far, the international community appears to have assumed that if Iran chooses to weaponize, it will use its declared stockpile, which is currently under International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards.
Such a step would entail Iran paying a significant diplomatic price, given that the diversion of low-enriched uranium to further enrichment would be quickly detected by the IAEA.
Iran may gain a few days' advantage, but it would eventually incur international condemnation, isolation and retribution. Worse, such action could be seen as a casus belli for either Jerusalem or Washington - precipitating a military strike before Iran completes weaponization and, crucially, before it conducts a test needed to transform its technological advances into a strategic achievement.
In fact, Iran's declared and monitored activities - including, most critically, its enrichment program - may not be where the bomb comes from.
As Washington's National Intelligence Estimate of Iran's nuclear program suggested in December 2007, the Islamic Republic was conducting two parallel programs - one was declared, for civilian purposes, and a second was concealed, with military dimensions.
Famously, the estimate postulated, perhaps wrongly, that Iran had suspended the latter in late 2003 and added, by way of explanation, that, "by 'nuclear weapons program' we mean Iran's nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work."
The U.S. intelligence community, in other words, believed that Iran's covert nuclear activities included uranium enrichment - though at the time it also assumed that Iran had suspended all such activities.
This assumption was proven wrong when, last September, Obama, alongside French President Nicolas Sarkozy and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, exposed during a joint press conference, the existence of a clandestine enrichment site near the Iranian city of Qom designed to host a mere 3,000 centrifuges.
Its limited size lends itself poorly to commercial purposes but is suitable for weapons-grade enrichment. The revelation conclusively demonstrated that Iran's parallel clandestine enrichment program continued after 2003. Yet, had the Qom plant not been exposed, Iran might have been able to eventually begin weapons-grade enrichment. It would have gone undetected by the IAEA and by an international community that was still focused on the country's overt activities and assuaged by the U.S. intelligence assessment that Iran's military program was at least momentarily idle.
The exposure of the Qom plant should have invited a radical reassessment of strategies vis-a-vis Iran. There is no guarantee that Iran has no other such plant - yet there is no mechanism in place for IAEA inspectors to look for it. Iran still refuses to ratify the IAEA Additional Protocol on nuclear safeguards - an instrument that would give inspectors unfettered access to suspicious locations - and the IAEA cannot force it upon Iran. Thus, Iran may produce weapons-grade fissile material undisturbed and out of sight, while playing diplomatic games with the international community.
The way forward does not preclude, of course, continued insistence on enrichment suspension. But even if Iran ever conceded, pressure cannot relent.
A successful strategy must include two more instruments. First, the international community must impose aggressive, stringent, sweeping and intrusive inspections on Iran by way of a Security Council resolution - one that, at a minimum, forces Iran to give IAEA inspectors access. And second, failure to comply with such a measure must be met by crippling sanctions.
Nothing else will work. And perhaps those currently, slowly laboring for a new, toothless UN resolution have already resigned themselves to this conclusion.
Emanuele Ottolenghi is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and the author of "Under a Mushroom Cloud: Europe, Iran and the Bomb" (Profile Books, 2009).
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
DIVEST - FOR ISRAEL'S SAKE
BY MATTHEW A. TAYLOR
What on earth will it take to persuade Israel to leave the occupied territories? Sometimes it seems as if nothing will work. For eight years now, the Arab Peace Initiative, which early Zionist leaders would have seen as a dream-come-true, has been collecting dust. Its terms include two states based on the pre-1967 borders, a mutually agreed-upon solution to the Palestinian refugee crisis, and normalized diplomatic relations between Israel and the entire Arab world. What once would have appeared to many to be Israel's salvation now seems impossible given Israel's entrenched colonial position in the West Bank and the settlers' political power.
Perhaps American college students can help bring Israel to its senses. This past March 18, members of the student senate at the University of California, Berkeley, voted to recommend to the university's governing board of regents that they divest their holdings in General Electric and United Technologies - two companies that have profited from Israel's occupation of Palestinian land, its demolition of Palestinian homes, its aggressive campaign in Gaza last year, and the expansion of settlements. Although Berkeley's student government is not the first in the United States to vote for a divestment recommendation of this nature, it is by far the most significant.
To be clear, the student bill does not call for a comprehensive form of divestment, and only targets companies involved in Israel's occupation and military misadventures.
Advertisement | |
Some see the divestment proposal as counter-productive. "From the standpoint of advancing the causes of peace and justice for Palestinians, the Berkeley bill is worse than useless," claimed Haaretz's Bradley Burston in a recent column. Burston dismissed the idea of selling "some pension fund shares in American companies which make military aircraft engines" because those companies will "continue to sell them to Israel, regardless of the vote."
But if history is any guide, Berkeley's divestment measure could have a positive impact. In the 1980s, Berkeley's student government was one of the first at any U.S. institution of higher learning to vote to recommend divestment from South Africa's apartheid regime. The UC system's board of regents initially resisted the divestment call, but student protests eventually led the regents to divest funds from companies with ties to South Africa. Eventually other campuses and local municipalities took similar actions.
The United States government, formerly one of the chief enablers of apartheid, followed the lead of the students, passing the Comprehensive Anti-Apartheid Act in 1986. The legislation prohibited all new U.S. trade and investment in South Africa, and stated five preconditions for lifting the sanctions, including a timeline for ending apartheid laws and the release of Nelson Mandela.
"In South Africa, we could not have achieved our freedom and just peace without the help of people around the world, who through the use of nonviolent means, such as boycotts and divestments, encouraged their governments and other corporate actors to reverse decades-long support for the Apartheid regime. Students played a leading role in that struggle," Nobel laureate Archbishop Desmond Tutu wrote in a letter to Berkeley's student government endorsing the current divestment bill.
Whether one sees Israel as an apartheid-like regime or not, certainly the aforementioned history could offer lessons in how to end the occupation. If more American college campuses and local agencies pass divestment measures, eventually members of U.S. Congress may come to see that they must listen to their pro-justice, pro-peace constituents and not only to AIPAC. If that happens, a U.S. anti-occupation act could become a possibility.
If the U.S. government were to seriously pressure Israel - for example, by conditioning $3 billion in annual aid on an end to the occupation and implementation of an equitable peace agreement - perhaps that would provide the incentive necessary to end the occupation.
Although the Berkeley student president subsequently vetoed the divestment bill, and AIPAC's lobbying of student senators successfully prevented an override vote by the narrowest of margins, the proposal's eventual passage seems inevitable. That will turn the spotlight onto the university regents, who will face protests if they don't follow the divestment recommendation.
We who promoted and rallied for this bill are a remarkably diverse coalition of Jews, Christians and Muslims; Israelis and Palestinians; and Americans of all backgrounds. Prominent Jewish supporters included Ofra Ben Artzi, sister-in-law of Prime Minister Netanyahu, and Hedy Epstein, an 85-year-old Holocaust survivor.
We Jews who support the divestment bill are fed up with Israel's violations of Palestinian human rights. We are unwilling to wait for political pressure to get Israel out of the territories to spring from the head of Zeus. And we believe that this move is in the best interests of the Israeli and Palestinian people.
The consequences to Israel of not ending the occupation could not be clearer. "If this bloc of millions of Palestinians cannot vote [in Israeli elections], that will be an apartheid state," said none other than Defense Minister Ehud Barak, in his address to the Herzliya National Security Conference this past winter.
Israel must choose: End the occupation or face the unraveling of the militarily enforced Jewish-majority state. The selective divestment approach that Berkeley students advocate will help build the political pressure to force Israel to make this choice.
Matthew A. Taylor (http://matthewtaylor.net) is a UC Berkeley Peace and Conflict Studies student, co-founder of PeacePower magazine, and author of "The Road to Nonviolent Coexistence in Palestine/Israel," a chapter in the book "Nonviolent Coexistence."
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
SHOULD CLEGG BECOME FOREIGN MINISTER
BY DAN KOSKY
The United Kingdom's most unpredictable election in a generation, scheduled for May 6, is set to reshape the country's political map, with the perennial "also-rans" - the Liberal Democrats - poised to break the Labor and Conservative monopoly on power. It seems likely that no party will win an overall majority in the vote, and consequently, the Liberal Democrats, aided by the remarkable and sudden popularity of leader Nick Clegg, will play kingmaker to either of the two larger parties. In handing over the keys to power, the Liberal Democrats will exact a political price, one that may profoundly influence the country's foreign policy and have worrying implications for the U.K.'s relationship with Israel.
On some issues, such as the economy, the Liberal Democrats are typically centrist, sitting somewhere between Labor and the Tories. However, on other matters, such as electoral reform, the environment and particularly foreign policy, they have drawn a line in the sand, differentiating themselves sharply from their rivals. Liberal Democrats proudly boast, for example, that they alone, among the big parties, opposed the war in Iraq. Similarly, Clegg's is a lone voice in opposing renewal of the U.K.'s Trident nuclear defense program, branding it an outdated Cold War measure. Ominously, his foreign policy credo is to move away from an "over-reliance on the White House," toward a closer working relationship with Europe.
Weaning the U.K. off its "slavish" special relationship with the United States, and bringing it into line with Europe would likely involve a refusal to support further U.S. military campaigns, as well as opposition to Washington's perceived "soft" treatment of Israel. As Clegg emphasized in a press conference last week, "we cannot leave it to the United States to exert influence in the Middle East."
Some have perhaps unfairly identified the Liberal Democrat position on Israel with the well-publicized and repugnant views of former party spokeswoman Jenny Tonge. She expressed empathy with Palestinian suicide bombers in 2004, and recently suggested that the Israel Defense Forces be investigated for stealing organs while carrying out relief work in Haiti. Tonge was duly removed as a spokeswoman and although some argued that this did not go far enough, most party activists appear perturbed and embarrassed by her virulent anti-Israel tone. It should also be noted that an active, albeit small, Friends of Israel faction exists within the party and that the Liberal Democrats are fielding a number of Israel-friendly candidates in the upcoming election.
Nonetheless, the specter of Nick Clegg helping to shape government positions on Israel is worrying. His views are a hostile departure from those of Conservative leader David Cameron and incumbent Prime Minister Gordon Brown. While Brown and Cameron were careful to highlight Israel's legitimate security concerns during Operation Cast Lead in Gaza, Clegg forcefully proposed that the U.K. lead a European Union-wide arms embargo on Israel, something that would go a long way toward removing the country's means of self-defense. The Liberal Democrat demand to straitjacket Israel's military continues today, until the blockade of Gaza is lifted.
A former EU bureaucrat himself, Clegg has also urged the union to use its economic muscle to apply pressure on Israel. Labor and Conservative leaders have meticulously distanced themselves from Israel boycott initiatives. Yet the Liberal Democrats recently endorsed the U.K.-based Palestine Solidarity Campaign pledge "that the EU should suspend existing trade agreements" with Israel. Adding insult to injury, Clegg smugly suggests that bullying Israel through boycotts and embargoes would force a change in Gaza policy, which he insists would ultimately benefit "the country's long-term interest."
Although Clegg's popularity and public recognition have soared over the past few weeks, he is not the only barometer of his party's position. In December 2009, an overwhelming 51 of the 63 Liberal Democrat MPs, including Foreign Affairs spokesman Ed Davey, sponsored a motion in the House of Commons that pledged to "oppose any legislation to restrict the power of U.K. courts" over universal jurisdiction. This came in direct opposition to Labor and Conservative support to amend the absurd loophole in the law that had allowed pro-Palestinian plaintiffs to successfully apply to a British court last year for a warrant for Tzipi Livni's arrest. One can only assume that the prospect of Livni being taken into custody is perfectly palatable to the majority of Liberal Democrat MPs.
Of course, the realities of government can ensure that election promises do not always translate into action. Yet, the prospect of the Liberal Democrats in senior office is a worrying one for Israel. A party that advocates policies such as an arms embargo on the Jewish state will likely find little sympathy among Israel's leadership.
Party leader Clegg recently said during a live televised debate that British relations with America "should not be a one-way street." But, should he be left to drive foreign policy, Clegg could lead Israel-U.K. relations toward a dead end.
Dan Kosky is a writer and communications professional based in Tel Aviv.
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
CHEAP THRILLS
BY JILL JACOBS
I recently stumbled across an English-language Web ad for an organization based in Gush Etzion that offers a two-hour "action-packed, hands-on" session in which tourists can learn to shoot an M16 or a handgun with "Israeli anti-terror experts." Visitors bored with exploring their religious heritage, hiking through gorgeous areas or grappling with the complicated politics of this country can now get cheap thrills by pretending to shoot Palestinians.
I shouldn't be surprised. For years, summer programs for American Jewish teens in Israel have featured a Gadna experience - i.e., a simulated boot-camp program that is advertised in the following way on one Web site catering to teens:
"Want to experience what your Israeli peers will go through when they turn 18?"
"Wonder what it is like to be in the Israeli army?"
"Want to have a cool and fun time?"
Another Israeli company invites children to celebrate their birthdays and b'nai mitzvah by playing paintball. Lest one think this is some innocuous game, the firm's English-language Web site specifies that players may choose among a number of scenarios, including "hostage rescue" and "sniper takedown." Pictures of a recent tournament show students from yeshivas that cater to Diaspora youth posing with guns at an abandoned army base. Meanwhile, tourists of all ages proudly return from Israel wearing their new Israel Defense Forces T-shirts, hats and (of course) skullcaps decorated with the IDF insignia.
Diaspora Jews have long looked to Israel for the vicarious fulfillment of our tough-guy fantasies. As the firm offering anti-terror tourism puts it: "We combine together the values of Zionism with the excitement and enjoyment of shooting." And so we drool over the sexy soldiers. They're hot! They're buff! They're armed! They're New Jews! Hearing about another death-defying mission performed by the IDF helps us to feel a bit less like impotent exiles.
In the United States, Jewish children generally do not play "Iraq war" or wear army T-shirts to school. And yet, when these same children visit Israel as teenagers or young adults, their parents and educators sometimes encourage military play.
I know that my daughter, now just a baby, will eventually ask me why soldiers in Israel carry rifles through the streets. I don't plan to describe war as "a cool and fun time." Nor will I allow her to dress up as a soldier for Purim, or to have her bat-mitzvah party at a paintball range. I will let her know that armies are sometimes necessary, and that 18-year-olds sometimes have to go to war. And I will tell her that this reality causes me great pain. Since my husband and I plan to raise her in the U.S. with dual American-Israeli citizenship, she will ultimately make her own decision about whether to serve in the IDF - or in the U.S. military, for that matter. If she does choose to serve, I hope the decision will emerge from inner struggle and a sense of duty, and not from a romantic idealization of soldiers or weapons.
Reasonable people may disagree on the specifics of the security measures Israels chooses to take, on the preferred outcome of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and on the question of whether and when the United States or Israel should allow civilians to carry guns. But all these conversations must begin with this assumption: An ideal world is a peaceful world.
Israeli and American Jews often blame Palestinians for encouraging their own children to aspire to violence. "Their children play with guns," we say. "Their cartoon characters become suicide bombers." "Their music videos teach rock-throwing." These complaints are justified; teaching children to look up to militants only exacerbates the conflict.
But we cannot condemn the behavior of others without taking an honest look at our own actions. When we advertise shooting practice as a fun family activity, when we teach teenagers that life in the military is "cool and fun," and when we let our children wear IDF skullcaps to Shabbat services - we too educate another generation to rationalize and glorify violence. If we let ourselves become lighthearted about guns and the military, we lose the sense of revulsion that would motivate us to lessen the need for them.
There is no question that Jewish law permits war in some cases. But this does not allow for the transformation of weapons into objects of worship. The Talmud forbids bringing implements of war into a beit midrash (house of study). In a modern teshuvah (legal opinion) on the permissibility of carrying guns into a synagogue, the late Israeli Rabbi Eliezer Waldenberg noted the dissonance inherent in such an action. While prayer seeks to lengthen life, he taught, weapons shorten life. As such, he ruled that one must do everything possible to avoid holding a weapon while praying (Tzitz Eliezer 10:18).
Waldenberg's warning reminds us that weapons, even when necessary, always carry the whiff of death. Those of us who need to carry guns should do so with sadness, humility and dignity. The rest of us should view weapons as a burden, not as something to be taken lightly. If we teach our children not to play with fire, maybe they will be less likely to get burned.
Rabbi Jill Jacobs is the author of "There Shall Be No Needy: Pursuing Social Justice Through Jewish Law and Tradition" (Jewish Lights, 2009). She is spending the current academic year as a Jerusalem Fellow at the Mandel Institute in Jerusalem.
***************************************
HAARETZ
EDITORIAL
AN EVIL WIND
BY SEFI RACHLEVSKY
Three years before Yitzhak Rabin's assassination, the prayer for the safety of the state was altered. To the secular public, this was seen as "merely" a change of words, but the senior rabbis who instructed their followers to stop praying for the safety of the state's leaders knew that this was an earthquake in terms of their beliefs. The consequences were far-reaching.
On Independence Day, members of the right-wing organization Im Tirtzu distributed an amended text for the Yizkor memorial prayer in synagogues. They added a directive to remember (with shame) those who are "flesh of our flesh" and who demonstrate against "war crimes." Members of the movement also brought "material" for the singer Amir Benayun, who wrote an anthem of hatred about the traitors who stick a knife in their backs. The song is about "my bro" who "kills me."
An evil wind is blowing across the land. As has happened in many cases in history, the street hooligans sense they have support from above. Twenty-six years ago, the lens of photographer Alex Levac caught two Palestinians getting off a bus they had hijacked. The reports said they had been killed. The country was outraged. How were they killed? It is hard to believe today but, in addition to steps against the newspaper Hadashot, which ignored the censor, there was a real investigation into the affair. The event was so important that the Shin Bet security service falsely accused Maj. Gen. Yitzhak Mordechai of being responsible for their deaths.
The affair in which (Haaretz correspondent) Uri Blau and Anat Kamm tried to warn the public is, on the face of it, much more serious. We are not talking about terrorists who carried out an attack. Twenty-six years ago, on Bus 300, it was not a case of permission to kill innocents when it was possible to carry out an arrest. It is possible that the army and Shin Bet have answers, but the campaign is not against the supposed crime but against the warning. That is how far Israel has gone. After all, it is clear that according to the law, an order that is illegal prima facie must not be carried out, and it is obligatory to expose it.
Benjamin Netanyahu has been a dominant figure in the country's leadership three times. First, as head of the opposition, the demonstrators whom he led chanted: "We'll get rid of Rabin with blood and fire." Those who chanted the slogans and saw themselves as emissaries of the Likud youth shouted outside Leah and Yitzhak Rabin's home "We'll hang you like Ceausescu and Mussolini were hanged." This came at a time when it was deemed advantageous to undermine the regime from the street with acts like disconnecting Rabin's microphone and even ignoring warnings from the Shin Bet head about cooperating with extremists or encouraging the lack of denunciations of the Zo Artzeinu revolt, for which Moshe Feiglin was convicted.
During the second period, as prime minister, the leader who is "good for the Jews" would vow in the name of "the rock of our existence." And he whispered in the ear of Rabbi Kaduri that "the left has forgotten what it is to be Jewish," while associations of extremist American millionaires who supported his campaigns donated money to build in Jerusalem's Arab neighborhoods like Ras al-Amud.
Now it is the third period of Netanyahu's leadership, and it seems the same tune is back. The opposition is once again persecuted as "traitors to the people" and many are enthusiastic about incitement. Once again millionaires are funding intrusions into Arab neighborhoods, and now this is accompanied by evicting 1948 refugees from their homes and shattering the historical logic of compromising with the achievements of the War of Independence.
The Watergate affair, in which the regime lost hold of its mission, taught the entire world - follow the money. And indeed, those American right-wing religious messianic groups - whose vision includes the Jews ruling over Jerusalem so as to be destroyed in the war of Gog and Magog and make it possible, according to the messianic scenario, for Jesus' return - apparently help fund these activities. This happens from Im Tirtzu to the settlements in the Arab neighborhoods of Jerusalem, and Netanyahu's surroundings, too.
This dance of internal shattering is taking place while Israel apparently faces a clash in the future with the Iranian messianic power. We have learned from Jewish and general history that in clashes of this kind, when the clash is accompanied by internal terror on the part of Sicarii - the extremist Jewish terrorist group under the Romans - who seek out bogus traitors, the external clash ends in an apocalypse. To meet the test, the public needs lucidity and every bit of support, both external and internal.
When the fire of the bramble bush is pointed inward, an external flame burns up the temples of the state. A movement toward proximity talks on the part of Netanyahu is not sufficient. A change in the coalition is not the main thing. Nor is denunciation of "the Feiglins" as a messianic sect. What is required is understanding that the apocalyptical messianic spirit, be its source Jewish, Christian or Islamic, is an existential threat to Israel and regional peace.
With this in mind, Netanyahu must radically change his attitude on democracy and the messianic nature of the territories. He must concentrate on a determined struggle against messianism, both internal and external, while genuinely cooperating and compromising with the pragmatic forces in the region.
If that other fire - the fire of the Dybbuk - is not removed from the land along with those who instigate, feed and fund it, the land will be annihilated. The Zionist civilization that began with "Im Tirtzu" - referring to Herzl's declaration "If you will it, it is no dream" - will reach its end with a completely different "Im Tirtzu."
***************************************
******************************************************************************************THE NEW YORK TIMES
EDITORIAL
THE COST OF DELAY
When the European Union and the International Monetary Fund first talked about a $60 billion rescue for Greece it looked as though that might be enough to calm Europe's panicky markets. Then Germany dragged its feet, and investors raced to dump Greek bonds and bonds from the financially troubled Portugal and Spain.
Now the managing director of the I.M.F., Dominique Strauss-Kahn, says that as much $160 billion will be needed over three years to cover Greece's debts and replace private financing that has become prohibitively expensive. Investors took comfort especially after the German government which may or may not have learned its lesson said that it hoped a rescue would be in place by the weekend and opposition lawmakers agreed to fast track debate on Germany's $11 billion contribution this year.
Greece needs money by May 19 when about $12 billion worth of government bonds come due. And if Europe's politicians balk again, the situation could spin out of control fast. The crisis could spread beyond Greece, Spain and Portugal and cripple financial institutions in Germany, which own $36 billion worth of Greek debt, and France, which own $54 billion. This isn't a question of charity. It is one of Europe's self-preservation.
The Greek government, the European Union and the International Monetary Fund must all work to convince investors that are prepared to do what is needed to keep the country afloat and current on its debt. The $160 billion mentioned by Mr. Strauss-Kahn may do the trick. And it comes with very tough conditions attached. As part of the deal, the I.M.F. and European Union are pressing Greece to cut $26 billion from its budget almost 10 percent of G.D.P. by reducing military spending, raising value added taxes, cutting pension benefits and slashing public sector bonus payments.
Some economists believe that Greece may still have to restructure its $360 billion in public debt agreeing on a plan with its creditors to reduce the principal or interest rates or extend its payouts over several more years. Greece would still need large-scale assistance while it negotiated terms and to be able to pay its bills while it recovered access to private capital markets.
Even shoring up Greece may not be enough to stave off a financial crisis in Europe's other weak economies. Portugal, Spain and Ireland are all in deep fiscal messes. Instead of waiting for things to get out of control there, the European Union and the I.M.F. should move quickly to put together a large and credible financial package economists have mentioned up to $1 trillion and be prepared to release it quickly if needed. Europe's battered financial markets, and its battered credibility, cannot afford many more weeks like the past one.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
STOPPING ARIZONA
A fight is brewing over Arizona's new law that turns all of the state's Latinos, even legal immigrants and citizens, into criminal suspects. And this is not a local fight. The poison is spreading; there is talk in Texas of passing a version of the Arizona statute.
President Obama has called the law "misguided" and promised to keep an eye on it. But when racial separation finds a foothold in any of the 50 states, the president needs to do more than mildly criticize. He should act. Here's a partial but urgent to-do list:
DEFEND CIVIL RIGHTS The Justice Department needs to challenge this law forcefully in court. The statute requires police officers to stop and question anyone who looks like an illegal immigrant. Gov. Jan Brewer signed the law but says she doesn't know what an illegal immigrant looks like, leaving that to others who think they do.
The Justice Department knows what kinds of abuse that invites. It is already investigating the sheriff of Maricopa County, Joe Arpaio, who raids Hispanic neighborhoods in and around Phoenix. His deputies demand people's papers based on the shirts and boots they wear.
Federal law requires noncitizens to carry documents but does not empower police officers to stop anyone they choose and demand to see papers. Arizona's attempt to get around that by defining the act of standing on its soil without papers as a criminal act is repellent.
STOP ARIZONA COLD Arizona's scheme will rely on federal databases to determine immigration status. It will also need the cooperation of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, or ICE, in accepting detainees. ICE says its priorities are dangerous criminals and fugitives, not the peaceful workers and families who are overwhelmingly the targets of the new law. In that case, ICE will deny Arizona authorities data, cooperation and scarce resources.
TAKE BACK IMMIGRATION POLICY The Supreme Court has consistently ruled that states cannot make their own immigration laws. The Arizona debacle gives the Obama administration another chance to make it clear that the nation's immigration policy cannot be left to a ragged patchwork of state and local laws.
As a presidential candidate, Mr. Obama praised a federal court's decision striking down a law in Hazleton, Pa., that made it illegal to hire or rent housing to undocumented immigrants. To start forcefully asserting the central federal role in immigration, the administration should rescind a once-secret 2002 memo from President George W. Bush's attorney general, John Ashcroft, that declared that state and local police had "inherent authority" to make immigration arrests. It should have done that long ago. It should also weigh in against another reckless Arizona law, now before the Supreme Court, that revokes the business licenses of employers who knowingly hire illegal immigrants.
The administration's actions elsewhere have sent the wrong message. Janet Napolitano once vetoed extremist immigration-enforcement bills as Arizona's governor, but as the homeland security secretary she defends the use of state and local police as "force multipliers." Ms. Napolitano needs to end dangerous experiments like the 287(g) program and Secure Communities, which hand over vital federal duties to untrained, unsupervised local deputies, openly enabling racial-profiling and undermining community policing and public safety.
These steps are no substitute for immigration reform, the future of which seems pretty murky after Mr. Obama started gingerly backing away this week. But the federal government must react forcefully to the Arizona statute. Is our core belief still the welcome and assimilation of newcomers? Arizona has given one answer. It's time for Mr. Obama to give the other.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
A TOXIC ANGER
When he arrived in Albany almost eight years ago, State Senator Kevin Parker was known as the intelligent and charming Brooklyn Democrat with a bright future. Now he is known as the man with frightening rages that could erupt at any time and on almost any subject.
A few years ago, he was charged with punching a traffic enforcement agent. There have been complaints that he menaced his staff and even fellow senators. He is presently fighting charges of assaulting a news photographer from The New York Post.
This week, Mr. Parker's outburst began at a confirmation hearing where Senator John DeFrancisco, a white Republican from near Syracuse, was questioning an African-American nominee to the state power authority. When Mr. DeFrancisco said, ham-handedly, that black people are not the only ones to suffer discrimination, Mr. Parker, who is black, erupted. The next day on a radio show, Senator Parker accused Senate Republicans, including Mr. DeFrancisco, of being white supremacists.
Republicans were understandably outraged. Dean Skelos, the Senate Republican leader, said Mr. Parker's remarks had "gone over the line of decency" and demanded that the Democratic leaders take action. The Democratic response was inadequate. John Sampson, the Senate Democratic leader, said he wanted an end to "finger-pointing, name-calling and heated rhetoric" and called on "members in both parties" to get back to work.
Clearly, the Democratic leadership in the State Senate needs to do more than blame everybody for one member's ill behavior. Mr. Parker should be censured, and voters in central Brooklyn should start recruiting a qualified replacement.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
CROSS IN THE DESERT
A badly divided Supreme Court has overturned a good ruling against a cross that sits on federal land. The opinions did not provide much guidance but, over all, are likely to encourage those who want to entangle government and religion.
In 1934, private citizens put a cross on federally owned land in what is now the Mojave National Preserve in California, to honor Americans who died in World War I. A park visitor sued in 2001, and a federal judge ruled that the cross violated the First Amendment's establishment clause because it conveyed "a message of endorsement of religion."
When the cross was challenged, Congress passed a law that transferred the land under it to the Veterans of Foreign Wars, who would maintain it. The same park visitor challenged the land transfer. A trial court ruled that it was invalid because it was simply an attempt by the government to keep the cross. The United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, in San Francisco, agreed.
The Supreme Court reversed that, 5-to-4, in a splintered set of opinions by six separate justices. Justice Anthony Kennedy, in a plurality opinion for himself and two others, said that the district court had erred when it blocked the land transfer because it had failed to properly weigh the factors Congress had to take into account when it passed the law. He directed the lower court to reconsider the question. Because of the way the other justices lined up in their separate opinions, Justice Kennedy's opinion has the force of law on this point.
Justice Kennedy wrote that the cross was "not merely a reaffirmation of Christian beliefs." He said, it "evokes thousands of small crosses in foreign fields marking the graves of Americans who fell in battles, battles whose tragedies would be compounded if the fallen are forgotten."
A cross is not a generic memorial to Americans who die in battle something Jewish, Muslim, and atheist soldiers could attest to. Justice John Paul Stevens, in dissent, had it right when he pointed out that it is a uniquely Christian symbol with a "deeply significant meaning for those who adhere to the Christian faith."
The establishment clause prevents the government from endorsing any particular religion. Congress violated that basic principle in this situation. It should not have been a difficult case.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
AMERICAN POWER ACT
BY DAVID BROOKS
In 1860, Samuel Curtis, a Republican congressman of Iowa, sponsored a bill to create a transcontinental railroad. The debate over that public-private partnership was long and messy. Democrats said the proposal was unconstitutional. Others rightly argued that it meant huge giveaways to the rich.
But the railroad effort, backed by Abraham Lincoln, swept forward. "Nations are never stationary," Representative James Campbell told the House. "They advance or recede. We cannot remain inactive ... without the loss of trade, of commerce, and power."
After the legislation was approved in 1862, there were continual setbacks. The Union Pacific Railroad languished. Scandals mounted. Yet despite it all, the final spike was hammered into place at Promontory Point, Utah, in 1869, linking the nation and heralding a new burst of prosperity.
When you read that history, you're reminded that large efforts are generally plagued by stupidity, error and corruption. But by the sheer act of stumbling forward, it's possible, sometimes, to achieve important things.
Energy innovation is the railroad legislation of today. This country is studded with venture capitalists, scientists, corporate executives and environmental activists atremble over the great opportunities they see ahead. The energy revolution is a material project that arouses moral fervor exactly the sort of enterprise at which Americans excel.
As with all causes of this sort, the righteousness sometimes runs ahead of the reality. When you actually look at the details of global warming legislation, you run into myriad questions. Is cap-and-trade really the most appropriate policy tool to reduce carbon emissions? Do the benefits of the most ambitious global warming bills really outweigh the costs? I strongly recommend two essays by Jim Manzi "Conservatives, Climate Change, and the Carbon Tax" from The New Atlantis and "Dunce Cap-and-Trade" from National Review in which he presents data suggesting they do not.
Nonetheless, the vision is certainly right. To remain the world's pre-eminent nation, the U.S. is going to have to develop energy sources that are plentiful, clean and don't enrich the worst people on earth. That means in the short term, the U.S. has to unleash the tens of billions of dollars of potential energy investments now being pent up by uncertainty and regulatory hurdles. To make a difference in the long term, the U.S. is going to have to invest more and differently in energy research and development.
Technology companies spend 5 percent to 15 percent of revenue on research and development. Energy companies, on the other hand, spend only one-quarter of 1 percent. The federal government spends $30 billion on health research, but only $3 billion on clean energy research.
It's clearly going to take legislative action to catalyze private investment and to increase federal research to where it should be about $25 billion a year, according to Mark Muro of the Brookings Institution. It's going to take some equivalent of the Pacific Railroad Acts to kick this into gear.
The best vehicle now is the American Power Act, drawn up by John Kerry, Joe Lieberman and Lindsey Graham. The bill, like all politically plausible bills these days, is larded with special-interest provisions and public giveaways to defuse opposition and win votes. But it does perform a few essential tasks. To boost innovation, it raises the price on carbon and devotes some of that money (though not nearly enough) to research and development.
In addition, it establishes a predictable price for carbon. Lew Hay, the chief executive of the power provider FPL Group, e-mailed me on Thursday to say that if he can get that certainty on the carbon price and if there can be a renewable energy standard to create a market for carbon-free energy, his company could boost investments right away:
"Regarding wind energy investment at our NextEra Energy Resources subsidiary, we think we might invest about $1.5 billion to $2 billion more per year. Regarding solar, we think NextEra Energy Resources might invest $500 million or more per year outside of Florida and that our Florida Power & Light subsidiary might invest about $1 billion a year inside Florida." Last but not least, he wrote, a new law would be a "huge factor" in deciding whether to move forward with new nuclear units.
Similarly, David Crane, the C.E.O. of NRG Energy, wrote that with a new law, his company could double the number of clean energy projects, from 17 to 36; it could triple the megawatts of clean generating capacity it is planning to add; it could produce three times as much nuclear power and 40 times as much coal with carbon capture and sequestration.
You get the sense that this country is straining against the leash, eager for a new wave of energy development. There will be excess, stupidity and greed along the way. But it would be simply amazing if, through some set of narrow political gamesmanship, Washington continued to stand in the way of all this.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
GUILT AND DEATH, NORTH AND SOUTH
BY PHAN THANH HAO
Hanoi, Vietnam
AT noon on April 30, 1975, when news that the liberation forces had captured Saigon spread to the North, we thought: "The war has ended. Now happiness will immediately arrive." All of us, the youth volunteers of Hanoi who were digging a big lake in the suburbs, were allowed to go home, and the next day was May Day, a holiday.
I was so thrilled to head home and enjoy my afternoon off. National flags were flying everywhere. Young people cheered and chanted, "Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh! Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh!"
But then the image of a friend who had been in the North Vietnamese special forces appeared in my mind. He had been among 1,000 soldiers who had gone out to fight together, and one of only four who returned. Their mission had been to ambush dangerous Saigonese agents and sometimes Americans.
Soon after his return, he and I sat together on a pile of straw, and he told me a war story. He and his group had happened upon some Americans, who started shooting. My friend and his comrades had been ordered to avoid capture, even at the cost of their lives, so they tried to escape. The Americans were drunk, but chased after them. When one American was about to jump on one of our soldiers, my friend stabbed the man from behind and he fell, mortally wounded.
My friend turned him over on the ground and saw his young and handsome face. "Mama," the man said before dying the same word so many of our own soldiers uttered before they died. My friend's heart tightened and, from then on, he said, he could never forget the American's cry.
No one could understand why my friend later decided to return to battle. I'm told that he was killed somewhere in the jungle. Only years afterward did I come to believe that after hearing the plea of the dying American, he had felt guilty about living. But why did I think of him that day, at that moment, among the cheers?
Phan Thanh Hao is a poet and translator.
***************************************
THE NEW YORK TIMES
SAIGON'S FALL, 35 YEARS LATER
BY LINH DINH
Philadelphia
DEPENDING on which side you were on, Saigon either fell on April 30, 1975, or it was liberated. Inside Vietnam, the day is marked as Liberation Day but outside, among the Vietnamese refugees, it is called Deep Resentment Day. (The resentment is not just over losing a war, but also a country.)
On April 21, 1975, I was 11 and living in Saigon. I turned on the television and saw our president, Nguyen Van Thieu. He had a high forehead, a sign of intelligence, and long ears, indicating longevity. He had a round face with a well-defined jaw the face of a leader unlike his main rival, Nguyen Cao Ky, who resembled a cricket with a mustache. Thieu said, "At the time of the peace agreement the United States agreed to replace equipment on a one-by-one basis, but the United States did not keep its word. Is an American's word reliable these days?"
Growing up in Saigon, I did not witness the war, only its apparatus: tanks, jeeps, jets. I often heard the rhythmic, out-of-breath phuoc phuoc phuoc of chopper blades rotating overhead. As it did for many Americans, the war came to me mainly through the news media. Open a newspaper and you would see Vietcong corpses lying in disarray. Turn on the radio and you could hear how our side was winning. Saigon theaters even showed American movies of World War II. Saigonese could sit in air-conditioning and watch expensively staged war scenes.
We considered the VC little more than a nightmare, a rumor, a bogeyman for scaring children. Once, in Saigon's Phu Lam neighborhood, I saw four blindfolded men standing on a military truck, but there was no way to tell if they were really VC. If someone took a bad photo, you said, "You look just like a VC!" Only after April 30, 1975, did Saigonese realize there were plenty of VC among them.
Before the government fell, my father arranged for me and my brother to flee the country with a Chinese family. He sent his secretary along to take care of us. This secretary was 22, Chinese, with a very short temper, her face round and puffy. Sister Ha, as I called her, would later become my stepmother.
Before I left, my father gave me $2,000, saying, "Two thousand bucks should last you a year." American bills, I noticed, were less colorful than Vietnamese ones, though longer and crisper. After sewing the money into the hem of my blue shorts, made of rayon and extremely hot, my grandmother advised, "Whatever you do, don't take these shorts off."
Before boarding the plane, I stayed at an American compound for four days. On the evening of April 27, I got on a C-130 to fly to Guam. Sitting next to Sister Ha, I watched a kid eat raw instant noodles. When the plane landed, it was pitch dark. No one knew a thing about Guam; we knew only that we had left Vietnam behind.
Linh Dinh is the author of the forthcoming novel "Love Like Hate."
THE NEW YORK TIMES
THE EURO TRAP
BY PAUL KRUGMAN
Not that long ago, European economists used to mock their American counterparts for having questioned the wisdom of Europe's march to monetary union. "On the whole," declared an article published just this past January, "the euro has, thus far, gone much better than many U.S. economists had predicted."
Oops. The article summarized the euro-skeptics' views as having been: "It can't happen, it's a bad idea, it won't last." Well, it did happen, but right now it does seem to have been a bad idea for exactly the reasons the skeptics cited. And as for whether it will last suddenly, that's looking like an open question.
To understand the euro-mess and its lessons for the rest of us you need to see past the headlines. Right now everyone is focused on public debt, which can make it seem as if this is a simple story of governments that couldn't control their spending. But that's only part of the story for Greece, much less for Portugal, and not at all the story for Spain.
The fact is that three years ago none of the countries now in or near crisis seemed to be in deep fiscal trouble. Even Greece's 2007 budget deficit was no higher, as a share of G.D.P., than the deficits the United States ran in the mid-1980s (morning in America!), while Spain actually ran a surplus. And all of the countries were attracting large inflows of foreign capital, largely because markets believed that membership in the euro zone made Greek, Portuguese and Spanish bonds safe investments.
Then came the global financial crisis. Those inflows of capital dried up; revenues plunged and deficits soared; and membership in the euro, which had encouraged markets to love the crisis countries not wisely but too well, turned into a trap.
What's the nature of the trap? During the years of easy money, wages and prices in the crisis countries rose
much faster than in the rest of Europe. Now that the money is no longer rolling in, those countries need to get
costs back in line.
But that's a much harder thing to do now than it was when each European nation had its own currency. Back then, costs could be brought in line by adjusting exchange rates e.g., Greece could cut its wages relative to German wages simply by reducing the value of the drachma in terms of Deutsche marks. Now that Greece and Germany share the same currency, however, the only way to reduce Greek relative costs is through some combination of German inflation and Greek deflation. And since Germany won't accept inflation, deflation it is.
The problem is that deflation falling wages and prices is always and everywhere a deeply painful process. It invariably involves a prolonged slump with high unemployment. And it also aggravates debt problems, both public and private, because incomes fall while the debt burden doesn't.
Hence the crisis. Greece's fiscal woes would be serious but probably manageable if the Greek economy's prospects for the next few years looked even moderately favorable. But they don't. Earlier this week, when it downgraded Greek debt, Standard & Poor's suggested that the euro value of Greek G.D.P. may not return to its 2008 level until 2017, meaning that Greece has no hope of growing out of its troubles.
All this is exactly what the euro-skeptics feared. Giving up the ability to adjust exchange rates, they warned, would invite future crises. And it has.
So what will happen to the euro? Until recently, most analysts, myself included, considered a euro breakup basically impossible, since any government that even hinted that it was considering leaving the euro would be inviting a catastrophic run on its banks. But if the crisis countries are forced into default, they'll probably face severe bank runs anyway, forcing them into emergency measures like temporary restrictions on bank withdrawals. This would open the door to euro exit.
So is the euro itself in danger? In a word, yes. If European leaders don't start acting much more forcefully, providing Greece with enough help to avoid the worst, a chain reaction that starts with a Greek default and ends up wreaking much wider havoc looks all too possible.
Meanwhile, what are the lessons for the rest of us?
The deficit hawks are already trying to appropriate the European crisis, presenting it as an object lesson in the evils of government red ink. What the crisis really demonstrates, however, is the dangers of putting yourself in a policy straitjacket. When they joined the euro, the governments of Greece, Portugal and Spain denied themselves the ability to do some bad things, like printing too much money; but they also denied themselves the ability to respond flexibly to events.
And when crisis strikes, governments need to be able to act. That's what the architects of the euro forgot and the rest of us need to remember.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
Our view on money in politics: Make CEOs and union chiefs stand behind political spots
Since 2002, candidates have had to take personal responsibility for their political commercials, tacking an "I approved this message" disclaimer on the end of their TV and radio spots.
This hasn't eliminated negative advertising, but at least voters now know who's responsible. If Mr. Nice Guy is running scurrilous attack ads, viewers can draw their own conclusions about his tactics and character. This kind of transparency helps keep political campaigns fair and voters informed.
Now it's time to apply the same requirement to corporations, labor unions and non-profit advocacy groups, which, thanks to the Supreme Court, recently won the right to spend freely to back or attack individual candidates. Advocacy groups should have to disclose their top funders something that would let voters know, for example, that the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity was underwritten by the coal industry, Citizens for Better Medicare by drug companies, and the Center for Consumer Freedom by restaurants and food companies.
These disclaimers, contained in the so-called Disclose Act introduced in Congress on Thursday, won't come anywhere close to ending the overwhelming and corrupting influence of money in American politics. But the measure is a useful way to give voters the same kind of information they already have about the candidates.
New rules became necessary in the wake of January's Supreme Court decision that opened the way for a huge flood of money into elections, starting with this year's congressional races. The court's conclusion that corporations have essentially the same free speech rights as individuals has been roundly attacked, most prominently by President Obama. Like it or hate it, though, it's the law. The challenge for Congress is to limit the damage while still complying with the court's view of the Constitution.
The court left disclosure and disclaimer requirements intact, so the proposal that all political ads come with a name attached whether it's a corporate CEO, a labor union boss or the head of an advocacy group would seem to do that. Opponents contend this would chill free speech because organizations might fear a backlash from members, shareholders or the public. The logic here is mystifying. Why should organizations be able to hide their views even while spending substantial sums to publicly advocate them?
An even odder criticism is that current restrictions against federal contractors making political contributions sustained by the courts for fear of corruption should not extend to paying for political ads. How is buying expensive TV commercials that help a candidate or attack his foe not just as potentially corrupting as a direct contribution? Corporations have free speech rights, but they have no right to the public's money free of strings.
The broader answer to the malignant influence of money on politics is for Congress to institute a voluntary system of public financing. In the meantime, requiring deep-pocketed sponsors to disclose who they are would at least make the process more transparent. Congress would do well to approve the change in time for this fall's onslaught of campaign ads.
***************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
OPPOSING VIEW ON MONEY IN POLITICS: 'A CYNICAL PARTISAN PLOY'
BY JOHN SAMPLES
Americans should have no illusions about the Disclose Act: It's on the congressional docket because the Democratic leadership fears electoral disaster in November. In particular, they fear the Citizens United decision will empower businesses and conservative groups to spend money persuading voters to throw the rascals out.
Citizens United said corporations, labor unions and political groups could urge Americans to vote for or against candidates for federal office. The Supreme Court also said Congress could require disclosure of the money supporting such speech. Mandating disclosure can provide voters with information they want. It can also go too far and impose costs on speakers that chill speech.
Any group funding an ad that advocates the election or defeat of a candidate must already disclose its donations. This bill requires far more. Business leaders and select others must appear on camera and endorse their ad. In fact, so much of an ad will be taken up with mandatory speech there will be little time for material political comment.
These new requirements will expose more donors to retribution from incumbent politicians. The sponsors of the bill may also hope that forcing disclosure will lead to a backlash by customers or shareholders against businesses or groups. If so, the leaders of the businesses or groups in question may decide to forgo the costs of speaking out and remain silent. In other words, the authors of Disclose apparently hope to chill the speech of their political opponents.
Such silence would be a shame. Spending money to express a political view harms no one. Voters rightly have the power (and responsibility) to accept or reject what they hear. But Congress should not decide for the voters what speech might be heard, even when the way to discourage debate is "only disclosure."
Disclose also bans spending on speech by government contractors and firms that received government bailouts in 2008. Courts have allowed bans on contributions by government contractors to preclude "corruption." But the proposed prohibitions apply to businesses that want to spend money on political ads. They are not donating money to candidates or to the parties. There can be no exchange of money for favors. Absent the possibility of corruption, these bans on political speech will be invalidated by the courts.
The Disclose Act is a cynical partisan ploy that violates the letter and the spirit of the First Amendment. Voters deserve better.
John Samples is director of the Cato Institute's Center for Representative Government.
***************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
Goldman: Bad guys or just a scapegoat?
Plain Talk By Al Neuharth, USA TODAY Founder
Nearly everybody knows the recession is over, although it may take the government months more to figure that out and make it official. Right now, politicians are too busy trying to fix the blame so that they don't emerge as the villains themselves.
On Tuesday, the U.S. Senate subcommittee on investigations spent 10 hours interrogating executives of Goldman Sachs to try to make them look like the bad guys. In my book, Goldman is the scapegoat.
The presidentially appointed five-member Securities and Exchange Commission voted 3-2 to accuse Goldman of fraud. The SEC says Goldman misled investors by selling them an investment based on subprime mortgages without disclosing to them that mortgages had been picked by an investor who expected them to default.
That misses the point.
Yes, the collapse of the subprime home mortgage market led to the recession that officially started in December 2007. But Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and other government entities bear far more responsibility than Goldman. They are the bad guys and gals. Facts:
Fannie and Freddie purchased or guaranteed trillions of dollars in subprime and other dubious loans.
Goldman's entire balance sheet is a fraction of that amount and therefore virtually meaningless to the overall problem.
Rather than putting the blame on Goldman and Wall Street for the home mortgage mess, government officials should repair their own house on Pennsylvania Avenue.
The Senate has a pending financial regulation bill. It has no reform of Fannie and Freddie. Instead of trying to make villains out of Goldman, government officials should start closer to home.
***************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
ARIZONA'S PROBLEMS ONLY BEGINNING
COMMENTARY BY RAUL REYES
When Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer signed the most restrictive immigration bill in the USA into law, that was not the end of the debate but just the beginning.
The law is ripe for constitutional challenges, as it appears to be an intrusion of state authority into federal jurisdiction. Latino civic groups such as the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund have vowed to fight the law, most likely by invoking the Supremacy Clause and the 14th amendment.
Although it's impossible to predict the outcome of such cases, one thing is certain: Arizona will be wasting a lot of money defending this new law.
The law, in my opinion, gives state and local police the right to stop and question anyone based on a "reasonable suspicion"of his being illegal, and to arrest that person if he's not carrying proper identification. It makes it a misdemeanor for anyone to knowingly give a ride to an illegal immigrant, even a relative.
Certainly, the people of Arizona are tired of bearing the costs of our nation's broken immigration system. But the state's new law will do little to solve this crisis and will, in fact, create more problems.
I find it troubling that the law provides no guidance for police as to what constitutes a "reasonable suspicion" that a person is an illegal immigrant. Since Arizona is nearly one-third Latino, according to the Census Bureau, this sets the stage for racial profiling, harassment and discrimination against Hispanics on an unprecedented level. The Pew Hispanic Center estimates that Arizona is home to 500,000 unauthorized migrants. How will the police identify them? By skin color, accent, or whether they are speaking Spanish?
While many rank-and-file police officers supported this legislation, the Arizona Association of Chiefs of Police did not. They rightly feared it would sow distrust in the Latino communities and take resources away from other crime-fighting activities. What's more, the law includes a provision that allows anyone to sue his local law enforcement agency if he thinks they are not enforcing the law. Arizona, already facing deep budget cuts, cannot afford all these court challenges.
In fact, the law is already costing Arizona money. The American Immigration Lawyers Association just announced that it has cancelled its fall convention in Scottsdale. Spanish-language media, the blogosphere and Facebook are awash in calls to boycott the state.
The new law will not make the border safer. Instead Gov. Brewer has done little more than appease angry voters at the expense of the civil rights of Hispanics.
Raul Reyes is an attorney in New York and a member of USA TODAY's Board of Contributors.
***************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
OPINIONLINE
The Philadelphia Inquirer, in an editorial: "The Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhood Act, signed (April 23) by Gov. Jan Brewer, gives police in Arizona authority to question anyone if there is a 'reasonable suspicion' that he is an illegal immigrant. ... But with 12 million illegal immigrants in this country, a round-them-up-and-send-them-back approach won't work. The cost alone is prohibitive. And many who came here illegally are living upstanding lives. People who are working hard, raising families, staying out of trouble and paying taxes on their purchases, if nothing else deserve the opportunity to make amends and be placed on a path toward legal residency and eventual citizenship."
Rich Lowry, editor, in National Review: "The police already have the power to stop illegal aliens, a power the Arizona courts have upheld; they already can ask about someone's legal status ... and they already can detain illegal aliens. ... (Arizona) has an estimated 460,000 illegal aliens out of a population of 6.6 million. They impose countless millions of dollars in schooling, health care and incarceration costs, more than $1 billion a year in one estimate. ... Arizonans needn't, and shouldn't, tolerate this. Critics accuse the state of unconstitutionally devising its own immigration policy. If it had unilaterally declared its border open to the poor, violence-plagued country to its south, this charge might have had force. Instead, Arizona seeks only to enforce the nominal immigration policy of the United States. Perhaps the federal government should try it sometime."
The Dallas Morning News, in an editorial: "What would lead a Phoenix cop, a Maricopa County sheriff's deputy or an Arizona state trooper to suspect that this person on the street was here without proper documentation? Therein lies the problem with SB 1070. It does little, if anything, to protect Arizonans from people crossing the border illegally. But it does add a layer of unreasonable suspicion to anyone who might look as if they did. ... If you live in Arizona and look like you're from Mexico, El Salvador or Guatemala, you're a suspect who must prove your citizenship or legal status. And if you believe this law might be applied uniformly to Arizona's non-Latino residents, seriously, is that really reasonable?"
Michelle Malkin, columnist, in RealClearPolitics: "Mexican President Felipe Calderon has accused Arizona of opening the door 'to intolerance, hate, discrimination and abuse in law enforcement.' But Arizona has nothing on Mexico when it comes to cracking down on illegal aliens. ... Illegal entry into the country is equivalent to a felony punishable by two years' imprisonment. Document fraud is subject to fine and imprisonment; so is alien marriage fraud. Evading deportation is a serious crime; illegal re-entry after deportation is punishable by 10 years' imprisonment. Foreigners may be kicked out of the country without due process. ... There's been no public clamor for 'comprehensive immigration reform' in Mexico, however, because pro-illegal alien speech by outsiders is prohibited."
Los Angeles Times, in an editorial: "Thank you, Arizona. Despite our strong condemnation of a new law that will likely promote racial profiling of Latinos in your state, we must acknowledge that you have accomplished what many others including senators, committed activists and a willing president have failed to achieve. You put immigration back on the national agenda."
***************************************
USA TODAY
EDITORIAL
40 years after Kent State, reassessing 2010
By Chuck Raasch
WASHINGTON May marks the 40th anniversary of two of America's most horrific campus tragedies: The killings at Kent State in Ohio, and Jackson State in Mississippi.
These memories of a divisive era provide an opportunity to reassess today's partisanship. Despite polls showing levels of anger and frustration rarely seen in this country in the past 50 years, the state of affairs might not be as dire as we think.
On May 4, 1970, at Kent State, National Guard soldiers fired on a crowd of students protesting the Vietnam War, killing four. Ten days later, two young men one a student, another a high school senior were killed when state and local police responded to unrest at Jackson State and fired shotguns into a dormitory.
The president's Commission on Campus Unrest called the actions of police at Jackson State an "unreasonable, unjustified overreaction," but no charges were filed. The commission called the Kent State shootings "unnecessary, unwarranted, and inexcusable." Civil lawsuits and criminal investigations ensued, but there were no criminal convictions.
The two events hardened the division over the Vietnam War and racial strife of the '60s and '70s. The picture of the young woman crying out over the dying student at Kent State is one of the iconic images of the age.
Richard Nixon had been elected president in 1968 by appealing to the "Silent Majority" and by running a law-and-order campaign that his critics said was a coded appeal to racists. His defenders saw his as the right response to a country wracked by race riots and anti-war protests.
The era split families, communities, country. Trust between government and citizens was severely damaged, an impact still felt.
Humans have a certain arrogance and myopia that leads to collective belief that our experiences are the most this, or the best that, or the worst thus. Politicians play to the instinct to make themselves look better, or to push their change.
President Obama's stump speech rarely fails to mention how he inherited the worst economy since the Great Depression. George W. Bush portrayed 9/11 and the financial meltdown of 2008 as unprecedented challenges. The framing helped both presidents sell massive public spending and borrowing and, for Bush, simultaneous wars.
I recently observed on FaceBook that in terms of anger, anxiety and angst, at least three years in the past half-century seemed rawer and more divisive than today: 1968, 1979 and 2000.
The case for each:
In '68 there were race riots, the assassinations of the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. and Robert F. Kennedy, and the violent Democratic National Convention in Chicago.
The year 1979 included the Iran Hostage Crisis, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and President Carter's speech lamenting "malaise" at home.
And there was 2000 and the bitterly contested presidential election that tested the constitutional limits of our courts and political system. It left permanent partisan marks on Bush's presidency.
But FaceBook friends made convincing cases for other years.
In '63, President Kennedy was killed; the Vietnam War escalated, it was months after the Cuban Missile Crisis.
In '70, as noted above, there was literally blood on campuses just two years after the Kennedy and King assassinations.
Watergate came in '72; Nixon left office in '74. In 1980, Carter stopped selling wheat to the Russians and the United States boycotted the Olympic Games. The Cold War was at its coldest.
In '87, President Clinton was impeached for lying about an affair with a former White House intern, and the country took sides for a year. A ripe moment to fix the massive government entitlement problems still facing us was lost for good.
Maybe these memories can put 2010, for all its challenges, in not so bad a light after all.
Chuck Raasch writes from Washington for Gannett, publisher of USA TODAY. Contact him at craasch@gannett.com, follow him at http://twitter.com/craasch or join in the conversation at http://www.facebook.com/raaschcolumn
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
GOV. HUCKABEE'S 'BEST JOB' -- YET
Mike Huckabee made a name for himself several years ago as the governor of Arkansas. Then he ran as a Republican candidate for president of the United States, but was unsuccessful.
Now he may have his best job -- yet.
He is on cable television, with a rather low-key weekly political and musical variety show. He pleasantly chats with guests, makes some political observations and engages a small studio audience -- and a large national broadcast audience. So he's still very much in the public eye.
Gov. Huckabee came to Chattanooga this week to give some political encouragement to 3rd District Republican congressional candidate Chuck Fleischmann. But another 3rd District Republican congressional aspirant, Robin Smith, claimed that a majority of the "real" Huckabee supporters favor her.
Politics has a long road. Mrs. Smith and Mr. Fleischmann are just two of several current Republican and Democrat congressional hopefuls. But is Gov. Huckabee looking ahead -- possibly to another run for president in 2012?
Stay tuned.
Politics is an interesting business, to say the least.
***************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
THE CROSS AND THE COURT
The U.S. Supreme Court signaled a major and troubling change in its view of religious symbols on public land Wednesday. In another narrow 5-4 decision, the court overturned a lower court ruling that ordered removal of a war memorial cross from a remote spot in California's Mojave Desert. The language of the majority strongly suggests the court is willing to accept the idea that the Constitution does not require the removal of religious symbols from government-owned lands. That's a troubling prospect.
Justice Anthony M. Kennedy, writing for the majority, said that California judges erred when they ruled that the U.S. National Park Service must remove a Latin Cross erected in 1934 to honor World War I dead because it constituted government endorsement of religion. He said, instead, that the First Amendment called for a "policy of accommodation" toward religious displays on public land rather than a strict separation of church and state. That's a radical change from long-established practice.
It should be noted that the case is not closed. The Supreme Court remanded the case to a lower court to sort out whether or not the dubious sale of the land on which the cross stands to a private group that agreed to maintain the cross was an improper act. Still, the majority decision, joined by Chief Justice John G. Roberts and Justices Samuel A. Alito Jr., Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas, makes it clear change is in the judicial air.
Justice Kennedy wrote that "A Latin cross is not merely a reaffirmation of Christian beliefs. Here, a Latin cross in the desert evokes far more than religion. It evokes thousands of small crosses in foreign fields marking the graves of Americans who fell in battles, battles whose tragedies are compounded if the fallen are forgotten."
That stirred a spirited and thoughtful response from dissenting judges.
Justice John Paul Stevens, who will retire at the end of the current session, wrote for the minority. He said: "The cross is not a universal symbol of sacrifice. It is the symbol of one particular sacrifice, and that sacrifice carries deeply significant meaning for those who adhere to the Christian faith." He's right. It is impossible to separate a cross from its religious meaning.
Indeed, the tens of thousands of men and women whose gravestones in national cemeteries here and abroad are marked by the symbols of Judaism, Islam, Buddhism, Hindusim and other faiths are powerful testament to the validity of Justice Stevens' reasoning. Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Sonia Sotomayor and Stephen G. Breyer joined in dissent.
Wednesday's decision, overturns a lower court's reasonable ruling that the cross does not belong at its current location. In doing so, the high court undermines the nation's core values. The presence of the cross in the desert -- and the absence of other symbols of faith at the same location despite efforts to place them there -- implies that the government favors one faith above others.
That's not acceptable. The government should not, directly or indirectly, promote one religion to the exclusion of others. That practice is wrong and, more to the point, un-American.
***************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
INVASION OF UNITED STATES!
What would be your reaction if a foreign army invaded the United States?
Such a proposition is so unlikely that we can hardly imagine it. The United States has been in terrible wars, but has not faced serious military invasion since the War of 1812, when British troops burned the White House.
If a foreign army attempted to invade the United States today, we surely would mobilize all of our military forces -- and all of our citizens -- to repel the invaders and defend our country and our people from the invaders.
Yet the United States is being invaded today -- and has been for some years -- by so many illegal foreign invaders that we don't even know how many are here!
Does that seem incredible to you?
By some estimates, the number of illegal aliens in the United States is as high as 20 million!
And yet we have not determined to make our borders impervious to invaders.
Arizona is "in the news" because it is facing such a massive number of illegal invaders that it has adopted a tough state law in its defense.
But why doesn't the federal government of the United States have effective defense against the illegal invasion?
Some officials are even condemning Arizona for its efforts to defend its borders, its people and its laws.
We can understand why many foreigners want to come here. They see the United States as a land of golden opportunity that they would like to enjoy. We have laws that provide for limited numbers of people to come here from foreign countries, temporarily or permanently. Some of them benefit our country and our people. But in addition, there are millions of people who have violated our laws to come here and created serious problems.
The illegal invasion has been winked at in some cases because it is a source of cheap labor. Most of the illegals are seeking work and a better life, for which we don't blame them. But some of the illegal invaders are violent criminals and drug smugglers who create great dangers.
How many illegal invaders will we tolerate? How many can we accept without a major change in the way our 300 million American citizens and legal immigrants live?
With humanitarian compassion, we may understand the aspirations of millions of people who have come here illegally. But it should be evident to all Americans that we cannot maintain our laws, our security, our economy and our historic traditions if we ignore the invasion of our country by many millions of people who violate our laws.
What other country allows unlimited illegal immigration?
We should defend the United States and our people by upholding our laws. We are failing to do that today.
***************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
CHRONIC HEALTH WOES IN U.S.
The long-term discussion about U.S. health care, who will provide it and who will pay for it, continues. There should be little debate, however, that the short and long-term demand for health care in the United States will increase steadily for years to come. A new study on chronic medical conditions that could lead to heart disease -- the leading killer of American adults -- underscores that. Indeed, the portrait of the nation's health limned by researchers is not pretty.
Almost half of U.S. adults have diagnosed or undiagnosed high blood pressure, high cholesterol or diabetes, according to the study. About three percent of adults have all three conditions, and about 13 percent have two of the conditions. Most, but not all, individuals are aware of their personal health problems. About 15 percent of American citizens with one or more of the conditions are unaware of it, the study shows.
The increasing prevalence of the three conditions in the U.S. population is closely related to obesity, another troubling U.S. health trend. More than two-thirds of U.S. adults, according to the CDC, are now overweight or obese. The extra poundage can be lethal..
It increases the likelihood that an individual will have high blood pressure, high cholesterol, or diabetes -- or some combination of the trio. That, in turn, makes it more likely that affected individuals will develop heart disease that could drastically affect their quality of life, their lifespan and the demands they place on the health care system.
The problem, to be fair, is as much a societal one as it is a medical one. Dependency on cars and community planning that limits, sidewalks, parks and playgrounds have reduced the opportunity for people of all ages to exercise. The availability of fast food makes it more difficult for those pressed for time to make healthy food choices. The result is as readily apparent as it is disastrous.
Reversing the current trend will be difficult, but it must be done. To do nothing or allow current trends to become even more entrenched in society is foolhardy. "If we continue on the same course, this problem will grow progressively worse," one expert says. If that occurs, the costs -- physical, societal and financial -- will be astronomical.
There's no easy way to reduce the national incidence of high blood pressure, high cholesterol and diabetes. The latter, like many chronic conditions, is often irreversible. Still, attention to diet and regular physical activity can help improve health. Improved eating habits and adherence to an exercise routine that produces and maintains weight loss of even 10 pounds can lower blood pressure, improve cholesterol levels and reduce the risk of heart disease.
Prevention of conditions that lead to heart disease is a vital step in improving individual health. It is, as well, an important component in building a national health care delivery system that will not be overwhelmed by problems directly related to poor lifestyle choices.
***************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
ALEXANDER WARNS ON OBAMACARE
President Barack Obama and the liberal Democrat majority in Congress have managed to foist off a tremendously expensive socialized medicine plan on the American people in the form of ObamaCare. But Tennessee's Sen. Lamar Alexander gave us fair warning of what's coming, and recently reiterated it.
"The Obama administration's own report now confirms what Republicans feared all along -- that the new health care law will add to the federal debt and lead to higher health insurance costs for Americans," he said.
"Republicans respectfully warned the president at the White House health care summit that his plan would increase individuals' health premiums, and now it turns out Medicare's chief actuary says those fears were justified.
"Most Americans realize this law is an historic mistake because it expands a system everyone knows we can't afford instead of lowering costs so more Americans can afford to buy quality health insurance.
"The administration and the Democratic majority should heed this warning about what happens when Congress passes partisan legislation written behind closed doors."
Sen. Alexander's warning was unheeded. So, sadly, we will see the high costs rise in the years ahead.
Subscribe Here! German tastes
***************************************
TIMES FREE PRESS
EDITORIAL
GOVERNMENT'S 'PAY GUIDELINES'
The problem with government tampering with the free market is that it sets off a series of unintended, and usually negative, consequences.
It was wrong for Congress to bail out big companies to the tune of $700 billion through the so-called Troubled Asset Relief Program. By not letting private companies struggle or even fail after they had performed badly and by propping them up with tax dollars, Congress only encouraged further bad behavior and set the stage for future crises.
But now, the government is compounding the problems created by the bailout. The so-called "pay czar" has released "pay guidelines" for dozens of executives at five bailed-out automotive and insurance companies. The vast majority of the executives will be limited to cash salaries of less than $500,000, plus stock.
Now, that is not a "puny" salary, and you might not feel sympathetic toward someone earning that level of pay. But wouldn't it be wise to set aside animosity or envy and consider what the actual effects of the "pay guidelines" will be?
What do you think will happen when extremely talented workers -- the very type of workers the bailed-out companies need if they are to become more stable and efficient -- have to choose between working at one of those companies for government-restricted pay or at a different company that pays more? They'll do exactly what most of the rest of us would do if we were considering positions with different companies: They'll select the higher-paying jobs.
That will leave the bailed-out companies with less skillful employees who are less able to turn things around -- which ironically will increase the odds that Congress will bail out those companies again.
The solution, of course, is not to bail out companies in the first place if their own poor market performance or unethical behavior got them in trouble. What most certainly is not the solution is following an unwise bailout with unwise "pay guidelines."
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
TEHRAN TIMES
EDITORIAL
A LACK OF DIPLOMATIC FINESSE
BY KOUROSH ZIABARI
It seems that UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan has much to learn about the fine art of diplomacy.
Demonstrating his lack of diplomatic finesse and inexperience, the UAE foreign minister has exposed himself to the possibility of a harsh response from the Islamic Republic of Iran through his provocative remarks in which he explicitly questions the territorial integrity of the Islamic Republic, the most tolerant and pacifist state of the Persian Gulf region.
With the surreptitious support of the Zionist, U.S., and British lobbies, the United Arab Emirates is now playing the role of a regional ally of the hegemonistic powers that have created a specter of Iranophobia for Arab states, which now consider Iran a serious threat to their security.
The United Arab Emirates, which in 2004 started negotiations with Tel Aviv over the establishment of an Israeli representative office in Abu Dhabi, is currently holding negotiations on a $20 million deal with the Zionist regime that would facilitate the UAE's access to the Israeli-built satellite Eros B and its high-resolution imagery.
A report published on February 23, 2009 on the American Defense News website said that "for Israel, the deal represents the latest step in forging links with a key moderate Arab state which, like Israel, worries about the threat from Iran."
The "moderate Arab state", which denies having official relations with Israel, began clandestine talks with Tel Aviv in 2006 and later signed contracts with the Israeli-based company ImageSat International.
The invitation of Israeli Infrastructure Minister Uzi Landau to Abu Dhabi to attend an international conference on renewable energy in early 2010 was the latest move by the Persian Gulf state toward normalizing ties with Israel.
According to a report published by the UAE newspaper The National, the UAE is now one of the world's biggest arms purchasers and a leading client of the U.S. military-industrial complex.
On April 20, the UAE foreign minister likened Iran's control of three strategic islands in the Persian Gulf, Abu Musa and the Greater and Lesser Tunbs, to Israel's occupation of Arab territories.
The UAE, a federation of seven emirates, came into being when Britain granted independence to its Persian Gulf protectorates and withdrew its forces in 1971. Now its foreign minister draws erroneous and misleading comparisons between Israel's criminal occupation of the Palestinian homeland and Iran's legal administration over its own islands.
The position adopted by the UAE's inexperienced foreign minister, who'll be celebrating his 38th birthday tomorrow, is a harbinger of Abu Dhabi's anti-Iranian plot, which is apparently planned and directed by the White House. Threatening Iran with "all options", warning about a potential nuclear strike, imposing crippling sanctions, promoting Iranophobia in the region, and provoking a novice state to call into question the territorial integrity of the most ancient civilization of the region are only a few of the actions the White House has taken to prevent the emergence of a powerful Iran.
The UAE claims to have a legal right of sovereignty over the three Persian Gulf islands and says that Iran has occupied its islands unlawfully. However, there is an enormous amount of historical documents and other evidence that prove the UAE is only making baseless allegations.
First of all, the country of the UAE, in its current configuration, only came into existence in the year 1971, while Iran has been a regional superpower for the past 2500 years.
In addition, Professor Pirouz Mojtahedzadeh, the renowned Iranian scholar and geopolitical expert, has said that Iranian Prime Minister Haji Mirza Aqasi's proclamation of ownership of all islands in the Persian Gulf in the 1840s was not challenged by any government at the time.
In 1888, Sir Henry Drummond Wolff, the British minister-plenipotentiary to Tehran, presented a War Office map to Iranian King Nasser al-Din Shah Qajar in which the islands were identified as Iranian territory.
In his 1892 book Persia and the Persian Question, George Nathaniel Curzon, the viceroy and governor-general of India, wrote that the islands belonged to Iran.
In fact, the UAE's claims are so ridiculous that one can easily dismiss them as propagandistic rhetoric and psychological warfare.
Iranian officials have so far responded to the imprudence of their UAE counterparts in a relatively tolerant way, showing the international community Iran's determination to maintain peace and stability in the region and to implement its policy of détente.
However, the Iranian people will not stand idly by while others insult their national honor.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
FROM THE BOSPHORUS: STRAIGHT - HALTING A THREAT TO EU VALUES
As we neared deadline yesterday, we again were glued to televisions and computer monitors trying to divine the next moves by many players in the drama of the Greek debt crisis. Just how much money will the IMF come up with and what are the implications of this institution leading a rescue in the eurozone? Is a Greek default really out of the question? Just how broad a shoulder will the European Commission and the European Central Bank put to the wheel of a bailout?
There continue to be more questions than answers, and the anxious Greek public makes it clear each day on the streets.
Some of them are technical. Can monetary union without political union work? This is a principal one, with all manner of experts reflecting on mistakes made in the two decades since the Maastricht Treaty monetary union that culminated in the common currency in 1999.
Some of the questions demand we reflect upon policy. The global financial crisis that began in 2008 with poorly regulated housing loans in the United States quickly spread and revived fiscal activism around the world. Suddenly deficits became fashionable. And here we are wringing our hands over deficit vulnerabilities being the catalyst of a domino scenario spreading outward from Athens. Are we going from a private-sector induced crisis to a public-sector induced crisis?
Of course as we ponder these questions, we are concerned for the health and welfare of our neighbor Greece, with which we have much in common and much common cause to wage. But our broader concern is for the health of the larger European Union project. For despite our frustrations with the ups and downs in Turkey's half-century quest for EU membership, we remain committed to the goals of this historical undertaking, the sharing of sovereignty, the embrace of universal standards and the ultimate goal of true democracy for the European continent. It is in these principles that we think it imperative that Turkey share.
And the greatest risk of this crisis is an unraveling of the tenets of the European project, a failure that would have dire risks for all, a tragedy for Turkey.
Already there are signs of nativist revival, of a return to the antiquated assumptions about the unruly "south" vs. the disciplined "north," the Spartan virtues of the "Protestants" vs. the lackadaisical ways of the "Catholic" or "Orthodox" worlds. We see much commentary keyed to imagery of the siesta-seeking Greeks opposed by the punctual Germans. And we see great danger in this.
Greece and Europe face an economic crisis. It will require sacrifice. It will require change. It will require patience and endurance. But a public accounts crisis affecting less than 5 percent of the EU's collective GDP should not loose a contagion upon our shared values. The EU should not be allowed to turn against itself
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
THE DELICATE BALANCE
MİTHAT MELEN
The last big eruption from Eyjafjallajokull, in 1821, belched ash into the atmosphere for over a year. Perhaps even more worrying than that is the risk that the neighboring Katla volcano might erupt too.
Archaeological evidence suggests that when roused it is even more destructive. Another more immediate worry for northern Europe is the health risk that volcanic ash might bring. While the ash cloud floats miles above the earth it poses only a risk to jet engines, but reports suggest that it may have started to settle on the ground in Scotland. More could follow further south.
The World Health Organization recommends staying indoors if ash starts raining down from the sky. The agency admits that the exact health worries are unclear but reckons that inhaled particles might cause respiratory problems. Moreover volcanoes spewing ash into the atmosphere can have effects on the climate too. A far larger eruption in Iceland in 1783 threw sulfur dioxide and other gases and dust into the air creating a persistent haze that blocked out sunlight.
The Economists points out that the civil-aviation authorities had come under strong pressure from European airlines, several of whom had conducted successful test flights in the supposed danger zones. However, the engines of a Finnish military jet did suffer considerable damage as a result of breathing in the ash. Some air freight might take to the road or water98 percent of the world's trade is already carried by ship. And plenty of the world's container vessels are sitting idly waiting for the world economy to pick up after the recent recession in the rich world. But for some freight, from Formula One racing cars stuck in China, to flowers farmed in Kenya and destined for restaurant tables in London, there is no alternative route.So far, aside from airlines and air travelers, the impact has been limited. But as the shutdown continues Europe's fragile economies will suffer as tourists fail to arrive, meetings are cancelled and businesses with supply chains that rely on air freight nervously watch stocks running down.
In February 2008 officials from air-traffic-control services across Europe, as well as representatives of weather services and airlines, ran an exercise that simulated a strikingly similar eruption. The volcano they chose was not Eyjafjallajokull, but its neighbor, Katla; the weather conditions were not quite the same, but the procedures were. The exercise differed from the real thing in some crucial ways: it ran for only a day, and it hardly affected anyone who wasn't an air-traffic controller. Eruption, in contrast, caused British airspace and that over much of the rest of Europe to be closed on April 15, and to remain shut for five days of mounting chaos. No one denies that volcanic ash can cause jet engines to fail in flight. An engine's heat melts the fine-ground rock, which proceeds to encrust the cooler parts of the mechanism, stopping it from working. Lower concentrations can damage engines without having an immediate effect on how well they work. But where the boundaries between danger, potential damage and safety lie, and how they vary with the type and number of ash particles, was not taken into account in the decisions to close airspace. Things were made worse by the fact that the computer models of the ash cloud's dispersion gave only a very broad sense of where the ash might be. That is a lot better than nothing, at least for nuclear fallout (for which the model was first developed.)
When the forbidden zone stops aircraft getting in or out of Heathrow, Schiphol and Charles de Gaulle, things get a bit more desperate. Over the weekend both airlines and research agencies made test flights. Air France-KLM, British Airways, Lufthansa and others carried out over 40 flights. Subsequent engine inspection apparently revealed no unacceptable damage. On April 21 the CAA established a new rule, deeming regions thought to have less than 2,000 micrograms of dust per cubic meter safe for flight. That threshold, the CAA says, was provided on the basis of data from equipment-manufacturers; Rolls-Royce, the leading European maker of jet engines for airliners, has made no comment on this. The new safety level is about 100 times higher than the background level of dust at ground level. It is also considerably higher than anything seen by research aircraft over Britain since the eruption started; those flights have encountered no patches of sky with an ash density of more than 400 micrograms per cubic meter, 20 times the background level. If the exercise two years ago did not capture the range of problems that an Icelandic volcano might cause, it did show that the general situation was entirely foreseeable.
To cut the long story short, the Eyjafjallajokull's eruption cost $3 billion and more than 100,000 flights were canceled and 100 million passengers suffered.
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
ARATO AND THE CONSTITUTION
NURAY MERT
I was left behind the agenda while I was in the southeastern province of Diyarbakır for four days. I didn't have time to read newspapers in order to catch up with the region. In the meantime, Devrim Sevimay of Milliyet daily did a remarkable interview with renowned politician Andrew Arato. (This is Sevimay's second interview with him, the first was in 2008.) Apparently Arato's remarks have caused reactions in these days of tension.
In "social sciences," or to be more precise, "social-political theory," no scientific certainty exists. Therefore, it is impossible to say "We've found a scientist and learned what is right." Besides, even in positive sciences, everything is debatable after a certain point.
I think, instead of becoming involved in a long positivist debate over the subject matter, it was enough for me to remember the row over the swine flu vaccination.
On the other hand, it is also impossible to say everyone is entitled to speak over social-political issues however they like and all statements are equally important.
"Social-political entities" cannot be read through the naked eye nor can they be explained simply. For this reason, we have to look through a hypothetical frame and adapt a cognitive language. But of course some don't feel the necessity of doing so. On the other hand, just because some don't lend importance to great philosophers such as Voltaire or Ibn Haldun and even great theologians such as al-Ghazali and St. Augustine, it doesn't mean that the thought systems of these thinkers are of no importance. Likewise, heated discussions occur in the sphere of social-political theory as well. But taking or not taking this area of interest seriously is something to do with being ignorant or not.
Arato is known for his views on the constitutional amendment package in Turkey. He is a renowned political theorist. Whether you like his views or not That's another question. But it is unrealistic to deny his importance just because he says something unpleasant.
So, I've just had an urge to make some clarifications here. To the more, I personally give importance to Arato and I have mentioned him in the past. I had a chance to see him on Dec. 28 at a meeting organized by the daily Radikal and Koç University. He had made quite striking remarks in that meeting too. But some at Radikal were not interested enough in the meeting to make a news report. And no one mentioned it but me.
However, Arato fiercely criticized the architects of the new draft Constitution, professors Ergun Özbudun and Serap Yazıcı. I do remember that both remained silent against Arato.
Lastly, the reason why he is considered an expert on constitutional changes though he is not a jurist is that the processes of making constitution are in fact "political negotiation processes" not limited to the area of legal techniques. Constitutions are legal descriptions of political systems. This fact is completely forgotten in our country or not known at all. (Since this is a very critical subject, even more important than discussing Arato, I will come back to this very subject.)
Since he is equipped with knowledge on political negotiation processes, Arator has concentrated on the processes of making constitutions.
His latest book titled "Constitution-making under Occupation" over the constitution-making process in Iraq is not a book on law, but a study on political negotiation process and equation. But I suggest interested parties reading Arato's previous book titled "Civil Society and Political Theory" published in 1994 by MIT Press. First let me underline the fact that these issues are not for connotations or denotation or even for rhetoric. I will come back to the subject of the Constitution.
* Ms. Nuray Mert is a columnist for the daily Radikal in which this piece appeared Thursday. It was translated into English by the Daily News staff
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
TURKS NOT GLOATING OVER GREEK DIFFICULTIES
SEMIH IDIZ
A Western diplomat suggested the other day that Turks must be deriving pleasure from the situation that Greece is in today. This reflects the age-old preconception that Turks and Greeks are enemies to the end.
There is little, in fact, to gloat over for Turks in the problems the Greeks are facing today. Turks have been down that road and understand the situation.
Reports emerging prior to Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's upcoming visit to Athens of Turkey's willingness to help Greece face its economic hardships should not be read as "rubbing salt into Greek wounds" either. Not withstanding the momentous and painful events of history, Greeks and Turks have much more latent empathy for each other in times of adversity than many in Europe would assume.
Many in the West can not understand, for example, why the founder of modern Greece, Eeftherios Venizelos, would nominate Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, the founder of the Turkish Republic and his bitter enemy of a just a few years past, for the Nobel Peace Prize as he did in 1934.
Only five years after that, when the city of Erzincan was devastated by a 1939 earthquake that killed tens of thousands of people, the Greeks were among the first to rush to the aid of the Turks.
Money was collected by municipalities across the country, and collections stands were set up in the center of Athens of which photographs exist today with posters in Greek and Turkish reading "Help our Turkish brothers."
Major adversity struck Greece next, with the Nazi occupation in 1941. One of the things that characterized this period was the horrible starvation that the people of Greece suffered. Photographs of that period are heart-rending.
The Turkish ship Kurtuluş (Liberation) ferried food and medicine from Turkey to the Greeks; it eventually sank in 1942 while carrying out this mission. A documentary has been made about the ship and its crew, and features interviews with Greeks who recall how they used to wait in great anticipation for the ship's arrival.
Other historical facts include such things as the Turkish communist volunteers' brigade during the Greek civil war, its most notable member being the legendary Mihri Belli, a devoted Turkish communist to the very end.
Then, during the Greek junta of 1967-1974, democratic Turkey was one of the safe escape routes for many Greek intellectuals, artists, writers and politicians, including the late Melina Mercouri, who told us the story of her escape during her visit to Ankara as minister for culture in May 1988.
The event that soured Turkish-Greek relations overnight was, of course, the operation against Cyprus by Turkey in 1974, following a coup on the island by supporters of union with Greece, who were backed by the junta in Athens. We are still paying the price for that coup today.
Despite the great animosity this created between the two countries over the following two and a half decades, the massive earthquake in Turkey in 1999 proved that the "latent empathy factor" between the two nations had not disappeared. Many recall how it was the Greek people that were once again, as they were in 1939, among the first to extend a helping hand to Turks during that major disaster.
The resulting outpouring of positive emotion on both sides laid the groundwork for the rapprochement achieved by Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, the country's foreign minister at the time, and the late Turkish Foreign Minister Ismail Cem.
These examples show the limits of the black-and-white interpretation that Europeans have cultivated about Turkish-Greek relations, which do not always fit into preconceived molds. So, to return to today, it is clear that, barring fringe elements, Turks are not deriving any sublimated pleasure from the hardship faced by Greeks.
On the other hand, they are deriving a lot of pleasure from seeing the way the European Union has failed to fulfill some major expectations during this crisis, by not coming in time to help a member state that is suffering from problems other EU members are beset with too.
Turks are also noting the sudden animosity Greeks feel for Germans today, as a result of the belittling manner in which German politicians and the German media are referring to Greeks. For all the positive feelings other Europeans have cultivated toward Greeks, mostly based on notions concerning classical Greece rather than contemporary Greece, this whole episode has shown what the average European really feels about this nation when push comes to shove.
Arnold Toynbee is reputed to have said that Turks are Europeanized Orientals, while Greeks are Orientalized Europeans. This contention is open to debate, of course, but the things being written in the German press today suggest that this perception is not far from the surface, and only requires a serious problem in order to emerge.
All of this aside though, the economic crisis in Greece is not to Turkey's advantage either, contrary to what some people may think. First, the euro is dropping seriously as a result of this crisis, which is terrible for Turkey at the start of the tourism season and also in terms of its exports.
In addition, the crisis comes at time when economic cooperation between the two countries has been increasing. Turkish businessmen know, therefore, that what is bad for Greece is not necessarily good for Turkey.
At any rate, for all the foot dragging and finger waving by self-righteous Europeans, it is clear that the EU will "save Greece" in the end, and that Germany will play a major role in this, regardless of whether the average German likes it or not. It will not do this not for Greece's sake, but for its own.
In other words, it will save Greece to ensure the EU's economic stability and the future of the euro. If it were just a matter of Greece, it seems many would prefer to see the country leave the eurozone, especially after German Chancellor Angela Merkel openly suggested that Greece was admitted prematurely.
There will, of course, be serious strings attached for Greeks in all this, and a consequent social fall-out. Greeks will be getting poorer, not richer, over the next few years.
The Turks can empathize with this also, given how the IMF's so-called "belt-tightening formulas" in the past ended up doing so little for the average person on the street, except make his or her life much harder. So Turks are not gloating over Greece's difficulties, because they have been there and they know what it is like.
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
PINK 'HASEMAS' VS BLACK, STONES VS DEATH
BURAK BEKDIL
Recently, there was an Islamic fashion show in Istanbul (no, I did not attend the event) featuring full body suits, or hasema, designed to let conservative women swim and exercise at the beach without revealing too much. Their hair is also tightly covered by the two-piece bonnet.
One model said "she looked like a clown" during the show. She will probably not get invited back to another show.
An executive from the company that produces the hasema said that Islamic women's fashion is growing and evolving, and the choice of colors also reflects a modest revolution. Ten years ago, he said, most of the colors were black and grey, but now one can see pink, yellow and blue everywhere.
According to an Islamic fashion guru featured in CNN's report on the show, "being fashionable and classy and wearing the latest thing out there" is all right so long as one is "modest." Modest? Ah, yes, the hair concealed carefully so that no man sees a piece of it.
According to this definition, which is too visibly subscribed to by the wives of most members of the Turkish Islamist elite, a lady can wear a $500 headscarf to go with a $10,000 watch, priceless jewelry and two kilos of makeup on her face, but she is a modest person because she does not let a piece of her hair be seen by men. Put the opposite way, a woman in a pair of $20 jeans, wearing no makeup, no watch and no jewelry, but also no headscarf, is "not modest." An interesting viewpoint.
The good news is that there are Islamic fashion shows all around the world, that "modest" Muslim women have in recent years revolutionized their color choice from black and grey to pink, yellow and blue and that they like to be fashionable and trendy yet modest. Elsewhere, many Muslim women must have gone even further, perhaps, radically liberalizing themselves by dropping out of their burqas and switching to the modern, ultra-modern and post-modern hijab.
It may not be too wrong to hail this as the "garment euphemism" for political Islam. That may cheer the Western advocates of "mild Islam." But there is also something that should go under the tag of the "sexual euphemism" for political Islam.
A two-story building in Kayseri, a conservative Turkish city with a flourishing industry, is known by the locals as the "gay building" because it houses Iranian homosexuals fleeing torment in their homeland and hoping to make it to the West. Under Iran's Islamic law, the punishment for same-sex intercourse between two men is death; between two women, it is 100 lashes for the first three offenses and the death penalty for the fourth.
If the Islamic propagandists have not already thought about it, here is an idea: They can use this aspect of Islamic law to prove to their Western admirers that Shariah offers a fine example of women's rights and positive discrimination. More tolerant punishment for women than men for the same offense... Though I do not understand why the Iranian (Islamic) law should specify a punishment for homosexuals since President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad proclaimed in 2007 that there were no homosexuals in Iran.
But let's go back to the salmon-colored "gay building" in Kayseri. Its dwellers, put there and in other "safe homes" by the Turkish government, complain of routine harassment by the locals, who smash windows and threaten the tiny community of homosexual refugees.
Surely physical harassment and some unimportant violence are much better than the death penalty, are they not? So this must be the sexual euphemism for mild Islam. See, good news becoming better news!
The hijab and headscarf instead of the burqa; Islamic fashion proliferating among Muslim women; even the hasema coming in bright colors instead of just black and grey plus just a few stones thrown at homosexuals instead of death penalty. We are definitely moving in the right direction!
With a little bit of luck and effort in the next 50 years, we may even see a press release from the successors of what is today al-Qaeda, proudly announcing to the world that they will now kill fewer infidels: "We have decided to liberalize our faith and cut our annual suicide-bombers quota from 5,000 men and women to just under 1,000." The grandchildren of mild Islam's Western promoters will shed tears of pride.
Who knows, maybe that day we will even see the mullahs giving life sentences to homosexuals instead of capital punishment? And surely radically liberalized swimwear for "modest" Muslim women might even allow them to exhibit a few pieces of hair.
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
HONOR OF PERVARI
YUSUF KANLI
Do you know where Pervari is? Do you care where Pervari is? It is a small town in the province of Siirt, in eastern Turkey. Like in many other settlements in eastern and southeastern Anatolia, there is still a feudal social setup in that small town.
As is true in other places where there is still a very strong feudal social setup, the honor of the clan precedes the honor of the family; the honor of the family precedes that of the individual; and not only the honor, but also the wishes, of the male members of the family precede everything related to the female population, irrespective of age.
That is, as is often said, women have no name, or are the "least important" in such a feudal setup.
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who has been struggling to get the Parliament to approve a set of amendments that he hopes will bring an end to the separation-of-powers principle and unite all executive power in him, is fuming over media reports about the alleged rape of children and the death of one toddler at a Pervari boarding school. (The school is affiliated with the Education Ministry, which is headed by female minister Nimet Çubukçu.) So is Pervari Mayor İsmail Bilen, a member of the small center-right Democrat Party, or DP.
The prime minister is complaining that the media has hurt the honor of Pervari and Siirt by constantly reporting on the allegations and associating the name of the town and the city with rape and murder. The education minister, who until three years ago was the minister in charge of women's and children's affairs, is accusing the media of exaggerating and over-blowing the Pervari incident. The mayor is telling newsmen: "We sorted out the incident among ourselves... This was a child's game. This was something 7- or 8-year-old children do. Pervari is a small place and we are all relatives. Why are you so bothered by this incident? If you want to make news on Pervari, make it about our honey..."
That is exactly what the problem is. Is it conceivable within the notion of justice to agree to cover up some heinous crimes just because the crime was committed in a small town, where the residents are all relatives and prefer to sort out the incident among themselves in accordance to some tribal or backward customs and traditions? Is not Turkey a democracy, adhering to the principles of the supremacy of law and the equality of all before the law?
In order to avoid starting a blood feud between the families of the victim and the aggressor, it has become a tradition for some local executives, clan chiefs or influential politicians to intervene and sort out the incident "among ourselves" without bothering about justice or the rights of the victim.
There are hundreds of Siirts and Pervaris in this country.
How many of us remember the small girl who was buried alive by her father and grandfather just because she was talking with boys? How many of us remember the Gül Dünyas shot by their families or forced by their families to commit suicide just because they objected to family-arranged marriages or to put it frankly being sold to someone without their consent? Are girls traded by families in full conformity with such backward feudal traditions to become honorable wives to their husbands, or just sex slaves?
Just because a city is the hometown of his spouse, how can a politician, a prime minister or minister come up with a statement accusing the media of hurting the honor of that city by reporting on the front pages a heinous crime committed there? Is it not strange, indeed amazing and bloodcurdling, that the honor of a city, town, village, tribe or family is considered more important than the lives of Ayşes, Fatmas and Güls?
This crooked mentality must change...
Farewell to Özok
Those in love with a democratic, secular and modern Turkey adhering to the principle of the supremacy of law bid farewell yesterday to Özdemir Özok, a leading intellectual who devoted his entire life to the defense of judicial independence and democratic norms and values. Özok, the chairman of the Turkish Bar Association, or TBB, who died in a Houston hospital last week, was laid to rest at the Cebeci cemetery following a ceremony at the TBB building and the completion of religious rights at the Kocatepe mosque.
Condolences to his family and friends. May Allah rest him in peace. Turkey will not forget Özok
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
CHANGE ISN'T EASY FOR ANYONE
In life generally, and in business in particular, we like to think of ourselves as being receptive to change. We like to imagine we are open-minded and adaptable.
Being comfortable with change is considered a great asset in any profession. When someone calls you a "change agent," it's a compliment, and you walk around the office taller, prouder, and more confident.
In fact, 20 years ago, being open to change was considered a plus, something that set you apart. Now, it's assumed. It's almost become a prerequisite for getting hired for any job in the first place.
But, in reality, change is difficult for everyone, even for those who say they've come to bring change. After all, if you are hired to bring about change, you have a mission. Your mission is to bring change, and probably a fairly particular kind of it. As a result, you want the change YOU want. In order to usher in that particular change, you have to be hostile to changes that don't fit well with it, and so sometimes even change agents turn into the resistance.
The difficulty grows when the company is large. Bringing change to a large organization is often compared to steering a large ship, and for good reason as the organization gets bigger, any change of course becomes slower and more complicated to execute. Unfortunately, even in the largest companies, thorough structural changes are often necessary for success. In today's business world, it is clear that companies that are able to adjust course and move with the market thrive while their competitors stumble.
But in order to make a significant structural change, you need strong, persistent leadership that can clearly define what is needed and can communicate that message throughout the organization. It might sound obvious, but even the biggest companies are made of individual people, and individual people are almost always afraid of change in some way. So you can't expect your company's middle-management ranks to help you lead change if you are any less than fully committed to it. And if you don't get your middle management to carry the torch, you won't get your lower-level employees to buy in on it, either. Making change happen requires the efforts of everyone, from the chief executive officer to the lowest-ranking line worker.
What makes change at a large company especially complicated is that the change itself becomes a process, and there's an unavoidable tension between the two concepts. Large companies have thousands of people whose work they need to organize, and that requires processes. Yet asking for change to be one of those processes is like asking oil to be like water. So as if it weren't challenge enough to expect thousands of employees to overcome their natural fears of change, you have to carefully balance two concepts that don't fit well together.
Small companies have a reputation for being more comfortable with change, and maybe that's true. But one advantage large companies have when they are going through change is that because their pockets are deeper, they are better-equipped to survive the inevitable missteps. Change involves learning, and learning involves mistakes. When those mistakes cause you to lose sales, or rack up unnecessary expenses or waste resources in some other way, a big company can usually find a way to fill in the gap while the organization figures out how to try again. A small company, on the other hand, might only get one shot before it goes bankrupt. Small boats might turn faster, but they also get knocked over by smaller waves.
It doesn't really matter who you are, or how big your company is. Change is equally hard on everyone, just in different ways. So the next time someone in your office praises you and calls you a "forward-thinking change agent," be proud and stand tall. But remember that secretly, somewhere inside of you, you too are afraid of change. Be humble, and remember that deep down, you have something in common with the office reactionaries.
fati@fatierdogan.com
www.fatmanurerdogan.com
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
JOURNALISTS CAN TAKE SIDES
MEHMET ALİ BİRAND
In general people say, "Journalists don't take sides."
It is a wrong belief. Journalists don't take sides in reference to political parties or people but when it comes to "basic principles" they do.
It will be clear if I quote a few samples.
Journalists don't (or shouldn't) take sides with the AKP or any opposition party but they may take sides in reference to their politics.
In today's media there are such people that are said to have become a star that it gives you goose bumps.
Some believe and openly write about beating or keeping the Kurds under fire if necessary just in order to deal with them properly or scare them off.
And with this fascistic attitude they manage to collect applause.
Some label themselves as Independent, Nationalistic or Ultra Nationalistic and make up some fantastic strategies. They come up with conspiracy theories and because they have a say in each subject, they oppose each and every project that would carry Turkey to the top in the international community, especially the European Union. They may even not attach any importance to freedom rights just to hallow the state.
These are not people of the 21st century. They are dreaming of a dried-up and introverted Turkey. But they too sell their ideas and collect applause from a certain part of society.
I don't agree with the view of these people.
I find them absurd. And even if they tease me I wouldn't answer them or take them serious. But I do defend their right to freedom of thought. For, I too take sides.
I have a few basic principles. I don't support a party or any political leader but I do support parties and political leaders whose politics conform to my basic beliefs.
- I do believe in the European Union Project. Even if we are passing through a period in which it has come to a halt I believe that this project is the only way to enrich this country, to protect the secular-democratic system and to prevent a religious state in the future. And I would support any party or leader who takes a step in that direction.
- I would strongly support each step, be it called initiative or whatever, to be taken toward solving the Kurdish issue which is the only factor standing in the way of any development in this country. To any leader or party that conducts politics in this respect I'd provide necessary support with my writings.
- I believe that the Cyprus issue has become a drag and needs to be solved without linking the solution to any condition. And again I'll support each step taken in that direction.
- I believe in Human Rights and Freedom of Thought. And any justification for limiting these rights, be it in the name of hallowing the state or protecting the integrity of this country, I'd oppose. But I'd take a side supporting any attempt to expand democracy and the rights thereof.
- I am in favor of a secular and democratic system. I strictly oppose the idea of turning Turkey into a religious state or a state lead by religious values. I'd oppose each step taken in that direction. I'll always be against such politics.
Let's be a society of the 21st century
We have entered the 21st century but a big part of our society still lives in the past. Our people are still far from universality and an international community. There are those among us who create their unique rules.
We live in a weird period of time.
We can't rid ourselves of a vicious cycle.
And those who condition the society in this respect and think of themselves as "writers" even though they have no world vision, are called journalists. But among those journalists there are very bright ones. And the number of those who have a positive perception of the world is not limited to a few.
Today I wanted to share with you my own world and basic beliefs.
I have applauded MHP and CHP's appropriate approaches and politics but also criticized others.
I have applauded AKP's many initiatives as well as briskly criticized other approaches.
We all struggle to make this country better. What makes us different is just our methods and how we try to reach the target.
***************************************
HURRIYET DAILY NEWS
EDITORIAL
CHANGE ISN'T EASY FOR ANYONE
In life generally, and in business in particular, we like to think of ourselves as being receptive to change. We like to imagine we are open-minded and adaptable.
Being comfortable with change is considered a great asset in any profession. When someone calls you a "change agent," it's a compliment, and you walk around the office taller, prouder, and more confident.
In fact, 20 years ago, being open to change was considered a plus, something that set you apart. Now, it's assumed. It's almost become a prerequisite for getting hired for any job in the first place.
But, in reality, change is difficult for everyone, even for those who say they've come to bring change. After all, if you are hired to bring about change, you have a mission. Your mission is to bring change, and probably a fairly particular kind of it. As a result, you want the change YOU want. In order to usher in that particular change, you have to be hostile to changes that don't fit well with it, and so sometimes even change agents turn into the resistance.
The difficulty grows when the company is large. Bringing change to a large organization is often compared to steering a large ship, and for good reason as the organization gets bigger, any change of course becomes slower and more complicated to execute. Unfortunately, even in the largest companies, thorough structural changes are often necessary for success. In today's business world, it is clear that companies that are able to adjust course and move with the market thrive while their competitors stumble.
But in order to make a significant structural change, you need strong, persistent leadership that can clearly define what is needed and can communicate that message throughout the organization. It might sound obvious, but even the biggest companies are made of individual people, and individual people are almost always afraid of change in some way. So you can't expect your company's middle-management ranks to help you lead change if you are any less than fully committed to it. And if you don't get your middle management to carry the torch, you won't get your lower-level employees to buy in on it, either. Making change happen requires the efforts of everyone, from the chief executive officer to the lowest-ranking line worker.
What makes change at a large company especially complicated is that the change itself becomes a process, and there's an unavoidable tension between the two concepts. Large companies have thousands of people whose work they need to organize, and that requires processes. Yet asking for change to be one of those processes is like asking oil to be like water. So as if it weren't challenge enough to expect thousands of employees to overcome their natural fears of change, you have to carefully balance two concepts that don't fit well together.
Small companies have a reputation for being more comfortable with change, and maybe that's true. But one advantage large companies have when they are going through change is that because their pockets are deeper, they are better-equipped to survive the inevitable missteps. Change involves learning, and learning involves mistakes. When those mistakes cause you to lose sales, or rack up unnecessary expenses or waste resources in some other way, a big company can usually find a way to fill in the gap while the organization figures out how to try again. A small company, on the other hand, might only get one shot before it goes bankrupt. Small boats might turn faster, but they also get knocked over by smaller waves.
It doesn't really matter who you are, or how big your company is. Change is equally hard on everyone, just in different ways. So the next time someone in your office praises you and calls you a "forward-thinking change agent," be proud and stand tall. But remember that secretly, somewhere inside of you, you too are afraid of change. Be humble, and remember that deep down, you have something in common with the office reactionaries.
fati@fatierdogan.com
www.fatmanurerdogan.com
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
GIVE AND TAKE
The civil service must be wondering which way is 'up' these days. Last September Prime Minister Gilani drove a coach-and-horses through established custom and practice, not to mention a raft of written procedural regulations and protocols, by elevating 54 bureaucrats from pay grade BS-21 to BS-22. He did so in defiance of any merit-based system and purely on his own recognisance; and without advice from the senior civil servants who, if asked, may have suggested to him that this is not the best way to win friends and influence people. On Wednesday the Supreme Court, acting on a suo moto notice, turned things upside down by reverting all those promoted to the grade they occupied prior to September last and further, depriving them of any perks and privileges that may have gone with the promotion which include a residential plot in Islamabad worth anything up to Rs15 million. The Supreme Court was of the opinion that the prime minister could not act unilaterally, and that in doing so he had deprived of the chance of promotion those who had a merit-based right to it.
The ruling pleases some, displeases others. Those pleased include those steamrollered by the Gilani patronage and nepotism machine who now find the road to promotion open to them again, as well as those who struggle to achieve merit-based appointments in the civil service. For too long the civil service and the bureaucrats who staff it have been subject to political manipulation, which has eroded their confidence and debased a system that must be divorced from politics. Instead, successive governments have groomed their placemen and then rewarded them with positions of power and authority. The sheer scale of what Prime Minister Gilani did was what took the wind from the sails of the civil service, and there are reports that he had anticipated the ruling of the apex court and that he is set to circumvent it by shifting his appointees elsewhere in the system. Shame on him if he does. We may be sure that there will be hatchling plots scampering around the feet of the judiciary as those who lost by their decision seek their revenge, and the judiciary has made some powerful enemies this day. The government cannot spout its commitment to probity and the rule of law on the one hand if on the other it usurps and perverts one of the primary pillars of democratic rule an independent bureaucracy. Titans may be about to clash.
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
IN COLDEST BLOOD
By all accounts Professor Dr Nazima Talib Mehdi was a popular member of the faculty at Balochistan University where she taught in the Mass Communication Department. She was also popular with her students who mourn her murder. We have lost not only a valuable and respected teacher but a poet and short-story writer as well. She died after being shot at least twice in the head as she travelled in a rickshaw out of the university. She had served continuously at BU since 1987 and had migrated to Quetta from Karachi. Her only crime, it would seem, was that she was not an ethnic Baloch. Her murder was claimed by a man alleged to be a spokesman for the Baloch Liberation Army who spoke to reporters saying that it was in revenge for the killing of two Baloch women in Quetta and Pasni and the torture of women political workers in Mand and Tump.
Her death is the latest in a long line of murders, some of which have been claimed by militant outfits in Balochistan and others of which have not. It is impossible to independently verify who actually carried out the killings and in the dark world of the conflict in Balochistan there remains the possibility of fingers other than those of a Baloch militant on the trigger. Whoever murdered Nazima Talib Mehdi deprived the world of a brave women she would undoubtedly have been aware of the risks that she ran in doing her job and an academic who had given selflessly for the last 23 years for the betterment of the young of the province of Balochistan. Presumably this is an irony lost on her killers. She joins the list of murdered academics and educationists that extends seemingly by the day in Balochistan. An attrition rate amongst academia in Balochistan at this rate is unsustainable and the government, both provincial and federal, needs to protect its intellectual assets better than it does currently.
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
ALIVE AGAIN!
The rumours, or claims, of Hakeemullah Mehsud being alive and well have resurfaced again, several months after we were told through newspaper reports that the militant who many feared as a particularly ruthless killer had been killed as a result of injuries suffered in a drone attack. A UK-based newspaper, quoting an unnamed ISI official, says Hakeemullah suffered wounds in the targeted strike but has since recovered. If it is true that Hakeemullah is still in charge of Taliban affairs, this might explain several things: why the Taliban have been able to continue what seems like a well-organised campaign of terrorist attacks and why we have not seen any signs of in-fighting within the outfit. A bitter tussle for power, which appeared at least partially to split the TTP, had followed the death of Baitullah Mehsud.
The new doubts now arising over Hakeemullah's death also prove once more how difficult it is to acquire accurate information from the conflict zone. There is a great deal we do not know. It is unclear where key militants are, and how many now wait in North Waziristan for what could be the final leg of the bitter internal war we have become locked in. Expert commentators have said the Taliban may deliberately have moved to areas where the terrain favours them the most. The possibility of Hakeemullah's presence there adds to the dangers. It is true that the Taliban are not entirely dependent on the leadership of a single man. This has been proven several times. But the possibility that they could for now remain unified behind a single commander adds to the threat they present and to the dangers that lie ahead.
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
THE NEW TROIKA
AYAZ AMIR
The political landscape is undergoing a shift, with some of the rules of engagement changing. Consequently, it is no longer true to say that the president, the prime minister and the army chief constitute Pakistan's ruling troika.
President, prime minister and parliament, collectively, now find themselves reduced to the position of one part of this trinity, signifying a diminution in the authority of both government and parliament.
The space thus vacated is being filled increasingly by a robust and hyperactive Supreme Court (SC), now widely seen as the second member of this troika. It is taking up matters, and exercising its suo moto jurisdiction, in an ever-expanding variety of fields, causing unease in the halls of government.
It is a measure of the government's diffidence, its exceptional lack of self-confidence, that even where it could have stood its ground -- as in the matter of Justice Ramday's extension and the desired elevation of Lahore High Court chief justice Muhammad Sharif to the SC -- it backed down at the last minute, embracing discretion over valour. But with the SC in full throttle regarding its suo moto interventions, the government can be forgiven for wondering whether it was right to make such a virtue of surrender.
The army chief is the one constant in this sea of flux, his authority not only undiminished but enhanced: firstly, by the weakness of the federal government; and, secondly, by the army's operations in Swat and South Waziristan. Small wonder that if the government is diffident, General Headquarters is riding a wave of triumphalism, the demoralisation of the Musharraf years a distant memory. As any student of Pakistani history knows, a growing imbalance between the military and political arms is not a good thing. It is the ground which nurtures Bonapartism.
To either side of this troika is a chorus consisting of the media. Just as a newly-empowered judiciary is still trying to get its paces right, a newly-empowered media is still in the process of finding the right note for itself. On the whole it is doing a splendid job, but elements in it seem little better than evangelists out on a self-proclaimed mission to reform the universe.
The SC sometimes gives the impression of taking its cue from these reformers. Time was when governments would get sleepless nights from real or imagined intrigues emanating from the GHQ. Today the danger to government is less from that quarter than from the holy marriage between media gladiators and judicial activism.
An active judiciary on the side of the people is something we have never had before. Now that we have one, this is something to celebrate. For too long generals and judges have collaborated to undo democracy. We need a new collaboration between democrats and judges to strengthen democracy. Sadly, this is not happening because democracy is failing to settle down, people are angry because of power cuts and food inflation, and many of the steps the higher judiciary is taking are contributing to this state of uncertainty.
The SC is doing everything in good faith. There shouldn't be any doubts on this score. But, unwittingly for the most part, its hyper-activism, the tendency it has shown to stray into fields which, strictly speaking, lie not in the judicial domain, are serving to distract the attention of the political government.
To be sure, governance is not what it should be. There is too much corruption in its territory, too much incompetence, too large a body of ministers not yoked to a common purpose. It doesn't help to have a president who has a huge image problem. It doesn't help to have a prime minister who is as much a product of accident as the president. But the government's plight is being made worse by the Molotov cocktails, so to speak, coming from the SC's direction.
The SC has done much good and its activism serves to keep senior officials on their toes. But not all its interventions have had happy endings. The Lahore High Court intervened in the matter of the pricing of sugar and we immediately had a sugar crisis on our hands. The SC looked into the question of petroleum pricing but nothing was settled to the public's advantage. Clearly, there are things the judiciary just cannot fix.
It is a good thing the SC is insisting on transparency in the LNG issue. Its judgment in the civil servants' seniority case should serve as a salutary reminder to the government that there can be no such thing as absolute and unchecked prime ministerial discretion when it comes to the promotion of civil servants.
But the question arises that if these are the standards the SC is setting for others, shouldn't it be applying some of them to itself? If the executive authority is not to exercise blind discretion in the promotion of senior civil servants, should the chief justice of Pakistan have absolute discretion in the selection and appointment of high court and Supreme Court judges? What is then so wrong with the 18th Amendment which spreads responsibility for judicial appointments, virtually eliminating governmental influence and only tempering to some extent the discretion of the chief justice?
It is not a little strange, however, that those in the forefront of the petitions in the SC challenging this particular provision of the 18th Amendment can be questioned about their own conduct in the recent past. Qazi Anwar, the president of the SC Bar Association, and senior lawyer Akram Sheikh, who are among the leading petitioners, felt no qualms about appearing before Chief Justice Dogar. They are now judicial purists of the highest order. But does it never cross their minds that only who have not sinned should cast the first stone?
Is it also not strange that those in the forefront of the lawyers' movement, whose leadership indeed kept the movement on the right path -- Munir Malik, Aitzaz Ahsan, fiery Ali Ahmed Kurd, Tariq Mahmood -- are either quiet these days or in private nurse the gravest suspicions about the moves to take parts of the 18th Amendment to the SC?
If Dogar is to be considered the touchstone of judicial evil, there should be some consistency in reckoning the guilt of those who had anything to do with him. As already mentioned, those who attended his court and appeared before it are now the leading defenders of judicial independence. The Nov 3 judges who went along with Dogar are in the wilderness, where they deserve to be. But one or two are not.
All the judges elevated to various high courts by Dogar were dismissed by a stroke of the judicial pen soon after Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry's rightful restoration. But at least 10 of the 17 present SC judges took oath under the maligned Dogar. It takes some effort to reconcile oneself to this idea, especially given the SC's zealousness in so many things these days. So much for consistency and double standards.
In the 18th Amendment parliament has undone the validation conferred on Musharraf's coup by the 17th Amendment. But parliament has shown grace by giving protection to the judges who swore fealty at the altar of Musharraf's PCO and then, in the Zafar Ali Shah case, endorsed Musharraf's coup and even conferred on him the right to amend the Constitution. Included amongst this number was My Lord the Chief Justice. No one's past is perfect. But the least an imperfect past should be able to do is inculcate a measure of tolerance.
It is not only political and military power which can go to one's head and lead to that common frailty of humankind: overreaching oneself. It applies to all forms of power, including judicial power, not that this admonition in any way is applicable to the present holders of high judicial office. Far be it from me even to suggest it. But perhaps it is useful to keep this caveat in mind as we go about pursuing the elusive goal of political stability and try to figure out ways to ease the plight of our sorely-tried people.
Email: winlust@yahoo.com
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
RIGHT TO THE CITY
AHMAD RAFAY ALAM
At the turn of last century, no more than a tiny fraction of the earth's population lived in its cities. As of 2007, the UN estimates that over half of the world's population lives in cities. Now, more than at any other time in human history, the study of cities is of crucial relevance. At the same time, there are massive challenges facing urban living.
With the future growth of cities to be in developing countries, the issues of housing and sanitation facilities, employment opportunities, education, healthcare and recreational facilities will meet political issues like human rights, equity, gender discrimination and religious intolerance. Then there is climate change, and the predicted water stress, food shortage, energy stress, ecosystem degradation and the mass migration that it will bring in its wake.
Without doubt, the understanding of how cities work urbanism, for lack of a better word is not just a local phenomenon. It is a global phenomenon.
To grasp the dimensions and repercussions of the challenges facing cities, it is necessary to appreciate the role cities have played in history. No other aspect of human endeavour is as complex and beautiful as the city. Cities are places of trade and commerce just as much as they are places of intellectual debate and culture.
The geographer David Harvey, in his influential paper 'The Right to the City' (New Left Review, 2008), places cities in the middle of the capitalist experience. "Cities have arisen through geographical and social concentrations of surplus product," he writes, "urbanisation has always been, therefore, a class phenomenon, since surpluses are extracted from somewhere and from somebody."
According to Harvey, urbanisation, especially the urbanisation witnessed in the last century, depends on the surplus product created by a capitalist economy. It's well known that capitalism depends on the reinvestment of surplus capital, and so the capitalist is always on the lookout for new customers and markets for his products and services. Usually, reinvestment takes the shape of new means of production, developing a "new and improved" brand or, where possible, jumping international political boundaries to find new markets for old products. Pakistani cars, for example, consume petrol with some of the highest quantities of lead found anywhere. This petrol is consumed here because environmental standards prohibit its consumption elsewhere.
Less noticeably, Harvey points out that capitalist reinvestment takes the form of infrastructure development in urban areas. He also points out that unnecessary wars also perform the same function (an idea earlier floated by one Major General Smedly D. Butler). Urban infrastructure is one of the largest single sectors of investment in the world. It is one of the World Bank's largest portfolios. It is so because the capitalist believes that motorways, high-rises, shopping malls and the like make his product or service attractive and available to the consumer. The capitalist influence on urban infrastructure development can be summed up in the observation of urban sociologist Sharon Zukin: "pacification by cappuccino".
The influential Pakistani urbanist Arif Hasan has put forward a similar view of the forces that shape life in our cities. In his paper 'The World Class City Concept and its Repercussions on Urban Planning for Cities in the Asia Pacific Region', Hasan proposed that multilateral lending agencies have as much a part to play in how our cities are shaped as the demands of the capitalists themselves. Cities like Karachi (or Mumbai, Seoul, Delhi) aspire to be world-class cities that have iconic architecture, characteristic cultural events, host international events, have high-rise apartments, cater to tourism and have large shopping malls. Since cities such as Karachi don't have the money to undertake such development themselves, they turn to international financial institutions like the World Bank for help.
The problem with this type of development and this is noted by both Harvey and Hasan is the cost at which it comes. Harvey points to urban revolutions (like the Second Revolution and the 1968 uprising in Paris or New York City's bankruptcy in 1975) and demonstrates that the large-scale urban infrastructure development that preceded the revolutions resulted in systemic dispossession. According to Hasan, no one knows what an eviction is like unless and until they've witnessed one. But the sad fact is that the only way to build the new hockey stadium is to raze the slum on its proposed location; the only way to build the new housing estate is by acquiring the land of the neighbouring villages. Both Harvey and Hasan argue that urban development has developed inequities that favour the capitalist over the poor and underprivileged.
Harvey goes a step further. In his book, 'Social Justice and the City', he argues that one of the problems with understanding urbanism is the vast chasm that exists between the two ways urban development is perceived. On the one hand, spatial scientists such as town planners or geographers look at the city in terms of its physical space and plan it accordingly. On the other, social scientists evaluate the city on the basis of criterion totally different. And neither the twain shall meet, it seems. Sir Norman Foster once said the man shapes his environment and then is shaped by it. Nothing could be truer for the shape our cities take. The question is: how is our design of our cities now going to affect us? If anyone were to draw conclusions on our society based on what it saw happening on city streets, it would be an indictment of us all.
In the Pakistani context, I am convinced that, at this time, none of the institutions that have the responsibility over our urban development have any idea of the influential work of David Harvey and Arif Hasan. Not only does Pakistan have immense challenges in its urban future, it needs to prepare itself at a fundamental level. At this stage, while still formulating an intellectual strategy on how to deal with our cities, we can also reflect on the right of the city. According to Harvey, the right to the city is not just the ability to individuals, especially the poor and underprivileged, to access urban resources, "it is a right to change ourselves by changing our cities."
The writer is an advocate of the high court and a member of the adjunct faculty at LUMS. He has an interest in urban planning. Email: ralam@nexlinx. net.pk
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
THE LAST LINE OF DEFENCE
AMEER BHUTTO
The 18th Amendment and the petitions filed against some of its provisions have sparked a lively debate, raising many questions. Some have questioned the assertion that only a constituent assembly can change the basic structure of a constitution. The people are the political sovereign and the only legitimately exercised authority is that of the people, by the people and for the people.
In light of this, the representatives of the people seek an explicit mandate from them through elections to frame the basic law by which the state will operate. Once this mandate has been granted, a constituent assembly comes into being which is vested with the powers to evolve a constitutional framework in accordance with the mandate. On the foundation of this covenant, once it is approved, the constituent assembly is either transformed into a legislative assembly or a fresh legislative assembly is elected which does not have the people's mandate to alter the basic structure of the covenant.
Any attempt to do so would amount to a serious fraud against the people and a violation of their prior mandate to the constituent assembly. Should circumstances arise in a nation's history when a radical change of direction becomes desirable, a fresh appeal to the political sovereign becomes unavoidable if some semblance of democratic legitimacy is to be maintained. The impetus for change must come from the people.
Professors O. Hood Phillips and Paul Jackson, in their book 'Constitutional and Administrative Law', make the point that written constitutions are characterised by their rigid nature and often contain certain basic features that cannot be amended because "in such cases any alteration would legally amount to revolution."
The French Fourth Republic was founded not by an act of parliament or an amendment to the Third Republic Constitution, but by a fresh appeal to the electorate, which approved the new proposed constitution in a referendum in October 1946. Similarly, when the Fourth Republic collapsed, parliament could not affect the requisite changes in the constitution or enact a new constitution since it was a legislative, not constituent, assembly. In recognition of such limitations on the power of parliament, it became necessary to hold another referendum in September 1958 in which the French people overwhelmingly approved the Fifth Republic Constitution. Legislative assemblies lack the constitutional and moral authority to impart legitimacy to fundamental structural changes in the social contract between the rulers and the ruled. Laws derive their legitimacy from the consent of the people. Laws that do not have such public consent are arbitrary diktats.
Concerns have been expressed that if the court were to strike down the 18th Amendment, or parts thereof, it would be going against a broad consensus. The fact is that national consensus exists only as far as the restoration of parliamentary democracy is concerned. There is no consensus to hamstring the judiciary, allow disgraced and disreputable convicts into parliament to rob the nation or turn unelected party heads into dictators with the fate of elected parliaments resting in their hands.
To the contrary, opinion polls have clearly shown that the people have far greater faith in the revitalised judiciary than this government, which they themselves elected. It is not the people who wish these disastrous changes to be made in the constitution, but all the nangas of the hamam who have their shortcomings to hide by subjugating the judges to their whims and want to preserve for themselves some role in politics through the back door should their putrid past catch up with them. Besides, consensus in parliament is not the sole, or even the most vital, litmus test for the validity of laws. What if consensus was to emerge in parliament that corruption should be legalised? Now that convicts are welcome in parliament, this may not be such a far-fetched scenario anymore. But laws cannot exist in vacuum, free of the ethics cherished by society. There has to be some element of moral appeal in them.
It must be mentioned here that the Concise Oxford Dictionary defines 'amend' as "make minor improvements to (documents, proposals, etc.)" or to "put right". It does not mean making major changes or replacing existing structures or frameworks with new ones. What the 18th Amendment does to the 1973 Constitution goes beyond such a definition of amending. Giving powers of judicial appointments to a parliamentary committee cannot serve judicial independence which is guaranteed in the constitution. There is nothing wrong with the present procedure for the appointment of judges. It worries only those who fear an independent judiciary, which is all the more reason to preserve it.
All concerns of the chief justice having too much power are preposterous. Does the executive branch not have unfettered powers in all the appointments it makes? If a parliamentary committee is to make judicial appointments, then why can the judiciary not make cabinet appointments as well as appointments to posts in other government agencies? Undoubtedly, nobody wants to travel down that road, which is why the separation of powers and independence of each branch of government under the constitution must be respected. Without this, the system will collapse. Similarly, parliamentary democracy is reduced to dust if an unelected party head can dictate the future of parliament and manipulate it at will and criminals and convicts find their way into the august body to further loot the nation. In one fell swoop, the 18th Amendment lays to rest all vestiges of judicial and parliamentary independence.
It is Pakistan's misfortune that it is saddled with a rogue government whose sole object is continuation in power and promotion of self-interests. If a Supreme Court ruling goes against its grain, the government blatantly disregards it with criminal impunity. If NAB laws rub it the wrong way, they are redrafted to allow loot and plunder and overlook past transgressions. If a close friend of the president gets into trouble and lands himself in prison, a presidential remission of sentences comes with lightening speed to free him, with comprehensive disregard for the fact that hundreds of other hardened criminals also walk free as a consequence of the remission. Of course such dazzling speed of action was nowhere in sight in bringing Benazir Bhutto's murderers to trial and the nation had to wait for 28 months for a UN inquiry report that reveals absolutely nothing new, taking us back to square one.
In a democratic system, parliament must serve as the corrective instrument to set right all wrongs. But what if parliament lacks the backbone to do the needful and, far from being the solution, is part of the problem? What if all parliamentarians care about is the preservation of the status quo to prolong their cushy power joyride and all the perks and benefits that go with it? What if they are more interested in saving their own skins by doing everything possible to escape accountability rather than doing what is right? Are we to grin and bear the unbearable till the bitter end and watch the country being destroyed?
No one wants a clash of state institutions, but if the democratic corrective instruments fail to function as they should, then the only remaining option, despite hysterical accusations of judicial activism, is for the courts to fill the void. Failing even this, far less attractive alternatives are likely to force themselves upon us. Under the circumstances, the judiciary is our last line of defence against complete ruin. It is the last ray of hope.
The writer is vice-chairman of Sindh National Front and a former MPA from Ratodero. He has degrees from the University of Buckingham and Cambridge University.
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
NO REVENGE ON ESTABLISHMENT
HARRIS KHALIQUE
"She was old, almost half-bent. Still, she would call on every house in the neighbourhood when there was some birth, a wedding, an ailment or a death. We were friends with her daughter-in-law and called her Khala. She had interesting stories to tell but would sometimes bore us to death by being too nostalgic about Agra. Nothing in Quetta was up to the mark, be it people, places, bazaars, food, parks, anything. Even the animal excreta there were less smelly and same-sized candles would last much longer than in Quetta. Her son, who was a clerk in railways, and daughter-in-law would challenge and tell her that Quetta was much cleaner, serene and liveable for them than Agra was. Would she ever agree? We were girls who were born in Quetta and sometimes got irritated by Khala's looking down upon Quetta. When we would ask her to go back to Agra if she disliked Quetta so much, a tear or two would quietly roll down her cheeks and she looked blankly into our eyes. I feel the same in Islamabad today. I now fully understand Khala."
My friend's mother started crying and said, "There is no concept of home if it is not Quetta. We have nothing to do with Punjab." They have just recently moved to Islamabad after their family, settled in Quetta for more than ninety years, was threatened continuously by a neighbourhood gang and boys were chased and attacked. I know many others who had to leave Balochistan over the past couple of years. Another friend who was born in Pishin and has just recently returned from the US after more than four years saw her two brothers threatened, attacked and then shifted to Karachi and Islamabad. Ironically, she was championing the Baloch rights movement on her campus in the US.
Over the past few years, I have written so many times about the plight of Balochistan, the legitimacy of the struggle for Baloch rights and the history of suffering of the Baloch nation at the hands of the Pakistani establishment, military and civilian alike, which is undoubtedly dominated by affluent Punjabis with Pashtuns and Karachiites as their junior partners. But the targeted killing of hundreds of teachers, ordinary workers, tradesmen and students in Balochistan because of having even a remote past connection with Punjab or speaking Urdu as their first language is terribly sad.
The recent murder of Professor Nazima Talib, the first woman professor of Balochistan University to be targeted, is no revenge on the establishment. Those Punjabi bureaucrats and senior military officers who are at the helm of affairs couldn't care less about people like Professor Talib, Professor Khursheed, Fazle Bari or many other teachers or wageworkers from Seraiki or central and northern Punjab regions or East Punjab (now India) who are settled in Balochistan either since the early twentieth century or post-1935 earthquake or for some decades after 1947. The Pakistani establishment and elite are slaves of their own petty vested interests. They have a track record of negotiating the release of 90,000 prisoners of war from India in 1970s but leaving 250,000 civilian Pakistanis to rot in camps in Bangladesh until today.
I am one of those who continue to insist that the struggle for the realisation of the rights of Balochistan and its old native population is a justified struggle. The state is fully responsible for bringing things to this stage. However, those waging the struggle must differentiate between perpetrators of violence and common citizens.
The writer is a poet and advises national and international institutions on governance and public policy issues. Email: harris@ spopk.org
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
BALANCE BETWEEN INSTITUTIONS
SHAFQAT MAHMOOD
All roads lead to the Supreme Court. It has literally become the forum of last resort against mismanagement, corruption and favouritism. It is also getting ready to sit in judgment over constitutional amendments.
These two jurisdictions may seem complimentary but they are not. The court is a creation of the Constitution and its powers flow from it. Thus, the court takes cognisance of a breach of fundamental rights under Article 184 (3) of the Constitution.
This article says, "Without prejudice to the provisions of Article 199, the Supreme Court shall, if it considers that a question of public importance with reference to the enforcement of any of the Fundamental Rights conferred by Chapter I of Part II is involved, have the power to make an order of the nature mentioned in the said Article."
The presumption is that in cases of mismanagement, corruption, favouritism or all other cases of this nature that the Supreme Court takes up directly, fundamental rights have been breached. Otherwise, it only deals with appeals against lower court decisions as the highest court of the land.
With regard to constitutional amendments, there is no provision in the Constitution that allows the Supreme Court to assume jurisdiction. In fact according to Article 239 (5), "No amendment of the Constitution shall be called in question in any court on any ground whatsoever".
The simple point to be determined by the court is whether it will follow the written Constitution or, taking a cue from Indian courts, will not only go beyond the Constitution but expressly against its direction.
Those egging on the court to do precisely this have little to rely on other than the Indian precedent. (As an aside, this in itself is interesting because some of those making this argument are rabidly anti-Indian.) Anyway, to bolster their argument and not to seem India-specific, they confuse the issue by quoting decisions from US courts and others where a particular law has been overturned.
It may seem repetitive to some readers but there is a difference between a mere law and a constitutional amendment. A law could be against a constitutional provision such as the fundamental rights. The courts, as interpreters, indeed custodians of the constitution, have every right to and should strike it down.
This has been done in many countries of the world, including the US. It has frustrated the politicians but no one has ever challenged the authority of the courts to do so. The situation is completely different with regard to constitutional amendments. Is there any example from a democratic country, other than India, where the courts have struck these down?
The court's 'eggers-on' give outlandish examples of the kind of constitutional amendments parliament can pass and then ask whether we should accept them. Among these, the favourites are that what if Pakistan is declared a part of India or women are declared men or fundamental rights are completely removed.
To believe that the two-thirds majority of both the houses of parliament sitting separately can pass such ridiculous amendments is beyond reason. But, let us assume that it does happen. Indeed, even in the current amendments some are patently undemocratic such as the removal of the party election clause and dictatorial power to party leaders.
What their passage implies is that within the body politic, meaning the political forces as a whole, there is consensus on these changes. The way to challenge them is to change the consensus. This can be done through mobilising public opinion which, in our context, means meetings and processions. And, if enough strength is shown, parliament will reverse itself or make other changes to satisfy the people.
It has begun to happen in the case of Hazara. The PML-N being the party under pressure has already started to say that maybe another name change should be brought about. It has also supported the creation of a Hazara province. All this is happening because of public pressure. This is the right way to break up an unjust political consensus.
The wrong way would be for the Supreme Court to start assuming a jurisdiction it does not have. This in no way implies a lack of confidence in the courts. In fact, if according to a survey a large majority of the people support the court, I would like to be counted among them.
An independent judiciary is an absolute must against a rampant executive or a misguided ruling party that starts passing laws that are unjust. It has the constitutional authority to hold them to account and declare their acts right or wrong.
A classic example of this is the recent court decision on bureaucratic promotions. While I feel it is the prerogative of the prime minister to promote people to the highest echelons as head of the executive he should have the ability to reward and punish -- this discretion should not be unfettered.
In this particular case, by and large, correct promotions were made. Having dealt with many of the officers involved, I think that in a majority of the cases, the prime minister made the right decision. But not in all. Some of the officers promoted had hardly spent any time in Grade 21.
This is not only unjust but a bad practice. A certain period must be spent in a particular grade before being considered for upward mobility. The Supreme Court correctly decided to overturn this misuse of discretion and asked the government to revisit the process.
The same is true of the Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) import case. The ministry may have made the decision in the national interest but it should have followed the prescribed procedure. This has been laid down to ensure transparency. The court did a great job in pointing this out and in the process gave a wakeup call to other office-holders and ministries.
This is the balance that a good democracy seeks; separate institutions of the state providing a check on each other and no individual or institution transgressing its constitutionally mandated role.
The last few words in the previous line are the key; constitutionally mandated role. In other words, the Constitution is the arbiter, the decider, the fundamental law regarding who has what power. No one has any authority beyond it and that includes the courts.
The problems that Pakistan faces today are huge and require a single-minded focus in resolving them. Anything that detracts from it, including a crisis among apex institutions of the state, will be lethal. A political crisis in a growing economy like Thailand has shown what damage can be caused by unrest and confusion at the top.
We have been through this before. This is one history we should not repeat. It is important for everyone to think this one through carefully.
Email: shafqatmd@gmail.com
***************************************
I. THE NEWS
EDITORIAL
BACK TO BASICS
KAMILA HAYAT
The Supreme Court's verdict to send 54 bureaucrats back to Grade 21, where they had stood before the sweeping reshuffle ordered by the prime minister in September last year, has rocked Islamabad.
It comes, quite obviously, as a big blow to the prime minister, who had, through the move, shifted those close to him to key posts. There is uncertainty about how he will react, and this adds to the general sense of disquiet that swirls through the wide avenues of Islamabad, with reports that the government may be planning defiance.
Such a move would of course trigger the institutional clash we all fear.
The Supreme Court has in its judgment made pertinent comments about the reasons why discretionary powers should not be used. It has spoken of the need to prevent institutions from being damaged by lifting individuals to top posts out of turn and noted that this violates the principles of good governance.
There is of course a great deal of relevance in all this.
What we need beyond all else in our country is the establishment of a system of merit that works smoothly and without disruption. When interventions occur they create a great many difficulties which may not be visible immediately.
The case of PIA offers up one example. Once a profit-making institution, it is in financial ruin today. Its efficiency has been badly impaired affecting the basic functions of the organisation. Political tampering in the affairs of PIA is a prime reason for this.
For reasons that need not be spelled out, it is important that the bureaucracy responsible for running all our administrative affairs be saved from this.
The government's response to the Supreme Court's verdict will be closely watched. Through the decades, our leaders have become unaccustomed to any check over their powers. In many cases they have reigned like demigods.
The new order of things, with the judiciary quite determined to keep a tight check on matters, is clearly not easy for them to accept. Like school-boys subjected to a tighter disciplinary order we see a great deal of fretting and the stamping of feet, at least in private.
What will the public response be?
The attempt to impose discipline within the system and end the tendency to use discretionary powers to serve particular purposes could have an extremely positive impact. But a great deal, of course, depends on how the government, and especially the prime minister, see matters and what its response will be.
Their reaction will determine almost every aspect of what happens next.
The writer is a freelance columnist and former newspaper editor. Email: kamilahyat @hotmail.com
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
SHARP AXE FALLS ON 54 BUREAUCRATS
THE Supreme Court has delivered yet another landmark judgement that would go a long way in upholding the principle of merit and contribute towards the cherished goal of good governance. After detailed hearing of the promotion case of 54 civil officers, three-member Bench of the apex court headed by Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhary declared promotion of these bureaucrats to Grade 22 as null and void.
The verdict authored by Justice Chaudhary Ijaz Ahmad pointed out that they were promoted in disregard of the rules, destroying the structure of the services and causing anger, anguish, acrimony, dissatisfaction and diffidence. The judgement will surely have far-reaching consequences not only for the affected officers but would also serve as a guideline in future for promotion in civil bureaucracy. There is no doubt that as a matter of principle the laid down criteria for promotion from one scale to other i.e. seniority should be given due consideration. There is also logic in the policy of 'best of the best' under which officers who perform extraordinarily get accelerated promotion. This option, if applied honestly and judiciously, helps improve the quality of service and encourages hard work and dedication but there have been instances when it was misused to favour some blue-eyed people who otherwise did not deserve out-of-turn promotion. In this case too, when the Prime Minister took the decision of promoting 54 officers, ignoring about 173 of their colleagues, it caused stir and there was criticism by certain quarters especially from the affected officers that the move was motivated by criteria other than merit. No doubt, some of the best performing officers got legitimate promotion but some of them were elevated unjustly. The decision described by some circles as whimsical, sent shock waves in the ranks and files of the civil bureaucracy and it was feared that it would adversely impact its output and performance. The Supreme Court has rightly pointed out that good governance is largely dependent upon the upright, honest and strong bureaucracy particularly in written Constitution wherein important role of implementation has been assigned to the bureaucracy. It has also emphasised that the purity of administration to a large extent depends on the purity of the services and this can be ensured only if promotions are made on merit without showing any favouritism or nepotism. In this case, not only large-scale out-of-turn promotions were accorded but also some of the most deserving officers were bypassed and that created commotion in the bureaucracy. The Supreme Court has, therefore, done well in striking down the move and this will send right signals to the bureaucracy that they can knock at the doors of the judiciary if something wrong was done to it.
The case and the judgement has once again highlighted the importance of the independence of the judiciary and justified the struggle of the masses for this purpose. People have great expectations from the judiciary and it is satisfying that it has started delivering as per demands of the justice. The aggrieved officers would take a sigh of relief and it is hoped that now their cases would be considered keeping in view their seniority and fitness. It is also good that the immediate reaction of the Prime Minister to the judgement of the Supreme Court was also positive. In a statement from Thimphu, capital of Bhutan, where he was attending the SAARC Summit, Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani not only solaced the officers who have been affected by the decision but also held out an assurance that the Government would comply with the orders of the apex court. As the Government is required to review the entire case as per guidelines of the Supreme Court, we would suggest that while doing so the Prime Minister may keep in view the extraordinary services rendered by some of the (now down-graded) officers. There are several achievers and doers like Kamran Lashari, Nargis Sethi, Masood Khan, Suhail Ahmad, Imtiaz Inayat Ilahi, etc who have rendered valuable services in their respective fields and they really deserve acknowledgement for this. Deserving people should not be bypassed as this becomes a cause of heart-burning and dissatisfaction but those who stand distinctly in their cadres should also be rewarded.
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
PRESERVATION OF ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES
WHILE attention of the Governments at the Centre and in the Provinces is concentrated on pressing issues, country's rich heritage including cultural monuments and sites face myriad threats from nature and human society. In this situation, it was heartening that a presentation had been arranged in the far-flung Mansehra district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa where speakers warned that our rich cultural heritage was threatened due to lack of attention by the authorities concerned.
In his presentation Prof Dr Farooq Ahmad explained in detail the nature of wide range of pollutants striking the stone masonry of the cultural heritage sites and suggested scientific methods to protect heritage of old buildings. Pakistan is rich with historical fascinating buildings starting from Mughal era while archaeological sites in excavated in Sindh, Punjab and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa are treasures for which a country and society must be proud of. Mohenjodaro, Makli monuments and Taxila are showcases of archaeological sites in Pakistan declared as world heritage. Taxila has more than 4,000 artefacts from the Gandhara civilisation and could be made a tourists attraction particularly for Buddhists from Japan and Korea. There are more than 200 archaeological sites in Punjab, over 130 in Sindh while Chitral, Dir, Swat and Khagan valleys are famous the world over and have a rich legacy of Gandhara, Buddhist, Hindu Shahi and Islamic civilisations. These archaeological treasures represent the glory and grace of societies of the past, carry a sense of identity, place and purpose that successive generations derive from these assets. Unfortunately, many of the historical sites, monuments, and buildings are deteriorating and disappearing. While natural forces have in part been responsible for this, it is also being accelerated by human intervention. The reason for this neglect is deeply rooted in economic, social, educational, political apathy and legislative indifference. There is a need that the Ministry of Culture must pay due attention to the renovation, preservation and protection of the archaeological buildings and sites with the cooperation of the Provinces and even international assistance could be arranged. The development of the archaeological sites with all required facilities for local as well as foreign tourists would not only generate revenue but also improve image and identity of Pakistan world over as the foreign tourists when back to their homes would tell their countrymen about rich cultural heritage and hospitality of peace loving people.
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
CASE OF THE HONEY TRAPPED HONEY
GEOPOLITICAL NOTES FROM INDIA
M D NALAPAT
Days before the Prime Ministers of Pakistan and India were to meet in Thimpu, the beautiful capital of Bhutan, media outlets in India were fed details of an Indian diplomat who had allegedly passed on privileged information to the Pakistan Intelligence Bureau (IB),the civilian counterpart of the ISI. Apparently, this had been going on for years, and one reason why it failed to come to the attention of the Research & Analysis Wing of the Cabinet Secretariat (the correct name of what is called "Raw") may be that few within that organisation had bothered about the IB, concentrating their attention on the ISI. The Pakistan IB was seen as another version of India's own Intelligence Bureau, whose primary function is to keep tabs on political opponents of the government in power, and to pass on juicy bits of information to them about the (often salacious) private life of those under watch, so as to get information that could checkmate the plans of political rivals. That such a capability is no laughing matter was proved during the just-concluded parliamentary debate on several Cut Motions tabled by the Left parties and the BJP. Had any of them got passed, the Manmohan Singh government would have had to quit. Not surprisingly, the government got the support of those political parties headed by individuals against whom criminal cases are pending and are under investigation by central agencies. Far better to please the government than to annoy it into accelerating the process of accountability.
By allegedly winning over Madhuri Gupta, a 52-year old woman officer of the Indian Foreign Service (IFS), the Pakistan IB has scored a coup, embarrasing the clubby IFS. However, it is pointed out that Ms Gupta is not among the "First Caste" of the IFS (those directly recruited after passing a civil services examination that has changed little in form over a century) but comes from the "Second Caste", those promoted to the IFS from outside that elite group of just six hundred. Ambassador-level postings are relatively much fewer for those in the Second Caste, who never gain access to the top job in sensitive missions such as those in Washington, Beijing or Islamabad. Often, they have to work as aides to their First Caste colleagues, watching as these overtake them in pay and rank, despite being much younger. The fact that career prospects differ for direct recruits to the IFS and for those conferred the IFS has long been a sore point among those doomed to serve out their careers in lower-level posts, because they did not come up through the Civil Service examinations. Madhuri Gupta would certainly have been resentful of her relatively slow promotion trajectory, though this by itself does not explain her apparent going over to the other side. Media reports speak of a gracious 56-year old Pakistan IB officer, Mudassar Rana, who apparently charmed the lady. However, all this is as yet media speculation.
What is certain is that Indian security agencies will no longer neglect the IB in their surveillance of the ISI. Fortunately, a definite maturity seems to have dawned in the media coverage given to the episode. In the past, there would have been hysterical reactions, and wall-to-wall coverage. However, despite the rarity of an IFS officer being accused of spying for a foreign country, the reaction has been muted. It is accepted that such episodes will take place between countries. Indeed, far more effectively than Pakistan, it is the US that has succeeded in wooing several top Indian officials over the years, including in the RAW. The lure of US citizenship and the advantages of life in that country (such as for the education of children) have lured many within even the armed forces into parting with more information than was permitted by their superiors. The security agencies in India are less paranoid about contacts with the US (including the many close friendships that have bloomed between Indians and Americans brought together in the line of duty), because of the fact that the US has in effect become an ally of India. Obviously, as yet Pakistan is in a different category, being bracketed as a potential foe. Hence contacts with those belonging to security agencies in Pakistan are viewed with much more attention than those with the overwhelming majority of countries. Assuming the vivacious Ms Gupta was indeed passing on privileged information to her friend in the Pakistan IB, how much damage could she have caused to core Indian interests? Most likely, much of the useful input would have been on the attitudes and reactions of the IFS fraternity towards relations with Pakistan. Private talk would have been a much better indicator of depth of intent than official statements. The IFS colleagues (including visitors) whom Ms Gupta would have accessed would have been very clued in to the swirling political and policy currents of New Delhi, where different lobbies compete with each other the way they do in the US. Perhaps it is information provided by her that led Prime Minister Gilani to say that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was not getting the backing of his party in attempting to make peace with Pakistan.
Certainly, Congress bigwigs are wary of the former bureaucrat's lack of respect for political perceptions. For example, it is known that the PM was in favour of an agreement on Siachen, but was stopped from making such a gesture by others who were wary of the impact on public opinion of such a stance. As is the case on the other side, it is the anti-India lobby in Pakistan that is the best ally of the anti-Pakistan lobby in India. Each hard-line act in Islamabad dries up political support in Delhi for a conciliatory line, forcing Prime Minister Singh to adopt a hard-line position. While public opinion in India broadly welcomes better relations with Pakistan, there is substantial distrust of the intentions of the Pakistan army, which is regarded not only as seeking the secession of Kashmir but the very disintegration of India. Unlike the view in Pakistan, where the 1971 campaign was seen differently, in India, the prevailing view is that by releasing the 93,000 Pakistani POWs without putting any through a War Crimes trial, and by seeking to improve the position of Z A Bhutto (over the military) by making concessions at Shimla in 1972, India showed its good faith with Pakistan.
Because of the absence of any positive result of those concessions, the view has evolved that any concessions to the Pakistan army are a waste of time. It is regarded as a truism that the brass in India's western neighbour will never cease its operations against India "until one of the two countries breaks up". Unless there is a long period of stability in India-Pakistan relations, the preconditions for an overall settlement are unlikely to be met, no matter what the exertions of Hillary Clinton. The US Secretary of State is seen as a staunch ally of the Pakistan army, on whose behalf she is presumed to have enthusiastically supported the shedding of his powers by President Zardari. Her man Richard Holbrooke has been quietly seeking an Indian pullback in Afghanistan, but these days, almost nobody in India's officialdom accepts his opinions, especially given his visceral distaste of India's ally. President Hamid Karzai, who -like President Zardari - has been a victim of Hillary Clinton's monochrome view of the region. It is unlikely that Second Secretary Madhuri Gupta would have gained access to any actionable intelligence on India's policies in Afghanistan, for the reason that these have been firewalled so as to keep them secret even from the US. It has become clear that the Pentagon under Robert Gates is continuing the Buish-Cheney policy of going along with the ISI in Afghanistan, so that it is now a matter of time before the Taliban takes control of at least 40% of that country. In order to limit the militia's reach, India will once again need to work in close concert with Iran and Russia, and already the preliminary moves towards such cooperation are being made.
Some in policy circles are even hopeful that this time around, China and Saudi Arabia will join hands with India in Afghanistan in backing President Karzai, rather than back elements of the Taliban. As for the US, that country is seen as war-weary and financially strapped, eager to find a face-saving exit policy. Once the US withdrawal takes place," India needs to ensure that President Karzai does not end up a Najibullah", a senior official told this columnist. "This time around, the Taliban needs to be contained and finally eliminated with the help of the Pashtuns led by Karzai". Because of the involvement of the Taliban in acts of terrorism in India, this time around, Delhi will play a direct role in the coming joint battle against that militia, a battle that may pit Moscow, Tehran and De
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
THE MADHURI GUPTA AFFAIR
SULTAN M HALI
An Indian diplomat, accredited to Islamabad, 53 years' young and single Ms. Madhuri Gupta, has been arrested in New Delhi and charged with passing on information to Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, while posted as a second secretary in the Indian High Commission's press office. According to "The Daily Telegraph", India's Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) intelligence service launched an investigation into her activities in Islamabad around nine months ago after colleagues raised concerns about her behaviour. Acquaintances of Miss Gupta said she was a linguist who provided English and Hindi summaries of Pakistan's Urdu newspapers to the High Commission's press attaché.
A colleague commented: "I'm shocked. She was an outgoing type, and she had lots of friends in Pakistan". Investigators believe she had been working secretly for Pakistan for two years, and it is alleged she obtained information from the RAW station chief in Islamabad and passed it on to her handlers. She was recalled to Delhi last weekend, on the pretext of a briefing on this week's South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation meeting in Bhutan, and then interrogated by officials from the Ministry of External Affairs and RAW. According to Press Trust of India (PTI), Ms. Gupta had worked in the Indian mission for nearly three years and is alleged to have passed on information from the Islamabad's station head of RAW, RK Sharma who is also under scrutiny in connection with Gupta's arrest. Indian authorities and experts are seething with rage at the Madhuri Gupta affair. G K Pillai, India's Home Secretary confirmed her arrest on espionage charges in a curt statement. New Delhi police also confirmed her being taken into custody, stating that the arrest of Madhuri Gupta was made under the Official Secrets Act (OSA) on charges of passing "strategic secrets" to Pakistan. She has been booked under sections 1A and 2A of the OSA that carry a maximum punishment of 10 years. Indian External Affairs Ministry spokesman Vishnu Prakash also confirmed Madhuri's arrest on charges of passing information to Pakistani intelligence agencies. He refused to say anything further, except that the matter was under investigation and the arrested official "is cooperating with our inquiry".
The episode could not have occurred at a worse time. Just when US pressure on India was mounting to renew dialogue and accept Pakistan's strategic interest in Afghanistan and India was harping on the rusty tune on "Pakistan not cooperating on the Mumbai Attack", the espionage case has dropped like a ton of bricks on it. Out of sheer exasperation, Bal Thackeray, the venomous and rabid anti Muslim and Pakistan baiter has commented: "They are attacking us with their terrorists, they are kicking us out of Afghanistan, they are sidelining us at major global summits and conferences, and now they are stealing our women? India mai kya hijray rehte hain jo woh mard dhoondne Pakistan gaee hai?" Arun Bhagat, a former chief of India's powerful Intelligence Bureau, called the arrest "a matter of shame." B. Raman, a former senior official in India's RAW intelligence agency and still actively contributing to RAW sponsored webpage "SAAG" has tried to do damage control by stating that "As a Second Secretary in the Press and Information Wing, Gupta might not have had much access to sensitive intelligence." However even he concedes that despite being relatively junior, she may have caused serious harm to India's interests "as she was working in the high commission, she would have had access to various offices in the Indian High Commission for performing furtive tasks such as planting bugs in the offices of the high commissioner and other diplomats, attaching transmitting devices for transmitting the telephone conversations of the high commissioner and others to the officer who recruited her."
RAW operatives have been having serious trouble in the recent past. Some cases, which have hit the media, are mentioned below, there could be many more, which have been swept under the rug. The most infamous case which shook RAW out of reverie was of Rabinder Singh who became a mole of US intelligence agency CIA and flew to the US despite being under RAW surveillance. Singh, who initially worked with the Indian Army, held a very senior position with RAW handling Southeast Asia. By the time the agency sensed his affiliations; Singh too smelled a rat and escaped to the US through Nepal. In 2007, RAW had to call back its 1975 batch officer Ravi Nair from Colombo because of his alleged "involvement" with a woman agent of Chinese intelligence acting as honey trap for him. According to reports, after the Rabinder Singh incident, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had sought details of RAW officials who have either gone missing or changed their loyalties. A list of about nine such officials was presented before him who deserted the organization since it was formed in late 60s to serve Indian intelligence purposes. Official sources say a personal assistant to a very senior RAW official disappeared in London in the early 90s. Ashok Sathe, another official was also believed to have defected to the US after his mysterious disappearance. Sathe was said to be behind burning down of RAW office in Khurramshahr, Iran.
In the early 1980s a senior field officer disappeared in London. As attaché in Kathmandu, he was alleged to be liaisoning with foreign intelligence agencies. Whereas I am tempted to comment gleefully on the "affair" which Ms. Gupta was allegedly having with her "handler" a Captain Rana, according to "The Times of India" Op-Ed: 'Honeytrap? Lady diplomat caught spying for Pakistan', I would rather conclude with a comment from an Indian reader Sachin from Mumbai in the same daily, who admits: "Indians are corrupt to the core. It is only personal growth without concept of nation. No wonder we are laughing stock. We shall continue to be a third rate nation, since we do not want to be disciplined, cultured, principled, clean, respect for law amply shown by everyday examples." So much for home truths!
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
HOLY QUR'AN, GUIDANCE FOR ALL
THE SPIRIT OF ISLAM
MAHMOOD RIAZUDDIN
This is the Book [the Qur'an], whereof there is no doubt, a guidance to those who are Al-Muttaqeen [the pious and righteous persons who fear Allah much, abstain from all kinds of sins and evil deeds which He has forbidden] and love Allah much [perform all kinds of good deeds which He has ordained]. Surah Al-Baqarah
Islam is a soft, enlightened and moderate religion, which is based on the teachings and principles laid down in the divine book, the Holy Qur'an. Besides providing a complete code of life, the book opens up ways for research on the Nature, and the Western philosophers, scientists, researchers and the champions of socio-economic rights and revolutions have been seeking guidance from it. The book was revealed to Holy Prophet Mohammad [PBUH] on the holiest night of Ramadan the 27th: "Verily! We have sent it [this Qur'an] down in the night of Al-Qadr [Decree] Surah Al-Qadr" and the Almighty Allah Himself interprets what is Al-Qadr: "The night of Al-Qadris better than a thousand months [ie worshipping Allah in that night is better than worshipping Him a thousand months ie 83 years and four months]." So, a book gifted by Allah to his most beloved Holy Prophet [PBUH] is certainly the most valuable blessing that covers the whole spectrum of life and has been providing solution to every problem since its revelation.
To utter dismay, if on the one hand, the West has derived from its teachings and made strides in science and technology finding ways and means for their development and prosperity, the Muslims particularly in the present age have shelved the divine book and consequently, they have lagged behind in spheres of life right from moral values up to technological development. Many of them just take it enough to recite Quranic verses just in their prayers and never bothered to go through the teachings and principles laid down in it. And majority of the Ulema [scholars] who were required to interpret the teachings and principles, have confined their sermons just to serving their personal interests or to earn repute, otherwise, they never appear practicing the Quranic teachings in their own lives. There are, however, a few people who have constantly been continuing their research on Qur'an. Such a valuable work has been done by Zahid Malik, the author of Mazameen-e-Quran also. "An indeed We have fully explained to mankind, in the Holy Qur'an, every kind of similitude" (Surah Bani Israel verse 89)
In the book Mazameen-e-Qur'an, the author has compiled all Quranic verses by subject numbering about 700. He has placed all the Quranic verses on each subject in a single chapter, and thus made easy for researchers, speakers, students and in short people belonging to every strata of life, to trace any subject, which means the book serves as an easiest source of guidance from Holy Qur'an. Holy Qur'an must not be regarded mere 'a divine book'. One of its meanings is to a collection also. This envisages solutions to all issues right from the common ones up to those of global nature. Holy Qur'an serves as a password of solution to all issues. This is a key to all covert and overt sources of knowledge.
One of the greatest miracles of Holy Qur'an is that just its listening has changed one's life in this world and the life hereinafter. For instance, Omar, the second caliph of Islam, who had emerged from his home with the intention to assassinate [God forbids] the Holy Prophet [PBUH], but as he listened a few Quranic verses, he gave up all his stone-heartedness and as a caliph, proved to be very kind towards his subjects. Today, the whole of Islamic world is confronted with oppressions in different regions while those who have won freedom, are in search of ways to establish a welfare society.
Some have chosen democracy while others regard socialism, the use of force or imposition of own doctrines the best solutions to this chaos and mayhem. But the fact remains that the followers of Holy Prophet [PBUH] who gifted 80 per cent laws to the modern world, had never qualified from Howard or Oxford Universities. All of them had studied just Holy Qur'an. Therefore, it is our religious obligation to revert to Holy Qur'an. For this purpose, we must understand, learn and practice what has been ordained in the holy book. Mazameen-e-Qur'an has been compiled to achieve this very objective. Actually, Mazameen-e-Qur'an in itself is Holy Qur'an. However, this is not in the established order of Surahs. As the pious ones know, Qur'an touches upon a single topic, subject or issue at different places and different Surahs, in one way or the other.
Mazameen-e-Qur'an is a collection of verses of different surahs on a single subject. And then these have been divided in separate chapters as per their text, objective or order. In this way, the whole of Quran 30 paras, 114 Surahs, 6,666 verses has been reproduced under 700 subjects. Suppose one intends to study or collect all verses on the topic of "contentment", he needs not to go through the holy book page wise, but he can trace the topic in the list of contents of Mazameen-e-Qur'an and then go through all the relevant verses quoted from different paras and Surahs on a particular page. Certainly, no other concept of easiest form of Holy Qur'an does exist.
For instance, the author has placed the following Quranic verses under a single caption - Provision: "Beautified is the life of this world for those who disbelieve, and they mock at those who believe. But those who obey Allah's Orders and keep away from what He has forbidden, will be above them on the Day of Resurrection. And Allah gives (of His Bounty, Blessings, Favours, Honours, etc. on the Day of Resurrection) to whom He wills without limit." Surah Al-Baqra, verse 213. "And eat of the things which Allah has provided for you, lawful and good, and fear Allah in Whom you believe." - Surah Al-Ma'eda, verse 213. "And no (moving) living creature is there on earth but its provision is due from Allah. And He knows its dwelling place and its deposit (in uterous, grave, etc.). all is in a Clear Book (Al-Lauh Al-Mahfuz the Book of Decrees with Allah)" - Surah Hud, verse 213. "And Allah has preferred some of you above others in wealth and properties. Then, those who are preferred will by no means hand over their wealth and properties to those (slaves) whom their right hands possess, so that they may be equal with them in respect thereof. Do they then deny the favour of Allah?" - Surah Al-Nahl, verse 213
"And so many a moving (living) creature there is, that carries not its own provision! Allah provides for it and for you. And He is the All-Hearer, the All Knower." - Surah Al-Ankabut, verse 213. "Say: "Truly, my Lord enlarges the provision for whom He wills of His slaves, and (also) restrict (it) for him, and whatsoever you spend of anything (in Allah's Cause), He will replace it. And his the Best of providers." - Surah Saba, verse 213. All the subjects or topics which a human being can derive from Holy Qur'an, have been compiled in Mazameen-e-Qur'an in alphabetical order. Here are a few subjects: Prayers, Wisdom, Hajj, Quranic prayers, Holy Qur'an and Science, Leader and masses, Islamic economic law, Social classification, Contentment, Trade, Succession, Sectarianism in religious, Repentance, Social evils, Angels, Provision.
The author of the book, Zahid Malik is a prominent journalist who has also established Nazriya-e-Pakistan Council, to highlight the very philosophy and ideology of the creation of Pakistan ie a motherland of the Muslims where they could live their lives in accordance with the Islamic code side by side granting due rights to the minorities. Hopefully, Mr Zahid Malik will also initiate "Ahadith by subject" or "Qur'an and Hadith by subject" and it will be a great service to Islam and the Ummah. Recently, Lahore-based M/s Bin Qutab International (Pvt) Ltd have taken an initiative to publicise Mazameen-e-Qur'an on a massive scale. There is a need that others particularly the charity organizations come forward to publicise this book of great value.
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
TERRORISTS AND TERRORISM
AFSHAIN AFZAL
The investigation conducted by the Maharashtra's Anti Terrorist Squad (ATS) in connection with 2008 Malegaon blasts was something which the people of India as well as the world were unable to digest. Despite solid evidences in the shape of stuff recovered and confessional statements of involvement in terrorism, there are still Indian leaders who think they can cover the rot. Home Minister of Indian state of Maharashtra, R.R. Patil last week denied that the Malegaon blast culprits had hatched a conspiracy to eliminate the then Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) General Secretary Mohan Bhagwat, who presently is heading the organization. Let's pray that the statement of Mr Patil, unlike his earlier political statements, is not mere an eyewash. However, if his denial is mere a formality to avoid turning the state into a battle ground, India is passing from a very critical and dangerous stage i.e. unannounced war within the Indian society.
On one side, RSS which is the reflection of Hindu spirit, is being stopped from emerging as one of the strongest political party while on the other, the Indian Military Intelligence (MI) under the command recently retired Indian Chief of Army Staff General Deepak Kapoor remained committed in one of the bloodiest game against the religious factions in India. With an aim to accommodate aliens and attract investments and tourists, those who believe in religion including Hindus and Muslims are being treated undesired elements. With the change in command in Indian Army, General Vijay Kumar Singh there is likely chance that all the underground detachments in Indian cities and border areas to achieve the objective will be closed. There are many analysts who claim that they have authentic reports that Maharashrta ATS chief Hemant Karkare was killed to put a tap on the conspiracy hatched by Indian Army against the religious minded Hindus and Muslims. It is being claimed that Indian MI had supplied chemical powder to its agents, which could kill a person if applied to his footwear. Plans have also been chalked out for Muslims who leave their footwear outside the mosque during prayers. This proposition is not some any sort of hearsay as recorded conversations that took place between the members of the network involved in Malegaon blasts clearly indicated about a chemical powder which could kill a person in two to three days if applied to his footwear. In between the conversation, there were highly inflamative, abusive and derogatory remarks about Bhagwat. Presently, the tapes containing conversations are held by Maharastra Police. Interestingly, Nationalist Congress Party leader, Jitendra Awhad also disclosed in the assembly that the Malegaon blast culprits had conspired to kill RSS General Secretary Mohan Bhagwat and pass on the blame to Pakistan's supreme intelligence agency, Inter Services Intelligence (ISI).
If we recall, Malegaon blast took place on September 29, 2008, in which six people were killed and over 120 injured. Investigations confirmed involvement of 28 persons including Sadhvi Pragnya Singh Thakur, Indian MI officer Lieutenant Colonel Prasad Purohit, Shankaracharya Dayanand Pandey alias Sudhakar Dwivedi and others. Interestingly, Home Minister Patil while responding to demands to ban right-wing organizations like the Abhinav Bharat, Sanatan Sanstha and RSS, he admitted that activists of these groups were involved in the Malegaon, Thane, Nanded and Goa blasts, however, he claimed that it could not be conclusively said that the organizations, per se, were involved in the act. One wonders that in the presence of solid evidences and the confessions by the members of network for their involvement in terrorist activities, honourable Maharashtra's Home Minister is still doubtful, then how come New Delhi is so sure about various Muslim groups including Lashkar-e-Tayyiaba (LeT) and Jamaat-ud-Dawah (JuD) in terrorist activities.
In the recent development, a conspiracy against Indian Mujahideen (IM) is in the full swing in which it is being alleged that IM is mastermind behind the February 13, 2010 blast in Pune's German Bakery that killed 17 people, including four foreigners and injured over 60 people. Ironically, the authenticity of Maharashtra ATS was doubted in case of Hindu groups but a consensus has been achieved between ATS personnel and Indian leaders that IM is behind the German Bakery terror blast and that its leader Riaz Bhatkal and Yasin Bhatkal are key culprits. It is pertinent to mention here that IM was not under the scanner in German Bakery blasts but with the appointed ATS chief Rakesh Maria all of the sudden IM and Baktals become main conspirators. Home Minister Patil was swift enough to declare Bhatkals, who are resident of coastal village in Karnataka as absconder in the case. It is strange that despite their voluntary confession by members of Hindu groups, Indian leaders like Home Minister Patil are still not sure about involvement of these Hindu groups in terrorist activities, however, they are dead sure about Muslims' involvement in similar crimes.
There is a thin line between an outlaw and a terrorist. Plans to kill top Hindu and Muslims leaders by applying chemical powder in their footwear is, no doubt, act of terrorism. But challenging the writ of an illegitimate government is not even a crime. Thus those Kashmiris who are fighting an armed battle against India security forces in Indian held Jammu and Kashmir are not terrorists but freedom fighters. However, if these Mujahideen carryout plan for mass killings of Muslims, Hindus or other minorities who are not fighting against them, it would amount terrorism. It is has been proved that over one and a half dozen officers belonging to Indian Army including Lieutenant Colonel Purohit of MI were involved in Malegaon, Nanded and Samjoutha Express terrorism but we cannot brand whole of Indian Army and MI as terrorist organizations.
Similarly, elements in Abhinav Bharat, Sanatan Sanstha and RSS might be involved in terrorist activities but these groups as a whole cannot be declared terrorist organizations. The present day India has lost its values in almost all aspects, however, there are few people left in older generations and some other odd groups who are struggling to revive old India. All the inhabitants living in Indian subcontinent are Indian, they must accept each other and live with perfect harmony as they were living together from centuries. Branding one another as terrorists would not help anyone but would only strengthen enemies of India and the aliens. In this difficult phase under which India is passing, New Delhi should not prepare grounds for the imperialists, capitalists, Zionists etc to invade India for another couple of hundred of years.
***************************************
PAKISTAN OBSERVER
EDITORIAL
DEEP THOUGHTS BEFORE ARMAGEDDON
VIEWS FROM ABROAD
ROBERT WRIGHT
The Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty review conference, which is underway in New York City since Monday and lasts through May 28. Since the fate of the world could hinge on stemming the spread of nuclear weapons and this goal could in turn hinge on strengthening the treaty at these every-five-years review conferences. The basic idea of the non-proliferation treaty, one may recall, was to keep nuclear weapons from spreading beyond the five nations that had them in the 1960s, when the treaty was born the United States, Russia, China, France and England. Other parties to the treaty pretty much the whole rest of the world agreed to foreswear nukes in exchange for (a) a pledge that the big five would gradually get rid of all their nukes, and (b) assistance in using nuclear energy peacefully (which would entail international monitoring of the peaceful use to make sure it stayed peaceful).
Recent experience with Iran, a treaty member, illustrates one problem with this set-up. The treaty lets members enrich their own uranium or plutonium, and having the technology to do your own enriching can get you closer to building an actual bomb than was generally imagined back in the 1960s. Hence what may be the most important idea that will be seriously discussed at the review conference: the multilateralisation of the fuel cycle. If this idea took hold, fuel enrichment would increasingly be done not by treaty member nations themselves, but at international enrichment centres, after which the fuel would be sent to the nations. This would make it harder for a member's nuclear energy program to covertly spawn a weapons program. Alas, this idea is very unlikely to get past the discussion stage at this year's conference. A comparably important idea that has even less chance of going anywhere this year is also illustrated by Iran specifically, by the news last year that Iran had a nuclear facility that had escaped the awareness of the International Atomic Energy Agency, which polices the non-proliferation treaty by monitoring declared nuclear facilities. In light of this surprise, it would be nice for the IAEA's inspection powers to extend well beyond officially declared sites, so that (a) suspicions of off-site shenanigans could be quickly pursued, and (b) more data would be collected to begin with, so that valid suspicions would be more likely to arise. Something like this has actually happened in the form of the "additional protocol" to the non-proliferation treaty, but acceptance of the protocol is a voluntary, state-by-state thing. Some people want the protocol or some variant of it to become mandatory.
One reason neither of these worthy reforms will pass is that as with a disconcerting number of international organisations and confabs nothing of substance can happen at the review conference without a unanimous vote. And that's a pretty tall order when you're talking about 189 nations. On the other hand, important amendments to the non-proliferation treaty have been known to pass unanimously (notably in 1995). So change isn't impossible. But change is impossible when lots of those 189 nations are annoyed with the nations that are pushing for change. And that is the case here. Some of the annoyance gets back to the fact that one of the main ideas of the treaty to confine nukes to the big five hasn't entirely panned out. Though the treaty has slowed nuclear proliferation, three nations India, Pakistan and Israel never signed the treaty and have long had nukes. And North Korea joined the nuclear club more recently. This makes some nuclear have-nots unhappy with the United States. Not because we aided this proliferation; even Israel, our closest ally among those nations, didn't get its nuclear technology from us. (Apparently it was the French who helped out the Israelis. Go figure.) The problem, rather, is that we seem to be fine with India, Pakistan and Israel having nukes, whereas we go ballistic (figuratively) over the possession of nukes by North Korea. And North Korea, having dropped out of the treaty around the time it got a nuke, has the same status in international law as India, Pakistan and Israel. For that matter, Iran, though a member of the treaty, could drop out at any point and, if it then built nukes, would also share that legal status.
So our policy seems to be: It's OK to have nuclear weapons outside of the non-proliferation treaty if you're an ally of ours, but if you're not then it's an egregious and dangerous violation of vital international norms. Of course, to Americans, the policy doesn't look that way. It looks more like: It's OK to have nukes if you can possess them responsibly and you don't have leaders whose behaviour raises doubts about their future self-restraint. Perhaps the most egregious surfacing of that attitude (and here we get back to the John Boltons of the world) came during the Bush administration. In 2006 President Bush reached a deal with India which had refused to join the treaty and built nuclear weapons instead that actually gave India American nuclear technology!
Though the assistance was to the civilian part of India's nuclear program, the deal frees up resources for India to build more nuclear weapons should it decide to. So the message from Bush was: If you stay out of the treaty so you can build nuclear weapons, we'll help you build even more so long as you're our friend. And, since the India deal remains intact, so does that message. In sum, if you want to list specific policies that gratuitously offend the have-nots, and thus dim the chances of progress at conferences like this, the leading proliferators of such policies are Boltonesque conservatives, both back in the Bush administration and, still today, in the Senate.
But the fact that we still have time to do some visionary thinking before the apocalypse sets in is a tribute to the non-proliferation treaty. In the 24 years before it was opened for signature in 1968, five nations had acquired nuclear weapons; now, 42 years later, only four additional nations have them, notwithstanding the mushrooming of nuclear know-how. The treaty has basically worked, and for now keeping it as strong as possible is crucial. And if you ask, along with some of its conservative critics, why it isn't even stronger, part of the answer is their past and present behaviour. The New York Times
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE INDEPENDENT
EDITORIAL
SAARC STANDS FIRM
FOCUS ON REGIONAL PROBLEMS
The South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation (SAARC) leaders meeting in Thimpu, the capital of the little Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan, focused most of their attention on climate change and fighting terrorism.
The entire subcontinent is flushed by the rivers that emanate from the world's highest mountains. But these river systems are increasingly under threat as glaciers and permafrost are fast melting. The short-term impact is one of mega-floods and the long-term, of no water at all. If this problem is not addressed now, nothing can be done in the future.
Terrorism is also a major issue as the entire subcontinent is wracked by violence. The worst hit is the western parts where an unstable situation in Afghanistan and Kashmir is taking its toll on India and Pakistan. In the east, Bangladesh has taken a firm stand against the terrorist outfits of north-east India. Nevertheless, its remnants are trying to use the comparatively safe haven of Bangladesh to regroup. All these are also political problems of sorts. And the nations of the region must show determination to fight out its violent ramifications and also display foresight in dealing with genuine aspirations, particularly when it is shared by a large number of people. Stalling, which has been characteristic of this area, may not always be the right way to resolve issues.
Responding to climate change
The prime minister of Bangladesh Sheikh Hasina has proposed an interesting idea at the current SAARC summit - formation of a Himalayan Circle, modeled after the Arctic Circle. Already the SAARC countries have decided on developing a 300 million US dollar fund to address environment challenges of the region and the Himalayan Circle may just be the right step forward. Establishing a research center for studying probable adaptive strategies is also a good proposal as the region will need to develop solutions to its unique problems that may or may not come from global forums. We certainly hope the leaders of the region will take these proposals into consideration, seriously.
***************************************
THE INDEPENDENT
EDITORIAL
RECONCILIATION IN SIGHT
INCREASED WAGE FOR GARMENT WORKERS
At a time when the unceasing turmoil in many garments factories has threatened to escalate beyond the factory boundaries, the government and the leaders of the Bangladesh Garments Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) have sat together to respond to the crisis highly positively. After the meeting on Wednesday the labour and employment minister assured that a revised wage package for the labourers of the garments sector would be announced within three months. Hopefully, garments workers will be able to draw higher wages before Ramzan. What is even more encouraging is the minister's open admission that the demand for pay hike by the workers is 'legitimate'.
After months of recrimination that has vitiated factory environments and soured industrial relations, this should be considered a most positive development. Now that there is a fresh offer, the process of its implementation should be streamlined, highlighting the merits and transparency. The message should be clear to all the parties involved so that everyone can find a meeting point and the agreement is satisfying.
To be productive and competitive
An environment of harmonious industrial relations is a prerequisite for our garments industry to stay in business which in turn is in the interest of both factory owners and workers. The type of violence workers have often resorted to causing untold public sufferings, certainly gives the impression that they want to chop the branch on which they are perched. That is suicidal. This fresh initiative by the minister should bring all the aggrieved parties to the negotiating table and help assuage the bitter feelings that might have been created over time. Let us make it clear that our garments factories need to be more productive and competitive in the face of stiffer global economic challenges.
***************************************
THE INDEPENDENT
EDITORIAL
HELLO SHORTY..!
"
Be like Madam Bruni, take a smaller model.." French advertisement for Citroen C3 hatchback
Poor Sarkozy, Citroen, one of France's biggest car manufacturer has a new ad telling French readers to be like their tall First Lady, who married a shorty, and likewise they should also buy smaller cars!
President Sarkozy, sources say is livid! He's never been too happy with comments made about his height, for that matter who is? "I mean it's not my fault is it if I'm short?"
"No President it isn't!"
"And despite that a woman five inches taller fell for me!"
"That's true Mr President!'
"Despite my height I was elected President of France!"
"Of course Mr President!"
"So my height doesn't bother me, do you understand?"
"About that Citroen ad Mr President?"
"You idiot! Stupid nincompoop!"
Well, well, so his height does bother him doesn't it? Poor man he's going to spend the rest of his life trying to show the world he can do all the things tall men do and do foolish things to prove his point; his first I believe, in divorcing his first wife and marrying Bruni, to show the world he was capable of getting a beautiful model!
"Mr President!"
"Yeah what is it?"
"There was a short man who lived 2000 years ago who felt like you!"
"Who's that?"
"Zacheus!"
"Was he a President?"
"No, a tax collector, and a very powerful man, who persecuted and humiliated his people because he was
"
"Short! Yeah I know that feeling, you feel the whole world is laughing at you, so you want to prove that you are bigger than them!"
"Right you are Mr President!"
"So what did he do?"
"He heard one day that the Lord was in town and climbed onto a Sycamore Tree for he wanted to see and hear him speak, and when he had heard the Lord speak, he climbed down from the tree
"
"And taxed the people again ha, ha, ha?"
"No Mr President, he returned with interest all the extra money he had taken from the people and he called the Lord into his house for tea!"
"Wh
what did the Lord do to him?"
"Ah Mr President, Zacheus was told that how he was outside; short or fat, ugly or handicapped didn't matter, what mattered was how big he was inside, and he decided to accept the Lord's teachings and become a huge man inside, and he did Sarkozy, he did! Would be a good idea if you did too sir, instead of banning burqas and stuff like that..!"
***************************************
THE INDEPENDENT
EDITORIAL
CONTRACT FARMING FOR ENSURING FARM INPUTS
ASIF MAHFUZ
The government of Bangladesh has taken initiatives to reach finance to the poorest of the farmers in the rural areas. Farmer's access to finance is one of the major problems in the rural areas. This is a major drawback to achieve the stated goals of the government, self-sufficiency in food and alleviating poverty at the root level. Since the main earning sources of the rural communities are agriculture and cattle rearing and the majority of the farmers are poor, ensuring these farmers' access to finance is of great importance for the rural economy and the government.
For this, the government has taken various steps from allocating special agro loans to opening up accounts for the farmers for a nominal 10 taka fee. The governor of Bangladesh Bank has even declared that the banks will try to make the unaware farmers aware by taking massive awareness building initiatives. Even Jatra and canvassing through mike in the rural hats/markets will take place to achieve this goal.
There is no doubt that the government is earnestly trying to give the farmers access to finance. But in reality the effectiveness of the programme is under question. There are several reasons for this.
The main reasons are difficulty of finding the right farmer, high operating cost of reaching individual farmers for small amounts of loan, securing a guarantee for the loan by availing proper collateral for the loan, reluctance of the managers to take the risk of disbursing loan to farmers and reducing the cost of realisation and management to a minimum. For these reasons most of the bankers give the loan to large-scale farmers or to the input traders, with enough transaction with the bank and collateral for the loan. Also most of the farmers are not aware of better techniques and inputs, which increase the unwillingness of the managers to give loan to the farmers. Also the managers are directly responsible for the loans that they disburse making them reluctant to take risk, no matter however the government encourages the private banks. In reality some banks are giving the allotted agro loan to MFIs, who will redistribute the loan at their own rate. Also some other banks have taken strategy to give loan to the input retailers, who in turn will give the input to the farmer in credit. Some other private banks have made consortium to give loan through selected MFIs. In most of the cases, the member of these MFIs will get the benefit.
Contract farming can be a good solution to address these problems. In theory contract farming is a system where agricultural production is carried out according to an agreement between a buyer and farmers, which is based on certain conditions for the production and marketing of a farm product or products. Typically, the farmer agrees to provide established quantities of a specific agricultural product, meeting the quality standards and delivery schedule set by the purchaser. In turn, the buyer commits to purchase the product, often at a pre-determined price or the market rate. In some cases the buyer also commits to support production through, for example, supplying farm inputs and land preparation facilities, providing technical advice and arranging transport of produce to the buyer's premises. Another term often used to refer to contract farming operations is "out-grower schemes", whereby farmers are linked with a large farm or processing plant which supports production planning, input supply, extension advice and transport.
In this system the contractor can be guarantor for the loan, which will be given to the farmer. Also if the contractor himself is an input dealer then the credit can be given in kind. The contractor in this case will supply the input in credit and when paying the farmers for the crop after harvesting, the contractor will deduct the due amount. Moreover cultivation technology and other necessary inputs can be delivered to the farmer through the contractor. If the contractor has link with seed companies, they also can be involved to provide technical support. Thus all the needed inputs and technologies can be delivered through one point.
In a pilot project, Uttara Bank and National Bank, Gaibandha branches have disbursed crop loan of 12,60,000 and 40,40,000 respectively, in this Rabi season (2010) to a total of 135 farmers in contact farming model. In this case, the contractor acted as a guarantor. Most of the farmers in this scheme are char dweller, landless farmers who do not have any kind of asset or collateral. CP Bangladesh is providing the seed in partial credit to the contractor and also providing training for the farmers in this project. CP feeds and Aftab feeds will buy the harvest, maize in this case, from the contractor at market rate. The farmers will also sell the product to the contractor at market rate. The contractor will get a commission from the feed companies as his incentive.
Contract farming is used for a wide variety of agricultural products in developed and as well as underdeveloped countries. In Bangladesh large companies like Pran, Bombay Sweets are doing contract farming in limited scale. Now the multinationals like CP feeds of Thailand is planning to do contract farming in Bangladesh to ensure supply of quality maize for its feed mills. CP is even setting up processing plants in their purchase centres around the country so that farmers can dry or shell their product according to the quality requirement.
India, Thailand, and China, all these countries are doing contract farming either with government support or with private company's support. In India around 11 state's agricultural boards are directly involved in contract farming. Contract farming is also practiced in India by MNCs like Cadbury in cocoa, PepsiCo in potato, chilies and groundnut, Unilever in tomato, chicory, tea and milk. Local corporates are also doing contract farming, like Ballarpur Industries, JK Papers and Wimco in eucalyptus and poplar trees, Green Agro Pack, VST Natural Products, Global Green and Sterling Agro in gherkins, United Breweries in barley, Tarai Foods in vegetables, Namdhari Seeds in seeds and so on.
Like the agriculture sector of Bangladesh, the agricultural sector of India is dominated by small farmers practicing primitive agricultural methods for cultivation and harvesting crops. But, with the growth of India's economy, there has been a sudden spurt in contract farming. More and more established business houses are taking interest in contract farming as a result of rapid growth of retail industry. The growth of retail industry has propelled the growth of farm retail in India, which caters fresh vegetables and fruits from the farms to the Indian mass. In Bangladesh the retail chain stores are also growing and in some cases high end mega stores like Nandan and Agora are doing limited service contract farming to ensure constant supply of high quality fresh vegetables for their customers.
It is clear why the business sector is gunning for contract farming. They seek to integrate the supply chain to ensure timely availability of quality and quantity of raw material. Significantly, it also reduces the cost of the product by doing away with the middlemen. Not only do they get the raw material as per their specific demands but also at a lower cost. It is also believed that the participation of the corporate sector in the farming segment will play a crucial role in technology transfer, capital inflow as well as lead to assured markets for crop production.
For the farmers the main benefits are improved access to local markets, assured markets and prices, especially for non traditional crops, farmers' enhanced access to production inputs, mechanisation and transport services, and technical advice.
Just like any other form of contractual relationship, if not operated properly there can be some problems with contract farming as well. If the terms of the contract are not respected by one of the contracting parties, then the affected party stands to lose. Common contractual problems include farmer selling to a different buyer (side selling or extra-contractual marketing), company's refusal to buy products at the agreed prices, or downgrading product quality to give lower price. Side selling by farmers to competing buyers is perhaps the greatest problem constraining the growth of contract farming. Contractors also may default by failing to pay agreed prices or by buying less than pre-agreed quantities. Moreover, buying firms, which are invariably more powerful than farmers, may use their bargaining clout to their financial advantage.
Buying the crop at market price might be one solution; also pre-determined criteria for grading the product can solve part of the problem. Strengthening farmer organisations to better access appropriate services such as credit, extension services and market information and improving their contract negotiating skills can redress the issue of exploitation of farmers and poorly formulated contracts and their enforcement.
There are some other issues also; one of the main issues is to provide infrastructural support for contract farming. This will require both public and private sector investments in roads, cold chains, electrification and processing plants in different areas. Like CP, if other agro-based corporates come forward then private processing and storage facilities will grow up.
Despite these typical problems, contract farming is gaining popularity as it is being used to ensure timely supply of quality products for the corporates. On the other hand, for the farmers it is a major way to get access to technology, seeds and finance through one or two major channels. For Bangladesh it might mean the solution to the problem of reaching finance and ensuring market linkage for the farmers.
(The writer is a faculty member of business department of Eastern University.)
***************************************
THE INDEPENDENT
EDITORIAL
OPINION: SILENCE OF THE CIVIL SOCIETY
SHIMUL CHAUDHURY
In current political and social debates, the term 'civil society' seems to have enjoyed something of a vogue. Its role in Bangladesh provokes an interesting study for researchers. Here are some thoughts on it.
Before Awami League came to power in late 2008, a catch phrase that the people of this country heard again and again was 'civil society'. Generally people in the upstairs in the social hierarchy with enormous privileges and foreign links use the banner of 'civil society' to wield power in Bangladesh without directly becoming involved in political parties.
An objective research on the pros and cons of this group will show that, the loyalty of the members of this amorphous coterie is clearly divided.
They are torn between their country of birth (Bangladesh) and the rich countries where their children are now comfortably settled. Many of them maintain second homes in other countries.
A sad phenomenon in Bangladesh is that such people who choose foreign lands for their children seem to have a stronger say on the country's policy matters.
Unfortunately, this privileged group always subjugates people who have wholeheartedly accepted Bangladesh as their country and are ready to die for it.
Although the civil society cries neutrality and refuses to admit that they maintain favoritism for one political party or the other, their sympathy for Awami League and for the current regime in Bangladesh is undeniable.
Consider, for example, their past cries about violations of human rights at the time of the previous political government in Bangladesh and their dead silence now when lawlessness and countrywide anarchy perpetrated by the affiliates of the ruling party has surpassed any such records of the last few decades.
It seems that people in the rank and file of Awami League are heading to reach the level of crimes carried out by the Rakkhi bahini during the first Awami government in the early 1970s.
Killings, rapes and then threatening the victims and their families are now commonplace and taken-for-granted matters for the cadres of Awami League.
Attacking people of opposition political parties, teasing women and raping them occupy big columns of newspapers.
Unfortunately, these do not seem to draw attention of the co-called 'civil society'. Nor can they elicit adequate statements of condemnation from them.
Given these facts, I have one humble appeal to the 'members' of the formless civil society: If you think your loyalty does not belong to this country, please keep away from 'our' political and social debates.
This poor country fares quite well without your undue intervention.
However, if you love this country and if you think you are honest in your patriotic protestations, please be consistent in your concerns for civil rights.
Your dead silence in the face of criminalities and wrongdoings of the affiliates of Awami Leauge really battles the nation.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
DETERRENT OR SMOKESCREEN?
HEALTH EXPERTS PREDICT A REDUCTION IN SMOKING
ACCORDING to the Cancer Council and Heart Foundation, the Rudd government's crackdown on smoking will prompt more than 100,000 adults to quit the habit and prevent 25,000 children taking it up. Hopefully this will be the case, although experience suggests the price hike may be more effective in dissuading people from starting to smoke, rather than breaking long-term addictions. For many smokers, however, the thought of handing over $17.95 for a packet of 30 cigarettes will be a stronger deterrent than plain packaging.
Links between smoking and cancer and smoking and heart disease are beyond dispute, but as with drug abuse, fast food, not exercising, heavy drinking, speeding and other risky behaviours, the decision about whether to take the warnings on board or ignore them and cop the consequences ultimately rests with individuals.
As a society, we have taken the anti-smoking message on board. Fifty years ago, about 75 per cent of Australian men smoked; the figure is now below 20 per cent. And in recent years, the proportion of Australians older than 14 who smoke has fallen from 30.5 per cent in 1988 to 16.6 per cent in 2007.
Unfortunately, smoking rates remain higher among the people who suffer most from price hikes - lower socio-economic groups, including indigenous Australians, the unemployed and people with mental illnesses.
The Rudd government has form for whipping up media hype over binge drinking and alcopops to distract the Canberra gallery from more intractable problems. Even so, it would be cynical to suggest the announcement of the anti-smoking measures was timed as a smokescreen to smother interest in Kevin Rudd's backflip over his so-called "greatest moral challenge of the age" climate change. After having the recommendations of the National Preventative Health Taskforce in its drawer for eight months, it might be coincidence the government chose this week to announce its response.
The Prime Minister boasted yesterday that the banning of logos, brand imagery, colours and promotional text on cigarette packets would be "the most hardline regime in the world, and cigarette companies will hate it". They do - and time will tell whether their threatened legal challenges prove effective or hot air.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
WHY CHINA IS THE KEY TO EUROPE'S DEBT CRISIS
A GREEK BAILOUT IS ONLY THE FIRST STEP TO A SOLUTION
BEIJING, not Berlin, holds the long-term solution to Greece's economic crisis. Yet while Germany will eventually be forced to help bail out its European Union partner, there is scant evidence China will come to the party any time soon. Instead, Greece, not to mention the rest of Europe, and in fact the rest of the world, will remain vulnerable to the huge global imbalances of savings and debt that lie behind the crisis, and which Beijing must now address.
The immediate causes of Greece's travails are, of course, years of economic mismanagement and lack of productivity, plus a gaming of the eurozone's rules on debt and deficit levels that allowed the government to keep borrowing its way out of trouble. Blame Brussels. Blame the euro. Blame Goldman Sachs. All played their part in the story that ends with Greece drowning under debt of E300 billion, a debt-to-GDP ratio of 124 per cent, and a budget deficit of 13.6 per cent of GDP. Without the constraints of a single European currency, which denied Athens the option of adjusting the drachma to help work its way out of the crisis, and without Wall Street providing camouflage via derivatives for the country's failure to meet EU targets, Greece may have stopped the rot. But look elsewhere for the deeper cause of the turmoil: to the oceans of cheap money available to a struggling economy that blithely piled up debt rather than attack the fundamental flaws in its system. That availability of cheap credit was underpinned in large part by a China determined to keep its currency low enough to generate a massive market for its exports and then happy to recyle that surplus back to the US and the rest of the world to fund excessive spending. China's currency fix created growth that lifted hundreds of millions of its people out of poverty in recent years. There are many hundreds of millions more waiting for a similar transformation. Thus China's logic collides with the global demand for a rebalancing of debtor and surplus economies. This is not to deny the part played by the US in contributing to these imbalances, as it continues to run a large budget deficit.
For now, Europe stands on the brink, with the debt-laden economies of Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain all in dangerous territory. Britain, too, is in a dire state: it may have stayed outside the eurozone but the pound has not been enough to save it from its own debt-and-deficit problems. It is still not clear whether action from the EU and the International Monetary Fund will save Greece from some form of default on its debt, but a rescue is just the start of the changes needed to get southern Europe back on track.
The Greek bailout will cause ructions in financial markets, but Australia's sound economy and banks should protect us from the fallout. Capital will cost more, but our big companies are cushioned by having raised equity to refinance debt since the GFC. As early as November 2008, this newspaper argued that Australia would survive the crisis with less damage than most developed economies in Europe and North America. Later, we recognised that Europe would be the hardest hit. And unlike Kevin Rudd, who argued in his GFC essays that greed caused the crisis, we recognise global imbalances as the real problem that must now be addressed.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
A CRISIS OF LEADERSHIP
SO WHO WAS REALLY IN CHARGE ON BLACK SATURDAY?
THERE was no secret about the horrendous fire dangers confronting Victoria on February 7 last year. This newspaper had for days carried reports of the weather conditions that were making the state a tinder box. The government had been warning Victorians they were facing the worst conditions in the state's history and the Herald Sun and The Age gave it prominent coverage that morning.
Yet as is now being laid bare at the royal commission into the Black Saturday fires that claimed 173 lives, the government, police and emergency services failed to build a co-ordinated response to the crisis and failed to issue adequate warnings to some of those in the path of the fires. Leadership went missing as communities were devastated. We will never know whether lives would have been saved if senior police and emergency service personnel had operated differently. But at the least, Victorians have been badly let down by the response. It is now clear that while many worked tirelessly, there was a crisis of leadership at the highest levels. The legal lines of authority are clear: under legislation, the police and emergency services minister was responsible, with the police commissioner as No 2. But the minister, Bob Cameron, was not in the emergency control centre until 8pm and neither, for much of the day, was the then police chief, Christine Nixon. Her visit to her hairdresser, her meeting with her biographer and her early departure for dinner at a gastro-pub continue to cause problems for Ms Nixon, now the chairwoman of the Victorian Bushfire Reconstruction and Recovery Authority. She says she trusted those around her to do their jobs but her deputy commissioner, Kieran Walshe, says he thought she was on duty; emergency services commissioner Bruce Esplin thought she was in charge. Ms Nixon appears to have been more bystander than leader, the recipient of briefings rather than director of the response. Russell Rees, the head of the Country Fire Authority, who has resigned, was at the control centre but the commission has noted he did not appear to become actively involved in operational issues. In fact, counsel assisting the commission said yesterday Victoria was being run by committees on Black Saturday. The commission is due to report by July 31, but already we are seeing Black Saturday will be remembered not just for the dreadful human toll but also for the failures of those at the helm.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
POOR POLITICAL SKILLS DOOMED RUDD'S CLIMATE POLICY
KEVIN RUDD'S PRINCIPAL ANSWER TO CLIMATE CHANGE, AN EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME, WAS DOOMED TO FAILURE BECAUSE LABOR'S APPROACH PUT SYMBOLISM BEFORE SUBSTANCE AND POLITICS BEFORE POLICY.
At various stages in Labor's policy development, flaws have been incorporated that ensured the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme would not succeed practically or economically.
The scheme has not just failed politically but has cost the credibility of the Prime Minister and of his government.
Rudd has oversimplified the answer to climate change for public consumption and concentrated on empty symbols, short-term political gains and grand international accords. The decision to dump the CPRS - and that is what it is, despite talk of extending its implementation to 2013 - is the culmination of a series of tactical and strategic errors. These include exaggerating what could be done, playing down the economic cost, over-politicising the process, failing to systematically explain what was involved and then suddenly capitulating.
Senior Labor figures recognise that if the CPRS is revived the approach will have to be very different. For three years the ratification of the Kyoto Protocol and the introduction of a market-based ETS have been the foundation stones and political weapons in Rudd's campaign against the Coalition and climate change sceptics.
His strategy has been to divide and defeat the Coalition on the issue, use it as a central re-election theme and demonstrate his commitment to real reform and the "greatest moral and economic challenge" we face.
Everything was on his side, including public opinion, media coverage, fears about climate catastrophes, environmentalists, climate change scientists, the UN, the international isolation of Australia and the US and even a large part of the Coalition.
As opposition leader Rudd embraced the ratification of Kyoto as his climate change talisman and successfully forced John Howard, under public pressure and from within his cabinet, to cede ground on an ETS.
Encouraged by climate scare campaigns on a global scale, which cast the Coalition as climate change deniers and environmental dinosaurs, Rudd relentlessly politicised the issue and exploited the overwhelming goodwill of the public.
While political strategists attested to the power of using climate change to divide the Coalition and portray Rudd as forward-looking and modern, the Labor leader latched on to the ratification of Kyoto as the defining difference between him and Howard, who refused to ratify the protocol because he considered it to be against Australia's economic interests.
Rudd, while accusing Howard of delaying action on climate change, brought forward the implementation of his proposed ETS scheme to 2010 in contrast to Howard's 2012 start date because "inaction cost more than action".
Only days after becoming Prime Minister, Rudd flew to Bali and ratified the Kyoto Protocol at a climate change conference amid much fanfare. People felt good something was being done.
But the action was purely symbolic, an empty gesture designed to get Australia a place at the table of international climate change negotiation. But it led nowhere. Indeed, according to Oxford University research just published in the journal Political Geography, the embracing of the protocol "suggests that the symbolic power of Kyoto has created a veil over the climate issue in Australia at the expense of practical legislation and implementation of projects to physically reduce Australian emissions".
Oxford researchers Nicholas Howarth and Andrew Foxall argue that the "veil of Kyoto" actually hid much higher emissions than the Rudd government was admitting to and has led to an international failure. "The Kyoto Protocol has framed the politics of greenhouse gas mitigation in Australia. While we find it has exhorted a powerful international symbolic norm around climate change, its success at encouraging environmentally effective policy has been limited," the two write.
"The lesson from the 2007 election and subsequent events in Australia is a caution against elevating the symbolism of Kyoto-style targets and timetables above the need for implementation of mitigation policies at the nation-state level."
Rudd moved in the opposite direction, using inflated language about challenges to our children and grandchildren, the greatest moral and economic challenge of our time while inflating the role of international bodies, meetings and agreements.
To delay passing the CPRS into law until after the Copenhagen UN climate change conference last December was, in Rudd's words, "absolute political cowardice", "absolute failure of leadership" and an "absolute failure of logic" that should not prevent Australia from leading the world on climate change.
Unfortunately, between ratifying the Kyoto Protocol at the Bali climate change conference and preparing to be "a friend of the chair" at the Copenhagen conference Rudd had failed to convince a willing Australian public about the need and justification for an ETS, a scheme that would push up the price of electricity and transport and that would threaten jobs.
The closer the government got to actually implementing a scheme that cut greenhouse gas emissions, the less convinced the public became about the costs and effectiveness of the CPRS. As Howarth and Foxall write: "As the inconsistencies between symbolism and policy become reconciled, Rudd faces the risk of alienating Labor from groups [that] favour strong action on climate change and those more worried about short-term prosperity being damaged by mitigation policies."
The Rudd scheme neither achieved greenhouse gas cuts nor convinced consumers and workers the risk they faced of increased household costs or job losses was worthwhile. Instead of systematically explaining the scheme and justifying the need for cost increases, Rudd turned climate change into a moral issue and got tied down in intricate, legislative detail and was distracted by foreign baubles. His penultimate failure was pushing then leader of the opposition Malcolm Turnbull and the Coalition over the political brink before he had a deal last year and his ultimate failure has been to just drop the CPRS without a fight or conviction.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
HEALTH SYSTEM IS STILL AILING
THE Council of Australian Governments meeting on April 19 and 20 was the culmination of events with origins in Kevin Rudd's political commitment in 2007 to take over and fix the health system if the states had not done so. Following the prolonged study by the National Health and Hospitals Reform Commission and more than 100 hospital visits across the nation by the Prime Minister and Health Minister Nicola Roxon, hopes were high. In reality, the COAG communique is a mixed bag and must be tested as to whether it represents a workable framework for reform.
Rudd rightly discerned the system was at a tipping point in respect of funding for the future. In every Western country, health costs are rising well ahead of the consumer price index. This is even more critical in the light of costs associated with our ageing population detailed by this year's Intergenerational Report in January. The capacity to fund future growth has now been resolved by COAG, subject to ongoing negotiations with Western Australia, with significant funding from the commonwealth with its access to growing revenue.This is the one big tick.
The premiers at COAG were concerned primarily with public hospitals, always a big issue for state budgets. These views were put most stridently by Victorian Premier John Brumby.
Concern in the community, however, is for the quality of health care more broadly and people's access to it. Primary care, and its interface with hospitals, matters as much as hospitals themselves, as services increasingly will be delivered outside hospitals.
Aged care is becoming an urgent issue. There is a need for elderly people to be looked after in or near their homes, with expanded community nursing and nurse practitioners and access to rehabilitation hospitals and services, rather than seeing the elderly as a negative issue for public hospitals, just needing more nursing homes.
Mental health entails hospital and community services and needs urgent development. There is a crying need for better preventive health services.
These are all seen in the COAG communique as commonwealth responsibilities, but there is nothing in the proposed governance arrangements to assure us that they will operate as a unified system.
During the past 15 years, states have seen controlling hospital costs as their prime concern, although taking note of public complaints about waiting times in emergency departments and waiting lists for surgery. Hospitals are managed against budgets, numbers of patient separations and waiting times. In NSW and Queensland, management is controlled directly by health departments. In Victoria, former premier Jeff Kennett had established network boards, filled largely by people with finance and business backgrounds, used to management by numbers and with little or no understanding of medical issues. Casemix funding somehow removed a need to understand what was being done.
Calls for intervention in 2007 were stimulated by events in Bundaberg, Queensland, later reinforced by happenings at the Royal North Shore Hospital in Sydney, and then in the trauma unit at the Alfred in Melbourne, all hospitals performing well
on their budgets and numbers.
The Garling review in NSW identified the problem as being due primarily to the profound separation between management and medical staff, who felt they no longer had any respected role in their hospitals.
Many times every day, doctors need to make difficult, urgent decisions, often on incomplete evidence. The tradition of professional review, now termed "clinical governance", is a crucial component of ensuring continuing safety and quality of a hospital's performance. Public hospitals are there to provide medical services to sick people, not to provide numbers to state governments, and where medical staff members feel ignored by management, these processes of review fall quickly away. Moreover, university-linked teaching hospitals are the standard setters with their clinical research, testing the quality of outcomes and assessing the value and safety of new developments.
This largely was ignored by the NHHRC and is in danger of being lost following COAG.
Rudd, after his hospital visits, recognised that management needed to be delegated to hospital network boards and that these should include medical input. He indicated support for hospital research. If boards are to be appointed and supervised by the state bureaucracies, however, there is little to give confidence that change will occur in hospital management.
NSW introduced medical executive positions in all its hospitals after the Garling review, but Victoria believes its hospitals are fine. The problem, though, has not been confined to NSW.
The further issue of how the local network boards will relate to the sectors of primary care, aged care, mental health and other services remains for oversight by states' officers with limited background in these areas.
The communique refers to new state-based "joint intergovernmental authorities" that will have "no policy or operational role" but act as "funding authorities". This was no doubt agreed in the final stages to get across the line, leaving no role for the commonwealth to monitor use of the funds in terms of hospital performance.
In reality we need, state by state, a joint health service authority overseeing co-ordination in planning and service delivery for all sectors. To use state bureaucracies to oversee hospitals is sensible to avoid duplication, but there must be a framework to ensure approved national policies are delivered through reporting to such bodies.
As the commonwealth is the main funder, it should lead such bodies, bringing planning and delivery of its own sectors into joint planning and delivery.
In Britain, the National Health Service had become strangled by bureaucratic regulation. The reforms led recently by Lord Darzi have vastly improved services there, with the principle that at every level, there must be a partnership between doctors and administrators. He used medical schools as the principle tool for this package. We need similar changes here, embracing the whole system.
The proposed further consultations that will lead to the COAG meeting on June 30 do not give confidence.
David Penington is a senior fellow of the Grattan Institute.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
EUROPE'S GREEK TRAGEDY HAS A LESSON FOR AUSSIES
MILTON Friedman was notoriously sceptical of the euro, predicting it was "going to be a big source of problems, not a source of help". When crisis hit, monetary union would prevent the eurozone countries from adopting solutions tailored to their individual circumstances. As large fiscal transfers between countries became necessary, old enmities would resurface and the edifice would collapse.
Though Friedman was not one to rejoice in the misfortunes of others, one can imagine a wry smile as he watches, from wherever he may be, the European debacle, in which the euro bears a central responsibility.
Without the euro, Greece would have paid far more for its loans, and would have had great difficulty indebting itself so heavily. Equally, the euro allowed Spain to have twice the wages growth of Germany without facing a severe balance of payments crisis.
Not that the euro's founders were unaware of the risks. Hence the tough fiscal rules built into the Maastricht Treaty, binding countries to budgetary virtue and preventing any one country from being required to bail out another.
But rules were made to be twisted, with Germany and France abetting (when they were not pioneering) creative interpretations of the fiscal constraints. The treaty's threat of huge penalties for budgetary lassitude proved ever less credible as the gamekeepers were themselves busy poaching.
Little wonder the situation deteriorated, leading to the present crisis and to a bailout that lacks transparency and seems unable to handle spiralling difficulties in Portugal and Spain.
Moreover, that agreement, against the strong advice of the governor of the European Central Bank, brings the International Monetary Fund in to the management of the eurozone. It is as if Canberra had to turn to the IMF to resolve a fiscal crisis in Tasmania.
Seen from an Australian perspective, such an outcome seems unthinkable. But it would be foolish to assume we are immune to the problems the eurozone is
Experiencing.
Like the eurozone, Australia is a monetary union that experiences economic shocks that do not affect all its states in the same way at the same time. Of course, in contrast to Europe, our monetary union has been accompanied by a high degree of fiscal centralisation. But that centralisation has created long-standing difficulties.
Under the Australian constitution, the central government got the bulk of the revenues while the states retained far-reaching expenditure obligations, even in the face of economic shocks. Meeting those obligations required borrowing, and the states kept wide powers to borrow and lend, and more generally, to create, buy and sell real and financial assets.
Yet it was also soon clear that default (or likely default) by any one state would affect the terms on which other Australian governments could borrow, and that (as an authoritative government report concluded in 1936) "the commonwealth is ultimately responsible for state debts, and is bound to meet all interest under pain of itself defaulting".
While the architects of the euro tried to deal with these interdependencies by imposing fiscal rules, Australia has relied on a mechanism and two processes.
The mechanism is section 105A of the constitution, an amendment passed in the late 1920s, whereby the commonwealth and a state can agree for the commonwealth to take over the state's debts and manage them, including paying interest or redeeming them, with the state indemnifying the commonwealth for so doing. This provision allows the commonwealth to bail out a state, as happened with NSW in 1932.
The two processes are first, the loans council, which in its various guises has sought (usually unsuccessfully) to co-ordinate the borrowing programs of the various jurisdictions, and second and most important, fiscal redistribution, both vertical (from the commonwealth to the states) and horizontal (between the states).
It would be British understatement to say these mechanisms work poorly. The difficulties are highlighted by the Commonwealth Grants Commission's latest decision on GST funds allocation. Because the GST is levied on transactions that often span several states and is collected centrally by the commonwealth, GST revenue is a single pot. The simplest way to share that pot would be to divide it on an equal per capita basis, giving each state a share of revenues equal to its share of the Australian population. An equal per capita allocation seems fair, as it treats all "capitas" alike, regardless of where they live. It also provides a degree of income sharing, and hence of insurance against shocks, as revenue losses to states that hit hard times would be partly cushioned by transfers from those doing well. It thereby balances efficiency and equity, in a way that corresponds to the framework for assessing social welfare developed by the Nobel laureate John Nash (of A Beautiful Mind fame).
But rather than such an equal allocation, the commission uses opaque formulas to shift GST revenues to states that are judged to suffer from "disabilities". Inevitably, this fiscal socialism creates myriad perverse incentives.
These incentives have been accentuated in the commission's latest report, which introduces an entirely new basis for redistribution, namely net financial worth. The mechanics are complex, but the results are not: a state that allows its financial position to deteriorate relative to the average can gain by so doing, so long as it can attract a growing population. At the same time, the adjustment causes a deterioration in the financial position of a state with a better than average balance sheet when its population expands.
The incentive, therefore, is for Western Australia's government (to which the commission only allocated 68c of its per capita GST dollar) to allow its solid fiscal stance to more closely resemble debt-laden Queensland's (which got 91c in the GST dollar).
This outcome reflects a process that has lost its way. Devised in the 1930s, before commonwealth-funded social security provided a safety net for all Australians, the commission's immense machinery of calculations has become a sledgehammer in search of a nut. It would be a pity if it cracked the few remaining incentives for prudent state finances.It is easy to mock the Europeans' current difficulties. But Australian fiscal federalism is also in a shambles. Strong economic growth disguises the consequences, but cannot do so forever. As part of the COAG negotiations on health, WA has demanded the equalisation arrangements be reformed. It is right to do so. For unless we take a fresh look at fiscal relations in the federation, it may be only a matter of time before our union too faces a crisis as painful as it is unnecessary.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
PLAIN PACKAGING PLOY LIKELY TO GO UP IN SMOKE
TURNING PUBLIC DEBATE FROM THE FAILED EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME TO UNIVERSALLY DESPISED TOBACCO EMISSIONS IS A MEDIA MASTERSTROKE FROM KEVIN RUDD, BUT THE COST COULD LEAVE A SINGE IN TAXPAYERS' POCKETS.
During the government's announcement of plain packaging for cigarettes, Rudd and Health Minister Nicola Roxon celebrated it as a world first because no other government has taken similar action. But other governments haven't done so because of the risks involved.
Only last year the British government rejected plain packaging, arguing that "no studies have shown that introducing plain packaging of tobacco would cut the number of young people smoking".
And while the moral and political arguments for attacking tobacco companies may be sound, there are legal risks involved.
The British government also identified that "given the impact that plain packaging would have on intellectual property rights, the government would need strong and convincing evidence showing the health benefits".
Even with strong evidence about the efficacy of plain packaging, the British government could have exposed itself to legal claims by tobacco companies for expropriating their property rights. The Rudd government has ignored this message.
Under Australia's Constitution and international trade agreements, the government cannot strip or devalue property without compensation on "just terms", and that includes intellectual property rights such as trademarks.
Some commentators have argued that banning a trademark's display is not tantamount to taking a tobacco company's trademark. International IP rules say the point of trademarks is to assist in the "capability to distinguish the goods or services". Introducing plain packaging would devalue a trademark and may require the commonwealth to compensate tobacco firms.
Although the cost of Rudd's reckless move is unknown, rough calculations by the Institute of Public Affairs show that taxpayers may be required to fatten the profits of tobacco companies by up to $3 billion a year.
The federal government is not the only body in Australia that is cavalier about our IP regime.
Recently, the South Australian parliament passed legislation to enforce the plain packaging of R18+ films unless they are stocked in areas inaccessible to children. This strips the companies of the value of their trademarks.
However, the difference is that plain packaging of R18+ films is unlikely to lead to serious legal and financial consequences.
The risk of having to compensate tobacco companies with taxpayers' dollars is objectionable not just legally but morally.
The Rudd government also has shown contempt for parliament, given that the Senate's community affairs committee is investigating the legality and efficacy of a plain packaging bill, with submissions due today and the committee set to report in August.
Now these submissions and the recommendations of the parliamentary inquiry may as well be thrown on the junk heap.
It's clear that the objective of Rudd and Roxon's announcement is to distract public attention from the government's numerous policy backflips during the past week.
But this smokescreen is unlikely to be effective.
The tobacco tax hike, effective from midnight, is supposed to discourage new smokers from taking up the dirty habit and encourage existing smokers to quit, while funding the Rudd government's new federal hospital plan.
But collecting an additional $5bn in tobacco taxes is inconsistent with the objective of trying to get smokers to stop paying those taxes.
The Rudd government's tobacco tax increases appear to be a repeat of its failed alcopops tax. When it introduced the alcopops tax last year, it claimed it was designed to discourage consumption of the beverages, but the government's additional tax calculations were based on consumption continuing unchanged.
Considering the facts, it's hardly surprising that many Australians are looking at the government's plain packaging plan and tobacco tax grab as a distraction that is quickly going up in smoke.
Tim Wilson is director of the intellectual property and free trade unit at the Institute of Public Affairs, and author of a paper, Governing in Ignorance: Australian Governments Legislating, Without Understanding, Intellectual Property, released for World IP Day this week. www.ipa.org.au.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
NO BIGOT HERE: ANY CAUSE THAT SAVES HIM WILL DO
KEVIN RUDD IS RACING OUT OF HIS CIGARETTE-TAX PRESS CONFERENCE INTO A WAITING CAR, HIS SKY NEWS RADIO LAPEL MIKE STILL CLIPPED TO HIS JACKET.
As a cameraman desperately waves to his entourage, the door slams shut and the car drives on. Despatch Box has obtained this exclusive transcript:
"That was a disaster," the Prime Minister explodes as he enters the car, throwing cigarette packets and cabinet papers into the air.
"You should never have put me with that bigoted woman.
"Whose idea was that?
"The journos in there are like a pack of seagulls: Fark, Fark!"
Staffers exchange terrified glances. Rudd rolls eyes, grimaces.
"It's a joke, " the PM groans, kicking off his RM Williams boots. The Prime Minister's principal press secretary desperately stabs at the automatic window button.
"Ha! This ciggies decision will wipe the ETS backdown crap so far off the front page, we are on fire," the PM continues.
"Will it save lives?" Rudd mimics a television interviewer, rolling his eyes.
"Yes, it will save me. This one's better than the alcopops mood changer."
"You know something?" the Prime Minister continues, suddenly pensive.
"Guess what? All that po-faced sincerity in that ciggies presser is making me SICK.
"There are no silver bullets.
"But I got the whole cigs tax idea from Malcolm Turnbull's last budget-in-reply speech.
"I love that guy!"
On the radio, Lindsay Tanner is telling an interviewer how he started smoking when he was 10 years old.
"I've got a truckload of things to do," the PM says.
"And I make no apologies for the fact that one day, I am going to tell John Brumby: `Tomorrow, I'm going to bucket the whole lot of you'."
Staffer: "Oh, shit."
Rudd (laughing): "It's before your time, mate. Google it."
A phone rings. "It's Martin Ferguson," a female aide whispers.
The Prime Minister mimes throat-slitting before nodding to himself as the phone rings out.
"What's that incomprehensible DINOSAUR got to whinge about now I've dumped the ETS ? Adios, Ma'arn -- tweet that."
The Prime Minister has one foot up on the seats and a knee in the back of another staffer.
"Arrgh! It's the great moral challenge of our time."
He's clipping his toenails.
"Do I have to do everything myself ? Just to ensure this job is done RIGHT," he complains, to no one in particular.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
HOW TO COOK UP A STORM: FIRST CATCH YOUR RAT, THEN NAIL HIM TO THE TABLE
DEBORAH CAMERON FAILS TO GET THE ANSWERS SHE'S SEEKING FROM TWO PR PROFESSIONALS
News Limited chairman and chief executive John Hartigan on former Melbourne Storm chief executive Brian Waldron this week:
I SAID he's the architect of this whole badness in this club and I also suggested at another level that there were rats in the ranks. If you draw a line between both of those comments I think it leads to the chief rat.
ABC Radio Sydney 702 yesterday:
DEBORAH Cameron: In terms of news management, how's News Limited's management performing?
Peter Wilkinson, Wilkinson Media: I think they're doing very well.
Cameron (incredulously): Why?
Wilkinson: Look, an organisation like News Limited is always going to be in the spotlight. And News Limited, because it's tabloid, is always going to be unpopular among people like your good self.
Cameron: No, not at all, not at all, I don't begrudge what they do . . .
Wilkinson: You've just isolated three things. But let's just isolate one, and that's what [John] Hartigan had to say about the chief rat. And I think he nailed it. I think he nailed it from a public opinion point of view, he nailed it in terms of grabbing a headline, and he nailed it in terms of doing the right thing.
Bob Lawrence, Jackson Wells: Peter's right. It's issues management 101 from Hartigan. He said: "Here is the problem, and here is the rat. It's him, now go and chase the rat."
Cameron: Would you, though? Because News Limited, for example, is highly critical of Julia Gillard for her mismanagement, or alleged mismanagement, of the education rollout. I bet it sticks in her neck a bit that News Limited has been after her so royally over the education spending but they've let a very important arm of their business be run so badly.
Lawrence: But it's their money and their shareholders' money. [Kevin] Rudd and Gillard at the moment are looking like the Laurel and Hardy of public administration. What The Australian has been doing to Gillard is what any newspaper should be doing to any government that wastes people's money.
Wilkinson: News Limited holds itself to very, very good standards on journalism with an eye on circulation, which you [the ABC] don't have to do. But I agree with Bob that Hartigan nailed it.
The Sydney Morning Herald's page one headline on Wednesday:
PRESSURE builds for inquiry into rorts.
School building rip-offs? Pink batt cowboys? No, the footy:
THERE is growing support for an independent, wide-ranging inquiry into claims of extensive rorting of the National Rugby League's salary cap.
Calls from who? Ah . . . the rat:
FORMER Melbourne Storm chief executive Brian Waldron called for a public inquiry into widespread salary cap cheating, which he said has spread through many NRL clubs over several years.
And not just any inquiry, either. Tim Dick thunders on page 7 of the SMH:
GIVEN the level of secrecy apparent in the Melbourne Storm rorts, the government could establish a royal commission. Constitutional expert George Williams said the power of the federal government to call a royal commission was broad, and certainly sufficient to cover the salary cap mess.
Why stop at one, Tim?
HE said the Victorian government could set one up, too.
Rebecca Wilson in The Herald-Sun on the SMH's Melbourne stablemate yesterday:
THE Age is creating the impression it has a team of crack investigators. What it actually has is a washed-up NRL executive who talks to them through a "source". As one radio commentator said in Sydney yesterday: "If Brian Waldron told me it was raining, I would have to go outside and check for myself." The fact remains this disgraced administrator is the so-called chief rat, and he will be brought to account for his actions. In the meantime, he has convinced some at The Age that he still has a credible voice.
***************************************
THE AUSTRALIAN
EDITORIAL
NOTHING NEW IN OLD 'CIGS UP' PLOY
IT'S THE SECOND-OLDEST TRICK IN THE BUDGET BOOK, AFTER SLUGGING THE RICH.
Hitting smokers is Treasury's way of filling a budget hole when the government of the day has an election to win.
John Howard used the "cigs up" ploy to flesh out the compensation package for the GST in 1998.
Now Kevin Rudd is doing the same to help fund his $5.4 billion health and hospitals deal with the states.
History's tax prank doesn't end there. Howard's compensation package for the GST included the 30 per cent rebate for private health insurance, valued at the time at $1bn a year.
If one decided to be anal about these matters, the Coalition's tax on smokes, which swapped the old weight-based formula with a per-stick excise, effectively paid for the Howard government's private health insurance rebate.
Funnily enough, Labor wants to means-test that rebate, but has been twice knocked back by the Senate.
The lesson here is that there is nothing new under the sun.
Here's how this newspaper broke the tobacco tax story on August 6, 1998.
"Cigarettes would become more expensive under the federal government's goods and services tax, partly offsetting the promise of cheaper beer for battlers," the report said.
"A new tobacco tax is expected to deliver extra revenue to the government to help fund other tax cuts that are meant to sweeten the 10 per cent GST."
All that is missing now is for Sunday's Henry tax review to recommend a change to the taxation of alcohol.
The problem with Labor's conversion to single-issue taxation is that it doesn't save the budget a dollar in the long run.
If 33 per cent of the GST is going to be set aside for the Prime Minister's health reforms, then why not take another 33 per cent of the GST for education?
While you're at it, how about reforming the fuel excise system to pay for roads?
The temptation will always be there for Labor to squeeze a little more out of one-off levies to make its new spending appear affordable.
Whichever way you do the sums, government grows by default.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
EDITORIAL
CIGS UP, NANNY OUT AND ABOUT
THERE is no question, smoking is bad. The long-term effects on individuals' health are well established and in most cases disastrous, with higher rates of heart disease, stroke, lung and other cancers and degenerative lung conditions such as emphysema leading to a shorter life expectancy and an often painful and pitiful death. Smoking does little for the health system, either. It imposes obvious costs in the direct treatment of those conditions - though whether the costs would be less in the long term if all smokers quit is hard to prove. People have to die somehow, after all, and if those who die early now of smoking-induced diseases lived longer and did not smoke, they might well impose comparable costs on the health system for different conditions over a longer period.
Yet smoking is legal, despite the damage it does, and should remain so. Banning drugs of addiction does not work especially well, as the examples of heroin and cocaine show. The side effects - criminalisation of those who are harming chiefly themselves, the creation of a black market, and official corruption - would probably cost the community more than any additional burden smoking imposes on the health system now.
The federal government is not trying to ban smoking, thank heavens. Its latest attempt to discourage smokers contains both innovation and more of the same. From today, a higher excise will see the price of cigarettes rise by more than $2 a packet of 30. As well as this age-old remedy, which will raise $5 billion over four years - for hospitals, the Prime Minister says - new laws will require cigarette companies to use uniformly drab packaging for their products from 2012 - a world first.
Society's other main legal drug, alcohol, is similarly costly, with law-enforcement costs in addition to those it imposes on the health system. Unlike alcohol, though, smoking arouses particular hostility among doctors and governments. It has now been hedged around with rules so tight as to border on the oppressive.
We remain sceptical of this sudden zeal to correct smokers' shortcomings. Smokers are too easy a target for a government seeking a distraction from its stalled emissions trading scheme, and one which will focus minds, moreover, on the general area of health, where the government would like to fight the election. Australians can see in its ritual flogging of smokers, as in its futile attempts to censor the internet, the government's inner nanny trying to get out. It is not a pretty sight. What is wrong with letting people decide for themselves?
***************************************
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
EDITORIAL
THAILAND'S BEST WAY FORWARD
THE street confrontation of political forces in Thailand has been going on for months, but now seems to be moving to a decisive moment. The immediate future of a nation we've come to regard as an anchor of stability, moderation, prosperity and freedom in our region is up in the air.
The government of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva is moving closer to using army power to break the siege of Bangkok by the red shirt movement. Brutal paramilitaries and vigilantes could be drawn in. Mysterious snipers are said to be at work. Red shirts, in their rural strongholds, have turned back police and army reinforcements being sent into the capital. The situation hovers on the edge of violence, and sometimes tips over it. But the worst clash so far, costing 25 lives on April 10, may be only a foretaste.
By now, suspicion this protest is mainly a rent-a-mob gambit by the ousted billionaire prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra is fading. The exiled Thaksin is mentioned less and less; the red shirts refer to themselves as the "prai" - serfs. It has become more overtly a class struggle, against the Bangkok elite epitomised by Abhisit, an old Etonian lacking a true electoral mandate.
To resist it, the elite have put up the monarchy as their shield, wielding the lese-majeste law ever more harshly against the criticism this has drawn to the institution. Appeals to the ailing King Bhumibol Adulyadej for a solution have only emphasised his inability to resolve this crisis. Even the generals can see that another coup d'etat offers only a temporary solution, as did their intervention against Thaksin in 2006.
We can only hope that Thailand chooses the pathway of greater democracy rather than repression. Inevitably, this would involve a transition from the sacred authority attributed to the throne under King Bhumibol to a secular constitutional role, in which the perceived shortcomings of his playboy heir, Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn, would not be the underground issue they are now. It would also mean the army becoming the defender of the state, its institutions and the law, rather than the throne and its interests. Rather than military intervention, the checks against Thaksin-style populist abuse of authority must be the law and honest judges, something King Bhumipol has just rather belatedly urged.
The best immediate circuit-breaker, though, would be for the 82-year-old king himself to recommend an early election, putting his remaining authority behind a transition that will keep Thailand on a progressive, democratic path and actually help preserve the monarchy as part of the national fabric.
***************************************
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
EDITORIAL
CONFINING THE CREDIT CONTAGION IS NOT ENOUGH
THE WORLD MUST MANAGE BORROWING BETTER.
WHEN economists employ disease as a metaphor for market behaviour, the message is that investors' anxieties are becoming outright panic. This week, as fears spread that Greece might default on its debt, markets plunged, raising the spectre of another global financial crisis. In explanation, the secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Angel Gurria, chose the most toxic metaphor imaginable. ''It's not a question of the danger of contagion,'' Mr Gurria said. ''Contagion has already happened. This is like Ebola: when you realise you have it you have to cut your leg off in order to survive.''
Just how the Greeks felt about being blamed for the financial equivalent of Ebola, or at the prospect of becoming the eurozone's missing limb, can only be guessed at. But the OECD chief was not exaggerating the seriousness of Greece's plight, or the dangers in the financial markets' reaction to it. If the world does become embroiled in a new financial crisis, it will not be because banks made loans to individuals who could not repay them, as happened in the US in 2008, but because a national government's debt has spiralled out of control. As in 2008, however, too-easy credit lies at the source of the problem and quarantining the affliction is no small task.
Soon after Greece joined the eurozone in 2001 it began to indulge in off-balance-sheet borrowing facilitated by Wall Street banks such as Goldman Sachs, whose unrepentant executives are now appearing before a US Senate inquiry into the subprime housing crisis. Goldman Sachs helped the Greek government borrow billions of dollars in a deal that was not recorded as a loan because it was technically a currency trade. Other international banks offered similar deals, providing cash in return for a share of future Greek government revenues, such as airport taxes or lottery earnings. None of this was listed as loan liabilities, and all the while Greece was steadily accumulating a sovereign debt that is one of the world's biggest in proportion to gross domestic product. Last year it was 112 per cent of GDP, it is now 115 per cent and has been forecast to rise to 135 per cent next year.
On Wednesday the ratings agency Standard & Poors downgraded Greece's debt to junk status, prompting the fears of default that led to market panic and increasing the urgency of bailout talks between the Greek government, the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Union. The thought of saving Greece from the consequences of its own profligacy has little electoral appeal in some of the country's more prosperous EU partners, such as Germany; the risks in not bailing it out, however, are unthinkable. Greece is not the only EU member with mounting debt - Portugal may also be teetering on the brink of default, and Spain and Ireland are not far behind it. If Greece is allowed to default, the logic of a common currency means that one collapse threatens all.The likelihood is that it will not be allowed to default. Even if German Chancellor Angela Merkel were to persuade other EU members to cut Athens loose, the IMF would almost certainly step in to bail Greece out because of the exposure of global markets and institutions, including the banks that fuelled the crisis. Most likely of all, however, is that the EU, a reluctant Germany included, will co-operate with an IMF bailout rather than allow European institutions to be overridden.In the wake of the 2008 bank collapses, governments and financial institutions have learnt about crisis management, which may avert the Ebola-like catastrophe conjured up by Mr Gurria's febrile imagination. A stable global system, however, needs more than crisis management. It needs to curtail the greed-driven lending practices that allow crises to develop
**************************************
THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
EDITORIAL
PLAIN PACKAGE, ELABORATE CONTENT
IN A week in which the federal government effectively butted out the emissions trading scheme - at least for the time being - it is most interesting how deftly it has turned its attention from one big smoke to another. Take away that blowtorch from Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's belly and bring out the cigarette lighter. The government has announced a hefty 25 per cent rise in excise (from today, this adds $2.16 on a pack of 30 cigarettes) and, more radically, is to introduce the toughest rules in the world on cigarette advertising: by the start of 2012, all cigarette packaging will be strictly plain, with no logos, colours or brand imagery allowed, but keeping the compulsory health warnings.
These changes, following recommendations by the Preventative Health Taskforce, will no doubt be seen as draconian by the tobacco industry and its consumers. In fact, they are sensible and in line with the government's objective to cut smoking rates to 10 per cent or less of the adult population by 2018. Such changes are also necessary in order to control the higher levels of smoking among Australia's young, indigenous and lower socio-economic people; this in spite of a drop in smoking numbers from 30.5 per cent of the population aged 14 and above in 1988 to 16.6 per cent in 2007. By charging more, and also by packaging the product in an as anodyne and as unappealing way as possible, it is hoped Australia's annual fag-toll - the 15,000 deaths from smoking-related causes - will substantially be reduced. Tobacco is still the single largest preventable cause of disease and premature death. For all the right reasons, the government's plans should be endorsed.
This said, there will be potential problems that will need tackling early on. The tobacco industry, arguing against the plan, says that to ''commoditise'' cigarettes would mean people would seek out cheaper and even counterfeit products, thereby encouraging black-market activity. Unlike the industry's contentious claims that plain packaging could affect intellectual-property rights, its fears of an onrush of covert supply from dubious origins have some justification.
The government will need to be even more aware of, and responsive to, such elements, and strengthen their defences accordingly. More vigilant customs and policing procedures will have to be in force well before the repackaging laws come into effect. On an aesthetic note, will that art deco-style marker from the age of Mad Men and martinis, the cigarette case, return?
Source: The Age
**************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE GUARDIAN
EDITORIAL
EQUAL PAY: FAIR'S FAIR
WOMEN AND MEN DOING COMPARABLE JOBS MUST GET PAID THE SAME
It's time for local councils to sue for peace. After nearly 40 years of resistance, their convoluted pay structures have been shown up for what they are a way of paying male employees more than the women. No more procrastination, no more expensive legal advice about how to defend the indefensible. Women and men doing comparable jobs must get paid the same. This week, Birmingham City Council was exposed by an employment tribunal as a fine example of how to keep a claim simmering. But the councils are not the only culprits: the law itself can be as much hindrance as help. And trade unions have not always been beyond reproach.
With 60,000 employees, Birmingham claims to be the largest local authority in western Europe. It wanted the employment tribunal to accept the way it once paid bonuses to employees such as grave diggers, gardeners and highway workers, but not to cooks, cleaners and carers, which resulted in those (women) in the latter occupations earning sometimes only a third of those (men) in the former. Some of the cases, involving more than 3,000 female workers, had been lodged as early as 2003. Tuesday's ruling against the council runs to nearly 200 pages of comparators, acronyms and former cases. The one that mattered the most was the appeal court ruling this February that found Sheffield city council was discriminating when, in deals dating back to the 1960s, it paid male workers productivity bonuses that were not available to women. In this week's case, Birmingham's argument that it had been unable to phase out bonuses earlier partly because of union opposition was rejected. But the judge did conclude that both "management inertia and union intransigence" were to blame for the length of time between first claim and final ruling. There is a six-year cap on back pay, but the bill is still reckoned at about £30m.Of course, there might have been no action at all without the introduction of single status agreements and proper job evaluations as a basis for new pay structures. Even so, Unison alone has 40,000 outstanding claims; but local authorities have no great incentive to rush to resolve cases that will invariably cost them millions of pounds. One effect is that more and more women are resorting to no-win, no-fee lawyers. They get some good results. But the unions and some others involved in equal pay negotiations complain that they take a hefty cut of any compensation in return for work that is often done at basic levels of competence, while unions say their own involvement helps get more balanced settlements that are better for jobs and services. But the unions have critics too. Equal pay was a founding objective of the TUC, but it took nearly a hundred years to get priority. Some accuse the unions of being too busy protecting men's pay rates to defend their women members. Lawyers, they say, have at least gingered them up.No one knows quite what it would cost to settle all the outstanding pay claims. Some claim that this week's Birmingham decision could have a £300m bill attached. There are reports that there is no contingency fund. But over a lifetime, low-paid women are earning £361,000 less than men in comparable jobs, and the government allows extra borrowing to cover the cost of settlements. Meanwhile the new Equality Act missed a key opportunity to speed up the process by rejecting the case for allowing representative actions that might have led to a more strategic approach and, ultimately, simpler settlements. One way forward now is to try to break down the occupational segregation that still pushes women to the bottom of the pay tables. Meanwhile, with years of tough spending rounds ahead for the public sector, fair pay for women will only get harder. Councils could start by giving up the pricey legal arguments and getting on with negotiations.
**************************************
THE GUARDIAN
EDITORIAL
IN PRAISE OF
DANNY DORLING
HE IS THAT RARE UNIVERSITY PROFESSOR: EXPERT, POLITICALLY ENGAGED AND ABLE TO EXPLAIN SIMPLY WHY HIS SUBJECT MATTERS
Ever since Gillian Duffy asked Gordon Brown this week where "all these eastern Europeans are
flocking from", rightwing commentators have been peddling a line about how immigration is the issue that none dare discuss. Yet national newspapers have published over 200 articles on the subject in the past three weeks alone, and it was recently the subject of an hour-long BBC1 programme. Open some papers and one might think there was no bigger issue than immigration. But there is another I-word that matters far more, and which barely gets a mention: inequality. Thank goodness then for Danny Dorling, who has spent the past 20 years studying the wealth gap. In his new book Injustice: Why Social Inequality Persists, the academic analyses a contemporary scandal. London, he reports, is the most unequal city in the developed world, with the top tenth of residents having 273 times the wealth of the bottom tenth. When he handed in his manuscript, Dorling thought he had written a bland account of the gap between rich and poor. The publisher told him it was "very angry". And how. Dorling is that rare university professor: expert, politically engaged and able to explain simply why his subject matters. He describes modern Britain as the most unequal society since Dickens's times, and picks apart the orthodoxies that allow such unfairness. "I'm hardly saying, 'We want a revolution, we want a utopia,'" he recently told this paper. "I'm just saying, 'Can we be slightly less stupid, and we'll all be better off for it.'" Hear hear.
**************************************
THE GUARDIAN
EDITORIAL
Gulf oil spill: Clean, baby, clean
Anger will be turned on BP, but in truth the accident raises wider questions about the dangers inherent in offshore drilling
The explosion on a drilling rig in the Gulf of Mexico has yet to produce an environmental disaster, but it will not take long before it becomes one. If the latest estimate is correct, that 5,000 barrels a day are gushing into the sea, it would take only two months before it matches the amount that was spilled by the Exxon Valdez tanker in Alaska in 1989. It may take weeks to construct and lower a giant steel funnel to collect the escaping oil on the sea bed and pipe it to the surface, and this technology has never been tried at this depth. Drilling a relief well could take months. Meanwhile, despite a test burn, a slick almost the size of Jamaica is heading for the Louisiana coast and the fragile wetlands around the mouth of the Mississippi. By one estimate it could make landfall by the weekend.
The anger that this blowout is sure to provoke will first and foremost be turned on BP, the operator of the drilling platform. That is so not just because there has been a dispute between its chief operating officer, Doug Suttles, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration about the amount of oil that is going into the sea the latest estimates are five times the initial ones but also because BP has form, at least in US eyes. After an explosion at its Texas City refinery in 2005 in which 15 workers died and 170 were injured, a record fine was imposed for safety violations. The company is currently being investigated after claims that it failed to keep a complete set of records relating to the Atlantis platform regarded as vital in a shutdown. BP denies these claims.
In truth, the accident raises wider questions about the dangers inherent in offshore drilling. "Drill, baby, drill" became a slogan in the presidential elections which unfortunately survived Sarah Palin's place on the Republican ticket. It was revived by Barack Obama, who opened up more than 500,000 square miles of US coastal waters to oil and gas exploitation, a gesture which will at best satisfy only three years of domestic consumption of oil, and two years of natural gas. The announcement was aimed at winning support from Republicans for new laws to tackle global warming. Needless to say, this pandering has yet to yield any dividends. But it did not take long for reality to puncture the myth that offshore drilling can be conducted, in Mr Obama's words, "in ways that protect communities and protect coastlines".
For a government which prided itself on giving the go-ahead for its first offshore windfarm in Nantucket Sound (there are 830 offshore turbines in Europe), the writing is on the wall. But it will probably take more than the mess that is about to land on the coast of three states to see it.
**************************************
******************************************************************************************
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
GILLIAN DUFFY ASKED THE QUESTIONS WE ALL WANT ANSWERED
BY CHRIS ROYCROFT-DAVIS
SHE only nipped out to buy bread but she ended up forcing the Prime Minister to eat humble pie.
That's a memorable morning for a 66-year-old grandmother from Rochdale.
But sadly Mrs Gillian Duffy will remember her chance encounter with Gordon Brown for all the wrong reasons.
Meeting the leader of your country would normally be an experience you'd tell your grandchildren about with pride.
You'd hang a framed picture in the hall for visitors to admire. Not so for poor Mrs Duffy. She was branded a bigot because she dared ask the question about immigration that makes Labour politicians play the race card. Her open-mouthed expression when she was told what Brown had said about her could not have more graphically conveyed the sense of stunned betrayal she felt as a lifelong Labour voter.
To her face he smiled but behind her back he sneered. In public he lied but in private he told the truth about what he thinks of anyone who disagrees with him. No wonder Mrs Duffy gasped: "He has shot me down completely." What Brown did was despicable and ruthless to a woman who deserved to be made to feel special.
Unlike the PM I've never had the privilege of meeting Mrs Duffy. But I feel I know her really well because she's typical of millions of people in this country: hard‑working, decent, caring, self-reliant and honest. T hey are the very heart of Britain and we should be very proud of them.
Bottom of Form
Today they're desperately worried about where our country is heading, what the future holds for their grandchildren and how we can get out of the economic and social mess that threatens to engulf us. Gillian Duffy grew up in a working-class family in a Lancashire town where hardship, poverty and struggle were the norm.
Her father, who went to rallies of the emerging Labour Party and sang The Red Flag, imbued in her the values of original socialism. Mrs Duffy told Brown: "The three things I had drummed into me as a child were education, the health service and looking after the vulnerable."
That lesson became her moral compass because for 30 years she worked for low pay looking after disabled children, treating them with compassion and giving them dignity. When her husband of 40 years Richard was diagnosed with cancer she lovingly supported and cared for him during his time of need. Sadly he died four years ago but the State Gordon Brown's heartless state makes her pay by taxing the small widow's pension she receives each month.
That's another issue Brown didn't want raised. Mrs Duffy is obviously devoted to her daughter and grandchildren, aged 10 and 12. You just know her spotlessly kept house will have pictures of them everywhere, alongside the treasured photo of her late husband that holds pride of place.
That's why she is so worried about how they will afford to go to university another question Brown could only answer with platitudes and that false death mask of a smile. I'm prepared to bet Mrs Duffy doesn't have a credit card in her purse. That's because she was brought up to believe that if you want something you work for it and save for it.
In Labour's mind that's another one of her "crimes" she understands the big economic issue and knows that running a country's finances is little different to running a household budget. You don't spend what you don't have and if you don't have, you go and earn it. As Mrs Duffy rightly pointed out: "It's going to be tax, tax, tax for another 20 years to get us out of this debt."
I've sat through endless hours of meaningless waffle during this election campaign but one quote from Mrs Duffy shines through as a beacon of common sense and sums up what is wrong with our welfare dependent society: "Too many people aren't vulnerable but claim and people who are vulnerable can't claim and can't get it."
Brilliant in its simplicity, devastating in its accuracy. It would be wrong to suggest only immigrants abuse benefits there are plenty of home-grown scroungers but Mrs Duffy's fears about soft-touch Britain raise major issues. Why do Eastern Europeans and people with hard-luck stories from around the world descend on towns like Rochdale?
Because Labour has rolled out the red carpet and made Britain a freebie paradise of healthcare, housing and handouts. If Mrs Duffy was a bigot to mention immigration how come the Home Office has warned that Rochdale is at risk of race riots? Why has the council drawn up a special housing plan for ethnic minorities?
Why does government research show more than a quarter of Rochdale's primary school pupils speak English as a second language? Why do so many Africans, Afghans and Iraqis live there? Why is Rochdale's black and ethnic population predicted to almost double in the next decade? Millions of good people are asking similar questions about their towns.
They worry about 24-hour drinking, violent crime and the lack of jobs for youngsters too. When Gordon met Gillian he declared grumpily: "That was a disaster." No it wasn't, Prime Minister. It was a marvellous moment when the people spoke through the mouth of a feisty, no-nonsense lady and the political classes were exposed as condescending hypocrites.
Mrs Duffy is a national treasure. I salute her and all she stands for. Without people like her Britain would be done for.
**************************************
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
JOSE MOURINHO IS THE MAN TO KEEP GLAZERS AFLOAT
THERE WAS A TIME WHEN JOSE MOURINHO WAS CONSIDERED TOO EXPLOSIVE, CYNICAL AND NEGATIVE TO TAKE OVER AT MANCHESTER UNITED, EVEN THOUGH SIR ALEX FERGUSON HAS SPENT THE LAST 24 YEARS HURLING HAND GRENADES OUT OF THE PLACE.
What now? The Glazer family say they are in charge until 2017. Once Fergie has retired, which will be long before then even if he does three more years, business sense will demand guaranteed success on the pitch.
After the extraordinary night in Barcelona on Wednesday, it is clear that no coach around offers as firm an assurance of achievement and income as Inter Milan's Mourinho, who is on course to become only the third manager to win the European Cup with two different clubs. He is heading to Madrid's Santiago Bernabeu stadium to take on Bayern Munich on May 22 because in this, his magnificent comeback season, he has proven that he can coach both ways, brilliantly.
At the Nou Camp on Wednesday, he made defensive football a form of art and an act of courage. At Chelsea in March, he protected a 1-0 first-leg lead by taking them on from the start with three surging forwards.
Don't let anyone tell you he is one-dimensional and oppressive. He simply understands tactics better than anyone else and backs his judgment to the hilt, every time, cautious or daring.
Don't blame him, either, because Bayern were silly enough to sell him a centre-back as brilliant and towering as the giant Lucio. Appreciate his judgment, instead, which also identified Diego Milito, Goran Pandev, Thiago Motta and Samuel Eto'o as the men required to galvanise Italy's most desperate underachievers.
By the time a vacancy arises at Old Trafford, he will probably have won the biggest pot of them all with a third team, Real Madrid, where he is headed next season. If profit is the main imperative and why else are the Americans here? all the misgivings about Mourinho, all the concerns that he will be at odds with United's style of play, that he will cause too much trouble and that his team will cheat, may be regarded as hot air at Glazer HQ in Florida.
Not only does the Special One promise a regular stream of the Champions League's huge revenues, he gets things done quickly. He has transformed Inter into a major force in less than two seasons. After Ferguson, Mourinho is a more sure bet than anyone else to keep the trophies and thus the cash pouring in, allowing the owners a lucrative departure in seven years' time.
All this is theory, of course. But Mourinho is the nearest thing in the management business to a dead cert and the timing for this idea looks perfect too if we believe Ferguson's assertion that he's far from done yet.
For ominously pressing financial reasons, the Glazers need to maintain the level of accomplishment of the previous three seasons, when United won the title three times and reached two European Cup finals.
"Our ability to make payments on and to refinance our indebtedness will depend on our ability to generate cash in the future," said the prospectus for the bond issue which raised £504million to keep the juggling act going, but must be paid back with bonuses.
Does this make the Glazers, remote from any ideas about how nice it would be to have a British successor, in any way likely to take a punt on David Moyes or Martin O'Neill, for example? No. It doesn't. They might consider another perpetual winner at club level, Fabio Capello, but he is 63 and has interests outside football. Italy's Marcello Lippi is 62 and might be prepared to wait. Bayern's Louis van Gaal is 58 and would suit too he vies with Mourinho in Madrid for the honour of winning with a second club after his triumph with Ajax in 1995. Barcelona's Pep Guardiola is only 38 but the word is that, eventually, he's Arsenal-bound.
Mourinho is anything but a fool and he will understand United's traditions. Ferguson will be keen for them to be maintained. And however many controversies Ferguson has generated, his teams have never dabbled in the black arts of time-wasting and cynical fouling which were a part of Wednesday's triumph, disrupting the rhythm of Barcelona's play.
However, do you know any United followers who wouldn't have been happy with a semi-final victory as expertly constructed as Inter's? If you doubt its bravery, if you're naive enough to think football doesn't have room to appreciate light and shade, attack and defence, then consider the final 10 minutes in the Nou Camp after Gerard Pique scored.
Suddenly, Inter were on the high wire. This proved the risk in inviting Barcelona to show what they could do. More dangerous, perhaps, than seeking the extra goal which would have settled it for the Italians after their 3-1 first-leg win. Mourinho had taken his decisions and he never doubted them.
But don't assume he will do the same in the final. He is so meticulous he has built a team capable of taking on Bayern on the front foot or on the back. The fascination in Madrid will be to see in which way he chooses to be Special.
**************************************
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
A TRIUMPH FOR BRITISH AMATEUR NATURALISTS
BY JOHN INGHAM
ON A warm, dry autumn afternoon solicitor Bob Heckford went for a stroll in his favourite oak wood and made history.
Fascinated by butterflies and moths since primary school, he was looking for leaf miner caterpillars. They eat leaves from the inside, leaving little tell-tale trails.
But in the National Trust's Hembury Woods, on the banks of Devon's River Dart, Bob found a stunning new caterpillar. Bob, 61, from Plymouth, said: "Leaf miners in oakleaves are whitish or pale yellowish and this one was emerald green."
He knew instantly it was new to Britain and sent some of the caterpillars to Dutch expert Erik van Nieukerke. They emerged as moths with 1/4-inch wingspans, reddish head tufts and white eyecaps. Bob said: "He sent me an e-mail telling me it was actually a moth new to science."
It is another triumph for British amateur naturalists. In the past 40 years Bob alone has found 10 micromoths new to Britain and an oil beetle supposedly extinct here. It is the equivalent of a pub football team player coming off the bench and scoring a hat-trick for Chelsea in the cup final.
Bob is just the latest in a long line of British amateur naturalists who have mapped the world's wildlife, stretching back to the grandfather of them all Gilbert White. The 18th-century curate chronicled Hampshire's nature with the precision of a Nobel Prize winner.
Across the British Empire, vicars, soldiers and bureaucrats charted wildlife from Assam to Zanzibar. One reason why climate change is so well documented here is that many Victorians were fanatical phenologists, recording each year's first sightings of anything from acorns to swallows.
Amateurs are still hyperactive thanks to internet "citizen science" surveys such as the Woodland Trust's Nature's Calendar, the British Trust for Ornithology's Garden BirdWatch and BirdTrack and the RSPB's Big Garden Bird Watch. These findings are important.
The 31-year-old BGBW was the first to spot declines of song thrushes and house sparrows. Amateur naturalists do all this work for free purely because they love it. But Bob's moth now rejoices in the Latin name Ectoedemia Heckfordi, giving him and his walk in the woods immortality.
He's not finished yet. "I am sure," he says, "that there are other species resident in Britain which are waiting to be found.
"**************************************
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
SECRET AGENDAS OF PARTIES ARE AN INSULT TO DEMOCRACY
BRITAIN IS SUPPOSED TO BE A MATURE DEMOCRACY.
So why then, in the middle of an election campaign, are the huge decisions that will affect everyone's lives for years to come being taken away from the public gaze?
It is perfectly obvious that all the political parties are working on secret plans for drastic spending cuts and/or tax rises that they refuse to talk about on the hustings.
No doubt they have all been briefed about how close the country is to seeing its credit rating downgraded and what must be done to avert such a calamity. When Bank of England Governor Mervyn King makes the prediction in private, to an American economist that whichever party wins power will subsequently be out of office for a generation, he obviously has information the rest of us are not privy to.
But one does not have to be a genius to understand that he is forecasting a very painful period of retrenchment. The establishment is treating the electorate like fools. It is almost as if a "not in front of the children" edict has been issued to the parties. Labour set the tone by postponing the official Whitehall spending review till after the election but the other parties have been almost as evasive.
Even after last night's economic debate we are not much the wiser. No doubt the political class considers this a benevolent, paternalistic approach. But unless its members come clean between now and polling day the winning party will not be able to claim a convincing mandate for the tough action needed to put the nation back on its feet.
People are not stupid. They can see what is happening in Greece and elsewhere in Europe. They know we are in almost as big a fix. Here is a radical suggestion for Britain's politicians: start telling the truth
**************************************
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
QUANGOS MUST GET THE BOOT
BY FREDERICK FORSYTH
THERE has been great concern that none of the main parties has been specific as to how they really intend to cut this country's expenditure back to sane levels.
The reason is perfectly simple. We have about 1,500 quangos. About 500 could easily be cut to the bone or abolished and the effect on the quality of life of our people would not be to harm it but to improve it.
That harvest of the useless could save tens of billions and pull us back from the abyss of international crash of confidence and thus bankruptcy. So why not say so? Because every employee of all 1,500 would presume it was their sinecure on the line.
That is half a million votes and turkeys do not vote even for the risk of Christmas. And this election is going to be settled by the last half million votes. That is why none of the Big Three will say a word about the huge cutback in public-sector payroll that cannot be avoided.
Already there is talk of 20,000 job losses in the NHS meaning doctors, surgeons, nurses etc. But that is because the bureaucrats will be those who select the cuts. Wrong, wrong, wrong. It should be 20,000 bureaucrats who go and give us a far better NHS.
But this can only be accomplished by a Cutfinder General coming in from the world of business. Bureaucrats never fire themselves or each other.
DAILY EXPRESS
EDITORIAL
SECRET AGENDAS OF PARTIES ARE AN INSULT TO DEMOCRACY
BRITAIN IS SUPPOSED TO BE A MATURE DEMOCRACY.
So why then, in the middle of an election campaign, are the huge decisions that will affect everyone's lives for years to come being taken away from the public gaze?
It is perfectly obvious that all the political parties are working on secret plans for drastic spending cuts and/or tax rises that they refuse to talk about on the hustings.
No doubt they have all been briefed about how close the country is to seeing its credit rating downgraded and what must be done to avert such a calamity. When Bank of England Governor Mervyn King makes the prediction in private, to an American economist that whichever party wins power will subsequently be out of office for a generation, he obviously has information the rest of us are not privy to.
But one does not have to be a genius to understand that he is forecasting a very painful period of retrenchment. The establishment is treating the electorate like fools. It is almost as if a "not in front of the children" edict has been issued to the parties. Labour set the tone by postponing the official Whitehall spending review till after the election but the other parties have been almost as evasive.
Even after last night's economic debate we are not much the wiser. No doubt the political class considers this a benevolent, paternalistic approach. But unless its members come clean between now and polling day the winning party will not be able to claim a convincing mandate for the tough action needed to put the nation back on its feet.
People are not stupid. They can see what is happening in Greece and elsewhere in Europe. They know we are in almost as big a fix. Here is a radical suggestion for Britain's politicians: start telling the truth.
******************************************************************************************
THE GAZETTE
ALL THAT SALT IN OUR FOOD LEAVES A BAD TASTE
New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg boldly aims to improve the health of all Americans with his campaign to reduce the salt content in prepared foods and quick-service restaurant meals.
We can't help notice that Bloomberg is single-handedly accomplishing more on this front than the whole government of Canada. While his National Salt Reduction Initiative is taking a big step toward decreasing America's collective salt overdose, Canada's federal "Sodium Working Group" has taken 21/2 years to propose, ineffectually, that maybe manufacturers should consider voluntary reductions in the salt content of processed foods.
Through high blood pressure, salt helps kill thousands of Canadians annually. A glance at the statistics panels on supermarket boxes and cans is enough to raise your blood pressure: We get far more salt in processed foods than from our salt shakers. (In the U.S., 11 per cent of salt consumed is sprinkled on food; 80 per cent is in processed foods; the rest turns up naturally in raw food.) One recent study found that global companies frequently put more salt in the Canadian versions of their products than in same-brand products sold elsewhere.
Bloomberg's loose coalition of cities, health advocates, and others has now jawboned 16 big companies - Heinz, Kraft, Mars, Subway, Unilever, Starbucks, etc. - into reducing salt content by 25 per cent over five years. "We have been able to accomplish something many said was impossible - setting concrete, achievable goals for salt reduction," Bloomberg noted.
In Canada, meanwhile, the government is, err, studying the problem. The working group said last November that the industry is "too diverse" to be expected to comply with mandatory rules. Really? Sounds to us like the industry representatives on the working group were very effective. On the other hand, it's true that mandatory controls are not ideal. Who wants salt police?
The best way to help Canadians to scale back on their intake of this silent killer is to make sure people know of the danger, and know how much sodium lurks in our soups, sauces, cereal, and the rest. Should those sodium-content figures be in bigger type? Accompanied by a warning like the one of cigarette packages?
In any case, companies selling food to Canadians should be encouraged - or even shamed - into getting to work on finding ways to keep their sales up while getting our salt levels down.
© Copyright (c) The Montreal Gazette
**************************************
THE GAZETTE
BAD MEDICINE
Quebec medical residents are doing us all a favour with their effort to end the absurd practice of 24-hour on-call shifts. This practice never did make much sense, and plenty of modern research shows how unwise it is. We're all for economies in health care, but exhausted doctors are not a solution to any problem.
The government of Quebec, through the McGill University Health Centre, is forcing the residents to pursue the issue through arbitration, rather than simply acknowledging that the practice of 24-hour shifts is both bad medicine and bad management.
There is a foolish macho tradition, within the medical profession and among health-system administrators, in support of the inhuman work loads residents are sometimes asked to bear. Here is an obvious need for physicians to heal themselves, by ending the practice of subjecting innocent patients to residents whose expertise and professional skill have temporarily been eroded by endless shifts. We have strict rules limiting shift time for pilots and bus drivers; why are we so relaxed about the alertness of medical residents?
The 24-hour requirement is in the collective agreement between Quebec's 3,000 interns and the ministry of health. It's hardly a surprise that the employer tried to avoid arbitration, considering the evident unreasonableness of the rule. But successive court decisions affirmed that the arbitrator does indeed have jurisdiction over the question. Now his hearings have begun. We're guessing that nobody on the employer's side of the hearing room is being required to stay awake 24 hours at a stretch.
**************************************
THE GAZETTE
ÇA SENT LA COUPE?
A large and exuberant crowd materialized downtown Wednesday night, after the Canadiens' stirring Game 7 victory over the Washington Ovechkins, or whatever they're called.
And why not? The weather was clement and the news from D.C. was terrific. We didn't see any "Halak for Mayor" signs downtown, but it's only a matter of time.
"Ça sent la Coupe!" they were saying in the bars, but by the sober light of day, most Montrealers will admit that that sentiment may still be a little premature. Can Halak do to Sidney Crosby and friends what he did to the Caps? Either way, the exhilaration of knocking off Washington is undeniably glorious, and something all Montrealers can share.
Wednesday night's celebrations downtown were certainly boisterous, but there was little real trouble, and all Montrealers can take satisfaction in that, too. Our summer festivals, after all, unroll every year with almost no vandalism or violence, and there's no reason the 2010 Spring Festival of Hockey can't do the same.
© Copyright (c) The Montreal Gazette
******************************************************************************************
THE KOREA TIMES
EDITORIAL
EUROPEAN LESSON
FISCAL SOUNDNESS IS NEW KEY WORD
As the European debt problem spreads from Greece to Portugal and Spain, global financial markets are wondering who's next. If doomsayers are right to forecast that the crisis could even reach the United States and Japan, few countries in the world would be free from its ripple effects. This means Seoul must hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
The direct impact of the European debt crisis on Korea will likely be minimal, especially if it is limited to the old continent. It is a different story, however, when the debt-caused austerity in major economies pulls down the global economy back into a renewed recession, hitting hard this export-dependent economy and trampling the still fragile recovery. International investors flocking to safer assets will also be a big damper on local bourses, at least in the short run.
Economists both at home and abroad, however, say the ongoing turmoil halfway across the globe indicates it's time governments focus on the new key word of fiscal soundness.
It is reassuring in this regard that the International Monetary Fund has recently issued a report on sustainable fiscal operations, in which it ranked Korea in sixth place out of 20 industrial and emerging economies in terms of national debt ratios against gross domestic product. Even without the IMF ranking, Korea's debt ratio of 33.3 percent is about half the average of G-20 member countries.
Whether the IMF pointed it out or not ― or was even aware of it or not, Korea's situation is quite different from the rest of the group. Most noticeable is the rapid aging of the society, which leads to both a dwindling work force and soaring welfare demands. Also, the unusually rapid increase in overall liabilities will accelerate even further, when the snowballing debts of state enterprises are added. Last but not least, Korea will have to maintain exceptional fiscal health in preparation for the eventual reunification of the divided peninsula.
A recent report by the Korea Institute of Public Finance, a government think tank, said if the government does nothing ― meaning if it does not raise taxes or reduce spending ― the national debt ratio will exceed its GDP in the next generation.
Private-sector economists are more straightforward in their warning, saying the country, with its rapidly aging society and swelling public sector debts, is following the footsteps of its neighbor and the most indebted country in the world ― Japan.
Even more worrisome than these statistics are the mindsets of key policy-makers. President Lee Myung-bak recently stressed the need for ``enlightening'' the general public about the difference between national liabilities and state enterprises' debts, both of which will fall on taxpayers shoulders in the long term.
What President Lee should do instead is to mind both revenue and spending aspects by withdrawing tax cuts for the wealthy individuals and big businesses and refraining from huge public works projects.
The IMF report categorized Korea as one of the nine industrial nations, but its policy recommendations for Seoul more closely resembled those of emerging countries.
**************************************
THE KOREA TIMES
EDITORIAL
LET'S NOT FORGET
TURN MISHAP INTO OPPORTUNITY TO BEEF UP DEFENSE
The nation bade farewell to the 46 victims of its worst peacetime naval disaster Thursday, 34 days after a warship sank due to an explosion. The remains of the killed sailors were laid to rest at the Daejeon National Cemetery. May their noble souls rest in peace! The funeral just ended, but it is not the end. How can we forget the seamen who perished devoting themselves to the defense of the country?
They have gone, but they will live in the hearts of the people forever. The incident has just left an indelible mark in the history of South Korea. And the deceased should be remembered for serving the nation to protect our freedom and democracy from our enemies. The tragedy reminds us of how important national defense and security is to our daily lives. We can no longer take it for granted that peace is achieved for nothing.
Now, it's time to join efforts to ensure the sailors' sacrifice will make a big difference in the nation's defense system. It is necessary to shed light on what went wrong with the ill-fated frigate Cheonan and the Navy's preparedness. And then, let's draw a lesson from the incident to avoid a repetition. Failing to do so will only ruin our future. Should we let history repeat itself or change course for a better future? The answer depends on how to reflect on past mistakes and to transform our defense system to better cope with any external threats.
It goes without saying that the first thing is to find the exact cause of the mysterious explosion that broke the 1,200-ton vessel in two before it sank near the Yellow Sea border with North Korea on March 26. The nation should pass the test of its ability to unveil what triggered the blast and who was behind it. The test is for the second line of defense as it may allow the authorities to take stern action against those found responsible for the incident.
Moreover, the nation is required to take a more fundamental approach to overhaul its naval defense postures as well as its entire defense and security system. Criticism is mounting that the military had failed to conduct speedy search and rescue operations, not to mention its failure to avoid the sinking of the ship. It has also been slammed for poor handling of the incident without a firmly established chain of command to bring the crisis situation under control.
In this context, the disaster should be turned into an opportunity to initiate a military and defense reform aimed at setting up a tighter security network to thwart any infiltration attempts. The South is still technically at war with the North as the 1950-53 Korean War ended with an armistice but without a peace treaty. How much more of a price will the nation have to pay for peace on the peninsula? Let's try to find an answer.
**************************************
THE KOREA TIMES
EDITORIAL
ANOTHER FAILED BRITISH EXPERIMENT
BY HAROLD JAMES
FLORENCE ― British politics has always been something of an experimental laboratory for the industrialized world. In the 1970s, Britain was where the preeminent postwar model of how to manage the economy collapsed.
That model had been based politically on the creation of consensus, and economically on Keynesian demand management.
Today, the equivalent collapse has been of the ``regulation-lite" regime in which a party that styled itself as ``New Labour" accepted a powerful role for markets ― particularly for largely deregulated financial markets.
In the 1960s, Keynesian policies delivered the illusion that everyone was benefiting, with high levels of employment and significant wage growth.
Britain was the coolest place on earth, boasting the Beatles and the Rolling Stones and the pastel fashions of Carnaby Street.
But Keynesianism involved continued fiscal expansion, with no offsetting monetary contraction.
By the 1970s, it had brought to the United Kingdom large and ultimately unsustainable current-account deficits, high levels of inflation, and then political gridlock over what to do. Which group should be the first to make a sacrifice?
In early 1974, Edward Heath's Conservative government was locked in a struggle with the powerful coal miners' union over ``who rules Britain." He called a premature election in February, in which there was no clear winner.
Heath was deeply unpopular. But the opposition Labour Party was not convincing either, and had little in the way of an intellectual alternative. It simply sought to avoid confrontation with the unions.
The election produced a political stalemate. The centrist Liberal Democrats appeared to hold the balance of power, and stories circulated of how Heath was prepared to concede a reformed voting system.
He held out the promise of proportional representation, which would ensure a greater number of parliamentary seats for the Liberal Democrats in future elections, in exchange for the party's support for a new Conservative government.
There appears to be an overwhelming likelihood that the 1974 stalemate will be repeated in the upcoming general election on May 6.
The political maneuvering has already started, with the unpopular incumbent Prime Minister Gordon Brown, today's equivalent of Heath, bidding for the Liberal Democrats' support by promising a constitutional reform that would give the party major advantages.
In 1974, the touted Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition never materialized, as the Liberal Democrats were wary of hitching their fortunes to an unpopular and discredited politician.
The result was a minority government that struggled for support and legitimacy, and in the end offered only policies that provided no real answer to the country's underlying problems.
Britain today resembles 1974 much more than it resembles 1979, when the Thatcher revolution set the country on a new path. There is again a major economic problem, the end of a credit-driven boom, and a threat to the banks (except that it all looks much bigger, owing to the financial system's massive growth and internationalization).
Both major political parties look tired, and at the same time as if they are competing to imitate each other. The choice appalls voters.
There is also an ominous resemblance to Italy in 1992, when both major parties of the previous 40 years, the Christian Democrats and the Communists, simply melted away in a mixture of corruption and intellectual failure.
In the 2000s boom, as in the 1960s, it looked as if everyone could live on the never-never. In 1960s, it was counter-cyclical fiscal policy that held out the promise of prosperity for all; in the 2000s, it was that individuals rather than the state piled up debt.
The magic of markets made possible an individualization of borrowing and consumption.
As in the meltdown of the 1970s, it is easy to see how everyone benefited from the recent boom: homeowners saw their houses rising in price, social-welfare payments were expanded, and people seemed swept up in a new wave of 1960s-style ``Cool Britannia."
But now, as then, Britain's future is bleak and overshadowed by debt. Major adjustments are needed. At the same time, the main parties find it hard to address the country's problems, because they are reluctant to call for sacrifice before an election.
And, because the party programs of the Labour government and the Conservative opposition are not clearly distinguishable, they find it hard to differentiate themselves from the Liberal Democrats.
Both major parties are appealing to the political center, but they will never be as convincing as a political party that really is in the political center, and that is unencumbered by the scandals attached to the past exercise of power.
The course of the electoral struggle so far indicates that the Liberal Democrats will do very well. Their leader outshines his Conservative and Labour counterparts in television debates and on the campaign trail.
Moreover, Labour and the Conservatives are in a political trap. The moment they start to disagree with the Liberal Democrats, they will make themselves look extreme and will forfeit voter sympathies.
But this demand for political moderation impedes the search for the radical and painful solutions that Britain needs.
Little wonder, then, that currency markets are treating the likely outcome in Britain ― a hung parliament, with no clear majority for any party ― as a repeat of the mid-1970s, with no clear solution to the country's underlying economic problems on offer.
Harold James is professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University and Marie Curie professor of history at the European University Institute, Florence. His most recent book is ``The Creation and Destruction of Value: The Globalization Cycle." For more stories, visit Project Syndicate (www.project-syndicate.org). For a podcast of this commentary in English, please use this link:
**************************************
THE KOREA TIMES
EDITORIAL
GETTING IN ON GREEK LIQUIDATION SALE
BY DALE MCFEATTERS
Scripps Howard News Service
Always had a hankering to own the Parthenon? Maybe the entire Acropolis? You may have a chance because that classic pile of marble may come on the market.
On May 19, Greece must make good on 8.5 million euros' worth of debt repayments. Thanks to what one financial publication called a mixture of waywardness and mendacity, Greece can't do it.
Even before its bond status was downgraded to junk, Greece had difficulty borrowing. At one point, the interest rate on its two-year bonds was 23 percent, and lenders thought, rightly, that there was little hope the cradle of democracy would be in shape to repay that money.
Greece is a member of the European Union. The EU requires its members to observe limits on budget deficits, which some members do better than others. Thanks to generous public works spending, public-employee salaries and perks and feisty unions, Greece didn't do well at all. Moreover, the government lied about the size of its deficit and the amount of debt it was running up.
Greece is also a member of the eurozone, meaning it shares a common currency, the euro, with the rest of Europe. That precludes it from dealing with the debt the way the more feckless of nations have traditionally done ― run the printing presses and pay off the debt with funny money.
That meant Athens had to go hat in hand to the EU and the International Monetary Fund and ask for a bailout. Letting the market for Greek debt tank might take other financially parlous countries with it ― Portugal, Spain and Italy, most notably ― and the eurozone financial exchanges as well.
The chief investment officer of a leading securities firm in Athens said, ``There is a very serious risk of contagion, it's something like post-Lehman period. Everybody is panicking and there is a lot of fear in the market."
It says something, probably not good, that the 2008 bankruptcy of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers is being invoked two years later in Greece to terrify European bankers into action.
Grudgingly, the other EU countries agreed to a 45 billion euro bailout scheme that might buy Greece a year, maybe even three, of time. Most grudging of all was Germany, where the bailout is extremely unpopular. As one German formulation goes, ``Why should I work until 67 so the Greeks can retire at 62?"
Chancellor Angela Merkel faces regional elections on May 9 and would like to cut any agreement on bailouts as close as possible to the elections. If she cuts it too close, you might get your shot at the Parthenon.
Even then Greece may not be in the clear. There is substantial doubt whether the government has the will and the courage to make the tough cuts in public spending and benefits to bring the books back into line.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou's solution ― miracles ― is less than confidence building. ``In difficult times we can perform ― and we are performing ― miracles," he promises.
There is said to be a lively market for credit-default swaps ― the kind of financial product that got Goldman Sachs hauled before Congress ― because investors are looking to bet that Greece will fail, either being forced to greatly restructure its debt or default altogether.
If the Goldman Sachs broker calls with a hot deal in Greek bonds, hang up or, better yet, tell him you have a Parthenon to sell him.
Dale McFeatters is an editorial wDistributed by Scripps Howard News Service, http://www.scrippsnews.com)
**************************************
THE KOREA TIMES
EDITORIAL
ELITE COLLEGES SOFTEN ON ROTC BANS
BY DALE MCFEATTERS
Scripps Howard News Service
In the anti-war fervor of the late 1960s and early 1970s, strikes, sit-ins, demonstrations and the occasional arson drove the ROTC off many campuses. Over time the officer training programs gradually returned but not to the Ivy League and other highly selective schools.
They were kept off by what seemed, and probably was, an animus against the military, and the ``Don't Ask, Don't Tell" policy provided a pretext for banning them under the guise of standing up for the rights of gays and lesbians.
DADT, to use the shorthand, bars openly gay and lesbian individuals from the armed services but also prohibits the military from asking about an individual's sexual orientation. The policy is not wholly the military's doing. Congress enacted it into law and President Bill Clinton signed it in 1993.
While that made the White House and Congress were complicit in the policy, the uniformed military bore the brunt of academic displeasure. Many campuses went a step further and barred military recruiters altogether until in 2006 a unanimous Supreme Court said those institutions could lose their federal funding for doing so.
However, now, according to the Boston Globe, such elite schools as Harvard, Yale, Columbia, Stanford, Brown and the University of Chicago are rethinking their ROTC bans and over time may allow the program back on campus.
The softening attitude was given impetus when, shortly after President Barack Obama called for DADT's repeal in his January State of the Union address, Defense secretary Robert Gates told Congress the Pentagon was taking the first steps toward eventual repeal, a course endorsed by chairman of the Joint Chiefs Adm. Mike Mullen.
One would also hope that that academia's new attitude has something to do with the great respect the American public has for the military post-9/11.
Harvard's 20 ROTC students must go to MIT or Boston University for their training. While some of the smaller area colleges that use the MIT program provide transportation for their students, Harvard does not. Nor, according to the Globe, does it give academic credit for their military science courses.
Some of the restrictions on ROTC cadets were so petty as to amount to spite. The Globe says that Harvard now allows them to list their ROTC affiliation in the school yearbook.They can now get their officers' commissions in Harvard Yard following graduation, and in a major sign of the improving atmosphere for the military, Harvard president Drew Faust now attends the commissioning ceremony.
Faust should go a step further and welcome ROTC back on campus. The best and brightest in cap and gown and the best and brightest in uniform have been estranged too long.
Dale McFeatters is an editorial writer of Scripps Howard News Service (www.scrippsnews.com).
**************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE JAPAN TIMES
EDITORIAL
RUSSIA EXTENDS ITS REACH
Russia has considered states on its periphery as part of its sphere of influence. Frequently, however, those neighbors have had ideas of their own and their domestic politics have been defined by the struggle between pro- and anti-Russian factions.
This fight was played out most recently in Ukraine, where the election of Viktor Yanukovych earlier this year signaled the resurgence of pro-Moscow forces in the country. Last week, the two countries signed a gas-for-bases deal that consolidates Russia's presence and influence.
While Yanukovych is no less nationalist than his rivals, his sympathies lie more with Moscow than did those of his predecessor, Viktor Yushchenko. Indeed, Yushchenko's pro-Western inclinations created considerable tension with Moscow. He sought Ukraine's membership in NATO and the European Union, halted the formation of a consortium with Russia that would have modernized Ukraine's gas pipeline network, and had pledged to to expel the Russian fleet from its Black Sea base in Sevastopol in 2017, when its current lease expires.
All those moves angered Russia, which saw them as undermining its position in its "near abroad" and diminishing its status more generally. Moscow responded with increasingly hostile diplomacy and a seemingly annual suspension of natural gas supplies in January when Ukraine was most vulnerable.
Yanukovych's election this year offered a chance to transform the bilateral relationship; Moscow responded with alacrity. Last week, the two governments agreed to a deal that will extend the Black Sea lease to 2042 in exchange for a steep cut in the price of the natural gas Russia sells to Ukraine. And there is no mistaking the linkage of the two.
According to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, "These issues are directly and unequivocally combined in the agreement." In addition, the two countries have agreed to resume the stalled energy consortium. (The parliaments of both Russia and Ukraine ratified the Black Sea fleet deal this week.)
Plainly, Russia benefits from the deals. The extension of the Black Sea lease continues Moscow's presence in southern Europe. The fleet, which consists of some 40 combat vessels, provided support for Russian ground forces during the war with Georgia in 2008. Coming on the heels of the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty with the United States, it reminds the world that Moscow is an international diplomatic force.
Rejuvenation of the pipeline project puts Moscow firmly at the heart of Europe's energy policy. The Ukrainian network is the second-largest in Europe and serves as a transit route for Russian gas supplies to its largest market. This deal helps consolidate Russia's position as an economic power in Europe.
Of course, Ukraine benefits as well. Russia's agreement to waive export duties on the natural gas it sells to Ukraine will cut the price of natural gas by about 30 percent, saving Ukraine an estimated $1.5 billion in 2010 and some $10 billion over the life of the contract. For an economy that shrank 15 percent in 2009, such savings are invaluable. Moreover, it will aid the country in its negotiations with the International Monetary Fund over a new $12 billion loan. The IMF last year suspended an earlier $16.4 billion loan program, after releasing around $11 billion, when the government pushed for large increases in social spending.
Economic benefits notwithstanding, the deal has its detractors in Ukraine. Opposition politicians have denounced the lease extension as treason, saying it violates the constitutional prohibition against foreign military bases on Ukrainian soil. Former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who now heads the country's largest opposition party, complained that the deal is "the start of the systematic destruction of the independence of our state."
That is an exaggeration. But Ukraine is in a precarious geopolitical position. It lies not only between Russia and Europe, but between Russia and the Mediterranean. It straddles the pipeline routes that Moscow sees as critical to its influence in Europe and its global status. Russia is a fact of life for Ukraine, one that cannot be wished away with foreign policy.
Every Ukraine government must acknowledge Russian concerns and interests. The trick is balancing them with the desire to maximize its own sovereignty and freedom of diplomatic maneuver. That is a difficult assignment.
Key to Ukraine's success will be its leaders avoiding the most divisive choices. For example, Ukraine's membership in NATO is an incendiary option. In fact, real integration with the West would result from membership in the EU, rather than joining the trans-Atlantic military alliance. The economic and social linkages that flow from EU membership are much deeper and more enduring. It is more difficult for Moscow to object to the EU than to a military institution that has an ambiguous relationship with Russia.
Meanwhile, it is important to recognize that with this deal Russia has extended its reach. Moscow continues to be a force to be reckoned with, for some countries more than others. Ukraine is one such country.
***************************************
THE JAPAN TIMES
EDITORIAL
AMERICA'S STAR IS RISING IN WORLD OPINION
BY FRANK CHING
Despite widespread talk of a rising China and an America in decline, the latest BBC World Service poll shows not just strong residual American soft power but actually an increase. At the same time, the data depict a China whose influence is viewed as more negative than positive in an increasing number of countries.
A year and a half after the election of President Barack Obama, views of the United States around the world have improved, according to the poll of about 30,000 adults interviewed either in person or by telephone in 28 countries who were asked to consider the influence of various countries as mostly positive or mostly negative.
The survey found that the U.S. is viewed positively on balance in 20 of the 28 countries surveyed, confirming a trend that was discernible two years ago.
Surveys in 2008 by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and the Pew Global Attitudes Project found signs that America's global image was recovering after having plummeted following its decision to invade Iraq in 2003.
America is now viewed positively in 20 of the 28 countries, with an average of 46 percent saying the U.S. has a positive influence in the world, while 34 percent say that it has a negative influence. By contrast, China is viewed positively in 15 of those countries.
Ironically, while America's image overseas is improving, a Pew Research Center survey shows that almost 80 percent of Americans say they don't trust Washington, with public confidence in the federal government at one of the lowest points in a half century.
Fifteen of the 28 countries polled by the BBC have been surveyed each year since 2005. They are Australia, Canada, Chile, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Mexico, the Philippines, Russia, Turkey, Britain and the U.S.
In 2005, 38 percent of people in those countries regarded American influence as positive, but this number dropped to 28 percent in 2007. This year, America's popularity has recovered and 40 percent of those polled see the U.S. influence in the world as positive.
But views of China have declined sharply. In 2005, 49 percent of people thought that China's influence was mostly positive, 11 points higher than that of the U.S. However, China's numbers have fallen, reaching 34 percent this year, trailing the U.S. by 6 points.
As China's political, economic and military power have grown, global attention has focused on its influence and activities in Asia.
Public sentiment in the region is shifting dramatically. Japan has for many years had a strained relationship with China. While 59 percent of Japanese had a negative view of China in 2009, this number has now fallen dramatically to 38 percent.
This warming has taken place at a time when China has replaced the U.S. as Japan's most important trading partner. Also, since Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama took office last September, he has emphasized closer relations between Japan and Asia, in particular with China.
But Indians are moving in the other direction. In 2009, Indians leaned toward a positive view of China, 30 percent versus 24 percent, with many declining to state a view. Now, there are more Indians who view China negatively, 38 percent versus 30 percent who have a positive view.
South Koreans are going even further than Indians, with 61 percent viewing China negatively, compared to 50 percent in 2008.
Elsewhere in Asia, Indonesians view China less negatively than before, with 43 percent holding a positive view and 29 percent negative, compared to 37 percent negative previously. And in the Philippines, sentiment has shifted sharply, from 52 percent negative in 2009 to 55 percent positive today.
The official China Daily, responding to the BBC poll results, said public opinion was shaped by the Western media, which "are unsuitably seasoned with misunderstanding, misinterpretation or even bias and enmity."
However, it concluded optimistically, "as mutual understanding deepens, public opinion will change."
Public opinion is undoubtedly affected by the Western media. But this was true in previous years as well, when China's image was much more positive. So there must be other reasons that account for the deterioration of China's image, possibly including such events as the outbreaks of violence in Tibet in 2008 and in Xinjiang last year and the way they were put down.
Public opinion, especially views on foreign countries, may be fickle and subject to personal whims but they cannot be dismissed out of hand because they do provide an indication of how well governments are perceived to be doing, not by their own people but by international opinion.
Frank Ching is a journalist and commentator.
***************************************
THE JAPAN TIMES
EDITORIAL
A CLOUD OVER AIRPLANE SAFETY
BY PETER SINGER
PRINCETON, N.J. When airports across Europe reopened after the closure caused by the eruption of Iceland's Eyjafjallajokull volcano, it was not because the amount of ash in the atmosphere had dropped, but because the risk that the ash posed to airplane safety had been reassessed. Was it new scientific information that led to the lifting of the flight ban, or was it a reflection of the hardship, both personal and economic, that the ban was causing?
Over six days, about 95,000 flights were canceled, at a cost to airlines of more than $1 billion. An estimated 5 million people were stranded or delayed. The British economy lost £1.5 billion, and others were similarly affected. Flower growers in Kenya, who depend on air transport to take their short-lived product to Europe, suddenly had no income. Sixteen cancer patients in critical need of bone marrow for transplants were put at risk because the matching marrow could not be flown in from the United States or Canada.
In the past, jets flying into ash spewed from volcanoes in the U.S., Indonesia, the Philippines and Mexico have
temporarily lost engine power, and in one case, dropped thousands of feet, although all managed to land safely. But there was no evidence that the more widely dispersed ash blowing over Europe from Iceland would have caused similar problems. The decision to ground flights was based on the view that any level of ash in the atmosphere posed some risk to aircraft, and that no matter how slight that risk might be, the government's job was, as British Prime Minister Gordon Brown put it, "to make sure that safety was paramount."
Indeed, in closing their skies, European governments seem to have given safety absolute priority over everything else. Yet none of them act on that principle in other areas. Some 3,000 people die on the world's roads every day. Cutting speed limits to, say, 10 kilometers per hour would prevent most accidents and save many lives. We don't do it, because we give safety a lower priority than our desire to spend less time driving.
The price we are willing to pay for safety cannot be infinite. It is distasteful to put a price on human life, but the more we spend on safety, the less we will have for our other goals. The British government uses a figure of a little more than £1 million as a general limit to the amount it is prepared to pay to save a statistical life for example, by improving road safety. In the U.S., the Department of Transportation is prepared to go up to $5.8 million nearly four times as much, at current exchange rates for the same purpose. Does that mean that safety is paramount in the U.S., but not in Britain?
Giovanni Bisignani, the head of the International Air Transport Association, an industry group, criticized the shutdown, saying that no risk assessment had been undertaken. On the whole, though, the public seemed to support the decision. Stranded travelers, interviewed at airports, typically said that they would rather be stuck at an airport than in a plane falling out of the sky.
But what if some travelers have a higher tolerance of risk, or just a more urgent need to travel, than others? John Stuart Mill, in his classic book "On Liberty," considered a situation in which a man sets out to cross a bridge that we know is unsafe. In Mill's view, we are justified in stopping him only to make sure that he is aware of the danger. Once he knows of it, the decision is his to make, because only he can judge the importance of his journey, and balance that against the risk he is running.
Air safety is slightly different because a crashing plane can kill people on the ground, but the greatest risks by far are borne by the passengers and crew. If they are fully informed of the risks, and are still willing to fly perhaps the crew has been offered more money, as workers in dangerous occupations often are should we prevent them from making the decision to fly?
In the end, after test flights with no passengers aboard had shown no engine damage, and aircraft engine manufacturers told aviation authorities that their engines could operate safely with a low level of ash in the atmosphere, Europe's skies were reopened. The International Civil Aviation Authority has announced that it will convene a group of experts to help it provide guidance for the industry to decide what level of ash in the atmosphere makes it unsafe to fly. Now that we have seen the costs of giving absolute priority to safety, we know that this is not only a technical question. I trust that among the experts will be some who have pondered the underlying ethical question: how safe should we aim to be?
Peter Singer is a professor of bioethics at Princeton University and laureate professor at the University of Melbourne. His books include "Practical Ethics, One World," and most recently, "The Life You Can Save." © 2010 Project Syndicate
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE JAKARTA POST
EDITORIAL
ACCESSING PUBLIC INFORMATION
Imagine President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono issuing a directive on the day the law on access to public information comes into full force on April 30, calling for a compliance in the name of greater government transparency and accountability. Imagine Yudhoyono telling his bureaucrats that although there are exemptions that allow them to withhold information, they should never invoke them unless it is absolutely necessary.
That is probably hard to imagine but not necessarily impossible. US President Barack Obama, on his first day in office in February 2009, issued such a directive about the implementation of the Freedom of Information Act, in a memo to the bureaucracy saying that his government would work "to ensure the public trust and establish a system of transparency, public participation and collaboration".
But this is Indonesia. It would be expecting too much from our President and government to show the same de-
mocratic spirit in welcoming the new law, which, with all its imperfections, is still a milestone in the journey of Indonesia toward democracy.
In fact, we see little celebration if at all with the passage of the new law.
Understandably, the bureaucracy would rather have the law buried because it is not ready even though they have had two years of preparation since the law was enacted by the House of Representatives in 2008. Sharing information with the public means they have to be more accountable and transparent in their work. So, mentally too, they are not ready.
But surprisingly, the law receives scant attention also from potential users and beneficiaries. In the US, the main users of the law come from the corporate world, lawyers, individuals, NGOs and the media, in that order.
These are the groups that should be toasting the new law.
The access to public information law in many respects is modeled on the Freedom of Information Act in the US.
Indonesia should be grateful that it joins a few other countries around the world that has such legislation, which through the promotion of transparency, will surely ensure better governance.
Under the law, all records and documents in government agencies or those agencies that receive state funding, must be made available to the public, either disseminated proactively (now made possible thanks to the Internet) or on requests. The law allows for nine types of exemption whereby the government can withhold information and usually focus on national security and privacy rights.
The two-year grace provided by the House of Representatives was implemented to allow the government to make the necessary preparations in implementing the law, including the mechanism by which members of the public can access and request information, and also most importantly, perhaps, change the mindset and culture prevailing in the bureaucracy of withholding information as a way of controlling the population.
Sadly, most government agencies have taken a laid back attitude toward the legislation. The Information Commission, an independent agency set up to oversee the implementation, has been established at the national level, but only three or four provinces have established their own local commissions. Only seven government agencies nationwide have seriously prepared for the implementation of the law, by appointing a public information officer to deal with public requests.
The government has not even developed regulations supplementary to the law, at least it had not by Thursday afternoon. On Friday, the law will be formally in place and legally, members of the public can prosecute the government or its agencies for failing to provide them with information, and the government cannot use the pretext that it has not implemented regulations as an excuse.
For all its faults, including our lack of attention and preparedness, the law on access to public information
ushers in a new era for Indonesia's march to democracy. We should rejoice the implementation of the law by
making full use of it and test the government's commitment to better governance and transparency.
***************************************
THE JAKARTA POST
THE ACT UPON INFORMATION
SHITA LAKSMI
Some people may say that since most Indonesians are not law-abiding people, you need not advocate the law. What is written in the law is not necessarily implemented accordingly.
In some cases, they might be right. But in the Access to Public Information Law, what is happening is completely contrary.
The 2008 law on access to public information was ratified two years ago in April. And as usual, two years after the law is ratified, we should implement it.
The law stipulates that public institutions should disclose its information to the public, moreover whenever the public ask for it. Nongovernmental organizations should also disclose information about themselves.
The process to implement this law is underway. It is not an easy process, since most of the government institutions, particularly those in the regions, are not aware of the law. However, some initiatives from the civil society have made the task workable.
Take a look at the community center in Banten. The center was initiated by Pattiro, a nongovernmental institution, to facilitate local residents gathering, sharing information, discussing their problems openly and looking for solutions (Srimarga, 2010).
The community center has initiated a lot of examples on how citizens can ask for information significant to their lives and act upon it.
Maryati Abdullah (2010) wrote several stories on how citizens can do something about the information which affects their lives. Here is an excerpt of one interesting story.
Abdul Mughni is a resident of Sampangan subdistrict, Pekalongan Timur. He is 53 years old and suffers from a serious problem with his heart and needs a small but essential operation.
As a low-income citizen, he has no access to proper medical treatment or to get an operation and, what makes it worse, he is not registered with Jamkesmas (the public health insurance scheme).
Syakir Ilmi, his neighbor, attended a community center meeting which was discussing the law on access to public information. The local Health Ministry office, which was invited and took part of the discussion, brought the good news that the local budget provides Rp 2 million (US$221.5) for low-income citizens who do not hold Jamkesmas cards. Syakir went back to Abdul and conveyed the message.
After completing all the administrative requirements, including filling in forms for the field survey and obtaining a hospital recommendation, Abdul got the funds. He received Rp 1.9 million after Rp 100,000 was deducted for administrative fees and was given an appointment for his operation.
Syakir also disseminated the information to 31-year-old Ima, who needed to have a Cesarean operation to deliver her baby.
This type of initiative is growing in some parts of Banten, and that is really the issue: That people can actively act upon the information they receive and change their own life. One can argue that the story revolves around minor issues, but at least the delivery of information could save those two lives.
It is so unfortunate that the secrecy bill is part of the 20102014 national legislation program of the House of Representatives. This bill was not included on the list of bills for deliberation during the previous term of the House due to strong opposition from civil society.
But then it was put as one of the priorities on the 2010 House legislation program, although it was only quite recently that the House took it back from the 2010 list of priorities (Bejo Untung, 2010).
The secrecy act will reverse the Access to Public Information Law. As has happened in most democratic countries, there are exceptions to such Freedom of Information Laws, which are acknowledged in the Access to Public Information Law.
The question is should we count the experiences of Abdul Mughni, Syakir Ilmi and Ima in pursuing the implementation of the law on access to public information?
I think we should. So what should we wait?
This month, two years after we ratified the Access to Public Information Law, is a perfect time to implement it nationally.
And to confirm that the government and the House really care for Indonesian citizens, just delete the secrecy bill from the national legislation program. The bill will only erect yet another unnecessary obstacle to hinder citizens changing their own lives.
The writer is a fellow at the Ateneo de Manila University Center for Journalism.
***************************************
THE JAKARTA POST
EDITORIAL
ANTI-CRISIS, GROWTH CONSENSUS
UMAR JUORO
At the international seminar in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, on April 12 that was attended by participants from around the world including representatives from multilateral agencies such as IMF, World Bank, ADB, and UNDP, there was a consensus on how to deal with the global crisis and sustain high economic growth.
The success of emerging countries such as China, India, and Uzbekistan, and to some extent Indonesia, in
dealing with the global crisis while maintaining high economic growth has provided important lessons.
It is important for the country to have a clear anti-crisis program that covers financial stability, stimulus to the economy, creating employment and supporting the poor.
A financial stability program includes strengthening capital adequacy for the banks, restructuring non-performing loans, strengthening risk management, and setting protocol to deal with systemic risk.
Programs on stimulating the economy include lowering tax rate, incentive for the private sector, infrastructure development and developing the domestic market. On employment creation the focus is on supporting SMEs.
On assisting low-income people, it is important for low-income people to receive better access to jobs, healthcare and education.
The global crisis has ruined the financial market in developed economies, especially in the US and UK, and created a global economic crisis with a deep recession in developed economies.
However, emerging economies led by China can maintain a high economic growth at 8.7 percent, India at 6 percent, Uzbekistan at 8.1 percent and even Indonesia can maintain positive growth at 4.5 percent.
In these countries CAR (capital adequacy ratio) at the banking sector is high in double digit figures above the requirement of Basel.
Meanwhile, the financial authority is aggressively pusheing for non-performing loan restructuring and limiting the involvement of financial institutions, especially banks from exotic structured products.
In addition, foreign debt is limiting so that it will not create a burden that can ruin the economy at the time of crisis.
The emerging countries that experienced high economic growth stimulated the economy by cutting tax rates and giving other tax incentives for business, higher budget allocation for infrastructure development, and facilitating for industries to deal with the impact of declining exports because of recession in export markets in developed economies.
A special program to support SMEs that is very important for employment creation has also been implemented. Support for low-income people related to health, education and program-like cash transfers is very important for people living in poverty to cope up with the situation.
Nevertheless, budget discipline remains intact, even for the case of Uzbekistan the budget was still surplus.
At the stage of global economic recovery, countries with a reliable anti-crisis program will also be able to reap the benefits of recovery in export and investment. As there is uncertainty lingering around sustainability for developed economies to recover, regional cooperation is very important.
In Asia, as an example, the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement is very important to boost trade and also investment in the region. A similar effort should be undertaken in other regions.
Furthermore, there is understanding that the role of China in the world economy will be stronger. The role of China in trade and investment should also benefit emerging economies.
The use of yuan for bilateral trade is getting wider support. It is clear there is a shift of economic growth to Asia led by China.
This phenomenon should be seen as a positive signal for continuing economic progress of the world economy.
Nevertheless the issue of imbalances especially between China and the US should be resolved through bilateral means as well as the G20 forum.
For Indonesia, the momentum for high economic growth is very much on the move. The inflow of capital is very strong that significantly increases the capital market index and strengthening rupiah.
The capital inflow is also very strong to buy sovereign bonds and be placed into a Bank Indonesia certificate (SBI).
Unfortunately, there is no strong sign yet for foreign direct investment (FDI). The classical issues of conflicting regulations, poor infrastructure and labor regulation rigidity are still the main concern for foreign direct investors.
Once these classical issues are solved in a step-by-step manner, the FDI will flock to Indonesia to support sustainable high economic growth.
The writer is senior fellow at the Center for Information and Development Studies (CIDES) and the Habibie Center.
***************************************
THE JAKARTA POST
EDITORIAL
IGNORANCE, A DISASTER FOR LAW ENFORCEMENT
FRANS H. WINARTA
The pretrial verdict of the South Jakarta District Court on Bibit S. Rianto and Chandra M. Hamzah of the Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) is not unpredictable.
The cancelation of the prosecution of Bibit and Chandra, which was already declared complete by the National Police chief and the Attorney General, ignored the due process of law.
Some say the cancellation of the prosecution of Bibit and Chandra is a correct legal sociological decision because it is in line with the people's wishes and in accordance with their sense of justice.
However, it should be noted that an intervention from the power holders that the people's wishes be heard will further weaken law enforcement in Indonesia.
In law enforcement, justice is a must. But in a case like the Bibit-Chandra one, which was about to be submitted to the court for hearing and was then canceled because of a presidential order, as well as pressure from the public that it be halted, the due process of law must also be observed.
The public's massive support for Bibit and Chandra through Facebook has turned into disappointment, as the KPK has not become stronger and efficient, but indecisive when confronted with big corruption cases.
In handling the Bank Century scandal, for example, the KPK look as if they do not know how to handle it.
Worse is the KPK seems at a loss when handling the alleged tax fraud involving PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa boss Paulus Tumewu.
In fact, I have reminded everyone of the danger of ignoring the due process of law and its impacts on law enforcement, especially anti-corruption.
If only Bibit and Chandra had been questioned under the supervision of the Judicial Commission, the National Ombudsman Commission, the National Human Rights Commission, the National Law Commission and the Financial Transaction Reports and Analysis Center, within two to three months, the case would have become final and Bibit and Chandra may have been released from their legal problems and could have turned all their attention to leading the KPK in the fight against corruption.
However, unfortunately the eight-member presidential supervisory team did not anticipate the impact of their recommendation on the fate of law enforcement.
The brief victory brought euphoria to the public who simplified Bibit and Chandra as the personification of the KPK, whereas in fact Bibit and Chandra are not the same as the KPK.
Let's hope that the prosecutor's office will file an appeal against the court's pretrial verdict and subsequently
the Jakarta High Court will annul the lower court's verdict, so that both Bibit and Chandra can continue their work at the KPK. The prosecution against Bibit and Chandra may not necessarily weaken the KPK. It is the attitude of KPK leaders, who are indecisive and easily swayed, which will weaken the KPK itself. Let's hope that all of these matters can be resolved quickly because a weak KPK will only foil the corruption eradication agenda of the SBY administration itself.
Indeed, we are currently facing a dilemma of law enforcement that is mixed with political intervention. This political intervention turns out to be a disaster for law enforcement in Indonesia.
If the Jakarta High Court upholds the pretrial verdict of the South Jakarta District Court, Bibit and Chandra had better face the court proceedings to clear their names from all the allegations. If they are acquitted of all the charges, it will be proof that efforts to weaken the KPK are real and do exist. Otherwise, all the accusations of attempts to weaken the KPK are groundless.
The writer is chairman of the Indonesian Advocates Association (Peradin). The opinions expressed are personal.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE KOREA HERALD
EDITORIAL
ILL-ADVISED ACTION
As Rep. Cho Jeon-hyeok of the ruling Grand National Party believes, the court order against him may be severely biased. It could be little different from "a death sentence to a politician," as he claims, but he has no one else but himself to blame if he goes bankrupt as a consequence of defying the order.
The case involving Rep. Cho dates back to April 15, when a Seoul district court ordered him not to disclose the names of members of the Korean Teachers and Education Workers Union. The court issued the injunction at the request of the progressive schoolteachers' group, which claimed the disclosure of their affiliation would infringe on their privacy.
When the conservative lawmaker published the names of the teachers on his homepage in defiance of the ban, the court imposed a fine of 30 million on him for each day he keeps them online. But the lawmaker was ill-advised when he said he had no intention of removing the list from his homepage.
This is not to say that the district court was unquestionably right when it said in issuing the ban on publication on April 15, "Information on affiliation with a union is more sensitive than general information on individuals and, as such, deserves greater protection." As the lawmaker claims, the court, or the judge in charge to be precise, may not have been impartial when he made the ruling.
Moreover, quite a few legal experts may have a different opinion on the court's decision that the disclosure of the names of unionized teachers would have no "direct bearing on an individual student's right" to education and his parents' right to information on his teachers.
That having been said, what Rep. Cho should have done was to honor the ruling no matter what and decide to contest the case in court. Should the district court rule against him, he could appeal the case in an attempt to redress his grievance in an appellate court. As his final recourse, he could again appeal to the Supreme Court. That is the legal procedure he should have pursued, both as an individual and a lawmaker representing parents and other diverse groups of people in his electoral district.
But he didn't. Instead, he took the law into his own hands when he made public the list of the names of the union members, arguing that parents' right to information outweighed the privacy of the teachers. It is one thing to try to make a strong case to the public outside of a court but it is quite another to ignore a court order.
Even more disappointing was his thinly veiled attempt to pit the legislature against the judiciary for his cause. He said, "I feel powerless and fearful to fight (the court) for myself. But it will be of help if fellow members of the National Assembly, its speaker and members of the Legislation and Judiciary Committee pay attention (to the case)."
Some Grand National Party members sprang to Rep. Cho's defense and accused the court unabshedly of making a "ruling of organized crime" or becoming "violent and unprincipled." What do the checks and balances mean to them?
Given that Rep. Cho has 668.52 million won in assets -- an amount he reported to the National Assembly as an elected public officeholder, he would become penniless should he keep the list on his homepage for more than 22 days after the court order was served. As a sympathetic fellow lawmaker says, a 30 million won per day fine may be too much. But he will have to pay the fine if he wishes to disregard the court order and uphold his conviction. What else can he do under the rule of law?
***************************************
THE KOREA HERALD
EDITORIAL
REFORM? WHAT REFORM?
The National Assembly had a grand design for a drastic reform in local administration when it launched a special committee more than a year ago. The panel closed shop earlier in the week, producing nothing but a negligible accord. No one could be blamed for wondering aloud why the panel was launched in the first place.
It was the panel's mission to overhaul the 1,000-year-old structure of local administration and make it more efficient and responsive to the needs of local residents. The core of the proposed reform was to consolidate more than 230 municipalities into 60 to 70 administrative units and abolish provinces in favor of direct contact between them and the central government.
Given the great advances made in communications and transportation, it was assumed that local administration would not require as many layers of management and supervision as it has done in the past. By extension, the lowest level of local administration -- eup, myeon and dong -- was assumed to be obsolete.
But all that the panel could do was to agree on the proposal to abolish councils of municipalities within metropolises in 2014 and to decide to pass the underlying bill in June. Instead, it decided that metropolitan councilmen representing the municipalities will assume the role of checking the municipal mayors.
True, there has been a debate on whether or not it is necessary to keep municipal councils, with their members failing to keep municipal mayors in check and many of them involved in bribery scandals themselves. But can the decision to abolish the councils be called a notable achievement?
It was the self-interest of the political parties that prevented any meaningful progress from being made during the panel sessions. After all, the merger of municipalities would mean the rezoning of electoral districts -- an issue of fierce political conflict.
***************************************
THE KOREA HERALD
EDITORIAL
GETTING HITCHED IN IOWA
By the time state Rep. Deborah Mell, Democrat-Chicago, announced her engagement on the floor of the Illinois House on Wednesday, it was no longer breaking news. She had popped the question two weeks ago at the John Hancock Center's Signature Room and shared the news Tuesday on WTTW's "Chicago Tonight."
Not breaking news. But it was news. Mell and her fiancee, Christin Baker, are women. They'll exchange vows next fall in Iowa, where same-sex marriage is legally recognized because of a 2009 ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court.
Mell acknowledged that many political leaders do not support legislation that would allow her to marry her fiancee in Illinois. "I'm aware that our governor and many of you on both sides of the aisle do not consider me equal to you and our relationship to be equal to the relationship that you share with your spouse," Mell told her colleagues Wednesday. "I think we are more alike than we are different."
Her colleagues greeted her announcement with warm applause; a few even promised action.
But the Illinois legislature isn't even close to approving gay marriage. It hasn't yet mustered a majority for what this page supports: recognition of civil unions.
Polls show a majority of Americans favor extending the benefits and obligations of marriage to same-sex couples as long as it's called something else. A Pew Research Center poll last year found that 39 percent favor gay marriage but 57 percent favor civil unions.
The word "marriage" carries deeply religious connotations for many people. At the same time, most of them understand that it's unfair to deny same-sex couples the tax advantages, legal protections and other privileges that heterosexual couples take for granted.
The laws of individual states are starting to reflect this evolving sensibility. Only five states allow same-sex marriage. Nine others have laws recognizing civil unions or domestic partnerships that convey most or all of the rights of marriage, and six have laws that go part of the way.
With so many people conflicted over the definition of marriage, it makes sense to claim the common ground and secure the benefits that come with recognizing civil unions.
Chicago Tribune, April 28
***************************************
THE KOREA HERALD
EDITORIAL
OFFSHORE OIL DRILLING: LESSONS FROM THE DISASTER
Last week's explosion and sinking of an oil-exploration rig off the coast of Louisiana prompted that state's Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu to call for a federal investigation. She also said the rig's owners should "commit every available resource to learn from this tragic event."
Here's what we've already learned: Offshore drilling is more dangerous than industry apologists claim (11 men are believed to have died in the explosion), and it can have environmentally devastating impacts. Somehow, though, we suspect that's not the lesson Landrieu and other Democrats who hope to expand offshore drilling including President Obama will take from the disaster.
Democratic leaders have calculated that the way to attract Republican support for their efforts to fight climate change is to open more of the nation's coastline to drilling. Never mind that there is no sign Republicans want to play along, and that the sole GOP senator willing to even discuss a climate bill, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, is backing out. Last month, Obama announced a plan to give oil companies access to large areas of the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Alaskan coastlines. Landrieu, meanwhile, has fought to add language to clean-energy bills that would grant states royalty payments for oil drilled off their coasts.
The crisis in the Gulf isn't changing many minds. White House spokesman Robert Gibbs shrugged off the ongoing oil leak, which could develop into the worst spill in U.S. history, by implying that it was just a fact of life. "I doubt this is the first accident that has happened and I doubt it will be the last," he said. Meanwhile, 42,000 gallons of oil a day are pouring from a well drilled by the downed rig. The Coast Guard is scrambling to collect and burn the escaping oil, but that probably won't be enough to head off environmental catastrophe experts say the oil could reach environmentally sensitive areas on shore in a matter of days if the flow can't be stopped, and it may take months to plug the leak.
This kind of environmental tragedy isn't unprecedented a similar rig explosion happened last year off Australia and we'll probably be seeing it more often if Congress expands drilling off U.S. shores. There's a better way of using our coastal resources to generate energy. On Wednesday, the Obama administration approved the country's first offshore wind farm, a 130-turbine project off Massachusetts that is guaranteed never to foul beaches with tar or emit carbon into the atmosphere. Cape Wind is the future; the sunken Deepwater Horizon drilling rig represents a tarred past.
Los Angeles Times, April 28
***************************************
THE KOREA HERALD
EDITORIAL
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO LAST WORDS?
BY JOHN M. ROSENBERG
The Philadelphia Inquirer
It's doubtful that more enduring last words have ever been reported uttered than Julius Caesar's "Et tu Brute?" The phrase has long been the personification of betrayal, yet some accounts claim the Roman emperor said nothing during his assassination.
At most any other time in history, accounts of the passing of leading figures have been accompanied by the last words to pass their lips. Yet while modern obituaries convey a noted individual's most poignant moments, give the time and cause of death, and express the reactions of other notables, nowhere is mention made of the departed's final words.
In looking at the supposed last words of prominent individuals, from antiquity on up, one sees a markedly high number of citations from 1700 to 1900. But by the latter part of the 20th century this practice seems to have died out. Two superb exceptions are Humphrey Bogart's "I should never have switched from scotch to martinis" (1957) or comedian Lou Costello's "That was the best ice-cream soda I ever tasted" (1959).
Have a person's last words become as anecdotal as knowing about the final dessert they consumed? Or has society changed markedly in the past half century, rendering passe the sometimes profound, at times humorous, and occasionally non sequitur pearls associated with deathbed statements?
Maybe we've lost some of our passion for the profound, although I fail to see how anyone cannot be struck by Leonardo da Vinci's weighty but self-effacing reflection: "I have offended God and mankind because my work did not reach the quality it should have."
The problem with parting words credited to historic figures is that the authenticity of their quotes is questionable. Even Julius Caesar's well-known exclamation is but a poetical representation of his last words ascribed to Shakespeare.
Additionally, as with da Vinci's statement, many supposed last words give the impression of having been said in the days, or weeks preceding death, rather than with the final lungful of air. Oscar Wilde's "Either that wallpaper goes, or I do," and writer Alexander Pope's "Here am I, dying of a hundred good symptoms," come across as if said well before the moment the angel of death snatched them from this earth, and as such don't really qualify as last words.
By the early 1800s, the funerary arts were in full form, as was the romanticizing of death. Not only the historians of the time, but the families and dying individuals themselves seemed to possess a greater lyrical flair than we have today. "I must go in, the fog is rising," Emily Dickinson reputedly stated at death's door at her family home in 1886, where she had lived her entire life.
Perhaps the greatest explanation as to why the last words of individuals go unrecorded for posterity today is that we, more often than not, die in the company of complete strangers -- drugged up in hospital settings rather than surrounded by family and friends at home. In previous centuries, dying was considered a communal event, as loved ones held watch, ensuring that an individual slipped away without struggle.
The nearest and dearest of yesteryear may also have been more in sync with the public relations of dying, with their nearly departed oftentimes portrayed as having glimpsed into the afterlife. For example, "It's beautiful over there," was allegedly expressed by Thomas Edison as he died of complications of diabetes at his New Jersey home in 1931.
On the other hand, not all famous figures were concerned with deathbed profundity. "Last words are for fools who haven't said enough," was Karl Marx's reputed response to his housekeeper as she prodded him to say something profound for posterity.
When reading a history, biography, or obituary I've come to appreciate last words that convey a bewildering non sequitur like Henry David Thoreau's "Moose ... Indian ...," and darkly ironic humor akin to Anton Chekhov's "I am dying. I haven't drunk champagne for a long time," or a serene poeticism as with Stonewall Jackson's "Let us cross over the river and sit in the shade of the trees." With the demise of famous last words, not only have we lost an outlet for spontaneous eloquence, but with it the chance for another nugget of wisdom or dash of humor that only the dying can convey.
John M. Rosenberg is a political and foreign affairs writer in Washington. -- Ed.
(McClatchy-Tribune Information Services)
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
LAW REVISION FALLS SHORT
The updated State Compensation Law contains the virtues of a revision, but it could have gone further to better protect the rights of the people.
Denying State compensation to those brought into police custody, found innocent and released within the longest term permitted under the Criminal Procedure Law is an obvious disappointment of the update.
The idea of not getting in the way of law enforcement finally prevailed in the latest revision. Concerns for civil rights also gave way to mainstream jurisprudential philosophy because stability is a worthwhile, overriding concern.
We can imagine law enforcers' dislike for revised legislation that ties their hands in carrying out their duties. But protecting innocent citizens from being abused by public power is imperative.
Public security departments cite emergency situations to emphasize the importance of being efficient in carrying out their duties. But those are very special scenarios that cannot justify a blanket, no-compensation approach for non-emergency cases.
The balance has already been tilted in favor of law enforcement considerations. Ordinary citizens can expect no relief once they are labeled a "criminal suspect". Everybody also knows how dangerous detention facilities can be in this country - where people can reportedly die from "drinking hot water," or even "playing hide-and-seek".
Our police authorities have been given too much, instead of too little, latitude in doing their jobs. The most pressing task for our legislators is to come up with meaningful relief for victimized citizens. The State must assume responsibility for the harm done by those acting in its name.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
A FIGHTING CHANCE
Premier Wen Jiabao's latest warning over the increasing difficulties of fulfilling the country's energy-saving goals highlighted a major cost of the country's stimulus package, rolled out in late 2008 to battle the worst global recession in decades.
The gap between China's energy-efficiency reality and its aim to cut energy intensity by 20 percent between 2006 and 2010 is certainly disappointing. But the country still has a fighting chance to meet that goal, if all related departments and local governments can immediately launch a full-scale attack on overcapacity in energy-guzzling industries.
At a State Council meeting on April 28, Premier Wen sounded the alarm about the danger facing the country's progress on energy conservation - it has slowed and even gone into reverse recently.
Since late last year, the green light was given to a number of energy-consuming and polluting industries to facilitate economic recovery. Such temporary easing on environmental and energy-efficiency regulations may have been necessary at that time to cushion the Chinese economy against the global recession. But it also put an undeniable dent on the national campaign to increase energy efficiency.
China's use of energy per unit of GDP has fallen by 14.38 percent over the past four years, still short of the national goal of a 20 percent drop during the five years ending in 2010.
Worse, as economic growth accelerated to 11.9 percent year-on-year in the first quarter, the fastest growth in nearly three years, China's electricity consumption soared even faster, jumping by 24 percent to bring down, instead of improve, overall energy efficiency.
The strong economic rebound is a remarkable feat, but it does not justify the country's backpedaling on its pursuit of energy-saving and environmentally friendly, sustainable growth.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
PREVENTING TRAGEDIES
What is behind the three cases of strangers randomly killing or injuring children in schools or kindergartens in less than 40 days?
In the latest case on April 29, a 47-year-old jobless man injured 31 people including children, teachers and security guards in Taixing, Jiangsu province.
a former community doctor hacked eight students to death and seriously injured another five on March 23 in Nanping, Fujian province, many people called for the tightening of security in schools and kindergartens. But about four weeks later, a teacher stabbed 15 students and one teacher in Leizhou city of Guangdong province.
Security both inside schools and kindergartens and at their gates must be tightened nationwide. But that deals only with the symptom and not the root cause.
The first killer was executed on April 28 and he deserved to be punished. But we cannot expect other latent murderers to be deterred from doing the same, because they know well of similar consequences if they slaughter innocent people.
The issue is the psychological state of these killers before and during the time of the crime. We should find out what propelled them to such extremes. What problems do they have? Could anyone have helped, especially the authorities?
Local governments and social assistance organizations may have overlooked their ability to help in such cases to prevent any killing.
It can be easy to put killers on trial and execute them, but it is far more difficult to find out the deep-seated causes behind such horrifying acts. Our efforts should be focused on preventing these from happening.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
WHY THE NOUVEAU RICHE IN CHINA STINK
BY WILLIAM DANIEL GARST (CHINA DAILY)
American writer F. Scott Fitzgerald famously said that the "rich are different from you and me They possess and enjoy early and it does something to them, makes them soft where we are hard and cynical where we are trusting". He was talking about wealthy Americans, especially the nouveau riche, of the 1920s, known in the history books as the "Roaring Twenties". But his words ring true for the rich, particularly their children, in today's China, too.
China's rapid economic growth, coupled with Deng Xiaoping's declaration, "To get rich is glorious", has spawned many millionaires and even billionaires. These people have now gained wide acceptance and are not afraid to flaunt their wealth.
Wang Zhongjun is one of them. The producer of hit films such as The Forbidden Kingdom (2008) reportedly drives a silver Mercedes and red Ferrari, owns a 22,000-square-foot mansion in northern Beijing with a $30-million art collection, and has a stable of 60 horses from Ireland and Kentucky.
Examples of such conspicuous consumption and arrogance are many. Late last year, a young girl of a wealthy Chongqing family literally spent millions to welcome home her pet dog. More recently, some rich young boys held car drag races in Nanjing, disturbing residents no end.
A large number of the country's wealthy young men are not perfect gentlemen, but that does not stop many young women from dreaming of marrying them. A recent survey showed that 60 percent of girl students in colleges wanted to marry a fu'erdai or second-generation wealthy youth. Many a media outlet, too, seem to be in awe of the wealthy, and the recent film, Go Lala Go, is an example of that.
My country, the US, has a long history of worshipping wealth. Not surprisingly, the offspring of rich American families often believe that normal rules of human behavior don't apply to them. The peccadilloes of third-generation Kennedy family children come readily to mind, as do the more recent outrageous acts of Neil Bush.
But old wealthy American families usually set high goals for their children. Parents may help their sons and daughters realize these goals, but they expect them to study and work hard to achieve success. Thus rather than filling a top slot in one of the family's companies, former US president George H. W. Bush went into the oil business in Texas after graduating from Yale. Though he got help from his parents, there is no denying that he demonstrated considerable business ability.
That sadly is not the case with the children of China's nouveau riche. In China, relationships matter more than in the West, so these kids can always count on having the skids greased by their folks' guanxi. And while many single Chinese children suffer from the "little emperor" syndrome, the problem is more acute among wealthy kids. Their parents have the money to mollycoddle them and fulfill even their most outlandish wishes - like spending millions to welcome home a pet dog!
I have vivid memories of one "little empress" from the year I taught English at Beijing Second Foreign Languages University. I was told that her father was vice-president of some big company. That young lady had no need to study hard, and thus spent my classes reading South Korean and Japanese fashion magazines.
Fortunately, China need not depend on the children of wealthy families for its future leaders in business, government and the arts. In contrast to less affluent American families, their counterparts still value education highly and push their children to succeed in studies.
My two best students at the foreign languages university came from modest backgrounds. One was a girl from Xi'an, capital of Shaanxi province, whose parents owned a small hardware store. The other was a farmer's daughter from Shandong province. Both studied incredibly hard, harder than 99 percent of the students in American universities. The Xi'an girl is now doing her PhD in economics from Peking University, while the Shandong girl is studying for a master's degree in translation at China's best foreign language university - Beijing Foreign Studies University.
I am proud of these exceptional young women and hope China can ensure that other less affluent children get similar opportunities. But access to higher education is now being threatened by rapidly increasing high school and university tuition fees. In fact, university tuition fees have seen a quantum jump in recent years. If this problem is not addressed, the indolence of China's wealthy youth will create problems that are far bigger than newspaper headlines on rich children running wild.
The author is an American corporate trainer in China.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
RENEWING THE FRENCH CONNECTION
BY JOERGEN LINDGREN HANSEN (CHINA DAILY)
French President Nicolas Sarkozy arrived in China on Wednesday on a three-day visit, during which he met with Chinese leaders in Beijing and will inaugurate the French Pavilion at the World Expo in Shanghai. From my understanding, the Chinese people have been cool to the news. Given the friction between China and France over the past two years, their reaction is not a surprise.
Sarkozy's visit, above all else, is an act of proper reconciliation to the hostile events that took place in 2008. In the lead-up to the Beijing Olympic Games, France severely damaged its relations with China because of Sarkozy's meeting with the Dalai Lama and several attempted sabotages of the Olympic torch relay.
Moral superiority, perhaps a lingering vestige of its colonialist past, continues to guide France's diplomatic relations. Despite its checkered past, which has left catastrophic effects on Africa and parts of Asia, France still acts like a moral "big brother" to countries like China.
In its defiant critique of Chinese policy on the Tibet autonomous region, France fails to see the irony of advising China on dealing with its domains. The events of 2008 have not helped diplomatic relations and general goodwill between the two countries.
In light of the friction, Sarkozy's visit is particularly important not only in restoring the diplomatic and economic relationship between the two nations, but also in demonstrating the idea that nations (and peoples) with differences of opinion can benefit from dialogue, exchange and the creation of new combined values.
Sarkozy's visit shows France has realized that it cannot avoid working with China, the new economic world power, and must introspect to reconcile with the new reality. Like the Chinese, the French are a proud people who look to their unique history and culture as a source of strength and inspiration. The problem is that France rests on the laurels of its glorious past, while China has woken up fully from the slumber of its past and now directs its gaze toward the future.
France, to be sure, has a lot to be proud of and to offer to the world. As a cultural brand, France stands for the apex of romance, style, refinement and beauty. But the problem is that the French learn less about today's China than the Chinese do about France.
As my Chinese friend told me, France is a romantic country in the eyes of many Chinese people, especially young women. Chinese women prefer French cosmetics and fashion, and those with the means to afford them are willing spenders. French films stars such as Sophie Marceau and film director Luc Besson are well known in China. Chinese people learn a lot about world history, too, including the French Revolution of 1789.
The French Pavilion, according to Sarkozy, will be an opportunity for the Chinese to learn more about France. But through this exposition, I hope an exchange will take place, too. France could use it as an opportunity to promote greater intellectual, academic and technological exchanges to foster better Sino-French relations.
China's immense economic strength is a fact, but its cultural potential has yet to be fully discussed. As history demonstrates, culture flourishes along with the economy. Moreover, if France were to truly open up to an exchange with China, the possibilities would be endless. By keeping power and politics to a minimum, the cultural traditions of both countries in the forms of art, literature, philosophy and so on - which used to be sources of inspiration for both cultures' spheres of influence - can once again become the guiding principles of global politics and diplomatic relations, instead of just money and power.
The French Cultural Center in Beijing is an example of the type of cultural exchange that promotes understanding between the two countries and which can lead to long-term political benefits. Among its many projects is one that offers French language films to the Chinese public. Venues for meaningful exchange, such as the cultural center, foster nurture young Chinese fans of French New Wave cinema who are the next generation of innovative filmmakers and would eventually become cultural policymakers.
We can foresee the next generation of young Chinese leaders whose intellect is shaped in the global context that enables them to handle international issues with more sensitivity and nuanced understanding. But as evident during the recent showdown between Chinese and French leaders, power and politics stand in the way of mutual understanding.
Sarkozy's friendly visit this week is a dramatic departure from his 2008 "boycott" of the Beijing Olympics. And it seems that the global controversy that marred the Olympics has subsided.
I hope the more peaceful, harmonious climate of the Expo will allow China, France and the rest of the world to realize that we have more important problems than jostling with each other. Issues such as health, education, poverty, and the environment are global priorities that require the urgent and united attention of the international community. Medicines San Frontieres (Doctors Without Borders), a commendable French humanitarian organization that ignores race, religion and politics in its mission to provide healthcare for those in need, is the type of model behavior that France should promote in China.
The best of contemporary France combined with Chinese economic ingenuity can inspire the creation of a new world model.
The author is a media consultant living in Paris.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
BUILDING UP GOVT CAPACITY AT THE GRASSROOTS
BY CHAN CHOI HI (CHINA DAILY)
In his government work report at the third session of the 11th National People's Congress in March, Premier Wen Jiabao said:
"Over the past year, new progress was made in government self-reform and self-development. To deal with difficulties of all kinds, we paid particular attention to promoting democracy, listening to the opinions of the masses and protecting their interests. Our civil servants are devoted, diligent and responsible. They made positive contributions to sustain economic growth, ensure people's well-being and maintain stability. Nevertheless, the transformation of government functions is incomplete; there is too much government interference in the micro-economy and public administration, and services are relatively weak."
The construction of the new socialist village is part of national policy. The rural grassroots system of governance and leadership is the indispensable part of this policy. If governance systems and structures are not in place and not in line with national policy, they will become a stumbling block in the construction of the new socialist village.
As such, government capacity in the rural areas should be given greater importance and built up further.
Grassroots officials are the vanguard of the government in implementing national policy. The broad masses of farmers (890 million people), their cultural strength, educational standards and governance capacity determine the success or failure of national policy.
The training of grassroots government officials should be strengthened in line with the reality in China's rural areas and a people-oriented, rural system of government is required.
Since the development of China's rural areas is unique, there is no system elsewhere to look to.
Large rural populations and the complexity of the problem mean that a system of government with Chinese characteristics must be formed as soon as possible.
Local administrations should pursue good governance as much as it is crucial for rural areas to develop further.
The standard of local government cadres and public administration has a direct impact on the quality of local administration. Basic training of local officials is only a start.
We should adopt a "learning and knowledge-based" approach to train and retrain local officials at the grassroots.
In order for better governance, especially at the county level, we must agree that if all counties in China are in good operation and providing high quality services to the people, they will in turn support the local government.
The Party's top leaders have their own training program by experts and scholars. It is important for leaders of local government to continue learning so that they can do their jobs and serve the people better.
The learning process should be in line with officials' positions and a comprehensive learning program should be drawn up for local officials. The training should not only include theory but also actual governing experience. The courses must be geared toward the building of good governance at the local level. The validity and usefulness of these courses should be continually assessed and updated.
With economic reform and social development, disputes in rural and township communities may sometimes arise. The nature and characteristics of these contradictions are non-ideological but related more to issues concerning the distribution of benefits, or between the people and local government departments. Sometimes, problems stem from the lack of training and knowledge of the local officials who do not know how to handle mass disputes.
It is also necessary to enhance supervision on local governments and officials. In addition, the central government should strengthen grassroots cadres' (including administrative and judicial services) training to enhance their governing capacity. A system should also be in place to evaluate the overall performance of local officials.
The author is chairman of the Hong Kong Public Governance Association and Council Member of the Central and Western District.
***************************************
CHINA DAILY
EDITORIAL
BEHIND CHINA'S TRADE DEFICIT
BY FAN GANG (CHINA DAILY)
China registered a monthly trade deficit of $7.2 billion in March this year, its first since April 2004. Yet, at around the same time, the United States Congress issued its loudest call ever to classify China as an exchange-rate manipulator, accusing Chinese leaders of maintaining the yuan's peg to the dollar in order to guarantee a permanent bilateral trade surplus.
China's March trade deficit indicates, first of all, that it is incorrect to claim that Chinese economic growth
depends mainly on exports. Exports are an important part of the Chinese economy, and any global market fluctuation or external shock will certainly have an impact on overall growth. But, like any other large economy, China's economy is driven by domestic consumption and investment.
Indeed, China's exports fell by 16 percent year-on-year in 2009, owing to the global financial crisis and recession. Nevertheless, annual GDP grew by 8.7 percent, thanks to a 16.9 percent growth in consumption (measured by gross sale of consumer goods) and a 33.3 percent surge in fixed-investment demand.
Moreover, although China's "trade dependency" is now reckoned to be 70 percent of GDP, that figure is greatly distorted by the fact that Chinese exports require massive imports of materials and parts. The net value added of total Chinese foreign trade accounts for only about 15 percent of GDP.
Thus, net exports contributed 10.8 percent to China's overall GDP growth rate, or only about 1.1 percentage point of the 9 percent growth in 2008. Compare the figure to that of Germany, where net exports accounted for 64 percent of growth in 2008. Similarly, the figure was 33 percent in Japan, 28.6 percent in South Korea, and 20 percent in the Philippines. Clearly, China is nothing special in this regard.
To be sure, China's domestic consumption is not as high as it should be, standing at 49 percent of GDP in 2008, with household consumption accounting for only 35 percent. Such figures have led many observers to believe that overall domestic demand must be low, leaving China dependent on external markets for growth.
But domestic demand, which determines imports, consists not only of consumption, but also of fixed-asset investment. Indeed, rapid growth in investment may translate into high import growth and trade deficits.
That is exactly what is happening in China now. Some people may argue that investment growth without consumption growth will result in overcapacity and eventually lead to recession. Perhaps. But we need to remind ourselves that housing investment accounts for about 30 percent of China's total fixed investment, with much of the rest directed toward infrastructure - long-term, durable public infrastructure investments including subways, railways, highways, urban public facilities and the national water system. Moreover, one can easily imagine that import demand will soar further if the US and the European Union lifted their bans on exports of high-tech products to China. In that case, the trade deficit recorded in March could be at least 40 percent higher.
The yuan's exchange rate, then, is really a secondary factor in China's external account. Put another way, the global imbalance could be corrected more efficiently by addressing other, more fundamental factors. The fundamental factors underlying the US external imbalance are large fiscal deficits and low household savings, owing to excessive financial leverage. The fundamental factors on the Chinese side are high corporate and household savings, together with some distortion of resource/utility prices.
Indeed, the current situation indicates that a significant adjustment in exchange rates may not be needed at all in order to redress global imbalances. If that is true, and China should not worry about the yuan's exchange rate, should it worry about its economy overheating? After all, its previous trade deficits in the era of reform - such as in 1992-1996 and 2003-2004 - all occurred at times of overheating.
But there are differences between now and those earlier periods. For example, when rapid investment growth in 2004 led to overheating, world markets were booming. At that time, both domestic investment and exports required immediate tightening. Today, by contrast, although domestic investment is growing very strongly, external demand has not recovered to its previous levels.
The result is the March trade deficit, caused mainly by exceptionally high annual import growth (65 percent) coupled with relatively low export growth, which reached a nominally impressive 24 percent only because of the sharp decline recorded in the base period. Such a single-factor situation is easier to deal with than the double-factor situation of 2004, and because the high investment demand has been mainly stimulus-related this time, policymakers can handle it in a more timely fashion if they perceive a problem.
That said, the ratio of capital formation does require careful monitoring. The last time China saw such high growth in domestic investment, the savings rate was not as high as it is now.
A trade deficit has emerged at a time when the national savings rate is as high as 51 percent. That means that investment is extremely high. Despite the high share of infrastructure investment, there is an urgent need to manage the potential risks.
The author is professor of economics at Peking University and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, director of China's National Economic Research Institute, secretary-general of China Reform Foundation, and a member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the People's Bank of China.
Project Syndicate
******************************************************************************************
DAILY MIRROR
EDITORIAL
-
DISMANTLE SAARC
With both China and Russia intending to be observers while Iran requests a full membership, the future of SAARC would ideally have looked quite sanguine if it had exploited its true potential.
Unfortunately the SAARC has miserably failed to live up to expectations with the Indo-Pakistan conflict overshadowing everything else. In fact the sideline talks of the two countries during the SAARC summits continue to attract more attention than the main SAARC conference itself, so much so the latter now looks more like a facilitating conference for Indo-Pakistan bi-lateral talks on Kashmir and terrorists.
As a result SAARC still remains the least united regional organization in the world with trade among the SAARC countries accounting for only 2% of the combined GDP of its nations. Even in neighbouring East-Asia this accounts to about 20 per cent while other regional bodies like the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the African Union (AU) have made major headway especially in trade.
If everything goes well, the UNASUR countries will eliminate tariff for non-sensitive products by 2014 and for sensitive products by 2019 --thus making the zone one single market.
The African Union has already begun a step-by-step process to establish an African Economic Community with a common currency and single a central bank by 2023.
With diverging security and political interests, and with culture being the only binding factor, the SAARC despite its strength 1.5 billion people-- or one fifth of the global population, remains directionless when it comes to collective strength. The inertia of the regional body had resulted in its member states becoming a bully victim of other regional bodies like EU which has a mere 500 million population. The need to plead for GSP plus concessions would not have arisen if South Asia had a vibrant economic zone.
While some 53 states work in tandem in the African Union for a common currency and some 27 states do business in the EU, the eight nations in the South Asian regional union which has been in existence for 17 long years have failed to achieve anything substantial so far.
The strength of the region India, the world's fourth largest country by purchasing power parity (PPP) also remains its weakness as the gulf of power imbalance created by overpowering India is not something others could bridge.
If SAARC nations cannot work together due to conflicting interests, then the member states better dismantle the organization and join neighbouring regional bodies where there is better parity of status and reap whatever benefits available.
***************************************
DAILY MIRROR
EDITORIAL
ENOUGH OF ELECTIONS! IT'S TIME TO GET TO WORK
Vox Populi, Vox Dei. Yet again, the people have spoken. Though not as loudly as last time, since only around 61% went to vote during the General Election, apparently the lowest in the history of elections in the country. The reasons for this apparent apathy in the voter, according to many political analysts to the man on the street ("We are simply sick of elections!") to the politicians vary. The latter, consisting mainly of the losing parties, have been vociferous in proclaiming that the 'people have lost their faith in democracy in this country, and thus they have not come to vote'. But, analysing the almost two-thirds majority that the ruling party mustered, it seems more likely that the people, have had no faith in the Opposition parties!
For the ordinary masses, it seems to have been a problem to re-connect with the 'elephant symbol' which atrophied to a 'swan' in the last Presidential election. Those who gained with this experiment were obviously the General, and the JVP, now atrophied from the swan and the bell, respectively, to a 'trophy' symbol; the latter gained specifically, with the erstwhile Presidential candidate as the head of its newly formed party.
The examination of election results, where the UPFA garnered so many seats (so much so that in the new Parliament the Ruling party members have to sit with those in the Opposition) shows the ruling party falling just 6 seats short of a two-third majority, a near impossible task in the air-tight Constitution. With the UNP's National List appointments causing grievous bodily harm to the unity of the party, and contributing to losing its former UNF partners, those five or six seats too are about to fall into the lap of the UPFA.
The UNP stuck to its guns, as did the UFPA, not to appoint defeated candidates through its National List. The Democratic People's Front leader, Mano Ganeshan has been very voluble in his disappointment, having lost his seat in Kandy, and now without a way to enter Parliament. Likewise, the National Union of Workers, led by
V Digambaram, have decided to leave the UNF following a denial of a national list slot. The talk of the town was the shocking news of the non-inclusion of Rukman Senanayake, Deputy Leader of the party in the National List, who has been overlooked to accommodate recent newcomers. Sadly, a weak opposition is not a reason for rejoicing. An opposition can be strong even with lesser numbers in Parliament, provided they have good and effective leadership. That seems to be the Million Dollar question!
The UPFA Government swore in a 37 member cabinet, pending the election enquiry in Kandy. Of the 144 seats won, only about 20 seats came from its partner parties ( MEP 3, NFF 3 JHU 3 CWE 4 Left Party Alliance 4 and EPDP 3). Here too, the National List appointments caused problems, with the NFF voicing its dissatisfaction of breaching a pre-poll agreement.
This new parliament is different for many reasons. Young and new faces have replaced the old; never have we seen such a diverse group of people in our parliament. There are lawyers, bankers, academics and economists sitting with movie icons, actors and tele drama actresses. The former Mrs World, Rosy Senanayake graces this parliament as do Ruwan Wijewardene and Wasantha Senanayake, two great-grandsons of the first Prime Minister of this country.
Unfortunately this time too, there were only ten women elected to parliament, with around three more through the National lists. Hence, yet again, this parliament too will have only around 6% of females. A change to this sad scenario can only happen through affirmative action only if the women parliamentarians forget party differences, and get together to act in conjunction with the women's groups supporting the cause.
The first post-war Cabinet, with DM Jayaratne as Prime Minister heralds a change. The President, as Head of State, has kept the key portfolios of Finance and Defence, whilst his capable younger sibling, Basil Rajapakse has been appointed the Minister for Economic Development as well as the Minister of Tourism, spearheading the Government's vision of developing the national economy. With the thirty year war over, the challenge for the ruling party is to now focus on development, education, health and foreign policy.
We Sri Lankans have been extremely proud of our literacy rates, the highest in this region. Not anymore. A case in point is the recent O Level examination results showing dismal failure rates. With only a handful of those who pass the A Levels gaining university admission in the country, the others are forced to seek placements out of Sri Lanka, resulting not only in brain drain but also foreign exchange. With the country now poised to take off in an unprecedented economic boom, we must question as to who will remain here to lead this development?
And what of the minority question? With the results of the North and East showing the thinking of the people as against those of the politicians, The former LTTE proxy TNA, ( now reborn as ITAK and a voice of the Tamil Diaspora, who recently voted for a separate state whilst living in the West) is seeking a dialogue with the Government. When it is clear that they are not the sole representatives of the Tamil people, do we have to discuss the issues of federalism with them? To what end? Leading us to question, do we really need a 13th Amendment, ( now obsolete with the decimation of the LTTE!) which was an Indian response to the LTTE question anyway?
And what of foreign policy? With the appointment of Prof GL Peries, (who like the former Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar, is an Oxonian) can we expect a more tolerant foreign policy in handling the Western countries? Can we, at least, expect the Kadirgamar statue to be erected, finally?
The President will commence his second term in November 2010. It may be that this cabinet is therefore an interim cabinet. Which is actually a good thing. No Minister will be able take anything for granted. Come November, those who work, and show results, should survive. Those who shirk and stick to NATO (No Action, Talk Only) will hopefully get what they deserve!
The people have given an unprecedented mandate to the President and his party anticipating results. We expect him to be a Statesmen and not a politician. Now is the time to Seize the Day! Make the changes! Get to work and deliver!
***************************************
DAILY MIRROR
EDITORIAL
DEVELOPMENT WITHOUT HUMAN CAPITAL WILL BE STILLBORN OR DEFORMED
Jehan Perera is not talking about the LTTE. He's not even talking about the Tamil National Alliance. No, not even about Douglas Devananda. He's talking about a man called Tissa Vitharana. That's how much federal-hope has shrunk these days. It is even evident in Dayan Jayatilleka. His shrunken-hope rep is not Tissa. It's Douglas Devananda. Dayan thinks Dougie delivered. Well, 28,585 votes (almost a quarter of this from EPDP stronghold, Kayts) was more than half polled by the party he contested under, the United People's Freedom Alliance (UPFA), but is still just 6.6% of the total number of electors.
Tissa's situation is worse. He didn't contest. He couldn't. Even had he contested from districts that Jehan and Dayan might believe are partial to devolution, it is safe to say he would not get in. Not even if he contested under the ITAK/TNA.
These gentlemen are clutching at straws and if that would save them from a watery political death, I wish them all the best. They've missed the point in terms of what the electorate wants. The point was made in January and reiterated in April: DEVELOPMENT and not devolution. This does not of course mean that concerns of minorities should be summarily and unceremoniously dumped in the trashcan for things that ought to have been trashed the moment they reached expiry date. Concerns, of minorities or any other group, are always fresh. 'Solutions' based on myth, legends and fantasies can get stale. But that's another debate. My concern is 'development'.
If you want to reduce the manifesto put before the people by President Mahinda Rajapaksa when he wanted to be re-elected to a single word/promise it is development. Not a word was changed when his party went before the people a few weeks ago seeking yet another term to govern this country. Sure there was the expected lip-service to democracy, good governance and resolution of conflict, but take all the frills away and development is what we've got in the sense it is what remains pledged.
Mahinda Rajapaksa has trotted out now and then all kinds of excuses for not delivering on certain of his promises such as much needed Constitutional reform and the ensuring of good governance. He's used the war-excuse. He's used the lack-of-numbers excuse (i.e. in Parliament). These were legitimate excuses, but that time has passed and that's largely thanks to his political will, leadership and unwavering faith in the ability of his key lieutenants to deliver and of course the people's continued trust. He worked hard to eliminate these excuses.
There's no terrorist threat anymore. And he has the numbers. Well not quite, but still he is close enough to get the two-thirds and given his powers of persuasions it would be a piece of cake for Mahinda Rajapaksa to obtain the support of 6 more MPs.
On the other hand Mahinda Rajapaksa promised 'development' and to all intents and purposes only mumbled in footnote things like good governance, and setting up structures, mechanisms and processes that produce greater efficiencies and ensure accountability and transparency. Does this mean that we don't have the right to keep demanding that he delivers on these things?
Two reasons
First of all, structures that deliver better governance is a 'solution' to a real grievance and unlike the whining associated with devolution, this has nothing to do with myths, legends and fantasies. Secondly, all these constitute pre-conditions for any meaningful development drive.
'Development' does not fall from the sky, although there are people who thought this actually happened, the World Bank and IMF and certain 'experts', especially from the USAID being seen as 'the sky' and their blueprints for resource extraction, exploitation of labour and mismanaging economies as 'development'.
Development that is sustainable and wholesome in other words benefit people across region, identity-group, class and gender.
It is therefore 'meaningful' and happens best when the relevant structures ensure the most qualified get to occupy the most relevant positions andThe best ideas get currency and do not get covered in cobwebs spun by incompetence, arrogance, inferiority complex and red tape.
To put it bluntly, we have a system that generates a handful of brilliant minds and even these are wasted due to misplacement in the relevant institutions. The manifest absence of checks and balances and a political culture that promotes sloth, apathy, inefficiency and unprofessional approaches to work would take a lot of correcting. But getting our institutions right would take us a long way in this regard.
This is why good governance is necessary in terms of the mandate given to the UPFA and President Mahinda Rajapaksa. It is not just about 'democracy'. It is about 'development'.
There is another massive roadblock that Mahinda Rajapaksa has to contend with. It is called 'Human Resources'. Mahinda Rajapaksa doesn't have to look far to get a sense of the human resources problem his administration faces. He struggled to get the right people into the right portfolios. He's got the numbers alright but he's clearly not got the necessary competencies. That's less an indictment on the voters than a clear assessment of the woeful state of our entire system of education.
'Development from above' is possible. History has shown that dictators and kings have achieved as much as have 'democrats' in delivering 'development'. There's one prerequisite --a population with a critical mass of thinkers, strategists, planners, builders, teachers, academics etc etc. Without skills and capacities development will be slow and could very well flounder. Without these things, we can get 'development' but not sustainability. We could get 'development for some' and the 'underdevelopment of others'. We could get rising expectations along with unfulfilled aspirations leading to frustrations, a double-distilled mix that could bleed to revolt and destruction.
Human capital is the bedrock of any meaningful development. This is the bottom line. This fact is borne out by development's post World War II success stories. What does this mean, if not proper and adequate investment in the development of human and intellectual potential? Is this not the unconditional priority of social politics of countries such as ours?
Mahinda Rajapaksa has spoken about a 'Semata Sarasaviya' programme, or a system where everyone gets a university education. In his swearing-in speech he said he would not hesitate to do all he can to build a knowledgeable, skilled, strong and healthy citizenry.
Today he needs to stop and take stock. We are a country that has had universal free education. We didn't really progress and yes 'free education' cannot be faulted for all our ills. The fault, rather, lies in a manifest reluctance to see education as part of development, and a lack of political will to operationalise those mechanisms demanded to correct the current mismatch between education and the overall human resource needs of the economy. This is an old debate and one doesn't need to go over it again and again.
We don't have a proper classification of jobs in the first place. We don't even have the mechanism to generate such a classification. We don't have a needs-assessment exercise or the thinking that demands such an exercise to be done on an ongoing basis. We don't have enough English teachers. We don't have enough teachers for science subjects. We lack the laboratories and other equipment. There's overcrowding in the Arts stream because there are more teachers in these fields and you need just a piece of chalk and a blackboard (the 'logic' that persuaded Peradeniya University to break up the Arts Faculty and locate part of it in Polgolla to satisfy the whim of a local politician, apparently, and not the Medical or Engineering Faculties).
We need economists, geographers, historians, sociologies etc., and need those who are fluent in literature,
philosophy and religion, just as we need doctors, engineers and dental surgeons. On the other hand, shouldn't
there be logic and reason applied in the structuring of the university system, resource allocation and intake for particular fields of study? Shouldn't there be a system where those who don't make the cut have alternative technical and other fields to engage in and acquire marketable skills? We need, for example, doctors. We need nurses too. There is clearly a 'right mix' in terms of numbers. There is also, sadly, a clear lacuna in people thinking on these lines and a clear absence of interest in the politicians to deliver on the recommendation of those who have done the relevant research.
Mahinda Rajapaksa and indeed Basil Rajapaksa, the new Minister of Economic Development must take into account that a study has shown that 90% of teachers in the Central Province are unqualified and that the number for Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Uva, North Central, North Western and Western Provinces are 87%, 85%, 84%, 81% and 67% respectively. With this lot teaching, it is a miracle that more than 200,000 students at least make it to the A levels.
Both the President and his Minister of Economic Development seem to have the intention but they will not be able to deliver without the requisite human capital. Only 3% of our children have the opportunity for higher education. Of the 100,000 who join the labour market every year, only 30,000 are fully employed. The rest are either unemployed or underemployed or worse, mis-employed. We won't get the kind of progress we desire or have the potential to achieve unless this situation is addressed.
There is no doubt there are areas that need to be picked up --especially the sciences. There is no doubt that full access to university education must be obtained and that since the state cannot deliver 100% on this, it should rope in the private sector in a regulated manner so that standards are met and children not hoodwinked.
Mahinda Rajapaksa wants to deliver development. He can. But he has to first take a hard look at who is going to do the nuts-and-bolts thing. There aren't many, Mr. President. You have to do something about the woeful lack of human capital.
Malinda Seneviratne is a freelance writer who can be reached at malinsen@gmail.com This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
***************************************
DAILY MIRROR
EDITORIAL
SAARC: SILVER JUBILEE SHAM
We are setting this ship afloat today. There may be mutiny on board, I hope not. The sea may be stormy but the ship must sail on and enter the ports of poverty, hunger, unemployment, malnutrition, disease and seek to bring comfort to those who need itJ.R. Jayewardene at first SAARC Summit December 8, 1985.
The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) is a failure. So said the leaders of the eight-nation grouping, which yesterday concluded its 16th summit in the Bhutanese capital of Thimpu.
A week before, SAARC chambers of commerce leaders meeting in the Nepali capital of Katmandu declared that South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA) was also a big failure.
It is with these black marks on its report card that SAARC reaches its silver jubilee this year.
Analysts can take a safe risk and claim that its leaders will again say SAARC is a failure when the grouping will mark its golden jubilee. What has gone wrong with SAARC which was launched on December 8, 1985 with much hope that it would eliminate poverty, hunger, illiteracy, unemployment, malnutrition and disease from the region?
One reason is the change in the global order. SAARC's founder leaders saw meaning in regional cooperation or regional integration within the cold-war global order that existed then. They saw regional groupings such as the European Union (EU) and the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) making phenomenal headway and wanted to emulate their success. But today it is a different world, where regional integration is not seen by many countries as the final goal of a grand political process. Politics based on national interest and national sovereignty is shaping relations among states with the nation state - not regional grouping - being the ultimate decision maker. Member-states, however, stick together within these regional groupings because they believe these non-political bodies are mutually advantageous for members and they do not appear to constrict national sovereignty.
Even the much admired EU is veering away from its ultimate goal of forming the United States of Europe - a federally-organized Europe with a powerful presidency in the centre.
EU nations have begun to think individually as shown in the manner they are responding to the financial crisis in Greece. Germany, the most powerful economy within the union, for instance, is dragging its heel without pumping in much-needed money to bail out Greece. There is little camaraderie or EU spirit. German Chancellor Angela Merkel's reluctance to help is a reflection of the public mood in Germany where people are questioning why they should forego their happiness and wealth for Greece's economic mismanagement.
The crack in the EU came months after Britain vetoed the nominations of Jean Luc Dehaene (Belgium) and Jean Claude Juncker (Luxemburg) for President of the European Commission. A few years earlier, when the United States decided to go to war with Saddam Hussein's Iraq, the EU saw Germany and France pulling in one direction and Britain and others in another direction. On climate change, too, the EU was a divided voice. As a result, it was Mr. Nobody at last year's Copenhagen Climate Conference where its presence was hardly felt.
The emerging global order after the demise of the cold war saw the EU expanding to Eastern Europe. It enlisted former communist economies in a hurried and haphazard manner without insisting on compliance to the grouping's strict rules - rules that Turkey, an old candidate for membership, is still finding itself difficult to comply with. As a result, the EU's growth had quantity but lacked quality.
These drawbacks together with the EU's inability to reach a common stand on foreign policy have led many analysts to raise questions regarding the grouping's future.
If this is the plight of the EU, then one can imagine the fate of SAARC in the context of the present global order.
SAARC's quantitative growth manifests largely in the number of years of its existence. Yes, silver jubilee is a big event to celebrate. But it is marked by the absence of region-wide celebrations. South Asians who represent one fifth of the humanity see no cause for celebration. Probably, the celebrations were confined to Thimpu where the 16th summit was concluded yesterday. Leave alone silver jubilee balls, many people did not know that a summit was being held in Thimpu.
Only when newspapers in Sri Lanka two weeks ago announced that President Mahinda Rajapaksa would attend the SAARC summit, many people here remembered that there was a grouping called SAARC and a summit was to be held in Thimpu. Sri Lanka held the 15th summit in August 2008 and with the end of the summit, many Sri Lankans forgot about SAARC that comprises Afghansitan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Maldives.
People's lack of interest in or attachment to SAARC is not peculiar to Sri Lanka alone. It is the case throughout South Asia. This is because SAARC is achieving or going after many a goal except its primary goal of improving the living standards of teeming millions languishing in abject poverty. Twenty-five years of SAARC's existence have done very little to improve their lot. South Asia is still one of world's poorest regions. It accounts for 40 percent of the world's poor. More than 500 million South Asians live below the poverty line while the region also accounts for nearly half of the world's illiterates.
The leaders who drafted the SAARC Charter and adopted it at the first summit in Dhaka, dreamt of a SAARC identity through greater people-to-people contact, trade and visa-free travel, but 25 years on, the association has achieved little in this area, too. Rather than a common identity, the grouping is blighted by rivalry between India and Pakistan.
SAARC leaders also dreamt of making the association South Asia's European Union.
Some may say that one cannot compare the 58-year journey of the EU with the 25-year journey of SAARC. But the EU's success came within a decade and a half. In the mid 1950s, the EU, which SAARC seeks to model itself on, set targets for free movement of goods, services, labour and capital with a vision to achieving a single market. By 1968, the European Community - as the EU was then known as - had achieved many of these targets.
On the contrary, SAARC is applying political brakes or back-pedalling in the vital area of free trade. Member states are seen using loop holes in the SAFTA document to protect their vital industries and agriculture products. They simply include these products and services in the so-called sensitive list, thus blocking entry to businesspeople from other SAARC countries.
SAARC Chamber of Commerce and Industry leaders last week noted that the rivalry between states, especially India and Pakistan, had hampered the growth of South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA). Calling on SAARC leaders to insulate trade from politics, they pointed out SAARC's intra-regional exports were still a mere five percent of the total exports of the South Asian nations.
But will they?
In terms of power politics, India and Pakistan stand to gain in each other's misery or economic doom. For instance, if Pakistan's economy suffers, it will not have enough money to revamp its armed forces or sustain a massive army. Of course, Pakistan will be the happiest, if India's bubble bursts.
In Thimpu yesterday, the leaders went through the usual ritual of issuing a final declaration, which contained noble goals and best of intentions. But once leaders return home from the summit where regional cooperation and SAARC camaraderie overflew, SAARC is left to simmer on the backburner. Till the next summit is held, member-states will pursue their own selfish goals, giving scant regard to the SAARC spirit. Often we see a member state's relations with a non-SAARC member are warmer than its relations with a SAARC member.
SAARC's failure could be attributed to a single factor - each member state's national interest. Every member wants to get as much as possible from SAARC, if there is any, but share with other SAARC members as little as possible. There is no South Asian ideological bond that unites the people of eight countries. According to controversial political scientist Samuel Huntington, South Asia is incapable of regional integration simply because it is beset by a clash of civilizations - Islamic and Hindu - or a lack of a common civilization.
***************************************
******************************************************************************************
THE MOSCOW TIMES
EDITORIAL
CHEWING THE FAT
BY MICHELE A. BERDY
Жирный кусок: the juiciest chunk, a plum, a choice piece, a big fat wedge of the pie
You know things are getting pretty weird in Russian politics when you find yourself agreeing with Vladimir Zhirinovsky. Or maybe it's a sign that it's time to take a break from Russia. In my case, it's probably simpler to explain. When you live next door to the construction project from hell now in Year Three and entertain yourself by ticking off the laws being broken day and night, you can't help but cheer criticism of the capital city's governance.
During a speech last week before the State Duma, Zhirinovsky accused Mayor Yury Luzhkov of many crimes, including giving "самые жирные куски" (prime real estate; literally "the fattest chunks") to his alleged foreign masters (хозяева за рубежом). Prime Minister Vladimir Putin responded with arch ambiguity. "С чего бы это Лужков хотел отдать самые жирные куски? Вы себе представляете Лужкова, который отдаёт самые жирные куски? Думаю, что Владимир Вольфович заблуждается." (Why on earth would Luzhkov want to give away the choicest parcels of land? Can you imagine Luzhkov giving away the choicest parcels? I think Vladimir Volfovich is mistaken." Judging by the laughter in the chamber, a lot of deputies understood the implication: The honorable Mayor Luzhkov doesn't give prime real estate to anyone; he keeps it for himself.
These жирные куски can give the translator a hard time. Жирный can refer to something fatty, like жирное мясо (fatty meat); or something greasy, like жирные волосы (greasy hair); or, less commonly, something filled with good things, like жирная земля (rich land); or something thick, like жирный шрифт (boldface). I asked native Russian speakers which meaning of жирный predominated in the phrase жирный кусок. They all stammered that it was more or less all of the above a big, fat, juicy, succulent, choice, prized, profitable, rich and desirable chunk of something.
This means that you usually need to be more specific when translating this phrase into English. Она обязательно наложит свою лапку на жирный кусок наследства (She's sure to put her paws on a big chunk of the inheritance). Самые жирные куски государственной собственности были отданы за бесценок (The choicest state properties were handed over at bargain basement prices).
Another little piece of Russian is similar to жирный кусок. Лакомый кусочек is usually smaller note the diminutive ending and sweeter. Лакомство is a tasty delicacy. Unadorned and in the plural, it means sweets or candies. But since "delicious" is in the eye of the beholder, in pet food stores you can find лакомства для собак (dog treats), which are definitely not sweet and decidedly not tasty to humans. Лакомство is related to the verb лакать (to slurp or lap up something) and has the sense of something you drool over.
Sometimes this is easy to translate. Самый лакомый кусочек внукам (The grandchildren are given the tastiest morsel). But writers use the phrase figuratively to refer to anything seductively attractive, sometimes regardless of size. Here it's hard for the translator to distinguish between fat chunks and exquisite tidbits. Земля в городе Чехове самый лакомый кусочек Подмосковья (Property in the city of Chekhov is the most sought-after land near Moscow). Этот огромный дом в центре города лакомый кусочек для инвесторов (This huge building in the city center has investors drooling).
So if you see a кусок or кусочек, try to get a piece of the action.
Michele A. Berdy is a Moscow-based translator and interpreter.
THE MOSCOW TIMES
EDITORIAL
THE DANGERS OF NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT
BY SERGEI KARAGANOV
Russia and the United States have signed the New START. Officially, the treaty cuts their weapons by one-third; in fact, each party will decommission only several dozen.
Nevertheless, the treaty is a considerable achievement. It normalizes political relations between the two countries, thereby facilitating their further cooperation and rapprochement.
The return of strategic nuclear weapons to the center of world politics increases Russia's political weight and highlights the field in which Russia can still assert itself as a superpower. It also gives a political boost to U.S. President Barack Obama, cast as the most constructive and progressive U.S. president for decades and possibly for many years to come.
After the treaty was signed, the United States hosted a nuclear nonproliferation summit, a landmark event for the Obama administration, which has made the fight against nuclear proliferation a trademark policy. The few accords reached at the summit, although welcome, are not as significant as the impression that the summit created that world leaders are ready to work together to confront nuclear proliferation.
But debates about the role of nuclear weapons in the modern world, as well as in the future, are only beginning. The world system on which past discussions of nuclear weapons were based has become almost unrecognizable, calling into question the adequacy of the mentality and concepts inherited from that system.
The heart of the matter is this: It is obvious that nuclear weapons are immoral. An A-bomb is millions of times more immoral than a spear or sword, hundreds of thousands of times more immoral than a rifle, thousands of times more immoral than a machine gun and hundreds of times more immoral than salvo systems or cluster bombs.
But nuclear arms also have a significant moral distinction. Unlike other weapons, they are an effective means of
preventing the large-scale wars and mass destruction of people, property and cultures that have plagued humanity throughout recorded history. To reject nuclear weapons and strive for their elimination is, no doubt, a moral aim, at least in the abstract. But it is feasible only if humanity changes.
Apparently, the advocates of eliminating nuclear weapons believe that such change is possible. I do not. Indeed, the risks of a world without nuclear weapons or only a minimal number of them are tremendous.
Nuclear deterrence a threat to kill hundreds of thousands or millions of people is a concept that does not fit into traditional morals. Yet it has worked, preventing catastrophic wars while making people more civilized and cautious. When one pole of nuclear deterrence weakened because of Russia's political decline in the 1990s, NATO, a defensive union of democratic and peaceful states, committed aggression against Yugoslavia. Now that Russia has restored its capability, such a move would be unthinkable. After Yugoslavia, there was an unprovoked attack on Iraq.
In a nearly perfect world, Russia and the United States would not need large nuclear stockpiles. But cutting nuclear weapons to a bare minimum in the current conditions would give a big advantage to small nuclear powers, which will see their nuclear potential gain near-parity with larger states.
Moreover, reducing nuclear weapons to a minimum might theoretically enhance the usefulness of missile-defense systems and their destabilizing role. And even nonstrategic missile-defense systems, the deployment of which might be useful, will be questioned.
If stockpiles of tactical nuclear weapons are reduced, as some U.S., European and Russian experts have proposed, the opponents of Russia's ongoing military reform will have even more reason to object to reconfiguring the country's conventional armed forces away from confrontation with NATO toward a flexible-response capability vis-a-vis other threats.
Similarly, if the United States withdraws its largely nominal tactical nuclear weapons from Europe, U.S.-European strategic ties would weaken. Many Europeans, above all in the new NATO member-states, would then demand more protection from the mythical Russian Leviathan.
The world community seems to be losing its strategic bearings. Instead of focusing on the real problem, namely the increasingly unstable international order, it is trying to apply Cold War-era concepts of disarmament. At best, these are marginally useful. More often, they are harmful in today's circumstances.
What is most needed nowadays is clear thinking about how to live with an expanding club of nuclear states while keeping the world relatively stable. To this end, the two great nuclear powers need a coordinated deterrence policy toward new nuclear states. Simultaneously, they should offer guarantees to non-nuclear states that might feel insecure. In the first place, it is necessary to fill the increasing security vacuum in the Middle East. China, the world's rising strategic player, might join this policy, though it currently ranks third in terms of military power.
Arms-control talks are mostly needed for rendering national arsenals more transparent and for building confidence between the great powers. That is all there is to their usefulness.
So, instead of mimicking Cold War-era treaties, it is necessary to launch an international discussion about the role of military force and nuclear weapons in the world as it is now evolving. We might then eventually recognize that eliminating nuclear weapons is not just a myth but a harmful myth, and that nuclear weapons are a useful asset that has saved, and may continue to save, humanity from itself.
Sergei Karaganov is dean of the School of World Economics and Foreign Affairs at Moscow State University Higher School of Economics. © Project Syndicate
***************************************
EDITORIAL from The Pioneer, The Times of India, Hindustan Times, The Indian Express, The Financial Express, The Hindu, The Statesman's, The Tribune, Deccan Chronicle, Deccan Herald, Economic Times, The Telegraph, The Assam Tribune, Pakistan Observer, The Asian Age, The News, The Jerusalem Post, Haaretz, The New York Times, China Daily, Japan Times, The Gazette, The Sydney Morning Herald, The Australian, The Guardian, Jakarta Post, The Moscow Times, The Bottom Line and more only on EDITORIAL.
Project By
SAMARTH
a trust of the people by the people for the people
An Organisation for Rastriya Abhyudaya
(Registered under Registration Act 1908 in Gorakhpur, Regis No 142- 07/12/2007)
Central Office: Basement, H-136, Shiv Durga Vihar, Lakkarpur, Faridabad 121009
Cell: - 0091-93131-03060
Email samarth@samarth.co.in, central.office@samarth.co.in
Registered Office: Rajendra Nagar (East), Near Bhagwati Chowk, Lachchipur
Gorakhnath Road, Gorakhpur 273 015
SHAPE